US services grow at slowest pace in 9 months: ISM

Spanish Market: Crude oil, Metals
03/04/25

The US services sector expanded in March at the slowest pace since last June, with orders, export orders and employment sliding into contraction, as companies braced for tariffs threatened by the US administration.

The headline purchasing managers' index (PMI) slowed to 50.8 in March from 53.5 the prior month, according to the Institute for Supply Management's (ISM) latest survey on activity in the biggest part of the economy. New orders slowed to 50.4 from 52.2, and employment fell to 46.2, showing contraction, from 53.9 the prior month. The breakeven threshold between growth and contraction is 50.

New export orders fell to 45.8 in March from 52.1 the prior month. Imports rose to 52.6 from 49.6.

The weakening services gauge follows ISM's manufacturing PMI, reported on 1 April, that showed factory activity fell to 49 in March, the first contraction in three months, which followed more than two years of contraction. The Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta's GDPNOW tracker on Thursday forecast a 2.8pc annual contraction in US gross domestic product in the first quarter, which will be reported at the end of April.

Services business activity/production grew to 55.9 last month from 54.4 the prior month. The price index fell to 60.9 from 62.6, showing slowing price growth.

By Bob Willis

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08/04/25

Oil companies far from Paris accord alignment: Report

London, 8 April (Argus) — None of the 30 oil and gas producers assessed are close to being in line with Paris climate agreement targets "and some have regressed", a report from think-tank Carbon Tracker found today. Carbon Tracker flagged "backsliding, particularly around oil and gas production plans" from the producers assessed in its report, Paris Maligned III . The think-tank assessed 30 of the largest producers — a mixture of corporations and national oil companies — against six metrics. These included production plans, greenhouse gas (GHG) reduction targets and methane reduction targets. It did not assess producers based in countries subject to international sanctions. "Almost all producers are planning to increase oil and gas production in the coming years… Such growth plans are at odds with the Paris Agreement's 1.5˚C target and many are incompatible with a below 2˚C scenario", the report found. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change — seen as the overarching consensus on climate science — notes that a substantial reduction in fossil fuels is needed in order to reach climate goals. The Paris agreement seeks to limit the rise in global temperatures to "well below" 2°C above pre-industrial levels and preferably to 1.5°C. The only producers assessed that are not planning to increase production are London-listed independent Harbour Energy and Spain's Repsol, Carbon Tracker found. Carbon Tracker ranked Repsol highest overall for alignment with Paris agreement goals and Harbour Energy in second place. European companies were ranked more highly in line with Paris goals, with seven of the top 10 places. Three state-owned oil companies — Mexico's Pemex, Algeria's Sonatrach and Kuwait's KPC — and US firms ExxonMobil and ConocoPhillips took the five lowest places in the ranking table. "Despite some political and market headwinds, investor engagement on climate risk remains strong, particularly in Europe", the report noted. Carbon Tracker this year scored companies on the extent to which they planned to cut methane emissions — specifically "near-zero methane by 2030" across upstream activities and "midstream gas assets where applicable", it said. This is in line with the decarbonisation charter which many of the companies assessed signed up to at the UN Cop 28 climate summit in December 2023. Companies' methane reduction plans "are typically more climate-aligned than their overall GHG targets", the report found. But "there is still considerable room for improvement because significant sources of methane emissions are overlooked", it added. By Georgia Gratton Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Flooding on US rivers mires barge transit

