概要

アンモニア市場は、急速かつ劇的な変化の時期を迎えています。従来のアンモニア、あるいは「グレー」アンモニアは、ほぼ窒素含有量のみを目的に生産されてきました。しかし、世界経済を脱炭素化し、野心的なゼロ・カーボン目標を達成するという喫緊性により、興味深い新たな機会がもたらされています。

アンモニアは、水素という形でエネルギー・燃料部門に供給される、最もコスト効率が高く実用的な「ゼロ・カーボン」エネルギー・キャリアとなる可能性を秘めています。このため、クリーン・アンモニアへの関心が急速に高まり、新しい「グリーン」「ブルー」アンモニア・プロジェクトが次々と生まれています。

アーガスは、アンモニア市場を数十年にわたってカバーしてきた実績があります。 エネルギー、海洋燃料、ネットゼロへの移行、水素など、マルチコモディティ市場の専門知識を取り入れ、既存の市場参加者や新規参入者に市場の全容をお伝えします。

業界をリードする価格評価、豊富なデータ、本質的な分析、そして確かな見通しにより、お客様の意志決定・業界動向把握を支援します。

  • アンモニア価格評価(日次および週次)(その一部はアーガスのアンモニア先物契約の基礎となっています)、アンモニアフォワードカーブデータ、クリーンアンモニアのコスト評価およびモデル化された週次価格
  • 従来のアンモニアおよびクリーンアンモニアの価格、需給、取引、プロジェクトに関する短期および中長期の予測、モデル化、分析
  • 特注コンサルティング・プロジェクトのサポート

最新ニュース

世界のアンモニア市場に関する最新の市場動向ニュース

Latest ammonia news
26/04/08

What role for clean H2 in South Korea?

What role for clean H2 in South Korea?

Plans for a cleaner grid may leave no future for ammonia co-firing, and recent events will reinforce resolve to reduce import reliance, writes Stefan Krumpelmann Hamburg, 8 April (Argus) — For a while, imports of clean hydrogen and derivatives were expected to take centre stage in South Korea's energy future. But a change in government and war in the Middle East have shifted the focus to domestic clean energy generation, and hydrogen imports could be sidelined to a supporting role. South Korea in 2021 set a target of using 3.9mn t/yr of hydrogen by 2030. Roughly half of this was to be imported from regions with abundant potential for low-cost production. Imports were expected to rise to 22.9mn t/yr by 2050, accounting for over 80pc of supply by then. Hydrogen and derivatives were expected to be used widely across industry, power generation and transport. While these targets have not been abandoned officially, the 2030 goals are far out of reach and policy objectives have changed. After taking office last year, the government of President Lee Jae Myung increased the country's 2030 renewable power capacity target to 100GW from 80GW previously. The existing figure stands at 37GW. The government also announced plans for an accelerated phase-out of coal-fired power , with direct implications for hydrogen and derivatives. Seoul called off a second round of its clean hydrogen power generation bidding market, as the coal phase-out decision effectively rules out long-term ammonia co-firing . War in the Middle East has provided fresh impetus for a government drive to strengthen domestic energy output — South Korea relies heavily on imported fossil fuels, including oil and LNG from the Mideast Gulf. "It is time to establish a new energy security system capable of drastically reducing dependence on imports by expanding domestic production," the ministry of climate, energy and environment said on 7 April. The government now says it aims to reach the 100GW renewables target for 2030 "ahead of schedule". The ministry's statement focused primarily on increased electrification, including a "complete transformation" of the national power grid. But it also referenced support for hydrogen production using renewable and nuclear power, hydrogen consumption in steelmaking and adoption of hydrogen-powered vehicles. An imminent relaunch of the clean hydrogen power generation bidding market's second round may be focused exclusively on co-firing domestically produced hydrogen with natural gas, industry participants say, although the government has yet to finalise the exact plans. Participants in the mechanism previously looked primarily to cheaper supply from abroad , including ammonia produced from natural gas with carbon capture and storage (CCS) in the Middle East. Even before the war started, delays in renewable and CCS-based hydrogen projects globally cast doubts over import plans. And with the government encouraging domestic output, major firms like Hyundai have advanced ambitious plans for renewable hydrogen production and development of in-house technologies . Imports will arguably still have a role, however, given cost advantages and investments already made. Renewable ammonia from elsewhere in Asia could be a particularly attractive proposition. Engineering firm Samsung C&T signed a binding $3bn deal last month for renewable ammonia supply from India's Reliance — possibly to replace volumes from a delayed Saudi CCS-based project destined for co-firing by utility Kospo. And in February, Lotte Fine Chemical received a first renewable ammonia cargo from China's Envision Energy. S Korea's H2 targets from 2021 Target year Domestic production Imports 2030 940,000 t/yr conventional/unabated; 750,000 t/yr CCS-based; 250,000 t/yr renewable 1.96mn t/yr renewable 2050 3mn t/yr renewable; 2mn t/yr CCS-based 22.9mn t/yr renewable - South Korean government Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2026. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Latest ammonia news

