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LNG
Overview
LNG's role as a key feedstock is well established as it helps manage both input costs and carbon emissions. Heavy industrial users' drive to achieve net zero targets has added a new dimension to how and where it is being deployed. Overall, its use is expected to increase and is tipped to become the strongest-growing fossil fuel.
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Japan sets stricter climate goal in government sector
Japan sets stricter climate goal in government sector
Osaka, 19 February (Argus) — The Japanese government is planning to boost the use of renewable electricity at ministries and state-owned facilities, setting a tougher goal to cut greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions from public sector operations. The government aims to reduce its own GHG emissions by 79pc in the April 2040-March 2041 fiscal year against the 2013-14 level, it said in a plan approved on 18 February. This objective comes after the intermediate goal of a 50pc reduction in 2030-31 and 65pc in 2035-36. The government's climate plans are more ambitious compared with Japan's nationally determined contribution (NDC) , which was submitted to the UN climate body the UNFCCC on 18 February, because it wants to take the initiative to accelerate the country's decarbonisation drive. Japan's new NDC targets for a 73pc reduction in GHG emissions by 2040-41, after a 60pc cut in 2035-36. Tokyo plans to ensure at least 60pc of its power use comes from renewable sources in 2030-31 and more than 80pc from zero-emission power sources in 2040-41. Renewable power use at ministries was 27pc in 2021-22. The government aims to install solar power systems at more than 50pc of its own facilities and lands by 2030-31 and ensure 100pc penetration by 2040-41, actively adopting perovskite, the Japanese innovation for solar panel manufacture that uses iodine instead of conventional raw material silicon. Tokyo will also gear up efforts to improve energy efficiency at its buildings and switch all official vehicles to electric vehicles (EVs), fuel cell vehicles, plug-in hybrid vehicles (PHVs) and hybrid vehicles (HVs). Japan plans to generate 40-50pc of its electricity from renewables in 2040-41, up from 22.9pc in 2023-24. The share of thermal power will fall to around 30-40pc from 68.6pc, while the share nuclear power will increase to around 20pc from 8.5pc over the same period. The 2040-41 target is based on the expected Japanese power demand of 1,100-1,200 TWh, which is higher by 12-22pc from 2023-24. The breakdown of thermal output for 2040-41 is unclear. But gas-fed output is expected to hold the majority share, given that gas has already outpaced coal in power generation and Tokyo has pledged to phase out inefficient coal-fired plants by 2030. By Motoko Hasegawa Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
Japan approves new energy mix target, climate plans
Japan approves new energy mix target, climate plans
Tokyo, 18 February (Argus) — Japan has approved its targeted power mix portfolio for the April 2040-March 2041 fiscal year, as well as its new greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions reduction goal, it announced today. The new power mix goal, the centrepiece of the country's Strategic Energy Plan (SEP), is in line with Japan's aim to reduce GHG emissions by 73pc by 2040-41 compared to 2013-14 levels. Tokyo plans to submit the 2040-41 emission target, as well as a 60pc emissions reduction goal for 2035-36, to the UN climate body the UNFCCC on 18 February as the country's nationally determined contribution (NDC). The country has not made major changes to its draft proposal that it unveiled in December. The new SEP sees renewable energy making up 40-50pc of the country's power generation in 2040-41, up from 22.9pc in 2023-24. The share of thermal power will fall to around 30-40pc from 68.6pc, while that of nuclear will increase to around 20pc from 8.5pc during the same period. The 2040-41 target is based on Japanese power demand of 1,100-1,200 TWh, which is higher by 12-22pc from 2023-24. The government has planned the power portfolio so that it is not heavily dependent on one specific power source or fuel type, the country's minister for trade and industry (Meti) Yoji Muto said on 18 February, although the new plan suggests making maximum use of low-carbon power supply sources. Public consultation over 27 December-26 January revealed that some think Japan should slow or even stop the decarbonisation process, given the US government's reversal of its climate policies, including its withdrawal from the Paris climate agreement, said Meti. But global commitment to