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US to exempt some steel, Al from 232 quotas

  • : Crude oil, Metals, Natural gas, Oil products
  • 18/08/30

The US will provide targeted relief from import quotas imposed on steel and aluminum from Argentina, Brazil and South Korea, but the move is expected to have "limited" impact on domestic steel trade flows and prices.

US President Donald Trump today authorized Commerce secretary Wilbur Ross to grant requests from US consumers for product exemptions from annual import quotas based on insufficient quantity or quality available from domestic producers. Exempted products would not be subject to the 25pc tariff on steel and 10pc tariff on aluminum.

The directive addresses a complaint among some US consumers that product exclusions were only available from the tariffs and now gives Commerce the same product exclusion authority for quotas.

The move is expected to further bottleneck a messy exclusion process marred by delays. Commerce has reviewed a only small fraction of more than 27,000 tariff-exemption requests submitted by US consumers.

Trump in his directive said that "projects in the US employing thousands of workers may be significantly disrupted or delayed," with some absolute quotas already filled for the year.

Commerce will expedite requests for import orders contracted prior to 8 March for use in facility construction in the US, provided that the value of the material constitutes 10pc or less of the cost of the facility and that the lack of relief would cause delays. But any such imports would be subject to the 25pc tariff if approved.

Investment bank Jefferies in a research note said it expects the impact on US steel imports and prices to be "limited," but singled out oil country tubular goods (OCTG) as a key beneficiary of today's announcement.

"We continue to see OCTG as the big winner of [Section] 232 as agreements with South Korea, Brazil and Argentina address 45pc of historical imports and ostensibly cap imports at 52pc below 2017 volumes," Jefferies said, even as OCTG prices were heard to be under pressure.

The company estimates that 93pc of the annual OCTG quota has been filled, driving expectations for a meaningful drop in second-half imports.

Still, Jefferies expects a majority of OCTG-related quota requests to be refused. OCTG utilization rates are the lowest of any major steel product and it will be challenging for consumers to prove that domestic material is not available, it said.

The move is also expected to benefit slab importers.

"While [quota-based exemptions] could ultimately amount to very modest changes to existing trade flows, it could also further the opportunity for Brazilian and Korean slab producers to enhance slab exports to the US," Cleveland-based investment bank KeyBanc said.

The president directed the Commerce secretary to issue the procedures for exclusion requests as soon as possible. Relief granted will be retroactive to the date the exclusion request was received by Commerce.

The US granted exemptions from the 25pc global tariff on steel imports, effective 23 March, to Argentina, Brazil and South Korea after the countries agreed to annual import quotas based on shipments in the prior three years. South Korea's exemption was also tied to a renegotiated trade deal that gives US automakers greater access to the South Korean market. Australia was exempted from the steel tariff but is not subject to an import quota.

Australia and Argentina are the only countries exempt from the 10pc tariff on aluminum imports, with Argentina subject to an annual import quota.

The four exempt countries accounted for 23pc of US carbon and stainless steel imports of 16mn t in the first half of 2018, down from 25pc of US imports of 18mn t in the same period a year earlier, according to Commerce.


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24/09/26

Eastern US ports, railroads prepare for possible strike

Eastern US ports, railroads prepare for possible strike

Cheyenne, 26 September (Argus) — Ports in the eastern half of the US and railroads CSX and Norfolk Southern are starting to act on contingency plans as the deadline for a potential port worker labor strike nears. Port authorities in New York, New Jersey, Virginia, New Orleans, Louisiana, and Houston, Texas, have told customers at least some operations will stop effective 30 September if the International Longshoremen's Association (ILA) and US Maritime Alliance (USMX) cannot come to a new collective bargaining agreement. Union members have threatened to walk off the job as soon as 1 October, potentially bringing container cargo traffic to a halt in many regions. Other port authorities have been more circumspect on plans. The Maryland Port Authority, which oversees the Port of Baltimore, has said so far that it is "closely monitoring" the situation and that a strike "could impact" some operations. At the moment, ILA and USMX do not appear to be close to an agreement on a master labor contract. USMX today filed an unfair labor practice charge against ILA with the National Labor Relations Board, accusing the union of "repeated refusal" to negotiate. The union earlier this week said the two sides have talked "multiple times" and blamed the impasse on USMX continually offering "an unacceptable wage increase package." Container cargoes at greatest risk The potential port strike is expected to have the greatest impact on products carried on container ships. Movements of dry bulk cargo, such as coal and grains, are expected to be less affected by a potential work stoppage, though there could be side effects from the congestion of other products being rerouted to ports not affected by the strike. Some ports that have announced contingency plans expect to stop work on 30 September in stages. The Port of Virginia — including Norfolk International Terminals, Virginia International Gateway and Newport News Marine Terminal — would stop train deliveries at 8am ET on 30 September and require all vessels at the port to leave by 1pm. Container operations at Norfolk International Terminals and Virginia International Gateway would stop by 6pm ET that day, the port said. The New Orleans Terminal at the Port of New Orleans would stop receiving refrigerated exports at 5pm ET on 27 September and halt container vessel operations at 1pm ET on 30 September. It would also halt rail operations at 5pm ET on 30 September. Eastern railroads CSX and Norfolk Southern (NS) already have started curtailing some operations. CSX required temperature-controlled refrigerated equipment headed to East coast ports to be at CSX loadouts by 25 September and set deadlines for other export intermodal shipments to be at CSX loadouts by 25 September-5 October. NS required some eastern export shipments be at the railroad's loadout locations between 23-25 September and wants most of the rest of the container exports to be at its facilities by 5pm on 29 September. "We are proactively implementing measures to minimize potential operational impacts across our network, including at our Intermodal facilities," NS said on 23 September. The railroad also "strongly" recommended that customers not ship hazardous, high-value and refrigerated products by rail to export terminals "to avoid unexpected delays upon reaching the port destinations." By Courtney Schlisserman Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

