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Trading companies eye fertilizer barters in Brazil

  • Spanish Market: Agriculture, Fertilizers
  • 30/01/20

Fertilizer barter rates — the ratio between a price of a 60kg bag of soybean or corn traded toward a tonne of fertilizer — are becoming a more attractive way to fund crops in Brazil as the default risk on such transactions is lower than other forms of crop financing.

Trading companies are the most common source for financing agriculture in Brazil compared to other countries, where banks are largely responsible for financing harvests. One reason is in Brazil farmers typically grow two different crops per year on the same parcel. This means a bank would need to finance two crops at the same time, increasing costs and risks associated with two different growing and harvesting scenarios. Typically the financing is for whole crop-year, a long-period to calculate and anticipate those risks.

Fertilizer consumption is growing in Brazil, boosted not only by higher acreage but also by more investments to enhance productivity. This has helped increase the attractiveness of using barter rates.

Cash financing also carries more default risks than financing a crop with fertilizer, since trading companies have more confidence the input — the fertilizer — will be used and result in actual production.

In 2019 a number of major trading companies threatened to stop funding Brazilian crop production because of possible changes in the judicial recovery plan for farmers, a process that is similar to bankruptcy protection. The new rules currently under discussion in the courts may facilitate the recovery plan for individual farmers, instead of the current structure that allows only companies to file for recovery.

If the change goes through, it has the potential to increase the number of recovery plans, which means greater default risk.

Trading companies finance 30-35pc of the national soybean and corn crop, mainly through barter operations with chemicals, seeds and fertilizer, which incorporate interest rates of 20-25pc per year. A market participant said the default rate for one trading company that uses mostly fertilizer barter operations to finance agriculture in Brazil has less than 1pc of default rate. The chemicals industry faces a default risk of around 10pc when financing crops with pesticides.

Another factor behind the growth of fertilizer barter rates in Brazil is the corn ethanol industry, which is growing in the central-west region of the country. The industry pays farmers more to guarantee reasonable volumes of corn. Trading companies can disrupt this market with barter rates and guarantee the volumes required in take-or-pay contracts with railways.

This scenario may change, though, if rural insurance becomes more popular among Brazilian farmers. Currently insurance companies have limited participation as they still do not not know how to calculate the risks involved in the system of planting two crops in the same year.

By Kauanna Navarro


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30/04/25

Brazil Aneel rejects grid access for green H2 projects

Brazil Aneel rejects grid access for green H2 projects

Paris, 30 April (Argus) — Brazil's electricity regulation agency Aneel has rejected requests for electricity grid connections filed by two renewable hydrogen projects in the northeast of the country — but the decision can be reverted, according to one of the companies. Spanish project developer Solatio, which is planning a renewable ammonia project in the state of Piaui, had its request for a grid connection rejected by Aneel in a resolution published last week. In March, Solatio received approval from Brazil's industry minister to build a 3GW electrolyser facility at the Parnaiba Export Processing Zone, with operations expected to start in early 2029. The firm had previously said it aims to achieve over 11GW of electrolyser capacity in Piaui in the long run. Aneel's decision to reject access to the grid was based on recommendations made by Brazil's grid operator ONS, which found the grid connection request to not be feasible as it "could result in overload and risks of voltage collapse". In the technical note, Aneel said that this decision "does not constitute a sanction or opposition to the investment itself". Instead it is a reflection of the "current technical limitations" of the power system. The regulator expects that "in the near future, structural works capable of safely serving large loads in the northeast will be proposed and granted". Brazil's energy ministry has already requested energy planning body EPE an expansion of 4GW of capacity in the northeast grid to accommodate demand from renewable hydrogen projects in the coming years. Solatio has already submitted a "new technical solution" that was designed with support of the Piaui government and state investment promotion agency Invest Piaui and that it could be approved soon, the developer told Argus . Earlier this month, renewables firm Casa dos Ventos also had a grid connection request rejected for its 900,000 t/yr renewable ammonia project planned at the Pecem port complex, in Brazil's Ceara state. Output from the Iracema project could supply TotalEnergies , which is a shareholder in Casa dos Ventos. Casa dos Ventos' request included a grid link to power a data centre project, which was refused by Aneel too. Aneel has asked ONS to provide "the set of technical information" for its recommendation and increase transparency on its assessments. Casa dos Ventos was not immediately available to comment. Hydrogen industry participants in Brazil have grown increasingly concerned about power grid bottlenecks. Even though the government has approved plans to expand grid capacity across the country, the sector worries that this could come too late for projects that hope to be early beneficiaries of Brazil's tax credit scheme unless the procedures are sped up. By Pamela Machado Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

