

LPG/NGL
概要
アーガスでは、世界各国のLPGおよびNGLデータサービスを提供しております。当社が提供するLPGデータサービスは、世界で最も支持されているデータサービスの一つであり、日本でも多くの企業様にご活用いただいております。また、世界LPガス協会の年次統計集は2012年からアーガスがその制作を請け負っており、世界主要各国の各種数量統計に加え、各地の国際LPG市場および関連するエネルギー市場動向の総括を発表しております。
アーガス独自の価格インデックスやベンチマークへのアクセス、エキスパートによる業界最新動向の解説、戦略立案に役立つ予想など、透明性・信頼性の高いLPGビジネスインテリジェンスを提供しています。
当社の世界中に点在しているエキスパートチームは、LPG市場の様々な関係者と常に協議を重ね、市場に適した強固なメソドロジーに従い価格をアセスメントしています。当社の価格アセスメントは、サプライチェーン全体の契約に広く利用されており、ICEやCMEを含む取引所に上場されているため、市場全体の価格リスクを管理することができます。
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Browse the latest market moving news on the global LPG and NGL's industry.
Mexico GDP outlook falls again in March survey
Mexico GDP outlook falls again in March survey
Mexico City, 1 April (Argus) — Private-sector analysts lowered Mexico's 2025 GDP growth forecast to 0.5pc in the central bank's March survey, down by more than a third from the prior forecast, driven by increased concerns over US trade policy and weakening domestic investment. The latest outlook is down from 0.8pc estimated in February and marks the largest of four consecutive reductions in the median forecast for 2025 GDP growth in the central bank's monthly surveys since December. Mexico's economy decelerated in the fourth quarter of 2024 to an annualized rate of 0.5pc from 1.7pc the previous quarter, the slowest expansion since the first quarter of 2021, according to statistics agency data. Uncertainty over US trade policy has weighed on investment and contributed to the slowdown. Concerns have intensified in recent weeks with US president Donald Trump set to announce sweeping new tariffs on 2 April. Mexico is preparing its response, possibly including reciprocal tariffs, on 3 April. A key concern in Mexico is an expiring carveout to the tariffs for treaties aligned with US-Mexico-Canada (USMCA) free trade agreement rules of origin. Mexico's economy minister said last week ongoing negotiations aim to secure a "preferential tariff," including a continuance of that exclusion and lower tariffs for goods progressing toward USMCA compliance. The median 2026 GDP growth estimate fell to 1.6pc from 1.7pc in February. Analysts again cited security, governance and trade policy as top constraints to growth. Year-end 2025 inflation expectations edged lower to 3.70pc in March from 3.71pc in February. The central bank's board of governors cut Mexico's target interest rate by 50 basis points to 9pc from 9.5pc on 27 March, citing expectations that inflation will continue to slow toward the central bank's 3pc long-term goal and reach 3.3pc by year-end. The board said it would consider additional cuts of that size at future meetings. Mexico's consumer price index accelerated to an annual 3.77pc in February, as slower growth in agricultural prices was offset by faster inflation in services. The target interest rate is projected to fall to 8pc by year-end, compared with 8.25pc in February's survey. The median exchange rate forecast for end-2025 reflected expectations of the peso ending the year slightly stronger at Ps20.80 to the US dollar from Ps20.85/$1 estimated in the prior forecast. The end-2026 estimate firmed slightly to Ps21.30/$1 from Ps21.36/$1. By James Young Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
US propane prices remain firm as stocks fall again
US propane prices remain firm as stocks fall again
Inventories at a three-year low and strong demand for exports supported propane prices this month, writes Joseph Barbour Houston, 1 April (Argus) — US Gulf coast Mont Belvieu propane prices remained elevated relative to crude last month as domestic inventories declined to their lowest since 2022. Mont Belvieu LST propane prices averaged 54.3pc of Nymex WTI crude in March, up by 11.4 percentage points from a year earlierand 4.4 percentage points higher than the five-year March average. US propane stocks typically start to build from March as seasonal heating demand abates — the first stockbuild of the year took place in the second or third week of March in 2021-24, EIA data show. And support for prices from expectations of cold weather had largely subsided by early March, market participants said, with outlooks from the US' National Weather Service forecasting warmer than average weather for the first half of March. But US propane inventories fell for a 23rd consecutive week over the seven days to 21 March, dropping to 43.2mn bl (3.48mn t), their lowest since 29 April 2022, EIA data show. The latest stockdraw was largely because of stronger US exports, which offset weaker domestic demand. Propane exports averaged 1.91mn b/d (4.7mn t/month) in March, up from 1.83mn b/d in February, while domestic sales fell to 