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Citgo rivals dig trenches over delinquent debt

  • : Crude oil, Oil products
  • 19/11/04

A group of bondholders is urging the White House to untie its hands in an increasingly acrimonious struggle with Venezuela's political opposition over US refiner Citgo, the Opec country's most valuable international asset.

In a statement today, the Venezuela Creditors Committee (VCC) said a 28 October lawsuit by an opposition-appointed board in exile of Venezuelan national oil company PdV is "tantamount to a repudiation" of the company's obligations.

The opposition lawsuit was filed in New York Southern District against two trustees of PdV 2020 bonds that are collateralized by 50.1pc of the shares in Citgo's parent. The objective of the legal action is to obtain a declaration that a 2016 swap that led to the issuance of the overdue 2020 bond is invalid.

The lawsuit came as a surprise to the bondholders, as it was filed on the heels of a 24 October White House order that blocked them from exercising their right to the PdV 2020 collateral of Citgo shares for a 90-day period, ending 22 January 2020.

The US government action was widely seen as an effort to get both sides to reach a consensual agreement on the controversial bond, which had been the only Venezuelan debt not in default until a $914mn principal and interest payment was missed on 28 October.

The "ad hoc" administrative board of PdV was named by Juan Guaido, the Venezuelan opposition leader who is recognized by more than 50 Western nations as the country's interim president. While the US government gave its blessing to Guaido's administrative control over Citgo after he declared his interim presidency on 23 January, PdV itself is still controlled by Venezuela's incumbent president Nicolas Maduro, who has resisted a 10-month US-backed campaign to oust him. Maduro is still recognized as Venezuela's head of state by the UN, as well as Russia, China, Turkey and Cuba, among other nations.

In its statement today, the VCC said the Maduro opponents' legal actions "stand in stark contrast to their commitment to an orderly and consensual renegotiation of Venezuela's public external debt" that they had pledged to fulfill in debt guidelines issued three months ago.

The ad hoc PdV board and Guaido's debt committee have not responded to today's VCC statement.

The committee added that the lawsuit was "unnecessary" because in the months prior to the October missed payment deadline, it offered on "numerous occasions to facilitate a consensual refinancing" of the 2020 Bonds with the express purpose of ensuring that Venezuela could preserve its ownership of Citgo pending a consensual restructuring of Venezuela's public external debt. But the Guaido government declined to acknowledge or respond to the offer of assistance, the committee said.

The VCC goes on to reject the Guaido board's argument that the debt is invalid because the 2016 swap lacked approval by the opposition-controlled National Assembly, and calls on the Guaido team to reverse course if it wants an orderly and consensual outcome.

"If the Guaido Government is intent on seeking the nullity of the 2020 Bonds, then it is only fair that the holders of these Bonds be able to defend and pursue their rights in full," the VCC said. "US policy should not support the repudiation of debt nor deprive a party of its ability to defend its interests while a dispute is before US courts."

The battle over Citgo is escalating as Guaido loses political support inside Venezuela, where Maduro has clung to power in spite of a severe economic hardship that his allies blame on US sanctions.

The main opposition coalition led by Guaido is lobbying for tighter sanctions by the US and the EU to pressure Maduro to step down.

The US imposed oil sanctions on Venezuela in late January, days after Guaido emerged as leader of the opposition movement that has since fragmented and lost momentum amid rising frustration. Guaido has called for a mass mobilization in Venezuela on 16 November, but it is not clear that he has enough support to muster a turnout on the scale that Venezuela witnessed in the weeks after he declared his authority.


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24/11/07

US extends oil service firms' Venezuela waiver

US extends oil service firms' Venezuela waiver

Washington, 7 November (Argus) — The outgoing administration of US president Joe Biden extended authorization for oilfield services companies Halliburton, SLB, Baker Hughes and Weatherford to continue working in Venezuela until 9 May 2025. The waiver allows the service companies to pay their staff and maintain limited operations, but it prevents them from drilling new wells or otherwise contributing to state-owned PdV's production and exports. The Biden administration reimposed sanctions on Venezuela's oil sector in April, after a six-month reprieve. The sole exemption is a waiver for Chevron allowing it to import oil into the US from its joint venture with state-owned PdV. US crude imports from Venezuela averaged 212,000 b/d in January-August, US Energy Information Administration data show. Chevron's Venezuela output has stood at about 200,000 b/d. Neither president-elect Donald Trump nor his campaign addressed the Venezuela sanctions regime or indicated if they would change it. Republicans in Congress ahead of the election called for the Chevron exemption to be revoked. The Biden administration separately extended a prohibition for holders of $3.4bn in PdV 2020 bonds guaranteed by 50.1pc in US refiner Citgo's holding company to exercise their claim, this time until 7 March 2025. The PdV bondholders in theory hold a superior claim to Citgo Holding — a legal entity that directly owns Citgo and, in turn, is owned by Citgo parent company PdVH. A federal court in Delaware recently oversaw an auction of PdVH shares that yielded a $7.3bn bid from a company backed by investors including Elliott Investment Management. Legal wrangling over the bids and the distribution of auction proceeds is likely to keep Citgo ownership unresolved in the near term. By Haik Gugarats Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Mexican peso plummets on Trump win


