概要

アンモニア市場は、急速かつ劇的な変化の時期を迎えています。従来のアンモニア、あるいは「グレー」アンモニアは、ほぼ窒素含有量のみを目的に生産されてきました。しかし、世界経済を脱炭素化し、野心的なゼロ・カーボン目標を達成するという喫緊性により、興味深い新たな機会がもたらされています。

アンモニアは、水素という形でエネルギー・燃料部門に供給される、最もコスト効率が高く実用的な「ゼロ・カーボン」エネルギー・キャリアとなる可能性を秘めています。このため、クリーン・アンモニアへの関心が急速に高まり、新しい「グリーン」「ブルー」アンモニア・プロジェクトが次々と生まれています。

アーガスは、アンモニア市場を数十年にわたってカバーしてきた実績があります。 エネルギー、海洋燃料、ネットゼロへの移行、水素など、マルチコモディティ市場の専門知識を取り入れ、既存の市場参加者や新規参入者に市場の全容をお伝えします。

業界をリードする価格評価、豊富なデータ、本質的な分析、そして確かな見通しにより、お客様の意志決定・業界動向把握を支援します。

  • アンモニア価格評価(日次および週次)(その一部はアーガスのアンモニア先物契約の基礎となっています)、アンモニアフォワードカーブデータ、クリーンアンモニアのコスト評価およびモデル化された週次価格
  • 従来のアンモニアおよびクリーンアンモニアの価格、需給、取引、プロジェクトに関する短期および中長期の予測、モデル化、分析
  • 特注コンサルティング・プロジェクトのサポート

最新ニュース

世界のアンモニア市場に関する最新の市場動向ニュース

Latest ammonia news
24/11/25

Clean NH3 integration needs CoC methods: Hinicio

Clean NH3 integration needs CoC methods: Hinicio

London, 25 November (Argus) — Some ammonia producers are implementing their own chain of custody (CoC) approaches in order to incorporate upcoming reduced carbon tonnes into existing ammonia supply chains, ahead of unified regulation, certification or wide-scale clean ammonia availability. But approaches will vary, depending on whether producers are targeting regulatory or voluntary markets, Belgian-headquartered consulting firm Hinicio told Argus ahead of the Clean Ammonia Europe Conference in Rotterdam this month. Hinicio is consulting on three different ammonia certification schemes currently under development. The schemes are being developed in partnership with Fertilizers Europe, the Fertilizer Institute in the US and the Ammonia Energy Association, which is developing a global scheme. The schemes have a mix of both mass balance or book and claim CoC methods, as producers and buyers seek to optimise on cost and carbon intensity (CI) when clean ammonia tonnes become available. Clean ammonia includes renewable ammonia produced with electrolysis and renewable electricity, or ammonia produced with a natural gas feedstock that uses carbon capture and storage (CCS) to reduce carbon emissions. The mass balance approach is well established in other values chains and has been set forth by the EU as the regulatory standard in the Renewable Energy Directive, FuelEU Maritime and the Gas Directive. And the CoC method has already been adopted by ammonia producers such as Yara and OCI. In a mass balance approach, the ratio of sustainable material incorporated into the value chain is tracked and reflected in the products produced and sold to customers. Physical trade flow is accounted for and a defined time (reconciliation) period is assigned. "When talking about chain of custody, the European regulation really dictates to use mass balance for everything you want to call RFNBO or low-carbon in Europe, or for anything that you want to bring to Europe," Hinicio manager Thomas Winkel said. But a ‘book-and-claim' system grants significantly more flexibility for economic operators that are looking to trade in voluntary markets — where companies buying reduced carbon ammonia are looking to reduce scope 3 emissions or EU ETS obligations. Book and claim allows for physical flow of a product to be completely decoupled from attributes like CI. Characteristics are ‘booked' into a central registry to be ‘claimed' by consumers, without a connection to the physical material, like renewable electricity certificates. "The voluntary market is going towards a combination of mass balance and book and claim," Winkel said. Elements of book and claim can be employed if required, within geographic or other constrictions. But Europe's stance on CoC could force companies to employ mass balancing. "I think many players around the world are looking at Europe as their main export market and they are starting to understand their criteria well," Winkel said. Europe currently accounts for around one-fifth of global ammonia imports, or around 4mn-5mn t/yr, according to Argus line-up data. And at least a quarter of the 40-plus offtake agreements Argus is tracking from clean ammonia projects are likely to supply the European market. Renewable ammonia projects in India and Canada have received pre-certification of RFNBO compliance from certification body Certifhy, with European offtakers already lined up. Under currently announced agreements alone, at least 500,000t of renewable ammonia will be shipping to Europe from 2027, pending project delivery, with the potential for a substantial scale-up in volume as the decade draws to a close. That is excluding large-scale ammonia projects with CCS that are scheduled for start-up in the US in 2025-26 and are also eyeing the European market for export opportunities. "Mass balance is the standard — the schemes that are being developed that are for voluntary purposes allow a bit more flexibility otherwise," Winkle said. For most jurisdictions, the regulatory playbook is still being written. Australia, Japan, South Korea, the US and the UK are still developing regulations surrounding low-carbon fuels. But in the meantime, fledgling supply agreements for voluntary markets may opt for book and claim where possible. But regulatory markets in Europe have declared mass balance as the standard. The development of regulatory and certification schemes in other regions will determine global standards moving forward. By Lizzy Lancaster Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Latest ammonia news

