LNG
概要
LNGは、投入コストと炭素排出の両方を管理するのに役立つため、重要な原料としての位置を確立しています。重工業ユーザーによるネットゼロ目標達成の推進は、LNGの使用方法と使用場所に新たな局面をもたらしています。全体として、使用量は増加すると予想され、最も成長率の高い化石燃料になると予測されています。
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Western Australia's near-term gas supply rises: Aemo
Western Australia's near-term gas supply rises: Aemo
Sydney, 19 December (Argus) — The short term supply outlook for Western Australia's (WA) gas market has improved, but gaps in the next decade need to be addressed, according to an Aemo annual report. The near-term gas supply is stronger than last year's outlook, with supply now forecast to exceed consumption through to 2027 on increased flows from LNG projects and declining near-term consumption, according to the 2024 Western Australia Gas Statement of Opportunities (GSOO) paper from the Australian Energy Market Operator (Aemo). Ample gas supply is expected because of increased flows from Wheatstone and Pluto LNG projects and new supply including forecast volumes from 2026 onwards from Woodside's Scarborough project and Strike's 87 TJ/d (2.3mn m³/d) West Erregulla plant . But demand is weak on the back of the shutdown of several nickel mines for maintenance in 2024 and the closure of the 2.2mn t/yr Kwinana alumina refinery announced in January. Aemo's 10-year outlook to 2035 now forecasts surplus gas until 2028, when some gas users will reopen projects. It also forecasts a less steep shortfall in the 2030s, with 2033 supply now 13pc below demand, down from the 27pc decrease in the 2023 GSOO. New gas supply will still be needed as WA plans to close its state-owned fleet of coal-fired power stations, but increasing renewable generation will shift gas usage in the power grid to a firming capacity, with gas-fired power demand tipped to increase in the early 2030s but stabilise at present levels of about 190 TJ/d by 2040. But uncertainty remains about the future of coal in the WA grid. The 416MW Bluewaters coal-fired plant, owned by Japanese firms Kansai Electric and Sumitomo, is expected to retire by 2030-31 but may be forced to close earlier because its supplier, the 2mn t/yr Griffin coal mine , cannot guarantee deliveries beyond October 2026. This will increase gas demand. The WA state government reversed a blanket ban on exporting onshore gas as LNG in September after a parliamentary inquiry into the state's domestic gas policy prompted by concerns from major gas users such as fertilizer manufacturers and metals refiners. Developers are now permitted to export 20pc of production as LNG until 2031 to boost upstream investment in the prospective Perth basin. By Tom Major WA gas supply and demand 2024-34 (TJ/d) 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 Potential gas supply 1,143 1,190 1,121 1,207 1,192 1,412 1,335 1,301 1,214 1,173 1,144 Gas demand 1,119 1,069 1,082 1,154 1,354 1,342 1,357 1,378 1,371 1,343 1,336 Difference (% ± of demand) 2 11 4 5 -12 5 -2 -6 -12 -13 -14 Source: Aemo Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
Strikes at Australian commodity ports to continue
Strikes at Australian commodity ports to continue
Sydney, 19 December (Argus) — Workers at major commodity ports across Australia will strike next week, in response to stalling negotiations with port operators. Queensland In northern Queensland, unions representing almost 200 workers have notified the Gladstone Ports (GPC) that they plan to launch work stoppages at the LNG and coal hub next week, a source told Argus. The strike actions follow an earlier day-long work stoppage involving over 100 workers at the port that began earlier this week. The dispute between GPC and its workers is centred around wage and rostering proposals. GPC and unions representing its workers have not scheduled any further bargaining meetings, multiple sources have told Argus . Gladstone's ship queue has exceeded 30 ships multiple times since work stoppages began on 17 December. This compared with a queue of 48 ships in December 2023, after Cyclone Jasper forced three other north Queensland ports to turn vessels away for four days. To the south of Gladstone, 100 workers at the Qube-operated Port of Brisbane will also stop working between 23-27 December, according to maritime logistics firm GAC. The stoppage announcement follows a day-long strike at multiple Qube ports , which began on 16 December. Before the strike began, a Qube representative warned that strikes at its ports would "inevitably [cause] disruption to supply chains for key commodities like fertiliser, grain, and steel." The Port of Brisbane is a major oil and meat port. New South Wales Along Australia's eastern coast, workers at Qube's major coal, grain, and fertiliser port in Port Kembla are planning to strike for a longer period of time than their colleagues in other parts of the country. GAC has reported that workers will launch 13 rolling work stoppages at the port between 20 December and 3 January. There are 141 members of the Construction, Forestry and Maritime Employees Union (CFMEU) participated in a strike authorisation vote at the site in early September, and have been engaged in industrial actions since then. Port Kembla also faced a day-long work stoppage earlier this week. Northern Territory Union members in Darwin are planning to not work for 1½ day beginning on 23 December. Like the Port of Brisbane, Darwin tends to handle livestock and oil products. But only 37 workers were eligible to participate in a successful mid-September union ballot authorising work stoppages at the port. By Avinash Govind Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