Iran-linked ammonia vessel transits strait of Hormuz


26/04/08
Latest ammonia news
26/04/08

Iran-linked ammonia vessel transits strait of Hormuz

London, 8 April (Argus) — An Iran-linked ammonia vessel successfully transited the strait of Hormuz over the weekend and is expected to deliver a shipment to India under a spot deal that has yet to be finalised, according to market participants and Kpler ship-tracking data. The Handysize vessel loaded from producer inventories in Iran. It is still understood that all ammonia production is off line in the country. The shipment is under discussion with buyers in India, where Argus last assessed prices at $750/t cfr on a midpoint basis on 2 April. Prices in India were $255/t lower before the start of the US-Israel war with Iran at around $495/t cfr on 26 February. It is the first ammonia shipment to be exported through the strait since the outbreak of war in the region on 28 February. A limited number of vessels have made safe passage through the waterway — Iran has signed agreements with "friendly" countries for the safe passage of vessels, including Malaysia , Pakistan, China, Russia, Iraq and Bangladesh. "These restrictions apply only to enemy countries," a spokesman for Iran's military previously said via the WANA News Agency in Tehran. The US and Iran then said on 7 April that they would halt hostilities for a two-week period to finalise a peace deal, with US president Donald Trump saying the deal was "subject to the Islamic Republic of Iran agreeing to the complete, immediate, and safe opening of the strait of Hormuz". Iran's supreme national security council confirmed the ceasefire agreement but described the peace proposal under discussion as enshrining "continued Iranian control over the strait of Hormuz", according to Iran's Tasnim news agency. Vessel movements in the waterway are little changed so far following the US and Iran's conflicting statements, as shipowners and operators await further clarity on security arrangements and insurance cover. Two medium-sized gas carriers (MGCs) laden with ammonia have been stuck in the Mideast Gulf for more than five weeks and have shown no signs of movement since the ceasefire announcement. The Eco Oracle (26,870t) and Green One (25,835t) are expected to be the first non-Iranian ammonia vessels to exit the region when exports do resume. But a meaningful resumption of ammonia exports will not be immediate. The status of Saudi Arabian producer Sabic's 330,000 t/yr export capacity is unclear following strikes at Jubail on 7 April. Fellow Saudi producer Maaden has taken two of its three 1.1mn t/yr ammonia units off line and state-owned QatarEnergy's ammonia production was taken off line on 3 March following drone strikes. Stock levels in tanks across the region available for immediate export once the strait reopens are not known. Maaden has two MGCs located within a few days' travel of the region, which could load a total of over 50,000t if stocks are available. Just 30,000t shipped from the Middle East in March, all of which loaded from Oman. The region typically exports 350,000 t/month. By Lizzy Lancaster Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2026. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Latest ammonia news

Sungrow, CRRC to provide tech for Kenya green NH3 plant


26/03/24
Latest ammonia news
26/03/24

Sungrow, CRRC to provide tech for Kenya green NH3 plant

London, 24 March (Argus) — Chinese electrolyser manufacturers Sungrow Hydrogen and CRRC Zhuzhou have secured electrolyser supply contracts for the first phase of a geothermal-powered hydrogen and ammonia project in Olkaria, Kenya, developed by Chinese firm Kaishan Group. Kaishan signed a steam supply agreement with state utility KenGen in October 2025, under which KenGen will supply steam from existing geothermal wells for Kaishan to generate 165MW of electricity to power the electrolysers. Chinese firm Wuhuan Engineering is serving as engineering, procurement and construction contractor. Works on the site began in November 2025. Sungrow will supply 16 alkaline electrolysers rated at 1,000 Nm³/h each, while CRRC will provide eight units of the same rating, giving phase 1 a combined capacity of 24,000 Nm³/h, or around 120MW. This is sufficient to produce roughly 19,000 t/yr of hydrogen assuming continuous operation, which will be converted to the 100,000 t/yr of ammonia planned for phase 1. Kaishan plans to scale to 200,000 t/yr of ammonia at full build-out, with output processed into 480,000 t/yr of green fertilisers comprising 180,000 t/yr of urea and 300,000 t/yr of calcium ammonium nitrate. Kenya's government will offtake the fertiliser for distribution to local farmers to reduce import dependence. Total investment stands at around $800mn, with annual revenues projected at $220mn-250mn over a 25-year operating life, Kaishan said previously. Geothermal power offers a significant advantage for electrolytic hydrogen production, with capacity factors of around 90pc enabling near-continuous baseload operation without the intermittency or energy storage costs associated with solar and wind. Kenya's energy department estimates the country holds 10GW of geothermal potential, with only around 950MW of installed capacity to date. Chinese electrolyser makers have been increasing their equipment exports in recent months, supplying to projects in Europe, Middle East and Asia-Pacific. Sungrow delivered 160MW of alkaline electrolysers to Acme's green ammonia project in Oman , a 3MW containerised PEM system for Italy's MW-scale solar-to-hydrogen project , and a containerised alkaline system to a green hydrogen blending project in Brazil. By Chingis Idrissov Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2026. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Latest ammonia news