1.21mn b/d from 1.45mn b/d. Propane's value relative to crude reached a three-year high of 59.2pc by the end of February as strong heating demand tightened supply in the first half of the month and market participants appeared to cover short positions as it neared its end. Fading interest in prompt supply in March led prices to largely move in lockstep with crude until mid-month, but prices remained strong on tight supply and rose later in the month as buyers returned, peaking at 94.75¢/USG, or 57.6pc of Nymex WTI crude, on 24 March. As a result, propane will enter the summer off-season from its strongest quarter relative to crude in three years. US propane exports could remain high in April on strong petrochemical demand in China given rising production margins and delayed purchases from earlier uncertainty regarding US tariffs. But prices historically ease during the off-season and prompt Mont Belvieu backwardation suggests they could begin to fall soon. Mont Belvieu propane price, US propane stocks Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
Carney backs Canadian fossil fuel sector
Carney backs Canadian fossil fuel sector
The prime minister's focus is on Canada becoming a superpower in conventional and clean energy, writes Yulia Golub Calgary, 1 April (Argus) — Canadians will vote for a new federal government on 28 April after recently assumed prime minister Mark Carney triggered an election on 23 March. The new leader has moved ahead in the polls and is running on more favourable policies for the country's fossil fuel industry, having already axed a carbon tax on the sector. Carney, who was sworn into office on 14 March after former prime minister Justin Trudeau stepped down, will face off against Conservative leader Pierre Poilievre. The Conservatives were widely expected to rout the Liberals and form the next government until a remarkable rebound in polling by the Liberals over the past two months, which has been attributed to the replacement of the increasingly unpopular Trudeau as well as rising anti-US sentiment linked to US president Donald Trump's tariffs on Canada and "51st state" rhetoric. Carney has removed a carbon tax on fossil fuels from 1 April, ending a contentious federal policy among the electorate. Abolishing the carbon tax has been one of Poilievre's campaign pillars. Canada will become a superpower in "both conventional and clean energies", says Carney, who has mentioned the need for more pipelines, trade corridors and energy infrastructure to diversify Canada's energy exports away from the US . The shift in energy policy priorities under the prime minister makes him more closely aligned with the Conservatives. Carney's strong opposition to the Trump administration is boosting his appeal, while Poilievre is increasingly being seen as having similarities to Trump. "We are facing the most significant crisis of our lifetimes because of President Trump's unjustified trade actions and his threats to our sovereignty," Carney said on 23 March when he announced the election. Speaking four days later after Trump said a new 25pc tax on imported vehicles and vehicle parts would be "permanent", the prime minister declared the "old relationship we had with the US... is over". Canada imposed retaliatory 25pc tariffs on select US goods from 4 February, subsequently delayed until 4 March, and says it plans to introduce additional tariffs if Trump follows through with his pledge to slap even higher taxes on the US' trading partners from 2 April. The two leaders held their first call on 28 March, in which they agreed to negotiate new economic and security agreements after the 28 April election. "We had a very, very good talk," Trump said. The US' 10pc tariff on Canadian energy imports remains in place. Canada's largest oil and gas firms have asked the government to declare an "energy crisis" to expedite new pipelines, ports and LNG facilities, while bolstering trade relationships beyond the US, streamlining regulation and reducing project approval timelines. Propane pain Propane costs for consumers in Canada and the US are expected to rise as a result of the 10pc tariff, panellists at the Canada Clean Fuels Summit said on 25 March. "Even if the tariffs are eventually lifted, there is no guarantee added costs will disappear," the Canadian Propane Association's vice-president of government relations, Katie Kachur, said. The tariffs could cost propane suppliers up to $200mn/yr, she said. Canada is exporting more propane by sea to Asia but most — about 62pc in 2024, customs data show — heads to the US, Kachur said. Canadian LPG term contract prices for the 2025-26 contract year starting on 