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Brazil's economy accelerates to 4pc growth in 3Q

  • Spanish Market: Agriculture, Crude oil, Electricity, Metals, Natural gas
  • 04/12/24

Brazil's economic growth accelerated to an annual 4pc in the third quarter, led by stronger consumer spending, according to government statistics agency IBGE.

The economy accelerated from 3.3pc annual growth in the second quarter and posted the fastest growth since the first quarter of 2023.

Household consumption grew by 5.5pc in the third quarter from a year earlier, while government spending increased by 1.3pc. Services grew by 4.1pc.

The industry sector grew by an annual 3.6pc, driven by civil construction and five-year high automotive production in July, according to the national association of vehicle manufacturers.

Exports rose by 2.1pc, while imports grew by 18pc.

The oil, natural gas and mining industry contracted by 1pc, thanks to lower oil and gas exploration and production. Brazil produced 4.35mn b/d of oil equivalent (boe/d) in the third quarter, down from 4.51mn boe/d in the July-September 2023, according to oil and gas regulator ANP.

The electricity and gas, water and sewage management sector increased by 3.7pc from July-September 2023, favoured by higher demand despite higher power tariffs. Brazil faced a severe drought in the first two quarters of the year that lowered river levels at hydroelectric plants and increased power charges in September.

But the agriculture and cattle raising sector fell by 0.8pc, with expected production of significant crops such as corn and sugarcane dropping from a year prior also because of adverse weather. Still, output of cotton, wheat and coffee increased by 14.5pc, 5.3pc and 0.3pc, respectively, according to IBGE.

The investment rate — the percentage of a country's total production that is invested — grew to 17.6pc in the third quarter, an increase of 1.2 percentage points from the same period in 2023.

Brazil's GDP growth in the third quarter was up by 0.9pc from the second quarter, reaching R3 trillion ($494bn).

By Maria Frazatto


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04/12/24

Nippon, US Steel deal will be blocked: Trump

Nippon, US Steel deal will be blocked: Trump

Houston, 4 December (Argus) — President-elect Donald Trump reiterated Tuesday his opposition to Japanese steelmaker Nippon Steel's purchase of US Steel. "I am totally against the once great and powerful US Steel being bought by a foreign company, in this case Nippon Steel of Japan," Trump posted to his Truth Social account. Trump added that by using tax incentives and tariffs he would make US Steel "strong and great again". Trump did not specify the tax incentives and tariffs he would impose. The president-elect has threatened 25pc tariffs against Canada and Mexico and to impose 20pc tariffs on all imports into the US. The proposed sale of US Steel has faced contention ever since its competitor Cleveland-Cliffs made an unsolicited bid for US Steel in August 2023. US Steel went with Nippon's $15bn takeover bid in December of that year , which has since been opposed by the United Steel Workers (USW) union, politicians, and Cliffs. The merger is currently under review by the Committee on Foreign Investment in the United States (CFIUS), before it goes to the president for a final decision. President Joe Biden, who has publicly said he would block the deal, may have the opportunity to make the final decision on the transaction before his term is up in January. If Biden makes a decision to allow the transaction to go through, it is unclear what, if any, recourse Trump would have with regards to the deal when he assumes office on 20 January. The US currently has 25pc Section 232 national security tariffs levied against steel imports from much of the world, a policy that Trump began in March 2018 during his first term. Since then both Trump and Biden allowed a number of countries and regions to be excluded from the 232 tariffs. The Steel Manufacturers Association (SMA), which represents the majority of US steel producers, on Monday called on Trump to remove most 232 exclusions and reimpose the 25pc tariffs on steel from Mexico. By Rye Druzchetta Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Williams sues ET over gasline fight: Clarification