CME launches Black Sea CVB Wheat Argus futures


30/04/25
30/04/25

CME launches Black Sea CVB Wheat Argus futures

Paris, 30 April (Argus) — Traders will be able to trade Black Sea wheat futures and options on the CBOT exchange from 2 June, CME Group said, via new contracts that are financially settled on the Argus 12.5pc protein wheat fob CVB price. The final settlement price will be equal to the arithmetic average of the "12.5pc Romania-Bulgaria fob CVB" under the heading "Wheat $/t" as published by Argus in the AgriMarkets report for each day that it is determined from and including the first calendar day of the contract month to and including the 15th calendar day of the contract month. The settlement is in US dollars per tonne. A total of seven monthly contracts will at all times be available for the following contract months — March, May, July, September and December. Trading terminates on the 15th calendar day of the contract month. Daily settlement will take place on each contract business day at 18:30 CET (17:30 GMT). The contracts are cleared through CME Clearing. The CBOT exchange suspended trading and clearing of all Black Sea futures and options in August 2023. Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Brazil's 2025-26 sugar crop to near record 46mn t


29/04/25
29/04/25

Brazil's 2025-26 sugar crop to near record 46mn t

Sao Paulo, 29 April (Argus) — Brazil may produce a record amount of sugar in the 2025-26 sugarcane crop despite lower crushing because more feedstock is set for the sweetener's production instead of ethanol. Brazil is set to produce 45.9mn metric tonnes (t) of sugar in the 2025-26 crop — which officially started on 1 April — a 4pc increase from the prior season, according to national supply company Conab's first estimate for the cycle. But Conab expects 2025-26 sugarcane crushing to decrease by 2pc from the the prior season, because of unfavorable weather conditions in the months prior to the beginning of the crop. The center-south — responsible for 90pc of national output — was hit by lack of rainfalls and high temperatures in most of last year, harming the development and growing of crops which would be harvested in the current cycle. The planted sugarcane area is expected to reach 8.8mn hectares (ha), a slight 0.3pc rise from the prior cycle, but yields are estimated to decrease by 2.3pc to 75,450 kg/ha. The annual increase in sugar output came because international sugar prices became more attractive than domestic ethanol prices. Both products are derived from sugarcane and production of one occurs at the expense of the other. Additionally, Brazilian mills increased investments on sugar crystallizing capacity last year and market participants expect the results to materialize this season. Ethanol output to fall Brazil will produce 36.8bn l (635,180 b/d) of ethanol in the 2025-26 crop, a 1pc drop from the 2024-25 season, driven by less sugarcane-based ethanol, Conab said. Sugarcane ethanol output is estimated to drop by 4.2pc from the prior cycle, because of less available feedstock and an estimated higher share of sugarcane directed to sugar production instead of the biofuel. But a projected 11pc increase in corn-based ethanol production in the 2025-26 season from the previous cycle partially offsets that expected drop in sugarcane ethanol output. Hydrous ethanol production in the 2025-26 season is estimated to total 22.7bn l, a 6.8pc decrease from 24.4bn l in the 2024-25 crop, while output of anhydrous ethanol — used as a gasoline blendstock — may rise by 10pc to 14.1bn l. By Maria Albuquerque Projections for 2025-26 sugarcane crop 2024-25 2025-26 ±% Sugarcane ('000t) 676.96 663.43 -2 Sugar '000t 44.12 45.87 4 Sugarcane-based ethanol ('000l) 29,350,340 28,111,241 -4.2 Corn-based ethanol ('000l) 7,839,526 8,704,034 11 Ethanol total ('000l) 37,189,865 36,815,275 -1 Source: Conab Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

