Latest market news

US fertilizer consumption to rise with acreage

  • : Fertilizers
  • 20/02/21

US fertilizer consumption this year will be the highest in over a decade as farmers are set to plant 94mn acres of corn and 85mn acres of soybeans.

Nitrogen consumption should be 4pc higher than last year at 8.83mn st N across corn, soybean, wheat and cotton, Argus estimates. Phosphates consumption would rise by 5pc to 4.19mn st P2O5, potash by 6pc to 4.32mn st K2O and sulfur up by 4pc to 392,000st S.

In remarks at a conference yesterday, US Department of Agriculture chief economist Robert Johansson said that US corn acreage would rise to 94mn acres — toward the upper end of previous industry estimates — as forward prices and the corn:soybean price ratio are favorable to corn. Last year farmers planted just under 90mn acres of corn as flooding and inclement weather prevented fieldwork.

But Johansson also noted that the price ratio was not even, with basis in the Dakotas favoring soybean but eastern Corn Belt and southeast prices favoring corn.

A distributor in North Dakota said today that farmers, uneasy over the export potential for soybeans, would look at more than just the price signal when making planting decisions.

Northern Plains markets are a key consumer of urea, while farmers in the eastern Corn Belt use more UAN.

Spring wheat planting is likely to be lower than last year's 12.7mn acres, USDA estimates, as saturated Northern Plains soils will lead farmers to plant alternative crops.

Winter wheat plantings are estimated to have shrunk again to 30.8mn acres, still the second-lowest in over 100 years, as planting conditions and switching to cotton reduced Kansas and Oklahoma seedings.

Soybean area will climb by 12pc to 85mn acres, though this is more of a return to trend after weather conditions prevented several million acres from being planted last spring.

Rice area will climb by 21pc to 3.1mn acres, the highest since 2016, as farmers across the South increase area in response to higher prices.

US fertilizer prices sank through the fall of 2019 as poor weather restricted fertilizer applications, limiting wholesale trade as retailers retained high stocks. Spring applications should finish rebalancing the market, if weather and river conditions allow.

US nutrient consumption across key crops mn st

Related news posts

Argus illuminates the markets by putting a lens on the areas that matter most to you. The market news and commentary we publish reveals vital insights that enable you to make stronger, well-informed decisions. Explore a selection of news stories related to this one.

24/11/04

US railroad-labor contract talks heat up

US railroad-labor contract talks heat up

Washington, 4 November (Argus) — Negotiations to amend US rail labor contracts are becoming increasingly complicated as railroads split on negotiating tactics, potentially stalling operations at some carriers. The multiple negotiating pathways are reigniting fears of 2022, when some unions agreed to new contracts and others were on the verge of striking before President Joe Biden ordered them back to work . Shippers feared freight delays if strikes occurred. This round, two railroads are independently negotiating with unions. Most of the Class I railroads have traditionally used the National Carriers' Conference Committee to jointly negotiate contracts with the nation's largest labor unions. Eastern railroad CSX has already reached agreements with labor unions representing 17 job categories, which combined represent nearly 60pc of its unionized workforce. "This is the right approach for CSX," chief executive Joe Hinrichs said last month. Getting the national agreements on wages and benefits done will then let CSX work with employees on efficiency, safety and other issues, he said. Western carrier Union Pacific is taking a similar path. "We look forward to negotiating a deal that improves operating efficiency, helps provide the service we sold to our customers" and enables the railroad to thrive, it said. Some talks may be tough. The Brotherhood of Locomotive Engineers and Trainmen (BLET) and Union Pacific are in court over their most recent agreement. But BLET is meeting with Union Pacific chief executive Jim Vena next week, and with CSX officials the following week. Traditional group negotiation is also proceeding. BNSF, Norfolk Southern and the US arm of Canadian National last week initiated talks under the National Carriers' Conference Committee to amend existing contracts with 12 unions. Under the Railway Labor Act, rail labor contracts do not expire, a regulation designed to keep freight moving. But if railroads and unions again go months without reaching agreements, freight movements will again be at risk. By Abby Caplan Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Kuwait's KPC lifts November sulphur price to $135/t fob


24/11/04
24/11/04

Kuwait's KPC lifts November sulphur price to $135/t fob

London, 4 November (Argus) — Kuwaiti state-owned KPC has set its November sulphur price at $135/t fob, up by $11/t from October. This implies a delivered price to China of $158-164/t cfr at current freight rates, which were assessed on 31 October at $23-25/t to south China and $27-29/t to Chinese river ports for a 30,000-35,000t shipment. By Maria Mosquera Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Port strike to halt Vancouver sulfur exports


