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S Korea economy, fuel demand hit by coronavirus: Update

  • : Crude oil, Oil products, Petrochemicals
  • 20/02/24

Adds upated case tally in paragraph 5; details of more flight cuts, steel plant closure in paragraphs 7-8

The rapidly spreading coronavirus outbreak in South Korea is forcing airlines to cut more flights and leading to a downward revision in economic forecasts for the country, a major regional importer of crude and exporter of oil products and petrochemicals.

Flagship carrier Korean Air will suspend seven Asia-Pacific routes and reduce service on 14 other routes around the world. The airline had already halted 20 of its 30 China flights and reduced service on eight of the 10 others since the virus outbreak began in Wuhan, China last month.

The country's other full-service carrier, Asiana Airlines, has made similar cuts and has ordered all employees to take turns on 10-day unpaid leave to help reduce costs. Budget carriers, including Seoul Air and Jeju Air, halted their flights to China in late January and were forced to cut service to southeast Asia as passenger demand plummeted.

Carriers in other countries are now reducing service to South Korea amid the outbreak. Japan Airlines has suspended its flights to Seoul and Busan from 1-29 March. Thai AirAsia canceled flights to South Korea from 6-27 March.

There are 833 known coronavirus cases in South Korea as of today, up by 231 from yesterday. The number of cases has risen from just 30 a week earlier. Seven people have died, according to the Korea Centers for Disease Control.

The government yesterday raised its threat alert to the highest level and vowed "unprecedented" steps to contain the disease, which President Moon Jae-in said has reached a "grave turning point." More than half of the county's coronavirus cases are now linked to the Shincheonji church in the southern city of Daegu, and more than 9,000 members have been placed in quarantine.

Economic activity in Daegu, the country's fourth-largest city, has nearly ground to a halt. Churches, restaurants and other high-risk gathering places across the country have been closed temporarily. Companies including Hyundai Motor and Samsung Electronics have temporarily shut down plants because of disruptions to Chinese parts suppliers or employees testing positive for the virus. Korean Air and Asiana are suspending flights to Daegu, while at least two budget carriers — Jeju Air and Air Busan — are doing the same.

Hyundai Steel closed part of its steel plant in the eastern port city of Pohang on 21 February after an employee tested positive for coronavirus. The entire plant was disinfected to prevent the virus spreading.

Banks and other economic forecasters have cut their targets for South Korea's 2020 GDP growth to below 2pc, compared with the government's official estimate of 2.4pc. Even before last week's escalation in infections, Moon warned that the economic situation was "more serious than we thought" and called on his cabinet to implement "all possible measures" to prop up the economy.

The impact of the flight cancellations on jet fuel demand, and an expected drop in petrochemical exports to China, South Korea's largest trading partner, means refiners will likely be among the companies hit hardest by the outbreak.

Air traffic is being reduced much more quickly than during previous health scares, such as the Sars and Mers outbreaks, South Korea's transport ministry said. Demand for South Korean oil products dropped by 11pc from a year earlier in March 2003, at the height of the Sars scare. Jet fuel demand fared the worst, sliding by 24pc.

South Korea's is the fourth largest crude importer in Asia-Pacific, behind China, India and Japan. It buys most of its crude from the Middle East.