New Trinidad PM to seek access to Venezuelan gas


29/04/25
29/04/25

New Trinidad PM to seek access to Venezuelan gas

Kingston, 29 April (Argus) — Major LNG exporter Trinidad and Tobago's new government wants to open discussions with the administration of US president Donald Trump on access to natural gas fields on the border with Venezuela. United National Congress (UNC) party leader Kamla Persad-Bissessar will be the new prime minister of the Caribbean state of 1.5mn people after the party won Monday's general election, ending 10 years of administration by the People's National Congress (PNC) party of Stuart Young. The UNC won 26 seats in the 41-member assembly. "We will work with the Trump administration to see how the discussions with the Venezuelan government on the cross-border gas fields can be reopened," the UNC's energy spokesman David Lee said. Lee is expected to be appointed the energy minister. "We do not have any closed doors on this matter," Lee said. "We will directly engage the US so it will be confident in working with us on resolving our cross-border issues." Trinidad and Tobago's gas-short economy was set back earlier this month by the Trump government's revocation of licenses granted by the administration of former US president Joe Biden to Trinidad. The waivers exempted certain work to develop two gas fields that straddle the maritime border with Venezuela from US sanctions. Access to the Dragon and Manakin-Cocuina gas fields is "vital" to reversing Trinidad's fall in gas production, Young said. Trinidad has been struggling to recover natural gas flow since November 2017, following a long slide from a peak of 4.3 Bcf/d in 2010. Gas output in 2024 was 2.53 Bcf/d, and the fall in output suppressed LNG, petrochemical and fertilizer production. Trinidad's 2024 LNG production of 16.7mn m³ was down by 4.6pc on 2023, according to the latest energy ministry data. The 11.8mn t/yr Atlantic liquefaction plant in southwestern Trinidad, which is majority owned by Shell and BP, is Trinidad's sole LNG producer. Crude production has also declined, moving from a peak of 144,400 b/d in 2005 to 50,854 b/d in 2024, according to the energy ministry. The decline in crude feedstock contributed to the 2018 shutdown of the state-owned 160,000 b/d Guaracara refinery. Young's administration failed at several attempts to engage foreign investors to reopen the plant. The government last month selected Nigerian privately owned oil and gas company Oando to lease and operate the refinery. But the incoming UNC administration will terminate negotiations with Oando to reopen the refinery and will seek new investors for the plant, the party said. By Canute James Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

US winter wheat recovers with much needed rain


28/04/25
28/04/25

US winter wheat recovers with much needed rain

St Louis, 28 April (Argus) — The outlook for US winter wheat improved sharply over the week ending 27 April following much needed rain. US winter wheat acres rated in good-to excellent condition gained four percentage points over the prior week, according to US Department of Agriculture (USDA) data, reaching 49pc of the crop. Kansas, the largest US winter wheat state by acres, had been trending towards being a point of concern as the good-to-excellent ration for the wheat crop in the state had fallen by 10 percentage points from the week of 6 April. With the recent update, Kansas winter wheat was rated 47pc in good-to-excellent condition, 14 percentage points ahead of the five-year average. Other key winter wheat states improved as well, with the good-to-excellent ratios in Nebraska and Texas increasing by three and four percentage points, respectively. In contrast, crop conditions in Wyoming continued to fall, down 37 percentage points from the five-year average with only 2pc of the crop rated in good-to-excellent condition. The week ahead could see additional improvements for Kansas and Texas, with large portions of the two states projected to receive a half an inch of rain or more over the next seven days according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). Colorado and Wyoming are projected to receive rain as well, but current estimates suggest it is likely to be too far west, and too small an amount to have a significant impact. Corn, soy planting pace divided by rain US corn planting remained largely on-pace, with 24pc of the crop planted as of 27 April, two percentage points ahead of the five-year average according to USDA data. Large gains were made across the western half of the US corn belt, with Minnesota, Nebraska, South Dakota, Iowa, Missouri and Kansas advancing 12 percentage points or more during the week. In states east of the Mississippi River, the pace of planting has been slower due to wet fields and continuous precipitation. As of 27 April, corn planting in Illinois was 10 percentage points behind the five-year average, while Wisconsin and Indianan were both three percentage points behind. Soybean planting made progress as well, increasing by 10 percentage points from the prior week to 18pc planted. The week ahead is likely to see planting advance more slowly and could result in the discrepancy in planting pace between the eastern and western half of the US increase. Heavy precipitation is projected to occur across most of the central US starting the evening of 28 April, and persist into the middle of the week according to NOAA projections. By 1 May, precipitation is expected to be mostly moved out of the western portion, with rains projected to occur east of the Mississippi into the coming weekend. By Ryan Koory Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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