1 April are falling owing to uncertainty over the 10pc tariff and forecasts for rising domestic production. Producers and buyers usually finalise deals early in the year but negotiations this year are yet to be concluded. Prices for propane from western Canada's Edmonton hub are being discussed at 23-25¢/USG ($120-130.50/t) discounts to equivalent prices at the US midcontinent hub of Conway, compared with 19-25¢/USG discounts for 2024-25. Term contracts for Edmonton butane are being discussed at 39-41pc of the calendar month average of Nymex WTI crude, down from 40-44pc. Canada's Pacific coast LPG terminals Canada LPG exports by destination Canada LPG exports by freight type Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
US ethane output, demand at records in 2024: EIA
US ethane output, demand at records in 2024: EIA
Houston, 21 March (Argus) — US ethane production rose to a record last year on higher prices relative to natural gas, while exports and domestic consumption climbed to new highs on increased petrochemical demand, the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) said Thursday. US ethane output in 2024 rose by 6.8pc to an all-time high of 2.83mn b/d, up from 2.65mn b/d in 2023, according to EIA data. Most of the production increase came from the Permian basin, with Texas inland output increasing by 139,000 b/d to a record 1.58mn b/d and New Mexico refining districts rising by 9,000 b/d to 191,000 b/d, also a record. In the US east coast, the Appalachian No. 1 refining district, comprising much of the Marcellus shale formation in Pennsylvania and West Virginia, increased production by 37,000 b/d to a record 327,000 b/d, accounting for 12pc of total US production, up from 11pc in 2023. The production hike resulted from higher rates of ethane recovery from the natural gas stream, EIA said. Recovery was incentivized as ethane prices strengthened relative to natural gas. During 2024, Mont Belvieu, EPC ethane's premium to its fuel value — based on day-ahead natural gas at the Waha hub in west Texas — averaged 17.91¢/USG, up from 13.64¢/USG in 2023, even as outright ethane prices averaged 5.55¢/USG lower at 19.02¢/USG, according to Argus data. The increase in Permian ethane recovery resulted in large part from negative Waha gas prices for large swaths of the year. US consumption rises 8.4pc Product supplied of ethane, a measure of domestic consumption, rose last year by 8.4pc to a record 2.33mn b/d, up from 2.15mn b/d in 2023, according to EIA data. Consumption rose to records in the US east coast and Gulf coast regions, driven entirely by higher cracker operating rates, as no new ethane crackers came online during the year. Ethane consumption in the US Gulf coast rose by 109,000 b/d to 2.1mn b/d, while consumption in the US east coast nearly tripled to 103,000 b/d, up from 37,000 b/d in 2023. The east coast surge was driven by Shell's 1.6mn t/yr Monaca, Pennsylvania, ethane cracker ramping up production after coming online near the end of 2022 . Exports climb 4.5pc US ethane exports last year rose by 4.5pc to a record 492,000 b/d, up by 21,000 b/d from 2023, the EIA reported. China took the bulk of shipments and saw the largest increase in imports, spurred by increased petrochemical demand and ramped-up construction of import infrastructure. The US exported 227,000 b/d of ethane to China, up by 14,000 b/d from 2023. Ethane exports to Canada rose to 76,000 b/d, up by 11,000 b/d from 2023, while exports to India fell by 9,000 b/d to 65,000 b/d. Ethane shipments to Mexico averaged 21,000 b/d last year, up from 17,000 b/d in 2023. The Asia-Pacific region last year took nearly 60pc of US ethane exports, followed by the Americas at just over 20pc and Europe at just under 20pc. The Americas were broadly responsible for most of the growth in imports from the US year-on-year, with receipts up by 17,000 b/d and the proportion of the total rising for the first time since 2020. The proportion of exports going to the Asia-Pacific region fell for the first time since 2018, in part because attacks in the Red Sea slowed exports to India during the first half of 2024. Ethane exports from the US are poised to rise further in the next three years, as Enterprise Products' new Neches River terminal in Texas, which will be able to ship up to 360,000 b/d of ethane or propane, is scheduled for operations in starting in 2026. Energy Transfer's Marcus Hook, Pennsylvania, export terminal, which can ship 75,000 b/d of ethane, is adding refrigeration to boost its capacity to 90,000 b/d. By Joseph Barbour Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
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