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25/05/16

US House panel votes down Republican megabill

US House panel votes down Republican megabill

Washington, 16 May (Argus) — A key committee in the US House of Representatives voted today to reject a massive budget bill backed by President Donald Trump, as far-right conservatives demanded deeper cuts to clean energy tax credits and social spending programs. The House Budget Committee failed to pass the budget reconciliation bill in a 16-21 vote, with four House Freedom Caucus members — Ralph Norman (R-South Carolina), Chip Roy (R-Texas), Josh Brecheen (R-Oklahoma) and Andrew Clyde (R-Georgia) — voting no alongside Democrats. A fifth Republican voted no for procedural reasons. The failed vote will force Republicans to consider major changes to the bill before it comes up for a vote on the House floor as early as next week. Republican holdouts say the bill would fall short of their party's promises to cut the deficit, particularly because it would front-load increased spending and back-load cuts. The bill is set to add $3.3 trillion to the deficit, or $5.2 trillion if temporary provisions were permanent, according to estimates from the nonpartisan Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget. Some critics of the bill said the proposed cut of $560bn in clean energy tax credits is not enough, because the bill would retain some tax credits for new wind and solar projects. "A lot of these credits have been in existence for 30 or 40 years, and you talk about giveaways, we want to help those who really need help," Norman said ahead of his no vote. "That's the heart of this. Sadly, I'm a no until we get this ironed out." Negotiations will fall to House speaker Mike Johnson (R-Louisiana), who can only lose three votes when the bill comes up for a vote by the full House. But stripping away more of the energy tax credits enacted in the Inflation Reduction Act could end up costing Johnson votes among moderates. More than a dozen Republicans on 14 May asked to pare back newly proposed restrictions on the remaining clean energy tax credits. Ahead of the failed vote, Trump had pushed Republicans to support what he calls the "Big Beautiful Bill". In a social media post, he said "Republicans MUST UNITE" in support of the bill and said the party did not need "GRANDSTANDERS". The failed vote has parallels to the struggles that Democrats had in 2021 before the implosion of their push to pass their sprawling "Build Back Better" bill, which was later revived as the Inflation Reduction Act. Republicans say they will work over the weekend on a compromise. The House Budget Committee has scheduled another hearing at 10pm on 18 May to attempt to vote again on the budget package, but any changes to the measure would occur later, through an amendment released before the bill comes up for a vote on the House floor. By Chris Knight Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Trump says US will soon set new tariff rates


25/05/16
25/05/16

Trump says US will soon set new tariff rates

Washington, 16 May (Argus) — The US will unilaterally set new tariff rates on imports from select trading partners instead of holding negotiations over import tax levels, President Donald Trump said today. In the next 2-3 weeks "we'll be telling people what they will be paying to do business in the US," Trump told a group of US and UAE business executives in Abu Dhabi today. Trump contended that more than 150 US trading partners have expressed interest in negotiating with his administration, adding that "you're not able to see that many countries." Trump's administration since 5 April imposed a 10pc baseline tariff on imports from nearly every US trading partner — with the notable exception of Canada, Mexico and Russia. Trump paused his so-called "reciprocal tariffs" until 8 July, nominally to give his administration time to negotiate with foreign countries subject to those punitive rates. The reciprocal tariffs would have added another 10pc on top of his baseline tariff for imports from the EU, while the cumulative rate would have been as high as 69pc on imports from Vietnam. Trump in April suggested that 200 deals with foreign trade partners were in the works. Treasury secretary Scott Bessent has said the US is only negotiating with the top 18 trading partners. The trade "deals" clinched by the Trump administration so far merely set out terms of negotiations for agreements to be negotiated at a later date. The US-UK preliminary deal would keep the US tariff rate on imports from the UK at 10pc, while providing a quota for UK-manufactured cars and, possibly, for steel and aluminum. The US-UK document, concluded on 9 May, explicitly states that it "does not constitute a legally binding agreement." The US-China understanding, reached on 12 May, went further by rolling back some of the punitive tariff rates but left larger trade issues to be resolved at a later date. The Trump administration would keep in place a 20pc extra tariff imposed on imports from China in February-March and a 10pc baseline reciprocal tariff imposed in April. The US will pause its additional 24pc reciprocal tariff on imports from China until 10 August. Conversely, China will keep in place tariffs of 10-15pc on US energy commodity imports that it imposed on 4 February, and 10-15pc tariffs on US agricultural imports, imposed in March. It will maintain a 10pc tariff on all imports from the US that was imposed in April, but will pause an additional 24pc tariff on all US imports until 10 August. These rates are on top of baseline import tariffs that the US and China were charging before January 2025. By Haik Gugarats Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Kuwait's Kufpec gets OK to develop Indonesian gas field