24/11/06
24/11/06

Mexican peso plummets on Trump win

Mexico City, 6 November (Argus) — The Mexican peso fell sharply against the US dollar as markets priced in potential retaliation against Mexico following former president's Donald Trump's victory in the US presidential election. "A Republican Senate majority and potential House win raise the chances of Trump's radical reforms, which could hurt Mexico's economic dynamism," said a financial analyst from Mexican bank Monex in a note today. The peso initially dropped around 3pc to Ps20.71/$1 early today, hitting a two-year low before recovering to Ps20.20/$1 by midday. The peso may weaken further, as Mexico is vulnerable to tariff hikes amid strained relations over issues like immigration and the opioid crisis, according to a desk report from a major Mexican bank. Trump repeatedly threatened tariffs on Mexico during his presidential campaign, most recently pledging a 25pc tariff on all Mexican imports unless President Claudia Sheinbaum's administration launches a severe crackdown on Mexico's drug cartels, which ship fentanyl and other drugs across the border to the US. Recent constitutional amendments in Mexico, including judicial reforms and proposed eliminations of independent regulators, may also add downward pressure on the peso, according to the report. "The government's goal to direct private-sector involvement could limit market forces," it noted. Mexico's state-owned oil company Pemex typically offsets peso depreciation due to its dollar-denominated oil export revenues, which help cover increased import costs. "Pemex's exports and domestic sales are tied to international hydrocarbon prices, providing a natural hedge," the company stated in its most recent report. Still, analysts warn that Pemex's focus on domestic refining over crude exports could erode this hedge, leaving it more exposed to foreign exchange swings on USD-denominated debt. By Édgar Sígler Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Cop 29 finance talks need leadership after Trump win


24/11/06
24/11/06

Cop 29 finance talks need leadership after Trump win

Edinburgh, 6 November (Argus) — Donald Trump's US presidential election victory will likely affect finance negotiations during the UN Cop 29 climate summit starting next week, but the US can still play a role while other developed countries step up to the plate, according to observers. Key negotiations at Cop on a new finance goal for developing nations, the so-called NCQG, could be "severely undermined" by Trump's victory, as the prospect of Washington withdrawing from the Paris Agreement may discourage other countries from engaging with US officials, non-profit IISD's policy adviser Natalie Jones told Argus . Trump pulled the US out of the Paris Agreement during his last term in office, calling it "horrendously unfair", and he has signalled he will do so again. "This could potentially weaken ambitions" at Cop 29, but it is unlikely to derail negotiations, Jones said. Observers agree that the US can still play a role in talks on the new finance goal, a key topic at this year's summit. Parties to the Paris deal will seek to agree on a new finance goal for developing nations, following on from the current $100bn/yr target, which is broadly recognised as inadequate. "The Biden administration still has a critical window to support vulnerable nations' calls to mobilise climate finance and deliver a strong climate target," civil society organisation Oil Change International's US campaign manager Collin Rees told Argus . The Biden administration's delegation, which will still take part in Cop 29, will not change position at this stage, according to Jones. And the US could continue to show some leadership, she said, adding that Washington likely intends to release its 2035 Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC) early. Countries' new climate plans must be submitted to the UN climate body the UNFCCC by February 2025, but the US could release its NDC at Cop 29 before Trump takes power early next year, she said. "President Biden must do everything he can in the final weeks of his term to protect our climate and communities," including on fossil fuels, Rees said. The prospect of Trump pulling the US out of the Paris accord could cause initial anxiety at Cop 29, Climate Action Network executive director Tasneem Essop said. But "the world's majority recognises that climate action does not hinge on who is in power in the US". "As we saw before and will see again, other countries will step up if the US reneges on their responsibilities and stands back," Essop said. Trump's victory might also present the EU with an opportunity to strengthen its leadership among other developed countries, according to Jones. "It is really on the EU and other countries to step up now," she said. This is a view echoed by German Green lawmaker Michael Bloss, a member of the European Parliament's delegation at Cop 29. "Europe needs to become the adult in the room," Bloss told Argus . The EU cannot rely on the US anymore and must become a global climate leader to ensure success at Cop 29, he said. Meanwhile, Oil Change's Rees stressed that the NCQG is a collective goal. "Other major economies must now step forward to fill the gaps, much as they would have needed to in any scenario given how the US has long refused to pay its fair share," he said. By Caroline Varin and Dafydd ab Iago Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Iran sounds alarm on gasoline shortage