LNG dual-fuel vessels best suited for FuelEU: Study
LNG dual-fuel vessels best suited for FuelEU: Study
Sao Paulo, 17 December (Argus) — LNG dual-fuel vessels are the lowest cost option among fossil fuels for shipowners to meet new EU and International Maritime Organization (IMO) decarbonisation regulations, according to industry coalition SEA-LNG. The analysis simulated expenses for a single 14,000 twenty-foot equivalent unit (TEU) vessel and for an eight-vessel fleet of the same size operating the Rotterdam–Singapore trade route from 2025-2040. It compared the expenses for LNG, ammonia and methanol fuel families, but did not consider liquid biofuels and bio-oils because SEA-LNG sees the availability for those as still limited and the cost-benefit unfeasible in the short term. For a single ship, LNG is able to comply with the FuelEU Maritime rules until 2039 in its fossil form. Green fuels like liquefied biomethane are only needed for compliance from 2040 onwards. For an eight-vessel dual-fuel fleet, the overall cost of compliance with LNG will be $5mn-17mn/yr lower than with methanol and ammonia. According to the research, ammonia and methanol dual-fuel vessels are likely to need more expensive green fuels to comply with FuelEU Maritime as of 2025, mainly when navigating through Emission Control Areas (ECAs). But LNG dual-fuel ships are likely to avoid using marine gas oil for ECA compliance. For the research, SEA-LNG used the methodology from Z-Joule — a company that offers strategic support for the maritime fuel transition — and considered variants such as vessel speed and waiting times to dock. By Gabriel Tassi Lara Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
H2, e-LNG plant stuck awaiting German GHG credit system
H2, e-LNG plant stuck awaiting German GHG credit system
London, 17 December (Argus) — A Danish renewable hydrogen and e-fuels project is currently sat idle as it is waiting for Germany to ready the platform for companies to register compliant products and generate tradeable GHG quota credits, the developers told Argus . Danish firms Gron Brint and GronGas have finished building a co-located 2MW electrolyser and e-LNG production plant, respectively, to supply LNG trucks in Germany, but their project cannot profitably start production without access to the credits. The project was among the first to face the issue as it was the first to get certified , but more producers could encounter the same roadblock, the longer the wait for a registration platform goes on. Germany this month took a key step to unlock access to credits when Berlin endorsed certification schemes for renewable fuels of non-biological origins (RFNBOs) — essentially renewable hydrogen and derivatives. But the country's environment agency UBA only plans to start preparing its electronic database of certification for hydrogen next year, it recently told Argus . Without that database, firms cannot generate evidence that their product is compliant with rules nor access credits. Gron Brint and GronGas are waiting for UBA to clarify if firms could retrospectively add evidence to the platform, the companies' chief financial officer Rasmus Bang said. The Danish producers and their customer would otherwise be ready to trade in early 2025, according to Bang. "We're doing all we can to make people know there are actually plants ready to produce," GronGas chief executive Allan Olesen said. "It's worrying that they haven't even started making a database yet, so we don't even know when they'll be ready" Olesen said. "My worry is that it could be middle or even late 2025," he added. "It doesn't seem like this is a big task for UBA, it's not top of their priority list," Olesen said. Gron Brint targets customers in Germany rather than Denmark, as the former has more LNG trucks and a much more lucrative GHG credit system, Bang said. Denmark set lesser CO2 reduction mandates than Germany, so willingness to pay for such fuels is lower, he said. Its location in northern Jutland lacks gas grid access or compression facilities so blending into pipelines or transport in the form of compressed natural gas with later regasification is not viable, he added. The European Commission adopted its definition for renewable hydrogen 18 months ago, but practical systems to evidence and track compliant product still seem to be lacking across the bloc. Companies are frustrated with slow progress, but Germany and Denmark are still one step ahead of their peers in having recognised certification schemes. By Aidan Lea Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
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