ネットゼロ
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エネルギー転換は、世界に困難な課題と大きなチャンスをもたらします。影響が及ぶのは電力部門だけではなく、すべての主要産業におけるエネルギーの生産、貯蔵、輸送、消費の方法に変革が起きようとしています。燃料、産業用熱、電力、化学原料に関して信頼のおける情報の必要性は、かつてないほど高まっています。
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主要なエネルギー移行市場の最新ニュース
Climate plans progress in 2024 'fractional': UN
Climate plans progress in 2024 'fractional': UN
London, 28 October (Argus) — Revisions to countries' commitments to halting climate change have shown only "fractional progress" over the last year, and fall short of what is needed to limit global warming, the UN said. The organisation's synthesis report on updated nationally determined contributions (NDCs), documents submitted by countries outlining their commitments to halting climate change, shows little progress made over the last year. Of 168 total NDCs, covering the 195 signatories to the Paris climate agreement, 34 have been updated since last year . Greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions in 2025 and 2030, excluding land use, land use change and forestry, would total 53bn t and 51.5bn t/CO2e, respectively, if all pledges in the NDCs were met. This is down only very slightly on the 53.2bn t and 51.6bn t/CO2e implied by pledges, which had been made until last year. The 2030 pledges would see emissions 2.6pc lower than in 2019. GHG need to be reduced by 43pc to limit global temperature rises to 1.5°C, according to the UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). The proportion of NDCs which cover all or almost all the economy edged up by one percentage point to 81pc. And 78pc of NDCs indicate an intent to use voluntary cooperation mechanisms under Article 6 of the Paris agreement, up by one percentage point. But fewer NDCs specify which precise mechanism they wish to use. The proportion of parties planning to use either the bilateral Article 6.2 process or the bilateral Article 6.4 both fell by one percentage point to 52pc and 34pc respectively, while those expressing only a general intention to use Article 6 rose two points to 35pc. There was little change in the precise GHGs covered by parties' NDCs. While all NDCs cover CO2, the main contributor to global warming, only 91pc cover methane, 89pc nitrous oxyde (N20) and 54pc hydrofluorocarbons (HFCs), unchanged on last year. And the percentage covering perfluorocarbons (PFCs) and sulphur hexafluoride (SF6) has slipped to 35pc, down by one percentage point on last year. The next round of NDC updates, due by February 2025, will have to show a "dramatic step up in climate action and ambition," according to UN climate change executive secretary Simon Stiell. The slow progress was expected, he said, with governments focusing on the next update round. Government's plans will have to be ambitious, covering the entire economy and all gases, and credible, with substantive regulations, laws and funding put in place to reach the goals, Stiell said, adding that new plans should aim for stronger 2030 targets as well as include 2035 targets. By Rhys Talbot Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
Consensus grows for green gas policy in Germany
Consensus grows for green gas policy in Germany
London, 28 October (Argus) — Germany's two main political parties are beginning to back a national green gas sales quota, increasing the likelihood of its development after the 2025 general election. The German government is yet to put forward a green gas quota proposal, unlike several European neighbours such as Denmark , the Netherlands and Austria . Economy and climate ministry BMWK — led by the Greens — has opted for more active industrial policy to ensure the ramp-up of hydrogen production, rather than a broader green gas policy that would let market prices have more decisive influence over whether hydrogen or alternative green gases prevail. But politicians from the centre-left SPD and centre-right CDU are increasingly referring to a green gas quota as an attractive policy option. The SPD is in government but not in charge of BMWK, while the centre-right CDU is leading the polls for the general election. SPD politicians Bengt Bergt and Andreas Rimkus last year put forward the most concrete proposal yet for such a policy, and it has since found some resonance among politicians and industry. Bergt, the SPD's energy spokesperson, told Argus that he had heard "from a well-placed and high-up source in BMWK that there was ongoing work on a quota solution". BMWK declined to comment on this. CDU politicians too have repeatedly voiced interest for some form of green gas quota. A green gas quota is one option for creating a "lead market" to ensure the most cost efficient delivery of the energy transition, the CDU's deputy head Jens Spahn said in an energy policy paper seen by Argus . The green gas quota is "clearly in the CDU's programme" as a solution, the SPD's Bergt told Argus . With the CDU, SPD and the green-led ministry working towards the plans, Berg said he is looking "quite positively into the future even if it does not come to fruition within this legislative period". The proposal itself Bergt proposes to mandate any supplier of gas to end consumers to evidence a certain proportion of carbon-free or low-carbon gas in its portfolio. This is different to the green gas blending model proposed in other countries. The required proportion of green gas would rise slowly at first to allow for the ramp-up of the hydrogen economy, and takes into account expectations of falling demand later in the next decade, Bergt told delegates at the Handelsblatt Jahrestagung Gas in Berlin earlier this month ( see graph ). The policy foresees that only renewable gases can be used in German gas grids from 2045. Any low-carbon gases could also be used to fulfil this quota, as long as the CO2 savings are equivalent to what they would be if the quota were fulfilled completely with climate-neutral gases. Gases that have lower CO2 emissions per kWh than methane derived from fossil fuels could be used to fulfil the quota for a certain period, including blue hydrogen. But when the CO2-savings targets are high enough, only carbon-neutral renewable gases such as hydrogen or biomethane could be used to meet the quota. In case of non-compliance, utilities would be penalised according to the amount of surplus CO2 emitted compared with the legal pathway, at a minimum cost of €1,200/t CO2. This policy approach would allow Germany to meet its climate goals, ensure security of supply and low energy prices, all while avoiding carbon lock-in effects, at no extra cost to the German state, Bergt said. Gas industry welcomes planning security Several gas industry members agreed with the basic points of the proposal, welcoming the long-term security it could provide for planning horizons. The proposal would answer the hydrogen industry's calls for a policy that supports demand in Germany, panellists at the conference said. But the policy would