07/04/25

Flooding on US rivers mires barge transit

Houston, 7 April (Argus) — Barge transit slowed across the Arkansas, Ohio and lower Mississippi rivers over the weekend because of flooding, which prompted the US Army Corps of Engineers (Corps) to close locks and issue transit restrictions along the waterways. The Corps advised all small craft to limit or halt transit on the McClellan-Kerr Arkansas River Navigation System (MCKARNS) in Arkansas because flows reached above 200,000 cubic feet per second (cfs), nearly three times the high-water flow. The heavy flow is expected to persist throughout the week, posing risks to those transiting the river system, said the Corps. Some barges have halted movement on the river, temporarily miring fertilizer resupply efforts in Arkansas and Oklahoma in the middle of the urea application season. The Corps forecasts high flows to continue into Friday, and the National Weather Service predicts several locations along the MCKARNS will maintain a moderate to minor flood stage into Friday as well. Both the Arthur V Ormond Lock and the Toad Suck Ferry Lock, upriver from Little Rock, Arkansas, shut on 6 April because of the high flows. Flows along the Little Rock Corps district reached 271,600cfs on 7 April. The Corps forecasts high flows to continue into Friday. Ohio and lower Mississippi rivers The Corps restricted barge transit between Cincinnati, Ohio, and Cairo, Illinois, on the Ohio River to mitigate barge transportation risks, with the Corps closing two locks on the Ohio River on 6 April and potentially four more in the coming days. Major barge carrier American Commercial Barge Line (ACBL) anticipates dock and fleeting operations will be suspended at certain locations along the Mississippi and Ohio rivers as a result of the flooding. NWS forecasters anticipate major flooding levels to persist through the following week. Barge carriers also expect a backlog of up to two weeks in the region. To alleviate flooding at Cairo, Illinois, where the Ohio and Mississippi Rivers meet, the Corps increased water releases at the Barkley Dam on the Cumberland River and the Kentucky Dam on the Tennessee River. The Markland Lock, downriver from Cincinnati, Ohio, and the Newburgh lock near Owensboro, Kentucky, closed on 6 April. The Corps expects the full closure to remain until each location reaches its crest of nearly 57ft, which could occur on 8 or 9 April, according to the National Weather Service (NWS). Around 50 vessels or more are waiting to transit each lock, according to the Lock Status Report published by the Corps on 7 April. The Corps also shut a chamber at both Cannelton and McAlpine locks. The John T Myers and Smithland locks may close on 7 April as well, the Corps said. The Olmsted Lock, the final lock before the Ohio and Mississippi rivers, will require a 3mph limit for any traffic passing through. The NWS expects roughly 10-15 inches of precipitation fell along the Ohio and Mississippi River valleys earlier this month, inducing severe flooding across the Ohio and Mississippi River valleys. A preliminary estimate from AccuWeather stated an estimated loss of $80-90bn in damages from the extreme flooding. By Meghan Yoyotte Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

UK rows back ZEV mandate for hybrids

07/04/25

UK rows back ZEV mandate for hybrids

London, 7 April (Argus) — The UK government has pushed back its zero emission vehicle (ZEV) mandate for hybrid electric vehicles (HEVs) to 2035 from 2030, and has committed to support carmakers following the imposition of trade barriers by the US last week. The original ZEV cut-off point of 2030, one of Europe's most ambitious, will still apply to sales of cars powered by gasoline and diesel, but will be extended to 2035 for HEVs. The government will now also let carmakers continue using low-emission non-ZEVs to earn credits toward their ZEV sales targets until 2029, instead of ending this arrangement in 2026. This means they can offset some of their current ZEV requirements with cleaner non-ZEV sales, effectively pushing part of their ZEV sales obligations past the original mandate deadlines. Transport secretary Heidi Alexander said the changes were made "in the face of global economic challenges". The Society of Motor Manufacturers and Traders (SMMT) welcomed the changes, saying the government had "rightly listened to industry" and responded quickly to the change in global dynamics. Over the weekend, Jaguar Land-Rover paused exports to the US while it digested the impact of President Donald Trump's tariffs. "Given the potentially severe headwinds facing manufacturers following the introduction of US tariffs, greater action will almost certainly be needed to safeguard our industry's competitiveness. UK-US negotiations must continue at pace," SMMT chief executive Mike Hawes said. Competition concerns Other industry groups said delaying the mandate could lead to a loss of competitiveness in the long term transition to EVs. "Its dilution is in stark contrast to the accelerating ambition of the Chinese and others. UK-based automakers need to fully embrace battery electric or be significantly diminished in time, running the risk of continued job losses," said Dan Caesar, chief executive of Electric Vehicles UK, an industry association based in London. Some were more resigned, recognising the need to allow room for carmakers to transition and consumers to gain access to low priced vehicles — especially at a time of elevated trade tensions. "We understand the pressure British car makers face and welcome the government's declaration of support," said Quentin Wilson, founder of EV advocacy group FairCharge. "While we don't agree that hybrids mainly powered by a combustion engine should be included in the ZEV mandate until 2035, we do understand the reasons why, along with increased flexibilities until 2029." By Thomas Kavanagh UK car registrations by fuel Fuel type Feb-25 Feb-24 % Change % Market share 2025 % Market share 2024 BEV 21,244 14,991 41.7 25 17.7 Plug-in hybrid vehicles 7,273 6,098 19.3 9 7.2 Hybrid EVs 11,431 10,591 7.9 14 12.5 Petrol 39,865 48,211 -17.3 47 56.8 Diesel 4,241 4,995 -15.1 5 5.9 Total 84,054 84,886 -1.0 — SMMT UK BEV monthly market shares, govt targets % Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Sigma Lithium hits 1Q production, sales goals

