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Citgo foresees Venezuela oil swaps, refinery works: CEO

  • Spanish Market: Crude oil, LPG, Oil products
  • 23/08/21

US refiner Citgo has a "mission" to replenish Venezuelan fuel supply after sanctions are lifted, chief executive Carlos Jordá told Argus.

Estranged from its Venezuelan state-owned parent PdV since the US recognized an interim Venezuelan government and imposed oil sanctions in 2019, Citgo is now a de facto independent refiner, Jordá said. But the company expects to play a "bridge" role during a political transition and reconstruction period.

"We will receive Venezuelan crude oil in exchange for product, 100,000-150,000 b/d, maybe more. There is a need for that until Venezuela gets something done in the refining sector," the former PdV veteran executive said in a 20 August interview.

He noted that PdV had 1.3mn b/d of refining capacity, and Venezuela used to consume 500,000 b/d of products. But the country's economic collapse and acute fuel shortages have whittled down consumption to only around 100,000 b/d.

Venezuelan drivers now wait for hours or even days to tank up. Diesel has also grown scarce since the US banned crude-for-diesel swaps late last year.

"It is not going to be easy, but eventually something will get done with the refineries. Maybe not 500,000 b/d but 300,000 b/d of capacity will be restored. Venezuela cannot be 100pc dependent on imports," he said. "Citgo could provide a bridge for products and help someone to get those refineries started."

For Jordá, who formerly headed PdV's refining operations from Caracas, foreign investment to re-establish Venezuela's oil industry will focus upstream. "It is hard to get capital to go into refining. Look what happened in Hovensa," he said, referring to the former PdV-Hess joint venture on St Croix in the US Virgin Islands. Now in the hands of US private equity, the refurbished Limetree Bay refinery restarted early this year only to be ordered shut on environmental grounds.

Carbon tax burden

Any future arrangement with PdV would need to be arms length and make economic sense for both sides, Jordá said.

He warns that a potential carbon tax would make it more difficult for Venezuela to recover. "It could get complicated. Selling heavy oil is going to be challenging for anyone."

In practice, Citgo has already moved past its Venezuelan feedstock roots.

The company's two Gulf coast refineries, 425,000 b/d Lake Charles and 157,500 b/d Corpus Christi, were designed to process mostly Venezuelan heavy crude. In response to changing market conditions, Lake Charles has been reconfigured to take 90-95pc light crude, while Corpus Christi is up to 65pc, and would go higher if debt-burdened Citgo had the access to capital to pay for it, Jordá said.

Citgo now processes mostly US crude, topped off with Colombian, Mexican and Canadian grades.

Like its US peers, Citgo is restricted from supplying Venezuela so long as the sanctions are in place. And even though the US recently authorized LPG sales to Venezuela, Citgo is not a specialized LPG supplier. Even if it were to step in, Jordá said a continued ban on swaps thwarts any deal, because suppliers would need cash prepayment, which PdV is unlikely to provide.


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04/11/24

Construction spending up in September, asphalt weakens

Construction spending up in September, asphalt weakens

Houston, 4 November (Argus) — US construction spending rose slightly in September, with spending on highways and streets higher. Still, asphalt prices declined. Total highway and street spending rose by 0.4pc in September from August to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of about $141.95bn, according to the latest data from the US Census Bureau. This was 1.5pc above September 2023 levels. Despite the increase in highway spending, wholesale asphalt prices in the US midcontinent hit a four-year low for September on excess supply and subdued demand. Midcontinent railed asphalt prices dropped by $45/st for September delivery to $290-$320/st from August. Waterborne prices in the region saw a similar, $45/st decrease to $300-$335/st. The sharp decline stemmed from turnaround activity beginning in late August at BP's 435,000 b/d Whiting, Indiana, refinery which boosted supplies as adverse weather in the southeastern US stifled wholesale demand. The National Weather Service reported above-average precipitation from Louisiana to Virginia in September with Tennessee seeing its fourth wettest September on record. Hurricane activity in early July and late September also impacted demand for the month with construction firms reporting lower third quarter product shipments because of extreme weather conditions. Total spending was up 7.3pc through the first nine months of 2024 compared to the same period in 2023. Private construction spending was supported by residential investment while nonresidential spending fell. Manufacturing spending fell while commercial spending rebounded from August, reversing previous month's trends. Spending on water supply continues to grow. By Aaron May and Cobin Eggers US Construction Spending $mn 24-Sep 24-Aug +/-% 23-Sep +/-% Total Spending 2,148,805.0 2,146,048.0 0.1 2,055,216.0 4.6 Total Private 1,653,624.0 1,653,160.0 0.0 1,592,388.0 3.8 Private Residential 913,632.0 912,186.0 0.2 877,629.0 4.1 Private Manufacturing 234,302.0 234,803.0 -0.2 194,941.0 20.2 Private Commerical 119,191.0 118,927.0 0.2 139,861.0 -14.8 Total Public 495,182.0 492,888.0 0.5 462,829.0 7.0 Public Water/Sewage 76,805.0 76,462.0 0.4 69,634.0 10.3 Public Highway/Road 141,049.0 140,349.0 0.5 138,694.0 1.7 US Census Bureau Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Saudi Luberef’s profit down on year in Jan-Sept


