The EU has immediately increased its surveillance of steel imports in response to additional tariffs in the US, and global overcapacity.
"We want to prevent that the steel that hits [the US] tariff wall doesn't hit us here in Europe," a senior EU official said. "Under the WTO rules, the safeguard agreement, we can close our markets due to an unexpected and sudden influx of imports and where a quick reaction is needed".
"We have different tools, safeguards is one of them. How exactly we will be using those tools to deal with this trade diversionist effect, that depends on what happens, that depends on the analysis," he added.
Global excess steel capacity is forecast to increase to more than 720mn t by 2027, from 602mn t last year, according to the OECD — this is over five times EU steel production.
Retaliatory tariffs in the US on all trade partners risk a trade diversion that could further dampen steel demand downstream as well as upstream.
Finished goods diversion a challenge
European service centres, distributors and processors have already struggled with an increase in imports of components and finished goods, which has undermined demand from their own customers.
European steel, tube and metal distributors association Eurometal has recently been lobbying for downstream import protection. Senior figures from the association were in Brussels today, discussing the issue.
"We are spreading the message to the European Commission that we need to protect the steel consumption in Europe, not only production," Tata Steel Layde managing director and former Eurometal president Fernando Espada said on LinkedIn from Brussels.
EU trade commissioner Maros Sefcovic will speak on 4 April with US secretary of commerce Howard Lutnick. Officials added that the EU is a partner in finding solutions to problems from an ineffective rules-based system or "global overcapacity that comes from a large non-market economy".