
Related news
Mexican economy grows 0.6pc in 1Q
Mexican economy grows 0.6pc in 1Q
Mexico City, 30 April (Argus) — Mexico's economy expanded at an annualized rate of 0.6pc in the first quarter, with solid growth in the agriculture sector offsetting a slowdown in industry. The result came in at the high end of analyst estimates and slightly above the 0.5pc GDP growth reported by statistics agency Inegi for the fourth quarter of 2024. Still, it marks the second-slowest quarterly growth in the past 16 quarters. Most of the first quarter's GDP growth came from a 6pc expansion in the agricultural sector, which more than reversed the 4.6pc contraction recorded in the fourth quarter of 2024. The industrial sector — including mining, manufacturing and construction — shrank for a second straight quarter, contracting by 1.4pc after a 1.2pc drop in the previous quarter. Manufacturing faced tariff-related uncertainty during the quarter, though investment in the sector had already been slowing for months. The contraction was softened by manufacturers ramping up production ahead of US tariffs, with the risk of trade-driven inflation also pushing builders to contain construction costs, according to market sources. These effects are expected to fade in the second quarter and worsen in the third if high US tariffs on Mexican goods persist, said Victor Herrera, head of economic studies at finance executive association IMEF, "especially as supply chains are hit by dwindling inventories." Services expanded by an annualized 1.3pc in the first quarter, compared with a 2.1pc growth in the fourth quarter of 2024. This marks the slowest growth in services since the end of Covid-19 restrictions in early 2021. By James Young Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
CME launches Black Sea CVB Wheat Argus futures
CME launches Black Sea CVB Wheat Argus futures
Paris, 30 April (Argus) — Traders will be able to trade Black Sea wheat futures and options on the CBOT exchange from 2 June, CME Group said, via new contracts that are financially settled on the Argus 12.5pc protein wheat fob CVB price. The final settlement price will be equal to the arithmetic average of the "12.5pc Romania-Bulgaria fob CVB" under the heading "Wheat $/t" as published by Argus in the AgriMarkets report for each day that it is determined from and including the first calendar day of the contract month to and including the 15th calendar day of the contract month. The settlement is in US dollars per tonne. A total of seven monthly contracts will at all times be available for the following contract months — March, May, July, September and December. Trading terminates on the 15th calendar day of the contract month. Daily settlement will take place on each contract business day at 18:30 CET (17:30 GMT). The contracts are cleared through CME Clearing. The CBOT exchange suspended trading and clearing of all Black Sea futures and options in August 2023. Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
Brazil's 2025-26 sugar crop to near record 46mn t
Brazil's 2025-26 sugar crop to near record 46mn t
Sao Paulo, 29 April (Argus) — Brazil may produce a record amount of sugar in the 2025-26 sugarcane crop despite lower crushing because more feedstock is set for the sweetener's production instead of ethanol. Brazil is set to produce 45.9mn metric tonnes (t) of sugar in the 2025-26 crop — which officially started on 1 April — a 4pc increase from the prior season, according to national supply company Conab's first estimate for the cycle. But Conab expects 2025-26 sugarcane crushing to decrease by 2pc from the the prior season, because of unfavorable weather conditions in the months prior to the beginning of the crop. The center-south — responsible for 90pc of national output — was hit by lack of rainfalls and high temperatures in most of last year, harming the development and growing of crops which would be harvested in the current cycle. The planted sugarcane area is expected to reach 8.8mn hectares (ha), a slight 0.3pc rise from the prior cycle, but yields are estimated to decrease by 2.3pc to 75,450 kg/ha. The annual increase in sugar output came because international sugar prices became more attractive than domestic ethanol prices. Both products are derived from sugarcane and production of one occurs at the expense of the other. Additionally, Brazilian mills increased investments on sugar crystallizing capacity last year and market participants expect the results to materialize this season. Ethanol output to fall Brazil will produce 36.8bn l (635,180 b/d) of ethanol in the 2025-26 crop, a 1pc drop from the 2024-25 season, driven by less sugarcane-based ethanol, Conab said. Sugarcane ethanol output is estimated to drop by 4.2pc from the prior cycle, because of less available feedstock and an estimated higher share of sugarcane directed to sugar production instead of the biofuel. But a projected 11pc increase in corn-based ethanol production in the 2025-26 season from the previous cycle partially offsets that expected drop in sugarcane ethanol output. Hydrous ethanol production in the 2025-26 season is estimated to total 22.7bn l, a 6.8pc decrease from 24.4bn l in the 2024-25 crop, while output of anhydrous ethanol — used as a gasoline blendstock — may rise by 10pc to 14.1bn l. By Maria Albuquerque Projections for 2025-26 sugarcane crop 2024-25 2025-26 ±% Sugarcane ('000t) 676.96 663.43 -2 Sugar '000t 44.12 45.87 4 Sugarcane-based ethanol ('000l) 29,350,340 28,111,241 -4.2 Corn-based ethanol ('000l) 7,839,526 8,704,034 11 Ethanol total ('000l) 37,189,865 36,815,275 -1 Source: Conab Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
US winter wheat recovers with much needed rain
US winter wheat recovers with much needed rain
St Louis, 28 April (Argus) — The outlook for US winter wheat improved sharply over the week ending 27 April following much needed rain. US winter wheat acres rated in good-to excellent condition gained four percentage points over the prior week, according to US Department of Agriculture (USDA) data, reaching 49pc of the crop. Kansas, the largest US winter wheat state by acres, had been trending towards being a point of concern as the good-to-excellent ration for the wheat crop in the state had fallen by 10 percentage points from the week of 6 April. With the recent update, Kansas winter wheat was rated 47pc in good-to-excellent condition, 14 percentage points ahead of the five-year average. Other key winter wheat states improved as well, with the good-to-excellent ratios in Nebraska and Texas increasing by three and four percentage points, respectively. In contrast, crop conditions in Wyoming continued to fall, down 37 percentage points from the five-year average with only 2pc of the crop rated in good-to-excellent condition. The week ahead could see additional improvements for Kansas and Texas, with large portions of the two states projected to receive a half an inch of rain or more over the next seven days according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). Colorado and Wyoming are projected to receive rain as well, but current estimates suggest it is likely to be too far west, and too small an amount to have a significant impact. Corn, soy planting pace divided by rain US corn planting remained largely on-pace, with 24pc of the crop planted as of 27 April, two percentage points ahead of the five-year average according to USDA data. Large gains were made across the western half of the US corn belt, with Minnesota, Nebraska, South Dakota, Iowa, Missouri and Kansas advancing 12 percentage points or more during the week. In states east of the Mississippi River, the pace of planting has been slower due to wet fields and continuous precipitation. As of 27 April, corn planting in Illinois was 10 percentage points behind the five-year average, while Wisconsin and Indianan were both three percentage points behind. Soybean planting made progress as well, increasing by 10 percentage points from the prior week to 18pc planted. The week ahead is likely to see planting advance more slowly and could result in the discrepancy in planting pace between the eastern and western half of the US increase. Heavy precipitation is projected to occur across most of the central US starting the evening of 28 April, and persist into the middle of the week according to NOAA projections. By 1 May, precipitation is expected to be mostly moved out of the western portion, with rains projected to occur east of the Mississippi into the coming weekend. By Ryan Koory Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
