Saudis surprise market with deeper cuts

: Crude oil
19/12/06

Opec and its non-Opec allies agreed today to deepen their prevailing 1.2mn b/d production cut target by 500,000 b/d in the first quarter next year. This was widely expected, but in a surprise move Saudi Arabia said it and other countries will continue a voluntary reduction of 400,000 b/d on top of that.

The new quotas agreed today "would lead to total adjustments of 1.7mn b/d", Opec said. "In addition, several participating countries, mainly Saudi Arabia, will continue their additional voluntary contributions, leading to adjustments of more than 2.1mn b/d." This is on condition that there is "full conformity by every country" participating in the deal, Opec said.

Of the 500,000 b/d of additional cuts, 372,000 b/d will come from Opec members and 131,000 b/d from non-Opec.

Saudi Arabia's new production ceiling will be 9.74mn b/d in the first quarter next year, compared with its current 10.31mn b/d quota. The country produced 9.9mn b/d in November, according to Argus estimates.

Russia has agreed to cut an additional 70,000 b/d in the first quarter, taking its overall reduction target to around 300,000 b/d. Condensate will no longer be part of Russia's quota — its baseline figure from October 2018 has been adjusted accordingly.

Iraq — one of the deal's serial quota busters — has agreed to reduce its existing 4.51mn b/d limit by 50,000 b/d. Iraq produced 4.63mn b/d last month, Argus estimates.

Other notable adjustments include the UAE and Kuwait, which have agreed to trim their existing quotas by a further 60,000 b/d and 55,000 b/d, respectively.

Opec and its non-Opec allies — known collectively as Opec+ — will meet again in early March to review production policy.

By Samira Kawar

Related news posts

Argus illuminates the markets by putting a lens on the areas that matter most to you. The market news and commentary we publish reveals vital insights that enable you to make stronger, well-informed decisions. Explore a selection of news stories related to this one.

25/04/23

Tariffs could cut FY profit $100mn-$200mn: Baker Hughes

New York, 23 April (Argus) — Oilfield services giant Baker Hughes expects a cut in its annual profit of as much as $200mn from tariffs, if current levels applied under President Donald Trump's 90-day pause stay in place for the rest of the year. That hit to profits does not include secondary effects, such as the impact of Trump's trade wars on slower global economic growth, as well as a renewed bout of weakness in oil prices. While the company is taking steps to mitigate tariff impacts, its "strong weighting" to international markets helps reduce its overall financial exposure, according to chief executive officer Lorenzo Simonelli. Increased oil price volatility due to tariffs , as well as the return of Opec+ barrels to the market, have resulted in a softening outlook for the market. As such, Baker Hughes now expects global upstream spending will be "down by high single digits" this year. The company forecasts a low-double digit decline in North America spending by its clients, and a mid-to-high single digit drop internationally. "A sustained move lower in oil prices or worsening tariffs would introduce further downside risk to this outlook," said Simonelli. "The prospects of an oversupplied oil market, rising tariffs, uncertainty in Mexico and activity weakness in Saudi Arabia are collectively constraining international upstream spending levels." The company has identified three areas of tariff exposure within its industrial and energy technology division, including volumes exported to China, critical equipment supplies from its facilities in Italy, and an expected modest impact from steel and aluminum tariffs as well as US-China trade activity. Mitigation efforts include exploring domestic procurement alternatives to reduce input costs and improving its global manufacturing footprint. In relation to its oilfield services and equipment segment, Baker Hughes has been working to boost domestic sourcing and is working with customers to recover some costs. Elsewhere, the repeal of an US LNG permitting moratorium under the Trump administration has resulted in higher orders. Baker Hughes has booked about $1.7bn in LNG orders in the US over the past two quarters, and several LNG customers in the Gulf Coast have signaled plans to expand capacity beyond 2030. Profit of $402mn in the first quarter was down from $455mn in the year-earlier period. Revenue held steady at about $6.4bn. By Stephen Cunningham Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

