Jet fuel
Overview
Jet fuel market volatility, whether from crude prices, supply issues from refining capacity, or ongoing regulation changes, is a continual risk to your bottom line.
Having a choice in fuel pricing is the best way to mitigate risk and stay on top of market changes. Argus constructs price indexation in a way that is appropriate for each market. By doing so, market participants can align their day-to-day operations, improve management of fuel costs and directly impact their net earnings.
Jet fuel makes up more than 40% of an airline’s total operating expense. The rise in importance of sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) from government mandates and self-regulations from airlines has a direct implication on these operating costs.
Argus helps the jet fuel market participants to make informed decisions and optimize their strategies with price assessments and information on deals done for conventional jet fuel and SAF, as well as the latest market-moving news, in-depth analysis, supply and demand dynamics, and price forecasts.
Latest jet fuel news
Browse the latest market moving news on the global jet fuel industry.
Brazil's Porto Alegre airport resumes operations
Brazil's Porto Alegre airport resumes operations
Sao Paulo, 21 October (Argus) — The Porto Alegre airport in Brazil's southern Rio Grande do Sul state resumed operations five months after record floods suspended all flights. The airport, managed by Germany's Fraport, will have the capacity to receive up to 128 flights/d, Fraport said. Initially, the airport is expected to receive 70 flights/d, with that number slated to increase to 122/d in November. Flights will still remain below previous levels. Prior to the floods, the airport had forecast that it would have 5,404 domestic and international flights and transport over 608,000 passengers in April. The airport was closed for 171 days after its terminal and runways flooded during record rainfall that devastated Rio Grande do Sul state in late April and early May. Fraport temporarily operated a reduced number of flights out of the nearby Canoas military base. Even with the closure of the Porto Alegre airport, Brazilian airlines transported over 7.9mn passengers in September, a 4.3pc increase from 7.5mn in the same month last year, according to civil aviation agency Anac. Demand for domestic flights, measured as revenue per kilometer (RPK), increased by 8.8pc in September from a year earlier. The supply of domestic flights, measured as available seat kilometers (ASK), was up by 7.1pc from a year earlier. Demand for domestic flights is up by 3.5pc in the 12 months ending in September, while supply increased by 1.7pc in the period. Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
Tax credit delay risks growth of low-CO2 fuels
Tax credit delay risks growth of low-CO2 fuels
New York, 15 October (Argus) — A new US tax credit for low-carbon fuels will likely begin next year without final guidance on how to qualify, leaving refiners, feedstock suppliers, and fuel buyers in a holding pattern. The US Treasury Department this month pledged to finalize guidance around some Inflation Reduction Act tax credits before President Joe Biden leaves office but conspicuously omitted the climate law's "45Z" incentive for clean fuels from its list of priorities. Kicking off in January and lasting through 2027, the credit requires road and aviation fuels to meet an initial carbon intensity threshold and then ups the subsidy as the fuel's emissions fall. The transition to 45Z was always expected to reshape biofuel markets, shifting benefits from blenders to producers and encouraging the use of lower-carbon waste feedstocks, like used cooking oil. And the biofuels industry is used to uncertainty, including lapsed tax credits and retroactive blend mandates. But some in the market say this time is unique, in part because of how different the 45Z credit will be from prior federal incentives. While the credit currently in effect offers $1/USG across the board for biomass-based diesel, for example, it is unclear how much of a credit a gallon of fuel would earn next year since factors like greenhouse gas emissions for various farm practices, feedstocks, and production pathways are now part of the administration's calculations. This delay in issuing guidance has ground to a halt talks around first quarter contracts, which are often hashed out months in advance. Renewable Biofuels chief executive Mike Reed told Argus that his company's Port Neches, Texas, facility — the largest biodiesel plant in the US with a capacity of 180mn USG/yr — has not signed any fuel offtake contracts past the end of the year or any feedstock contracts past November and will idle early next year absent supportive policy signals. Biodiesel traders elsewhere have reported similar challenges. Across the supply chain, the lack of clarity has made it hard to invest. While Biden officials have stressed that domestic agriculture has a role to play in addressing climate change, farmers and oilseed processors have little sense of what "climate-smart" farm practices Treasury will reward. Feedstock deals could slow as early as December, market participants say, because of the risk of shipments arriving