04/12/24
04/12/24

Williams sues ET over gasline fight: Clarification

Clarifies that Williams filed suit earlier this year. New York, 4 December (Argus) — US natural gas pipeline company Williams has brought a "very large lawsuit" against its US midstream rival Energy Transfer after a legal dispute between the companies delayed construction of a project by Williams, Williams chief executive Alan Armstrong told Argus in an interview on 3 December. Armstrong said Energy Transfer is the only company in "pipeline history" to have defied industry norms over pipeline crossings in a bid to block competitors' projects. The market "was always very honorable" before that, he said. Armstrong said he hopes the lawsuit against Energy Transfer will undercut the "very bad precedent" set by Energy Transfer's alleged legal strategy and "stop the industry from spiraling into that kind of behavior." Energy Transfer did not immediately respond to a request for comment. Energy Transfer throughout 2023-24 tried to block Williams and other rival pipeline companies from building new gas pipelines across its own Tiger pipeline in northern Louisiana, located in the Haynesville shale near a cluster of planned LNG export terminals on the US Gulf coast. Energy Transfer argued that Williams and other pipeline companies' projects proposed an excessive number of crossings under and over its own pipelines, while its opponents argued it was merely interested in controlling market share. Beyond trying to block Williams from crossing the Tiger pipeline, Energy Transfer also prevailed upon federal regulators to review Williams' proposed 1.8 Bcf/d (51mn m³/d) Louisiana Energy Gateway (LEG) pipeline as an interstate transmission line, rather than a gathering line, as Williams claimed. This would have subjected LEG to more regulatory oversight. But the US Federal Energy Regulatory Commission in September denied the request . The broad legal strategy by Energy Transfer provoked ire from industry groups and now-Louisiana governor Jeff Landry (R), who warned it could threaten production growth out of the Haynesville and the coming US LNG export boom. Energy Transfer lost case after case to Williams in lawsuits spanning parishes across Louisiana, but the litigation pushed back the in-service date of LEG from late 2024 to the second half of 2025. The Tiger-LEG pipeline dispute was not the first time Williams and Energy Transfer had seen each other in court. After agreeing to merge in 2015, Energy Transfer in 2016 terminated the merger because of a tax issue that arose before closing. This led a Delaware judge in 2021 to make Energy Transfer pay Williams a $410mn breakup fee for deciding to pull out of its proposed $33bn merger. By Julian Hast Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

US light vehicle sales at 3.5-year high in Nov


04/12/24
04/12/24

US light vehicle sales at 3.5-year high in Nov

Houston, 4 December (Argus) — Domestic sales of light vehicles in November reached their highest level in over three years, rising to a seasonally adjusted rate of 16.5mn on the strength of greater truck purchases. Sales of light vehicles — trucks and cars — increased from a seasonally adjusted rate of 16.3mn in October, the Bureau of Economic Analysis reported today. Last month's rate was the highest since 17mn in May 2021 and greater than the 15.5mn unit rate in November 2023. Declines in borrowing costs and improved sentiment about the US economy following Donald Trump's presidential election victory spurred consumers to spend more last month. Still, the prospect of higher tariffs and growing geopolitical tensions — induced by Trump's trade policies — could reignite inflation next year and tamp down buying. Truck sales rose by 2.5pc sequentially to a 13.5mn unit rate in November, while sales of cars edged lower by 2.9pc to a 2.96mn unit rate in the same timeframe. Domestic auto production slipped to a seasonally adjusted rate of 122,500 in October from 123,900 in September. That compared with 134,700 in October 2023. Auto assemblies are reported with a one-month lag to sales. By Alex Nicoll Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Thailand to extend BEV production commitment deadline