at the same time allow for price-driven competition between hydrogen and biogas, ensuring the lowest societal cost for decarbonisation, panellists said. Panellists warned against overcomplicating the policy, in light of the general bureaucratic burden. Swiss trading firm MET chief strategy and business development officer Joerg Selbach-Roentgen told Argus in February that the firm was in favour of a green gas blending obligation as it provided a more reliable regulatory framework. A green gas quota is a "valuable instrument to reach the market ramp-up for new gases of all kinds", gas and hydrogen association Zukunft Gas executive director Timm Kehler said at a parliamentary committee hearing late last month. Zukunft Gas praised Bergt's proposal in a position paper in March but asked for further freedoms in compliance, whether through trading of quotas or taking into account uncertain weather-dependent aspects of demand each year. By Till Stehr Percentage of green gas in suppliers' portfolio by year % Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
Greenhouse gases at new all-time high in 2023: WMO
Greenhouse gases at new all-time high in 2023: WMO
London, 28 October (Argus) — The concentration of greenhouses gases (GHGs) in the atmosphere reached its highest level on record last year, driven by human activity and vegetation fires, according to the World Meteorological Organisation (WMO). CO2 concentration hit 420ppm, recording a larger annual increase than the previous year and standing at 151pc above pre-industrial levels, according to the WMO's annual Greenhouse Gas Bulletin published today, which is designed to inform the UN's Cop climate conferences. "Stubbornly high" CO2 emissions from fossil-fuelled human activity combined with emissions from vegetation fires and a "possible" fall in CO2 absorption by forests to drive the increase, the WMO said. Methane concentration also stood at 265pc above pre-industrial levels in 2023 and nitrous oxide at 125pc above. The surge in GHG levels in the atmosphere is "committing the planet to rising temperatures for many years to come", the WMO warned, hindering attempts to meet the Paris climate agreement's goal to limit global warming to well below 2°C above pre-industrial levels and preferably to 1.5°C above. A report by the UN Environment Programme last week found that the world is set for a "catastrophic temperature rise" of up to 3.1°C above pre-industrial levels unless G20 countries act to cut all GHG emissions. "Another year. Another record. This should set alarm bells ringing among decision makers," WMO secretary-general Celeste Saulo said today. By Victoria Hatherick Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
Japan’s election leaves energy policy in limbo
Japan’s election leaves energy policy in limbo
Tokyo, 28 October (Argus) — Japan's ruling Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) and its coalition partner Komeito were heavily defeated in the country's election on 27 October, and this is likely to leave the country's energy policy in limbo, especially for nuclear power. The LDP's first defeat in 15 years means no single party holds the majority of seats to govern parliament now. Forming a fresh alliance, if not a coalition government, would be essential for any party, but depending on who teams up with whom, the country's energy policy could deviate from its present course, especially because of the parties' different approaches to nuclear power policy. The LDP and Komeito together won 215 seats, falling short of the 233 seats needed to hold the majority and take control of parliament. The LDP is now faced with the choice of seeking other parties to join its coalition, or to remain as a minority in the government. Komeito could also face challenges in establishing a new structure, as Keiichi Ishii, the leader of the party, was defeated in the election. "We have to take the outcome seriously," said Shigeru Ishiba, the current prime minister and the LDP's governor, indicating he intends to take immediate action for political reforms. But the LDP's weakened position may make it difficult to push for its pro-nuclear energy policy to ensure the country's energy security, economic growth and decarbonisation as part of its 2050 net zero emissions goal. The second-largest opposition party with 38 seats, the Japan Innovation Party (JIP), also called Ishin, holds a similar stance on nuclear policy as the LDP. But it is unwilling to align itself with the current coalition government, because of distrust against the LDP resulting from a political fund scandal that was part of the reason for the current political turmoil within the LDP. JIP is not planning to form a coalition with any parties, said its leader Nobuyuki Baba. The Democratic Party for the People, also named Kokumin, which quadrupled its number of seats to 28, has also promoted the use of domestic nuclear and renewable power sources. Forming an alliance with Kokumin may keep the LDP's nuclear power policy in place. But Kokumin's leader Yuichiro Tamaki has also declined to form a coalition with the LDP and Komeito, although he said that co-operating on a specific agenda could be possible. The biggest opposition party, the Constitutional Democratic Party of Japan (CDPJ), which won 148 seats, will step up efforts to co-operate with other opposition parties to change the government, according to the party leader Yoshihiko Noda. Noda served as prime minister of Japan and president of the then democratic party of Japan from September 2011 to December 2012. The CDPJ pledged in its manifesto to not build a new nuclear fleet or expand capacity, while pushing for a swift phase-out of existing reactors. The party aims to cut Japan's greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions by more than 55pc by 2030 against 2013 levels, and ensure carbon neutrality by 2050, while lifting the share of renewable energy in its power mix to 50pc by 2030 and 100pc by 2050. The climate goal by the CDPJ is ambitious compared with the LDP's strategies so far. Japan's strategic energy plan, which was updated by the LDP-led government in 2021 and is now under review, targets a 46pc reduction in the country's GHG emissions by the April 2030 to March 2031 fiscal year from its 2013-14 level, in line with its goal to have net zero emissions by 2050. The 2030-31 target assumes Japan relies on thermal generation for 41pc of its electricity demand, along with a 36-38pc share for renewables, 20-22pc nuclear power and 1pc hydrogen and ammonia. A special diet session is scheduled to be held before 26 November to appoint the new prime minister. Following the LDP's defeat, it remains unclear if Ishiba, who was just sworn in on 1 October, will be re-elected despite his willingness to hold onto power. By Motoko Hasegawa and Yusuke Maekawa Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
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