late. Slowing alt fuel growth Recent growth in US alternative fuel production could lose momentum because of the delayed guidance. The Energy Information Administration last forecast that the US would produce 230,000 b/d of renewable diesel in 2025, up from 2024 but still 22pc below the agency's initial outlook in January. The agency also sees US biodiesel production falling next year to 103,000 b/d, its lowest level since 2016. The lack of guidance is "going to begin raising the price of fuel simply because it is resulting in fewer gallons of biofuel available," said David Fialkov, executive vice president of government affairs for the National Association of Truck Stop Operators. And if policy uncertainty is already hurting established fuels like biodiesel and renewable diesel, impacts on more speculative but lower-carbon pathways — such as synthetic SAF produced from clean hydrogen — are potentially substantial. An Argus database of SAF refineries sees 810mn USG/yr of announced US SAF production by 2030 from more advanced pathways like gas-to-liquids and power-to-liquids, though the viability of those plants will hinge on policy. The delay in getting guidance is "challenging because it's postponing investment decisions, and that ties up money and ultimately results in people perhaps looking elsewhere," said Jonathan Lewis, director of transportation decarbonization at the climate think-tank Clean Air Task Force. Tough process, ample delays Regulators have a difficult balancing act, needing to write rules that are simultaneously detailed, legally durable, and broadly acceptable to the diverse interests that back clean fuel incentives — an unsteady coalition of refiners, agribusinesses, fuel buyers like airlines, and some environmental groups. But Biden officials also have reason to act quickly, given the threat next year of Republicans repealing the Inflation Reduction Act or presidential nominee Donald Trump using the power of federal agencies to limit the law's reach. US agriculture secretary Tom Vilsack expressed confidence last month that his agency will release a regulation quantifying the climate benefits of certain agricultural practices before Biden leaves office , which would then inform Treasury's efforts. Treasury officials also said this month they are still "actively" working on issuing guidance around 45Z. If Treasury manages to issue guidance, even retroactively, that meets the many different goals, there could be more support for Congress to extend the credit. The fact that 45Z expires after 2027 is otherwise seen as a barrier to meeting US climate goals and scaling up clean fuel production . But rushing forward with half-formed policy guidance can itself create more problems later. "Moving quickly toward a policy that sends the wrong signals is going to ultimately be more damaging for the viability of this industry than getting something out the door that needs to be fixed," said the Clean Air Task Force's Lewis. By Cole Martin Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
Florida fuel supply edging toward normal post-storm
Florida fuel supply edging toward normal post-storm
Houston, 11 October (Argus) — Some Florida fuel terminals and a major refined products pipeline expect to restore operations over the weekend thanks to minimal damage from Hurricane Milton, but a return to normal in Port Tampa is being hampered by power outages. Kinder Morgan's Orlando terminal is operational but the company is still assessing its Tampa area terminals and the Central Florida Pipeline (CFPL) after Hurricane Milton made landfall as a category 3 storm late Wednesday, a spokesperson said at 3pm ET Friday. Kinder plans to have its Tampa fuels rack and 16-inch CFPL pipeline online by late Saturday and the 10-inch CFPL pipeline online by the end of the weekend. The company's three Tampa bulk terminals are likely to remain offline Friday due to widespread power outages and damage to the surrounding area. The CFPL pipeline transports gasoline, diesel, ethanol and jet fuel to Orlando, including to Orlando International Airport, and is connected to Kinder's Tampa refined products terminal that has 1.8mn bls of storage. Nearly half of Florida's supply of petroleum and refined products passes through Port Tampa Bay, the majority via waterborne cargo from the US Gulf coast. Port Tampa Bay is still assessing its land and seaside operations, port officials said this morning. It re-opened for limited operations late Thursday having avoided widespread flooding, though power outages in the area remain an issue. Global Partners' Tampa terminal is without power and running on generators, the company said today. Employees are cleaning up minor damage and Global expects the facility to be "fully operational soon". Buckeye Partners' Jacksonville and Fort Lauderdale, Florida, terminals are fully operational and the company is working to restore operations at its two Tampa terminals, a Buckeye spokesperson said today. Chevron is repairing damage at its Tampa terminal, but did not give a time line for a return to normal operations. The company's Port Everglades and Panama City terminals are online and selling fuels, the company said today. Citgo expects its Tampa terminal to restore operations by