04/11/24
04/11/24

Saudi Luberef’s profit down on year in Jan-Sept

Singapore, 4 November (Argus) — State-controlled Saudi Aramco's base oil subsidiary Luberef posted a significant decrease in profit in January-September as a result of lower margins. Profit in January-September dropped by 38pc from the previous year to 764mn Saudi riyals ($203mn), although revenue rose by 6.5pc on the year to SR7.4bn. This is because base oil and by-products margins decreased. Luberef's base oil sales volumes in the first nine months of this year were up 1pc to 929,000t as compared with 918,000t in the same period last year. Luberef's profit in the third quarter was down by 34pc on the year to SR226mn, against a 2pc on the year drop in revenue to SR2.5bn. Argus -assessed Asian fob Group I and II base oil export prices were largely lower over the third quarter, especially for light grades, while heavy-grade prices were relatively supported because of tighter supply. The Yanbu "Growth II" expansion project is expected to completed at the end of 2025, the company said. This will bring the base oil production capacity at the Yanbu facility to around 1.3mn t/y. Luberef is also studying a project to produce Group III/III+ base oils, which is at the pre-front end engineering design stage. By Chng Li Li Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Oil services upturn takes a pause for breath


04/11/24
04/11/24

Oil services upturn takes a pause for breath

New York, 4 November (Argus) — The boom in demand for oil field services is showing signs of wavering in the short term as international customers signal greater caution around spending and the outlook for US shale remains challenged. Upstream spending growth in the North American onshore market is expected to be flat in 2025, with low natural gas prices, drilling efficiencies and further consolidation among producers in the shale patch all exerting downward pressure. Given a mixed international outlook, one bright spot will be offshore markets, and deepwater in particular, according to investment management firm Evercore ISI. "The solid growth years of 2023 and 2024 are over as the cycle resets," senior managing director James West says. "We view 2025 as an aberration in a long-term, albeit slower, growth cycle." In the near term, the sector's attention will be focused on spending plans by top producers including state-run Saudi Aramco and Brazil's Petrobras, as well as any signs of a potential recovery in Chinese oil demand given the government's latest stimulus efforts to kick-start growth. The sector has had to contend with more than $200bn of shale mergers and acquisitions over the past year, which has shrunk the pool of available customers, and led to oil field services providers beginning their own round of consolidation. Moreover, with capital discipline remaining the rallying cry, significant productivity gains have enabled producers to do more with less. Its immediate challenges were put into stark contrast this week by oil's renewed plunge, this time on the back of Israel's decision to spare Iran's energy infrastructure from retaliatory strikes. SLB, the biggest oil field services contractor, has attributed recent price volatility to concerns over an oversupplied market owing to higher output from non-Opec producers, as well as questions over when the cartel will return barrels to the market and weak economic growth. That spurred some customers to adopt a "cautionary approach" when it came to activity and spending in the third quarter. Gas to the rescue But SLB remains upbeat over the long-term outlook, given the current emphasis on energy security, a key role for natural gas in the energy transition, and expectations that oil will remain a "large part" of the energy mix for decades to come. Gas investment remains robust in international markets, particularly in Asia, the Middle East and the North Sea. "While short-cycle oil investments have been more challenged, long-cycle deepwater projects globally and most capacity expansion projects in the Middle East remain economically and strategically favourable," SLB chief executive Olivier Le Peuch says. Exploration successes in frontier regions from Namibia to Suriname are also unlocking vast reserves that only serve to bolster confidence in the offshore market. Global offshore investment decisions will approach $100bn this year and in the next 2-3 years, adding up to more than $500bn for 2023-26, according to Le Peuch, representing a "growth engine for the industry going forward". Meanwhile, Baker Hughes expects to capitalise on a growing market for gas infrastructure equipment. The company forecasts natural gas demand will grow by almost 20pc by 2040, with global LNG demand increasing at a faster rate of 75pc. "This is the age of gas," chief executive Lorenzo Simonelli says. The top services firms see limited short-term growth prospects for North America, with the exception of the Gulf of Mexico. Hydraulic fracturing services provider Liberty Energy plans a temporary reduction in its fleet in response to slower customer activity and market pressures. And SLB says any potential pick-up in gas rigs could be offset by a further decline in oil rigs owing to efficiencies. By Stephen Cunningham Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Asian demand might cap WTI availability for Europe