CIP, Hy2Gen cancel renewable ammonia project in Norway


26/03/09
Latest ammonia news
26/03/09

CIP, Hy2Gen cancel renewable ammonia project in Norway

Paris, 9 March (Argus) — Danish renewables developer Copenhagen Infrastructure Partners (CIP) and German hydrogen company Hy2Gen have cancelled a 240MW renewable hydrogen and ammonia project in Norway. The Iverson eFuels project, planned for Sauda, in southwest Norway, lost its grid access. Norwegian power system operator Statnett decided in late 2025 to withdraw a previously allocated 270MW of electricity capacity because project development was more than two years delayed compared to original plans, Iverson said. When the Iverson project was announced in 2022 , the companies expected construction to begin in 2024 and operations to start in 2027, targeting production of 200,000 t/yr of renewable ammonia. Statnett said that new capacity could be available only once the grid is upgraded, which is expected in 2033-2035. "Such an uncertain situation" about securing grid capacity "is not compatible with further development of the project," Iverson said. The project partners will assess possible development of a data centre project at the Sauda site "so that the work and resources invested in the Iverson project can be utilised to create new activity", they said. By Pamela Machado Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2026. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Latest ammonia news

Ammonia vessels reroute from Mideast Gulf


26/03/05
Latest ammonia news
26/03/05

Ammonia vessels reroute from Mideast Gulf

London, 5 March (Argus) — Ammonia carriers are starting to reroute away from the Mideast Gulf as the ongoing US-Israel war with Iran prevents vessels from transiting the strait of Hormuz, choking off more than one fifth of the world's ammonia supply. The Nova Breeze (25,500t) under operation by Japanese trader Mitsui has rerouted from its previous destination of Mesaieed, Qatar, after state-owned QatarEnergy halted production of ammonia and other products on 3 March. The shutdown came after a done strike on operating facilities in Ras Laffan and Mesaieed Industrial City. The vessel will now load next at Bontang in late March and is expected to deliver the cargo to Tampa in the US Gulf for Mosaic. OCP's Navigator Jorf (25,500t) had been due to load at Ras Al Khair in mid-March from Saudi Arabian producer Maaden. The vessel was heading towards the Cape of Good Hope but has turned around in the south Atlantic Ocean, vessel-tracking data show. Its next destination is not yet known. Trading firm Trafigura was expected to load its Astor (26,870t) at Jubail, Saudi Arabia, in March and is likely to now be exploring other options. The vessel is currently by Kandla, India. Maaden and fellow producers Sabic and OQ are all still producing in the Middle East, although Oman's state-owned OQ has had to reduce run rates for safety reasons. Limited port operations at Salalah have resumed . Salalah may be the only Mideast Gulf port able to export any ammonia while the war continues. But whether individual vessels will be able to load at Salalah will likely depend on owners' risk appetite and war risk premiums. Laden vessels Eco Oracle (26,870t) and Green One (25,800t) remain trapped inside the Mideast Gulf without any way to transit past the strait of Hormuz. Maaden's Searambler (25,500t) was due to load at Ras Al Khair in early March for shipment to Iffco at Kandla. The buyer is seeking alternative supply arrangements while the vessel remains idle in the Mideast Gulf. Efforts by US president Donald Trump to guarantee safe passage and political risk insurance for vessels have not been sufficient to reassure vessel insurers and operators, meaning that more than 4 mn t/yr from producers in Saudi Arabia, Qatar, Bahrain, UAE and Iran is currently cut off from global markets. By Lizzy Lancaster Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2026. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Region and country focused market intelligence

Argus publish region and country specific price reporting services that cover all major fertilizer commodities

関連イベント