mid-to-late next week, the company said today. The St Petersburg-Clearwater International airport (PIE) west of Port Tampa is expected to open at 4pm ET Friday according to the Federal Aviation Administration. The Sarasota-Bradenton International Airport further south is expected to reopen early Saturday morning. Miami airport is open and Orlando International resumed commercial flights today. Prices for Florida CBOB delivered at Tampa and Port Everglades fell by 1.87¢/USG to $2.15/USG today. Cash differentials were stable in the Florida gasoline cargo markets at Argus Gulf coast Colonial CBOB +10¢/USG. Prices for Florida ULSD delivered to Port Everglades fell by 0.44¢/USG to $2.39/USG today. Cash differentials were unchanged in the waterborne ULSD cargo markets at Argus Gulf coast Colonial ULSD +12.25¢/USG. By Nathan Risser Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
US dockworkers, shippers strike positions entrenched
US dockworkers, shippers strike positions entrenched
New York, 2 October (Argus) — The US dockworker strike gripping east coast and Gulf coast container terminals may not be short-lived given the wide gap between union demands and the offer from an alliance of containership owners, terminal operators and port associations. The United States Maritime Alliance (USMX) said its latest proposal for a 50pc wage increase, made on 30 September just before the strike started, "exceeds every other recent union settlement while addressing inflation". But the International Longshoremen's Association (ILA) rebuked USMX's characterization of the offer late Tuesday, saying it fails to address the many years it takes for the port workers it represents to realize the higher wages, and factors like workers being on unpaid on-call status. The last-minute timing of the 50pc wage increase offer itself undermines the USMX's position as good faith negotiators, ILA said. "[The] USMX's claim that they are ready to bargain rings hollow when they waited until the eve of the potential strike to present this offer," the ILA said. "The last offer from [the] USMX was back in February 2023." Dockworkers started to picket container terminals in New England, New York, New Jersey, Houston, Texas, New Orleans, Louisiana, and other locations on 1 October . Containership loading and unloading has come to a halt at those terminals, while no trucks where queued at unmanned loading checkpoints. The union has pointed to a perceived unfairness in record profits reported by shipping companies since the Covid-19 pandemic not being shared with ILA members who were "keeping ports open and the economy moving" during that time. The union is also sticking to demands for no new automation technology at US ports that would replace workers, describing this position as "non-negotiable", and the right to 100pc of the "container royalties" funds, a type of welfare paid out by employers to protect US longshoremen from the loss of work brought on by the containerization of cargo. No fed intervention expected US president Joe Biden continued to indicate the federal government would not intervene in the strike, saying collective bargaining between the ILA and the USMX is the best way for workers to achieve their goals. In a statement this week Biden also pointed out that the USMX "represents a group of foreign-owned [ocean] carriers" and insisted that they should "present a fair offer" to the ILA. "It is time for [the] USMX to negotiate a fair contract with the longshoremen that reflects the substantial contribution they've been making to our economic comeback," Biden said. Vice-president Kamala Harris, who is running to replace Biden, doubled-down on that position today. "This strike is about fairness," Harris said in a statement. "Foreign-owned shipping companies have made record profits and executive compensation has grown. The Longshoremen, who play a vital role transporting essential goods across America, deserve a fair share of these record profits." Few commodities curtailed for now Ports and the companies that rely on them have been anticipating the strike for many weeks . Movements of dry bulk cargo, such as coal and grains, are expected to be less affected by the work stoppage, though there could be side effects from the congestion of other products being rerouted to ports not affected by the strike. Movement of crude, refined products and many petrochemicals are not expected to be interrupted, but some polymers that are moved by container, including polyvinyl chloride (PVC), polyethylene (PE), and polypropylene (PP), could be disrupted. A segment of US steel imports could also be disrupted by the strike, as about 9pc of those imports come in via containers , according to data from Global Trade Tracker. A prolonged strike could begin to curtail some downstream manufacturing of equipment that requires parts that move by containers. By Ross Griffith Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
Spotlight content
Browse the latest thought leadership produced by our global team of experts.
Explore our jet fuel products
Key price assessments
Argus prices are recognised by the market as trusted and reliable indicators of the real market value. Explore some of our most widely used and relevant price assessments.