decarbonisation will remain unchanged, said Muto, adding that Japan will lose its industrial competitiveness if the country delays green transformation efforts. But US president Donald Trump's "drill, baby, drill" policy has prompted the Japanese government to delete a segment from the draft SEP that had initially proposed bilateral co-operation through Tokyo's green transformation strategy and the US' Inflation Reduction Act. Despite Tokyo's decarbonisation goals, the new SEP assumes that fossil fuels, including natural gas, oil and coal, will still account for over 50pc of primary energy demand in 2040-41 in all of its scenarios — although this is down from 93pc in 2013-14 and 83pc in 2022-23. The scenarios vary based on the degree of uptake of renewables, hydrogen and its derivatives, and carbon capture and storage (CCS) technologies, to fulfil the 73pc emission reduction goal by 2040-41. Worst-case scenario Tokyo also has also set out a potential worst-case scenario, assuming slower development of clean technologies, in which fossil fuels would still account for 67pc of primary energy supply in 2040-41. Under this scenario, which assumes Japan will only reduce its GHG emissions by around 61pc by 2040-41, natural gas is estimated to account for about 26pc, or 74mn t, of Japan's primary energy supply, which is higher than the 53mn-61mn t in the base scenarios that are formulated in accordance to the 73pc emissions reduction target. Japan would need to address the potential 21mn t gap in gas demand, which will mostly be met by LNG imports, in 2040-41, depending on the development of clean technologies. The gap is equivalent to 32pc of the country's LNG imports of 65.9mn t in 2024. When asked by Argus whether the government will continue to try securing LNG to ensure energy supply security when considering the worst-case scenario, a Meti official said Tokyo should continue pursuing its 73pc GHG reduction target, but it is necessary to consider the potential risks for each individual policy and the measures that need to be taken, instead of making decisions based on the worst-case scenario. The new SEP has highlighted the role of LNG in the country's energy transition and the necessity to secure long-term supplies of the fuel. It is unclear what ratio gas-fired capacity will account for in Japan's 2040-41 power mix, as the SEP does not include a breakdown of thermal generation. But gas-fed output is expected to take up the majority share, given that gas has already outpaced coal in power generation and Tokyo has pledged to phase out inefficient coal-fired plants by 2030. By Motoko Hasegawa and Yusuke Maekawa Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
EU may trigger clause to boost defense spending
EU may trigger clause to boost defense spending
Munich, 15 February (Argus) — European Commission president Ursula von der Leyen wants to trigger an emergency clause that would allow member EU countries to significantly increase their spending on defense. She also warned that "unjust" tariffs on the EU will not go unanswered. Speaking at the Munich Security Conference on Friday, Von der Leyen said she "will propose to activate the escape clause for defense investments". Such a move would "allow member states to substantially increase their defense expenditure", she said. Von der Leyen's proposal would exempt defense from EU limits on government spending. Highly indebted EU members such as Italy and Greece have voiced support for the move, arguing that activating the escape clause would enable them to increase defense spending while avoiding other budget cuts. Fiscally conservative EU countries, including Germany, could push back against the idea. Von der Leyen's proposal comes at a sensitive time for the EU, with US president Donald Trump pressuring Europe to finance more of its own defense. Trump wants EU members of Nato to more than double military expenditure to protect themselves from potential aggression rather than leaning on Washington's support. Trump is also pushing to end the conflict between Russia and Ukraine. "Let there be no room for any doubt. I believe when it comes to European security, Europe has to do more. Europe must bring more to the table," Von der Leyen said, adding that the EU needs to increase its military spending from just below 2pc of GDP to above 3pc. The increase "will mean hundreds of billions of euros of more investment every year", she said. Tariffs will be answered Von der Leyen also reemphasized the EU's position on the recent US tariff decision, noting that tariffs act like a tax and drive inflation. "But as I've already made clear, unjustified tariffs on the European Union will not go unanswered," she said. "And let me speak plainly, we are one of the world's largest markets. We will use our tools to safeguard our economic security and interests, and we will protect our workers, our businesses and consumers at every turn," she added. Trump on 11 February imposed a 25pc tariff on all US imports of steel and aluminum effective on 12 March, although he said he would consider making an exemption for imports from Australia. US 25pc tariffs on steel and aluminum imports could result in a 3.7mn t/yr decrease in European steel exports, as the US is the second-largest export market for the bloc, European steel association Eurofer said. By Bachar Halabi Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