04/12/24
04/12/24

Thailand to extend BEV production commitment deadline

Singapore, 4 December (Argus) — Thailand's National Electric Vehicle Policy Board has approved an extension for battery electric vehicle (BEV) producers, which were supposed to fulfil their production commitment this year, according to the country's Board of Investment (BOI). BEV manufacturers received subsidies under the country's first phase of EV promotion measures — also called the EV 3.0 measures — and were supposed to produce one BEV this year for every vehicle they imported between 2022-23. The ratio will rise to 1½ BEV in 2025 for every imported vehicle. The unfulfilled portion of the production commitment will now roll over and manufacturers are required to instead follow the conditions under its second phase of EV promotion measures , the EV 3.5 measures. The portion that was not completed will not receive subsidies under either package, said BOI on 4 December. Subsidies under the EV 3.5 measures will "come into force" after those production commitments have been fulfilled. About 26 car manufacturers have applied to the incentive schemes, according to BOI. Thailand's Federation of Thai Industries (FTI) cut the country's 2024 auto output estimation twice this year. The estimation was cut from 1.9mn units to 1.7mn units in July, and once more to 1.5mn units in November. Thailand's total vehicle output in January-October came in at nearly 1.25mn units, down by 19pc compared to the same period a year earlier, according to FTI. October's vehicle output fell by 25pc on the year to 118,800 units, domestic sales dropped by 36pc to about 37,700 units and exports were down by 20pc to around 84,300 units. The country has produced 8,026 units of battery passenger cars, 159,176 units of hybrid passenger cars and 5,067 units of plug-in hybrid passenger cars over January-October, according to FTI. Cumulative registrations of battery passenger cars reached 213,173 units as of end-October, while that of hybrid passenger cars reached 455,364 units. The National Electric Vehicle Policy Board in July approved a temporary reduction of excise tax rate for hybrid EVs from 2028-32 on the conditions of car manufacturers investing in Thailand and adhering to strict vehicle CO2 emission requirements, which it said is expected to bring in around 50bn baht ($1.4bn) of new investments. Excise tax rates of between 6-9pc were set depending on HEVs' CO2 emission requirements. By Joseph Ho Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Treasury eyes 45Z guidance before Biden exit


03/12/24
03/12/24

Treasury eyes 45Z guidance before Biden exit

New York, 3 December (Argus) — The US Department of Treasury said it still plans to issue guidance before president Joe Biden leaves office next year clarifying how refiners can qualify for a new tax credit for clean fuels. The agency "anticipates issuing guidance" around the Inflation Reduction Act's 45Z credit before 20 January to "enable producers to claim the 45Z credit for 2025", disputing a report today that the Biden administration planned on punting implementation to president-elect Donald Trump. The credit, set to kick off regardless on 1 January, will differ from some prior federal incentives by offering greater subsidies to fuels that produce fewer greenhouse gas emissions. Treasury did not commit to any definitive timeline for releasing guidance, and it did not immediately clarify how thorough any eventual rule would be. Companies in the biofuel supply chain say the current lack of clarity from Treasury — particularly on how it will calculate carbon intensities for various fuels and feedstocks — has slowed first quarter dealmaking. Government guidance could make or break the economics of certain plants, particularly for relatively higher-carbon fuels like soy biodiesel or jet fuel derived from corn ethanol. The US Department of Agriculture's timing for releasing a complementary rule to quantify the climate benefits of certain agricultural practices, envisioned as a way to reward refineries sourcing feedstocks from farms taking steps to reduce their emissions, is unclear. The agency said today that a "rulemaking process" in response to its request for information on climate-smart farm practices is "under consideration" but did not elaborate. Agriculture secretary Tom Vilsack had insisted earlier this year that his department would release some package before the end of Biden's term. Some industry groups remain pessimistic that the Biden administration will answer all of the thorny questions still lingering around the 45Z credit, especially given signals earlier this year that other Inflation Reduction Act programs would take priority. The Renewable Fuels Association, which represents ethanol producers, says final regulations around 45Z "seem highly unlikely" before the end of Biden's term but that it hopes Treasury releases at least some "basic information" or safe harbor provisions. Delays getting credit guidance could prod Congress to extend expiring biofuel incentives for another year, including a $1/USG credit for blenders of biomass-based diesel. Some formerly skeptical lobbying groups have recently come on board in support of an extension, fearing that biofuel production could slump next year given the lack of 45Z guidance and uncertainty about how Trump will implement clean energy tax credits. But four lobbyists speaking on background told Argus today that the proposal still faces long odds. Congress has various other priorities for its relatively brief lame duck session, including government funding and disaster aid, that take precedence over biofuels. A staffer with the Democratic-controlled US Senate Finance Committee said last month that Republicans have been reluctant to negotiate tax policy in a divided Congress this year when they are planning a far-reaching tax package under unified Republican control next year. By Cole Martin Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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