US wants IMF, World Bank to drop climate focus

25/04/23

US wants IMF, World Bank to drop climate focus

Washington, 23 April (Argus) — US president Donald Trump's administration today called on the IMF and the World Bank to focus resources away from climate action and energy transition and to make lending available to fossil fuels programs. The IMF "devotes disproportionate time and resources to work on climate change, gender, and social issues," US treasury secretary Scott Bessent said in remarks today timed to coincide with the two international lending institutions' annual meeting in Washington. "Like the IMF, the World Bank must be made fit for purpose again," he said, during an event hosted by trade group Institute of International Finance. The IMF and the World Bank in recent years have followed the preferences of their largest shareholders — the US and European countries — in incorporating the effects of climate change in their analysis and to facilitate energy transition in the emerging economies. The World Bank, together with other multilateral development banks globally, announced at the UN Cop-29 climate conference last year that they could increase climate financing to $170bn/yr by 2030, up from $125bn in 2023. "I know 'sustainability' is a popular term around here," Bessent said. "But I'm not talking about climate change or carbon footprints. I'm talking about economic and financial sustainability." Bessent urged the World Bank to "be tech neutral and prioritize affordability and energy investment," adding that "in most cases, this means investing in gas and other fossil fuel based energy production." "In other cases, this may mean investing in renewable energy coupled with systems to help manage the intermittency of wind and solar," Bessent said. The US is the largest shareholder at both the IMF and the World Bank, with a 16pc stake in both institutions. The Trump administration, which has slashed climate programs at US government institutions and withdrew the US from climate-focused international efforts, has so far refrained from interfering in the operations of the IMF and the World Bank. By Haik Gugarats Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

India, Saudi Arabia to establish two Indian refineries

25/04/23

India, Saudi Arabia to establish two Indian refineries

Mumbai, 23 April (Argus) — India and Saudi Arabia will collaborate on establishing two refineries and petrochemical projects in India, according to an Indian government release today. Indian prime minister Narendra Modi met Saudi prime minister Mohammed bin Salman in Jeddah on 22 April, as part of the India–Saudi Arabia Strategic Partnership Council. Saudi Arabia in 2019 had pledged to invest $100bn in India in multiple areas including energy, petrochemicals, infrastructure, technology, fintech, digital infrastructure, telecommunications, pharmaceuticals, manufacturing and health. The government did not disclose further details, but industry sources said that one of the two refineries might be Indian state-run BPCL's planned refinery in Andhra Pradesh , which Saudi Arabia's state-controlled Saudi Aramco may join as an investor. The other one might be a refinery in Gujarat, under a partnership with Indian upstream firm ONGC and Aramco. But plans for a 1.2mn b/d refinery in Ratnagiri in collaboration with IOC and Adnoc have mostly been ruled out, because of logistical issues relating to the size of the refinery and land acquisition hurdles, among others. Saudi Arabia is the third-largest crude supplier to India, making up 15pc or 712,000 b/d of India's total imports in January-March, data from oil analytics firm Vortexa show. Saudi Arabia's share in the Indian market has declined, after Russia became India's biggest supplier following its war with Ukraine. Modi's trip to the Middle East comes close on the heels of US vice president JD Vance's visit to India on 21 April. The visit included negotiations for an India-US bilateral trade agreement and efforts towards enhancing co-operation in energy, defence, strategic technologies and other areas. JD Vance in India Vance said on 22 April at his speech in Jaipur that India will benefit from US energy exports and said the US wants to help India explore its own considerable natural resources, including its offshore natural gas reserves and critical mineral supplies. US president Donald Trump has pushed India to step up its purchases of US crude and LNG. Crude imports from the US doubled on the month to 289,000 b/d in March, of which 65,000 b/d was Canadian Cold Lake crude, according to trade analytics firm Kpler. The visits come at a time when geopolitical and trade uncertainty has risen, because of Trump's volatile tariff policies. By Roshni Devi Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

