Market insight papers
Global LNG Winter and European Natural Gas Winter Previews - 2024
Key themes covered for LNG:
- Higher nuclear and renewable capacity and the possibility of stronger coal- and oil-fired generation could curb LNG use in the power sector in key Asian economies
- Weak global economic growth is poised to cap Chinese LNG demand, against the background of a continued ramp-up in domestic production and pipeline imports
- Capacity buildout is set to underpin LNG supply growth, although individual producers face restricted feed gas availability
- The global LNG carrier fleet continues to grow ahead of an expected jump in production capacity next year.
Key themes covered for natural gas:
- A weak macroeconomic environment, more renewables and energy efficiency gains could well weigh on gas consumption
- A cold and still winter would change the picture dramatically
- A mid-winter halt to Russian gas flows through Ukraine would require central and eastern Europe to rely more on underground storage, while drawing gas in from the west
- Strong Algerian and Norwegian production and high underground inventories, coupled with additional LNG import capacity, should ensure the continent's supply.
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