04/11/24
04/11/24

Asian demand might cap WTI availability for Europe

London, 4 November (Argus) — Asia-Pacific refiners have increased their intake of US light sweet WTI crude for November loading and could remain keen buyers in December, potentially limiting supply for Europe. Asian refiners have bought around 1.3mn b/d of WTI loading in November, traders say, up from roughly 800,000 b/d loading in October, and surpassing average flows of 1.15mn b/d to the region this year. Arbitrage economics from the US to Asia are better than those to Europe at present, traders say. And firmer refining margins for naphtha-rich crudes in Asia-Pacific could prompt refiners to maintain high purchases of WTI in December. Asian buyers tend to seek WTI around two weeks before European refiners owing to the longer shipping times, affecting availability of the grade in Europe. European interest in November-loading WTI has been limited by refinery maintenance, exacerbated by an abundance of cheap light sweet crude in the region following the sudden restart of Libyan crude exports in October. The rebound in Libyan supply after a period of disruption pressured differentials for competing light sweet grades from the North Sea and Mediterranean regions. North Sea Forties and Ekofisk and Algerian Saharan Blend fell to their lowest in at least two months against North Sea Dated in mid-October. At the same time, delivered WTI has been supported by high freight rates. Shipping costs to take an Aframax from the US Gulf coast to Europe were 62pc higher on average in October than in September, narrowing WTI's discount to North Sea light sweet crudes. Abundant and affordable WTI has tended to act as a cap on light sweet crude prices in the region. But the higher freight costs have meant that WTI has been one of the more expensive crudes in the North Sea Dated basket. WTI was at parity to light sweet Oseberg in early October, up from a discount of around $1/bl a month earlier. WTI has set the benchmark as the lowest-priced crude only six times in the past two months, compared with 26 occasions over the same period last year. But European demand for crude is expected to rebound in December, as regional refineries ramp up following autumn maintenance. Ekofisk has already added around 60¢/bl relative to WTI since mid-October, briefly moving from a discount to a premium to the US grade over 25-29 October. Any WTI supply tightness in the final weeks of the year, and continued firm demand in Asia, could limit WTI flows to Europe and support light sweet crude prices. Arbitrage effects For some Asia-Pacific refiners, a workable WTI arbitrage has helped pressure the price of alternative supplies. Indian refiner IOC opted to buy two cargoes of WTI in a tender which closed on 17 October instead of the west African crude it typically favours. The refiner bought a cargo of WTI each from US-based Occidental Petroleum and Japanese trading company Mitsui for delivery in December and January to the western port of Vadinar and eastern port of Paradip, market participants say. Lacklustre interest from Indian and European buyers, and plentiful light sweet crude supply, have since combined to pressure some Nigerian crude differentials, pushing them down by 20¢-$1.15/bl against North Sea Dated in October. This has helped reinvigorate demand and clear more November shipments on the eve of the December-loading cycle. IOC subsequently bought a shipment each of Nigerian Agbami from Chevron and Angolan Nemba from an undisclosed seller in a tender which closed on 24 October. But up to a dozen November-loading Nigerian cargoes remained unsold as of 29 October, according to traders. By Lina Bulyk Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Opec+ delays supply return for one month


03/11/24
03/11/24

Opec+ delays supply return for one month

London, 3 November (Argus) — Eight Opec+ members that were due to begin raising crude output from December have opted to delay the restart by one month, the Opec secretariat said today, 3 November. The eight ꟷ Saudi Arabia, Russia, Iraq, the UAE, Kuwait, Kazakhstan, Algeria and Oman ꟷ had already postponed, by two months, a plan to start returning supply, over concerns about worsening economic indicators, and in turn, weakening oil prices. With these concerns still very much live, the group has decided again to delay the start of a move that would have added 180,000 b/d to global supply in December. The eight "have agreed to extend the November 2023 voluntary production adjustments of 2.2mn b/d for one month until the end of December 2024," the Opec secretariat said. As was the case with the postponement in September, the secretariat did not give any explicit rationale for the move. This one month deferral means a decision about whether to start returning supply in January, or to delay again, will coincide with Opec and Opec+ group meetings that are scheduled to take place in early December. Delegate sources told Argus after the first postponement that its decision was also to allow some of the group's serial overproducers, namely Iraq, Russia and Kazakhstan, time to improve compliance with their pledged output targets. The secretariat today again made a point of underlining the wider group's "collective commitment to achieve full conformity," with a focus on those three countries. Benchmark North Sea Dated crude was assessed by Argus at $73.48/bl on Friday, 1 November, around $20/bl below where it was before Opec+ announced its initial output cut in October 2022. The alliance has reduced output by 4mn b/d since then, Argus estimates. Much of the oil price weakness is down to an increasingly gloomy demand outlook, primarily driven by worse-than-expected consumption growth in China. Global oil supply is also higher than Opec+ would prefer — including from its own overproducers — and is due to rise further, with the US, Guyana and Canada driving gains. The IEA forecasts a supply surplus of more than 1mn b/d in 2025, even in the absence of any increase from Opec+. By Nader Itayim and Bachar Halabi Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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