FERC commissioner Phillips resigns from agency

25/04/22

FERC commissioner Phillips resigns from agency

Washington, 22 April (Argus) — Democratic commissioner Willie Phillips has resigned from the US Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC) after serving more than three years at an agency responsible for permitting natural gas infrastructure and regulating wholesale power markets. Phillips' departure will clear the way for President Donald Trump to nominate a replacement at FERC, who once confirmed by the US Senate would provide Republicans a 3-2 majority for the first time since 2021. Phillips, whose term was not set to expire until June 2026, had a reputation for negotiating bipartisan deals on contentious orders involving pipelines and power market issues in the two years he served as FERC's chairman under former president Joe Biden. Phillips has yet to release a statement explaining his abrupt resignation. But Trump has already fired Democratic commissioners and board members at other agencies that, like FERC, are structured as independent from the White House. Two of the fired Democrats, who were serving at the US Federal Trade Commission, have filed a lawsuit that argues their removal was unlawful under a 1935 decision by the US Supreme Court. The White House did not respond to a question on whether it had pressured Phillips to resign. FERC chairman Mark Christie, a Republican, offered praise for Phillips as a "dedicated and selfless public servant" who sought to "find common ground and get things done to serve the public interest". Christie for months has been downplaying the threats to FERC's independence caused by Trump's executive order that asserts sweeping control over FERC's agenda. Energy companies have come to depend on FERC in serving as independent arbiter in disputes over pipeline tariffs and electricity markets, without the consideration of political preferences of the White House. Former FERC chairman Neil Chatterjee, a Republican who served in Trump's first term, said in a social media post it was "disappointing" to see Phillips pushed out after he "played it straight" in his work at the agency. As chairman, Phillips was able to authorize a "massive LNG project" — the 28mn t/yr CP2 project — at a time when Biden had sought to pause LNG licensing, Chatterjee said. Separately, Paul Atkins was sworn in as the chairman of the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) on 21 April, after the US Senate voted 52-44 earlier this month in favor of his confirmation. Atkins was previously the chief executive of financial consulting firm Patomak Global Partners and served as an SEC commissioner from 2002-08. Republicans will now have a 3-1 majority at the SEC. By Chris Knight Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Halliburton working to mitigate tariff impact: Update

25/04/22

Halliburton working to mitigate tariff impact: Update

Adds details from call. New York, 22 April (Argus) — Oilfield services giant Halliburton said it is working to mitigate the impact of tariffs, but still expects to take a 2-3¢/share hit on its second quarter profits. About 60pc of the tariff impact will fall on Halliburton's completions and productions unit, which includes its hydraulic fracturing business, while the rest will affect the drilling and evaluation operation. The company said it has a well-diversified supply chain and can pull other levels to mitigate the effect of tariffs. "We need a bit more clarity and stability in the structure of tariffs so that we can really understand what levers we can pull and then what the overall outcome is going to be," chief financial officer Eric Carre told analysts today after Halliburton posted first quarter results. Quizzed about the market turmoil resulting from US president Donald Trump's growing trade wars, the company said customers are still digesting how their operations will be affected. "From our perspective anyway, the market's not building new equipment," said chief executive officer Jeff Miller, helping to avoid the risk of an oversupply seen in past cycles. Moreover, US upstream companies are more "biased to working through things" than in the past, he added, echoing comments from Liberty Energy last week that the industry is better placed to withstand a downturn than in the recent past given a focus on capital restraint rather than growth at any cost. Halliburton recognized there is more uncertainty now than there was three months ago. However, its international business reported a "solid start" to 2025, with significant contract awards. Even as the market slows in North America, Halliburton aims to outperform rivals by driving technology gains and improving the quality of its services. "Many of our customers are in the midst of evaluating their activity scenarios and plans for 2025," said Miller. "Activity reductions could mean higher than normal white space for committed fleets, and in some cases, the retirement or export of fleets to international markets." International revenue this year is expected to be flat to slightly down compared with 2024, given increased risks to the outlook. Miller struck an upbeat tone in discussing the industry's long-term prospects, despite tariffs and the earlier return of Opec+ barrels, both of which have weighed on oil prices. Demand is at record levels and fossil fuels will play a key role in meeting future energy demand. "Decline curves are real, and in many basins significant, and adequate supplies today do not guarantee adequate supplies tomorrow without ongoing investment," Miller warned. "Our technology will continue to transform the industry and it will unlock new sources of value for us and our customers." 1Q profit, revenue down Profit of $204mn in the first quarter was down from $606mn in the same three months of 2024. Revenue slipped to $5.4bn from $5.8bn. North America revenue fell by 12pc to $2.2bn, largely because of lower stimulation activity in US land as well as a decline in completion tool sales in the Gulf of Mexico. International sales dipped by 2pc to $3.2bn, with Latin America revenue falling 19pc because of a slowdown in Mexico. However, revenue grew in Europe, Africa, the Middle East and Asia. The company also reported a pre-tax charge of $356mn from employee severance costs and an impairment of assets held for sale. Halliburton is the first of the top oilfield services firms to release results. Baker Hughes will follow later on Tuesday, and SLB at the end of the week. By Stephen Cunningham Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Business intelligence reports

Get concise, trustworthy and unbiased analysis of the latest trends and developments in oil and energy markets. These reports are specially created for decision makers who don’t have time to track markets day-by-day, minute-by-minute.

Learn more