24/11/01
24/11/01

Port strike to halt Vancouver sulfur exports

Houston, 1 November (Argus) — Sulfur exports could be halted early next week following the announcement of a strike notice by the International Longshore and Warehouse Union (ILWU) Local 514. The union issued a notice for a strike to begin on 11am ET on 4 November after rejecting a final offer from the British Columbian Maritime Employers Association (BCMEA) for a new labor contract. The two parties have been in talks for a new contract since the previous labor agreement expired in March 2023. The BCMEA responded early this morning with a lockout notice, set at the same time as the ILWU Local 514's strike on 4 November. The work stoppage at the port will impact all commodities aside from grains, according to sources. No sulfur handling operations —rail unloading and vessel loading— will take place for the duration of the strike. Logistics providers and shippers will have three days to load vessels, and will likely expedite railcar unloadings before railroad operators make sure cargoes are stored safely. Shippers at the port of Vancouver have exported around 2.47mn t of sulfur from January-September this year, up by 5pc on the year with increased deliveries to China, Indonesia and the US. The Canadian government has the power to intervene and force the parties back to the negotiating table, albeit with a federally appointed mediator. This would also require employees to return to work and for operations at the terminals to resume. By Chris Mullins Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Rise in phosphoric acid price to hit Indian producers


24/10/31
24/10/31

Rise in phosphoric acid price to hit Indian producers

London, 31 October (Argus) — Higher phosphoric acid prices for the fourth quarter will push India to rely more heavily on DAP imports and domestic production using imported phosphate rock and sulphur to build its DAP stocks. The Indian government said in a document issued in September that it will cover the losses incurred on imports over September 2024-March 2025, but it has not committed to covering the losses incurred on domestic production. Domestic DAP producers using imported phosphate rock and sulphur are achieving profits, but those using imported phosphoric acid are facing negative margins. Phosphoric acid price hike lifts cost of production Indian fertilizer importer and producer Coromandel this week agreed to a price of $1,060/t P2O5 cfr India for phosphoric acid in the fourth quarter with Jordanian supplier JPMC, which is up by $110/t P2O5 from the third-quarter phosphoric acid contract price. No other producer or importer has yet confirmed settling their respective phosphoric acid contract requirements for the fourth quarter. Argus calculates that importing phosphoric acid at $1,060/t P2O5 cfr and ammonia at $460/t cfr will bring the total cost of DAP production up to $647/t. Adding variable costs brings the total to about $684/t. This means that domestic DAP producers using imported phosphoric acid and ammonia will face negative margins of $64-65/t given the current maximum retail price (MRP) of 27,000 rupees/t ($321.12/t), nutrient-based subsidy (NBS) of Rs25,411/t — including the Rs3,500/t special additional package — and US dollar to rupee exchange. Without the Rs3,500/t special additional subsidy — due to expire at the end of December — the loss would rise to about $106/t. Meanwhile, with the delivered price at $635/t cfr, importers of DAP would currently face a loss of about $92/t, given the current MRP, NBS and exchange rate, and without the additional government support. Domestic DAP producers importing 67 BPL (30.66pc P2O5) phosphate rock at $145/t cfr and sulphur also at $145/t cfr will make a profit of about $47/t in current conditions. Firm interest in phosphate rock and disruptions to Syrian exports have supported prices for Jordanian product. Indications for 66-68 BPL (30.2-31.1pc P2O5) phosphate rock are now in the $130s/t fob Aqaba. By Tom Hampson Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

India's RCF issues tender to buy 15-15-15, 10-26-26


24/10/30
24/10/30

India's RCF issues tender to buy 15-15-15, 10-26-26

London, 30 October (Argus) — Indian fertilizer importer and producer RCF has issued a tender to buy 30,000t each of NPK grades 10-26-26 and 15-15-15. The tender is to close on 8 November. RCF requests shipment from the loading port or ports by 20 November and delivery to India's east coast. The importer is also currently seeking 20-20-0+13S and/or phosphate rock in a tender that closes on 5 November. By David Maher Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Generic Hero Banner

Business intelligence reports

Get concise, trustworthy and unbiased analysis of the latest trends and developments in oil and energy markets. These reports are specially created for decision makers who don’t have time to track markets day-by-day, minute-by-minute.

Learn more