Mexico’s Sierra Madre pipeline faces permit hurdles
Mexico’s Sierra Madre pipeline faces permit hurdles
Mexico City, 14 February (Argus) — Gas supply to Mexico's largest LNG terminal is in question as security concerns and community opposition threaten the Sierra Madre pipeline's progress. Mexico Pacific's 48-inch, 800km (497 mi) pipeline, when completed, will transport up to 2.8 Bcf/d of natural gas from Texas' Waha Basin to Mexico Pacific's Saguaro LNG terminal in Puerto Libertad, Sonora state. The terminal, under construction, is expected to reach 30mn tonnes (t)/yr capacity over two phases — nearly half the combined output of Mexico's six Pacific LNG projects. Mexico Pacific says the first three 5mn t/yr trains will be completed in 2025, with all federal, state and municipal permits secured. But the pipeline still lacks key state and municipal approvals. "The terminal has all its permits," said Miriam Grunstein, a former advisor to the energy regulatory commission CRE. "But some pipeline permits will be tough to secure." Both the terminal and pipeline have strong federal and state backing. In October, Mexico's president Claudia Sheinbaum publicly praised Mexico Pacific's planned $15bn investment. The company also signed agreements with Chihuahua and Sonora state governments and national power utility CFE to channel investments into social, security and infrastructure projects. "The pipeline is likely to get state permits," Grunstein said, "but political opposition is real." While Sheinbaum's Morena Party dominates congress, Chihuahua governor Maria Eugenia Campos belongs to the opposition party PAN, and the centrist PRI still holds sway in northern states. "The PAN and PRI could try to block the project to weaken Morena," Grunstein said. Security is another major hurdle. "Border projects need military protection," said Eduardo Prud'homme, former technical director at Mexico's state pipeline operator Cenagas, citing threats from criminal organizations trafficking drugs and migrants. The pipeline's route runs near the Altar desert, a federally protected area used by human traffickers. Clashes with drug gangs and armed human traffickers could escalate after Sheinbaum pledged to deploy thousands of National Guard troops to the border in talks with US president Donald Trump, Grunstein said. The last time Mexico waged direct war on cartels — during the 2006-2012 administration of former president Felipe Calderon — it resulted in over 120,000 homicides and 27,000 disappearances in six years, according to government data. Durazo's 'Plan Sonora' Sonora governor Alfonso Durazo has privately committed to securing the Sierra Madre project, Grunstein said, while Chihuahua's Campos "has been silent on the issue." "For Durazo, the stakes are high," she said. "It's part of ‘Plan Sonora,' his administration's flagship project, and he'll push to start construction this year." Launched in 2022, Plan Sonora aims to establish a cross-border lithium battery supply chain, with a state-owned company managing lithium extraction. A new 1GW CFE solar plant will support the industry, but natural gas from Sierra Madre remains key in the transition. Environmental opposition could further complicate matters. Over 30 civil groups have protested the LNG project's impact on the Gulf of California's biodiversity, organizing rallies and gathering 200,000 signatures. Their formal complaints date back to former president Andres Manuel López Obrador's administration, but Sheinbaum— an environmental scientist — has yet to address them. Indigenous resistance may pose the biggest challenge. Mexico Pacific is likely just beginning the legally required consultation process. "Mexico has struggled to secure indigenous approvals for pipelines," Grunstein said. "The Tula-Tuxpan pipeline was delayed over six years because of opposition. This could trigger even greater resistance." By James Young Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
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