Australian IPL earns over 60,000 safeguard carbon units


24/11/18
Latest ammonia news
24/11/18

Australian IPL earns over 60,000 safeguard carbon units

Sydney, 18 November (Argus) — Australian chemicals and fertilizer producer Incitec Pivot (IPL) has earned 63,529 Safeguard Mechanism Credits (SMCs) with its Moranbah ammonia facility in Queensland for the 2023-24 compliance year that ended in June, which it plans to hold for future surrender requirements from another facility. The SMC figure was formally disclosed by the Clean Energy Regulator (CER) in the Moranbah facility's safeguard position statement early this month, following IPL's National Greenhouse and Energy Reporting (NGER) data submission, the company told Argus on 18 November. This is as Moranbah reported scope 1 greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions below its baseline, the company said. "The site is therefore eligible to apply for SMCs to be issued in February," it told Argus . IPL's Phosphate Hill facility, on the other hand, exceeded its baseline by 40,841t of CO2 equivalent (CO2e). But it will apply for a Trade Exposed Baseline Adjustment , which, if successful, will reduce that excess, the company said in its 2024 climate change report released on 18 November. "It is planned that SMCs earned at Moranbah will be surrendered to settle the Phosphate Hill liability when it becomes due in the 2025 IPL financial year" to 30 September 2025, the company added. The safeguard mechanism applies to facilities that emit more than 100,000t of CO2e in a fiscal year. Emissions must be reported by 31 October, and facilities must manage any excess emissions by the compliance deadline of 31 March 2025 by surrendering Australian Carbon Credit Units (ACCUs) or SMCs — which the CER will start to issue for the first time in early 2025 . IPL's Moranbah surrendered 15,482 ACCUs in the July 2022 to June 2023 fiscal year . It was one of 44 facilities that surrendered carbon credit units out of the total 219 covered under the mechanism that year. Phosphate Hill's reported emissions in 2022-23, at 509,491t of CO2e, were just below its baseline of 512,235t of CO2e. The shift in the 2023-24 compliance period comes as IPL finished installing tertiary nitrous oxide (N2O) abatement at Moranbah in March this year. "Since its installation, the unit has been performing well and is abating up to 99pc of N2O process emissions, which are created during nitric acid manufacture," it said in its climate change report. The abatement unit is expected to have a lifespan of 20 years and will abate around 200,000 t/yr of CO2e, reducing emissions to a level below the facility's baseline in the near term. But as the baseline will decline under the safeguard mechanism, "this benefit will reduce," the company added. By Juan Weik Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Latest ammonia news