US Gulf oil shut-ins drop as Helene nears landfall


24/09/26
24/09/26

US Gulf oil shut-ins drop as Helene nears landfall

New York, 26 September (Argus) — US Gulf of Mexico oil production shut-in levels fell today as Hurricane Helene bore down on Florida's west coast as a category 3 storm, bringing the threat of dangerous storm surge and winds. Around 441,923 b/d of US offshore oil output, or 25pc, was off line as of 12:30pm ET, according to the Bureau of Safety and Environmental Enforcement (BSEE). That is down from 29pc on Wednesday as the eastern Gulf path of the storm took it farther away from most offshore production facilities. About 363.39mn cf/d of natural gas production, or 20pc of the region's output, was also off line today, up from 17pc on Wednesday. Operators have evacuated workers from 27 offshore platforms. Helene was last about 145 miles west-southwest of Tampa, Florida, packing maximum winds of 120mph, according to a 4pm ET advisory from the US National Hurricane Center. Further intensification is likely and Helene could approach the coast at category 4 strength, with winds of at least 130mph. Landfall is expected near Port Leon on Apalachee Bay Thursday evening before Helene is forecast to turn northwestward and slow down over the Tennessee Valley on Friday and into the weekend. Earlier this week, offshore operators including BP, Equinor and Chevron took the precaution of suspending some operations and evacuating workers from offshore facilities in advance of the hurricane. Some facilities have since started back up as the hurricane's track shifted away from the main oil and gas hub in the region. By Stephen Cunningham Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Opec+, Saudis have no target oil price: sources


24/09/26
24/09/26

Opec+, Saudis have no target oil price: sources

Dubai, 26 September (Argus) — Neither Saudi Arabia nor the wider Opec+ group have any specific target for oil prices, and no member of the producers' alliance is about to abandon output discipline in favour of chasing market share, multiple Opec+ sources have told Argus . Oil prices fell earlier on Thursday following unconfirmed press reports that Saudi Arabia may be willing to tolerate lower oil prices as part of a plan to increase crude output to regain market share. Sources within Opec+ have since dismissed those assertions outright, insisting that the basis for the group's collective decision-making will always be market fundamentals, and in particular the five-year average of crude inventories, rather than targeting any particular oil price. "Neither Opec+, Opec nor the Saudis have any price target, let alone $100/bl," one source said, in response to a Financial Times report that stated Saudi Arabia is ready to "abandon its unofficial price target of $100/bl". A second source said the $100/bl figure being reported is not a target but is more likely to refer to a recent estimate issued by banks and other financial institutions of Saudi Arabia's "so-called break-even oil price" — that is, the price the kingdom needs to cover its spending plans. In April, the IMF estimated Saudi Arabia's breakeven oil price at $96.20 for 2024, almost 20pc above the previous year and around a third higher than current Ice Brent futures. "The breakeven is, at best, indicative, but does not tell the full story," the source said. Focusing on it "is totally devoid of the idea that a government has a host of other tools to manage an economy — issuing bonds, borrowing, adjusting one's budget". Eight Opec+ producers, led by Saudi Arabia and Russia, were due to begin a phased return of around 2.2mn b/d of "voluntary" output cuts from the start of next month. But mounting concerns over the strength of the global economy, and in turn oil demand, prompted the group to defer the plan by two months to December. With worries around oil demand not going away, and the market looking likely to flip into a surplus from the start of next year, some observers are questioning whether there will be any need for an increase in Opec+ supply from December. And if the eight members go ahead with unwinding the cuts regardless, whether that would signal a shift in the group's focus to chasing market share. But a third source rejected that view, as the group would "only be reversing what we have cut". "As a group, we have said time and time again that these cuts were both voluntary and temporary, and always stressed that they could be paused or reversed," the source said. "And earlier this month, that's exactly what we did with the two-month deferral to December." December or bust? The rationale to delay the increase in production to December was twofold, according to Opec+ sources. It not only reflected the uncertainty around the global economy, the US and Chinese economies, interest rates and demand. But more importantly, the decision was made to allow Opec+ members that have overproduced this year ꟷ namely Iraq, Kazakhstan and Russia ꟷ more time to show they are serious about compensating for exceeding their output targets. "There is so much uncertainty today which we, as Opec+, have no control over," one of the sources said. "But what we do control is our own affairs." Iraq and Kazakhstan have been under intense pressure in recent months to not only adhere to their pledged targets, but also compensate for past overproduction. While Kazakhstan did manage to produce below its target in August, Iraq continued to struggle. All eyes will be on how these countries do in September. "The overproduction is impacting our credibility, and we need to tackle that. Discipline is paramount," the source said. Reports that Saudi Arabia is committed to start unwinding cuts from December, come what may, are wide of the mark for several reasons, another source said. "First, this is not a decision for Saudi Arabia to make. It is for all eight to decide," he said. The group also still has several weeks before it has to decide whether to proceed with the plan, or defer again, the source added. A decision is due in the first week of November, by which time the group should have better visibility on market fundamentals and Iraqi and Kazakh compensation efforts. "How could we make a decision now when we don't even have September production figures?" the source said. By Nader Itayim Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Italian service centres turn to secondary HRC