24/11/06
24/11/06

Iran sounds alarm on gasoline shortage

Dubai, 6 November (Argus) — The new Iranian government has sounded the alarm on an emerging gasoline shortage that looks set to get worse unless new policies are introduced to clamp down on runaway demand growth. Presenting a draft budget for the Iranian year starting on 20 March 2025, Iran's President Masoud Pezeshkian criticised the existing gasoline rationing system, calling it one of the major hurdles for the proposed bill. Iran has, since 2007, allowed citizens to buy base levels of gasoline at subsidised prices and any additional at a higher price. But the system failed to cap demand and imports sufficiently. In the proposed budget the government has signalled plans to ease shortages, but increasing prices is not on the agenda. A cut to subsidies in 2019 sparked nation-wide protests . "Today the cost of [producing] gasoline — which includes refining costs, transportation costs, and gas station maintenance costs — is about 8000 tomans (80,000 rials)," Pezeshkian said. But consumers only pay 7.5pc of the actual price of gasoline, according to Iran's oil ministry. Iran's gasoline consumption has reached a record high of around 750,000 b/d in the first seven months of the Iranian year that began on 20 March, according to the ministry. Domestic refinery capacity of 670,000 b/d has been unable to satisfy this. To bridge the gap Iran has turned to imports, which has not been easy for the heavily sanctioned country that buys the fuel at market prices. "Around 90 trillion tomans [$1.3bn at the free market rate] was spent to import gasoline this year, which could be increased to 130 trillion tomans [$1.9bn] next year if the [demand growth] trend continues," Pezeshkian warned. Supply-side response If Tehran is unwilling to raise pump prices it will have to add more supply. Work in underway to bringing online an additional fourth train at the Persian Gulf Star (PGS) condensate splitter, and on a 60,000 b/d splitter that made up just one part of the now shelved Siraf project. Consultancy FGE expects these projects to be commissioned by the end of 2025 or early 2026 and "potentially close the gap." The newly-appointed head of state-owned refining company NIORDC, Mohammad Sadegh Azimifar, said using CNG-powered vehicles could reduce the need for more gasoline production. "There are good legal capacities in the country for the development of CNG, including the approval of the energy optimization fund," he said. But CNG has lower mileage and energy content, and CNG filling stations are beset with long queues. "If you have a CNG car, you can only drive it for a day and one will have to wait in long queues to get it refilled, only for it to last for another day", said FGE's Middle East managing director Iman Nasseri. Iran has sufficient reserves of natural gas and LPG, but both of these failed to emerge as a good alternative fuel, he said. The Pezeshkian administration has repeated calls to increase use of public transport and modernise the country's vehicle fleet. But metros and buses are being utilised at maximum capacity and private vehicles are a favourable option in a country with the second-most discounted fuel prices in the world, Nasseri said. Iran is yet to tackle rampant fuel smuggling, with market sources indicating gasoline continues to be illegally shipped to neighbouring countries like Pakistan, Afghanistan and Kazakhstan. Earlier this week, authorities seized around 220,000l of smuggled fuel in several warehouses in Mashhad. While the administration strongly rebukes subsidies, with new vice president Mohammad Reza Aref calling them "unreasonable", they continue to look at solutions that does not include any increase in retail prices, in fear of a repeat of the 2019 protests. But with a lack of infrastructure to capitalize on CNG and limitations in public transportation system, the government may have no choice but to reconsider. By Rithika Krishna Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Iraq proposes doubling payment for KRG crude


24/11/06
24/11/06

Iraq proposes doubling payment for KRG crude

Dubai, 6 November (Argus) — Iraq's government has proposed doubling the amount it pays the Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG) for crude production and transportation costs, as it seeks a compromise aimed at resuming exports from the semi-autonomous northern region. The government on 5 November approved an amendment to the three-year budget passed in 2022, setting compensation at $16/bl. But this remains $10/bl below the KRG ministry of natural resources' calculation of production costs in contracts it signed with international oil companies (IOCs) operating in Iraqi Kurdistan. "The KRG is not yet on board with the new arrangement," a senior Iraqi source with knowledge of the matter told Argus . Another source, with knowledge of IOC thinking, described the move as "a positive development" and said companies are "waiting to see what the Iraqi parliament decides." Parliament must ratify the amendment. The amendment stipulates "production and transportation costs for each field will be estimated fairly by an internationally specialised consulting entity" to be selected mutually by Iraq's oil ministry and the KRG's ministry of natural resources within 60 days. "If no agreement is reached within this period, the Federal Council of Ministers will determine the consulting entity," the government said. Parliamentary finance committee member Narmin Maarouf said the decision is "an important step to resolve one of the outstanding issues between the Kurdistan region and Baghdad." Iraqi prime minister Mohammed Shia al-Sudani has been working on a middle ground agreement that would allow it to pay IOCs operating in Kurdistan in return for a compromise with the KRG and the IOCs over the recovery cost for oil produced in the region. In this case, the KRG has to hand over its crude oil production to state-owned marketing firm Somo. A senior Iraqi government official said told Argus the result of the US presidential election may shift things in Iraq, "but the decision is clear, the Iraqi government wants to solve the issue." Around 470,000 b/d of crude exports from Kurdistan have been absent from international markets since March 2023, when Turkey closed the pipeline linking oil fields in northern Iraq to the export terminals at Ceyhan. That followed an international tribunal ruling that said Ankara had breached a bilateral agreement with Baghdad by allowing KRG crude to be exported without the federal government's consent. Iraq's federal government is finding it difficult to strike a balance between repairing its rift with the KRG and complying with its Opec+ commitments. But the KRG "cannot immediately resume exporting around 400,000 b/d," the Iraqi source said. By Bachar Halabi Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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