07/04/25

Sigma Lithium hits 1Q production, sales goals

Sao Paulo, 7 April (Argus) — Sigma Lithium hit its first quarter lithium concentrate production and sales targets in Brazil after a sizeable deal with a UAE-owned company. Sigma produced 68,300 metric tonnes (t) of lithium oxide concentrate in the first quarter, after agreeing to sell 76,000t to International Resources Holding (IRH), a metals and critical minerals trading company owned by the Royal Group of Abu Dhabi, the firm said in a press release. Sigma shipped 47,000t — its first of two batches to the company — in early March, with a following 29,000t scheduled to be shipped this week. Following the sale, the company achieved a 2.8pc increase in volumes over the previous quarter. Although undisclosed, Sigma's chief executive Ana Cabral said that the company beat its sales targets for the period. The company operates the fifth-largest lithium oxide mining complex in the world, which is expected to produce 300,000t of the mineral compound this year . Sigma anticipates to achieve all of its quarterly production targets for 2025. By Pedro Consoli Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

US producers look overseas as shale stalls

07/04/25

US producers look overseas as shale stalls

New York, 7 April (Argus) — US shale producers are seeking to deploy their expertise around hydraulic fracturing in international markets, in a marked departure from their recent strategy and one that is set to accelerate as domestic output slows. Continental Resources — whose billionaire founder and executive chairman Harold Hamm was one of the driving forces behind the shale revolution after figuring out how to unlock the vast resources of North Dakota's Bakken basin with horizontal drilling — recently announced plans to explore for unconventional resources in Turkey. And EOG Resources aims to kick-start a drilling campaign in Bahrain. Early successes could prompt a scramble by peers to follow suit, which would be a reversal of the trend seen in the early days of the shale boom when the industry largely retrenched from overseas investments to concentrate on exploiting domestic plays. And while decisions to venture abroad have been mainly based on individual company strategies up until now — and investors have been lukewarm at best — forecasts for shale to start plateauing in the coming years could lend them greater impetus. "Maybe, as they have success, that will draw others in," energy investment firm Bison Interests chief investment officer and founder Josh Young says. "It could be the start of something big." The caveat is that a potential international push at scale is unlikely to happen overnight, and companies such as Murphy Oil and APA — which already have exploration campaigns under way from Vietnam to Ivory Coast and Suriname — have underperformed compared with their rivals. "You are not seeing that market acceptance or market credit for international projects," Young says. That perception may shift if international exploration yields above-average returns for shareholders, boosting the case for producers to seek to build out their inventory further afield as growth in the shale patch slowly grinds to a halt. International exploration may have its own risks, given shale's success story has largely been confined to the US and Argentina to date. But the "cost of entry is relatively low compared to a North American landscape with little room for exploration and high premiums for solid assets in the Permian", consultancy Rystad Energy vice-president for North America oil and gas Matthew Bernstein says. Hamm, who took Continental private more than two years ago after tiring of public markets, recently warned that US shale is beginning to plateau . "What we really need to concentrate on is where we go as we crest right here in America, what the downside looks like," he told the CERAWeek by S&P Global conference in Houston. He also signalled a greater openness to drill outside North America. Talking Turkey Continental recently announced a joint venture with Turkey's national oil company and US-based TransAtlantic Petroleum to develop oil and gas resources in southeast and northwest Turkey. State-owned Turkish Petroleum has pegged initial estimates from the Diyarbakir basin in the southeast that could reach 6bn bl of oil and 12 trillion-20 trillion ft³ (340bn-570bn m³) of gas. The Thrace basin in northwest Turkey may hold up to 20 trillion-45 trillion ft³. "We see immense potential in Turkey's untapped resources," Continental's chief executive, Doug Lawler, says. And in February, EOG Resources announced a tie-in with state-owned Bapco Energies to evaluate a gas prospect in Bahrain. EOG will take on the role of operator, and the venture is awaiting further government approvals. "The formation has previously been tested using horizontal technology, delivering positive results," EOG chief executive Ezra Yacob says. By deploying its existing skillset around horizontal drilling and completions, EOG is confident of achieving results that are competitive with projects in its domestic portfolio. By Stephen Cunningham Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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