Nutrien lowers 2024 nitrogen sales guidance


24/11/07
Latest ammonia news
24/11/07

Nutrien lowers 2024 nitrogen sales guidance

Houston, 7 November (Argus) — Major fertilizer producer Nutrien lowered its 2024 nitrogen sales guidance following extended turnarounds and unplanned outages in the third quarter. Nutrien reduced its expected sales of nitrogen products in 2024 by 200,000 metric tonnes (t) to 10.6mn t, the company said in its third quarter earnings report. Nutrien's Port Saskatchewan facility in Alberta suffered from a power outage during the period causing unexpected downtime, Nutrien said. The producer's Augusta, Georgia , and Geismar, Louisiana , plants experienced brief outages following hurricanes in the US Gulf coast in September. Nutrien's Trinidad nitrogen facility wrapped up a turnaround in the third quarter, Nutrien said. And the producer's Lima, Ohio, plant also underwent a turnaround from August into September, according to sources. Third quarter nitrogen sales increased by 2.8pc from a year ago to 2.45mn t despite outages at its plants. But Nutrien estimated US nitrogen inventories to be "well-below average levels" at the end of the third quarter, which the company expects to support demand in the coming months. Nitrogen markets have been supported by tightness in global supplies, with the company pointing towards supply disruptions, delays of new capacity, and rising European natural gas prices. China's restrictions on urea exports and production challenges elsewhere have firmed nitrogen markets as well, Nutrien said. On the demand side, urea consumption in China has grown 14pc annually, bringing consumption there to 60mn t as the government focuses on domestic agricultural production, Nutrien said. In the US, crop margins have declined compared to recent years on lower crop prices and higher costs, but below-normal grain stocks globally should support US agricultural markets, Nutrien said. The company said it expects strong fall nitrogen demand following significant nutrient depletion and an early harvest. By Calder Jett Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Latest ammonia news

European firms get ‘Moroccan Offer’ for green NH3


24/10/29
Latest ammonia news
24/10/29

European firms get ‘Moroccan Offer’ for green NH3

London, 29 October (Argus) — A group of three European companies has been selected for the first land allocation under the "Moroccan Offer" and intends to produce 200,000 t/yr of renewable ammonia for the European market in a first stage. France's TE H2, a joint venture between TotalEnergies and renewables developer Eren, has joined forces with Danish firms Copenhagen Infrastructure Partners (CIP) and A P Moller to develop the so-called Chbika project in the Guelmim-Oued Noun region on Morocco's Atlantic coast. They are planning to use 1GW of combined solar photovoltaic and wind power in the first phase for electrolysis of desalinated seawater to make hydrogen that will then be converted into ammonia. Production of 200,000 t/yr of ammonia could require some 35,000 t/yr of hydrogen. CIP and TE H2 will oversee development of power generation assets, hydrogen and ammonia plants, and A P Moller will develop a port in the area and associated logistics infrastructure. "This project will constitute the first phase of a development program aimed at creating a world-scale green hydrogen production hub," CIP said, suggesting that the companies could scale up operations at a later stage. The partners have signed a "preliminary contract for land reservation" with the government, CIP said, adding that this is "the first green hydrogen project" selected under the framework of the Moroccan Offer through which Rabat seeks to allocate land rights to project developers and to offer streamlined permitting procedures. The companies have not outlined a timeline for their project, but under the Moroccan Offer's framework they would have around two years to complete front-end engineering design (FEED) studies, before then signing a long-term land agreement. Through this first phase of the Moroccan Offer, Rabat is planning to make 300,000 hectares (ha) of government land available to 10-30 projects. As of early this month, the Moroccan Agency for Solar Energy (Masen), which is leading the process, had received some 40 applications for review. Masen was initially due to announce the first selections by the end of the third quarter. TotalEnergies previously already announced plans for renewable hydrogen production in Morocco, but it was not immediately clear if this joint project with CIP and A P Moller is related to these earlier ventures. Many large renewable hydrogen and ammonia projects are planned across Morocco as developers are hoping to capitalise on favourable renewable power conditions, but all are still in early planning stages. By Pamela Machado Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Latest ammonia news

IRM, Atlas reach green nitrogen offtake agreement


24/10/23
Latest ammonia news
24/10/23

IRM, Atlas reach green nitrogen offtake agreement

Houston, 23 October (Argus) — Green nitrogen fertilizer startup Atlas Agro secured an offtake agreement from its plant in Richland, Washington, with major fertilizer distributor International Raw Materials (IRM) IRM will distribute green nitrogen fertilizer from the Pacific Green Fertilizer (PGF) plant in Richland to farmers across the Pacific Northwest. Which nitrogen products and the volumes agreed to were not specified by Atlas, but the company will produce several fertilizer products with its green ammonia, including calcium ammonium nitrate and ammonium nitrate. The Richland plant finished its front-end engineering design (FEED) and is expected to complete its final investment decision in early 2025. PGF is anticipated to produce 700,000 tons of green nitrogen fertilizer for farmers in the Pacific Northwest. Distributing green nitrogen fertilizer aligns with IRM's "agricultural sustainability" plan, and increasing demand from consumers to reduce Scope 3 emissions across the food supply chain, said IRM president Tip O'Neill. PGF is also involved with the Pacific Northwest Hydrogen Hub program which is funded by the US Department of Energy. By Meghan Yoyotte Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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