24/09/26
24/09/26

Italian service centres turn to secondary HRC

Milan, 26 September (Argus) — Italian steel service centres (SSCs) are turning to secondary hot-rolled coil (HRC) as they cannot move their higher-priced prime stock, market participants said on the sidelines of Italian association Assofermet's autumn conference in Milan today. SSCs are buying second-choice material as weak demand means sales of prime material are increasingly lossmaking. With EU mills refusing to cut production, although some have adjusted output, there has been an increased amount of second-choice coils offered in the market. This has allowed SSCs to continue selling processed material in a declining market, which one sheet seller said has been falling by around €10/t each week. While there are some restrictions to using second-choice HRC, such as not being able to meet every customer's request, SSCs can use it for some sales, minimising their losses. Some said SSCs have six months worth of inventory, and stocks will get a further boost from incoming imports in October, which will allow buyers to re-evaluate their stock gaps and establish what they need to purchase domestically. EU mill prices, having lost €47/t in Italy and €36.50/t in northwest EU since the start of September, according to Argus assessments, have prevented imports from being of interest to buyers. The Argus cif Italy HRC assessment has in comparison lost only €15/t since the start of the month. Today some market participants were talking about prices being close to the bottom, a sentiment that was previously seen in June and July, but did not materialise owing to an unexpected further slowdown in demand in September. But producers selling large quantities of second-choice coils, at prices that sources said can be as much as €100/t below costs, is not sustainable. The main issue in the flat steel sector remains a lack of demand, which unless there is an EU stimulus package, will continue weighing on prices, market participants said. By Lora Stoyanova Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Hurricane Helene shuts in 29pc of US Gulf oil


24/09/25
24/09/25

Hurricane Helene shuts in 29pc of US Gulf oil

New York, 25 September (Argus) — Hurricane Helene, which is forecast to intensify as it heads for a late Thursday landfall in Florida, has shut in about 29pc of US Gulf of Mexico oil output. Around 511,000 b/d of US offshore oil output was off line as of 12:30pm ET, according to the Bureau of Safety and Environmental Enforcement (BSEE), while 313mn cf/d of natural gas production, or 17pc of the region's output, was also off line. Operators have so far evacuated workers from 17 offshore platforms. Helene was last about 110 miles north-northeast of Cozumel, Mexico, according to a 2pm ET advisory from the US National Hurricane Center, with maximum sustained winds of 80 mph. Helene is expected to be a major hurricane, with winds of at least 111mph, when it reaches the eastern Florida coast on Thursday evening. "A turn toward the north and north-northeast with an increase in forward speed is expected later today through Thursday, bringing the center of Helene across the eastern Gulf of Mexico and to the Florida Big Bend coast by Thursday evening," the center said. Shell restarting some production Although the hurricane will largely pass to the east of most offshore oil and gas production areas, companies have taken precautionary measures. Given a shift in the forecast track, Shell said late Tuesday that it had started to ramp up production at the Appomattox platform to normal levels, and was in the process of restoring output at the Stones facility, both off the coast of Louisiana. It paused some drilling operations. Chevron said earlier it was shutting in production at company-operated facilities in the Gulf of Mexico, and evacuating all workers. Equinor said it was shutting down the Titan oil platform. BP had earlier this week started to shut in production at its Na Kika and Thunder Horse platforms, southeast of New Orleans, and was curtailing output from its Argos and Atlantis facilities, as well as removing non-essential staff. US offshore production was disrupted earlier this month when Hurricane Francine made landfall, with up to 42pc of production was offline at one point. The offshore Gulf of Mexico accounts for around 15pc of total US crude output and 5pc of US natural gas production. By Stephen Cunningham Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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