25/05/16
25/05/16

Kuwait's Kufpec gets OK to develop Indonesian gas field

Singapore, 16 May (Argus) — Kuwait's Kufpec, a unit of state-owned KPC, has won approval from the Indonesian government for a plan of development for the Anambas gas field located in the West Natuna Sea offshore Indonesia. The Anambas field is located in the Natuna basin and has an estimated gas output of about 55mn ft³/d. Kufpec will invest around $1.54bn into the development of the field, which is planned to come on stream in 2028. The approved plan of development outlines a phased strategy to unlock the gas and condensate potential of the field, said upstream regulator SKK Migas. The regulator will encourage Kufpec to accelerate efforts and bring the project on stream by the fourth quarter of 2027, said the head of SKK Migas, Djoko Siswanto. The development of the field will include drilling production wells and installing subsea pipelines to transport gas from Anambas to existing facilities in the West Natuna transportation system. Kufpec in 2022 announced the discovery of gas and condensate at the Anambas-2X well in the Anambas block. The Anambas block was awarded to Kufpec Indonesia in 2019 through a bidding process. The company holds a 100pc participating interest in the block and has a 30-year production sharing licence, including a six-year exploration period. The approval of the plan of development marks a step towards the project's final investment decision. It also shows that the upstream oil and gas sector in Indonesia is still attractive to domestic and foreign firms, said Djoko. The field is expected to be able to transport gas to domestic and regional markets, support Indonesia's energy security, and drive economic growth, according to SKK Migas. Indonesia continues to prioritise oil and gas expansion to maintain economic growth. Investment in oil and gas rose from $14.9bn in 2023 to $17.5bn in 2024, according to the country's energy ministry. By Prethika Nair Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

JET Tankstellennetz an Investment-Duo verkauft


25/05/15
25/05/15

JET Tankstellennetz an Investment-Duo verkauft

Hamburg, 15 May (Argus) — Phillips 66 hat einen Mehrheitsanteil seiner Tankstellenkette JET an die Investmentfirmen Stonepeak und Energy Equation Partners verkauft. Der Transaktionswert soll etwa 2,5 Mrd. Euro betragen und umfasst gut 970 Tankstellen in Deutschland und Österreich, so die beteiligten Firmen. Die amerikanische Phillips 66 wird einen Anteil von 35 % an JET behalten. Die Transaktion soll voraussichtlich in der zweiten Jahreshälfte 2025 abgeschlossen werden, abhängig von behördlichen Zustimmungen. Phillips 66 wird darüber hinaus seinen Anteil an der Miro (310.000 bl/Tag) in Höhe von 18,75 % behalten und von dort JET für mehrere Jahre mit Produkt versorgen. Stonepeak ist eine Investmentfirma, die sich unter anderem auf Energieinvestments spezialisiert hat. Das in New York ansässige Unternehmen hält so unter anderem Anteile an amerikanischen Pipelines sowie an einem Windpark des dänischen Betreibers Ørsted. Energy Equation Partners ist laut Stonepeak eine frisch gegründete Investmentfirma mit Schwerpunkt im Kraftstoffhandel. Von Max Steinhau Senden Sie Kommentare und fordern Sie weitere Informationen an feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . Alle Rechte vorbehalten.

Erste Preise für CO2-Kosten im Verkehr ab 2027 bekannt


25/05/15
25/05/15

Erste Preise für CO2-Kosten im Verkehr ab 2027 bekannt

Hamburg, 15 May (Argus) — Die CO2-Kosten für Heizöl und Kraftstoffe werden in 2027 [wahrscheinlich] steigen. Dies zeigen erste Transaktionen für EUAs an der ICE. Verschiedene Handelsplätze bereiten darüber hinaus die Einführung von europaweiten Handelssystemen vor oder bieten diesen bereits an. Die nationale CO2-Abgabe (nEHS) wird im Jahr 2027 vom neuen europäischen Emissionshandelssystem (ETS 2) ersetzt. Am 06. Mai wurden hierfür erstmals Future Kontrakte für Emissionsrechte (EUA) an der ICE gehandelt. Insgesamt wurden rund 5000 EUAs in zwei Transaktionen gehandelt, beide zu 73,57 €/CO2e. Dies entspräche einer CO2-Abgabe von etwa 18,46 €/100l für Diesel, gegenüber aktuell im nEHS anfallenden 13,80 €/100l (siehe Grafik). Die CO2-Abgabe beträgt derzeit fix 55 €/t CO2e. Auch die leipziger Energiebörse EEX wird in Zukunft den Handel mit EUAs im ETS 2 anbieten: Ab dem 7. Juli 2025 sollen entsprechende Futures Kontrakte gehandelt werden können. Die EEX ist bereits die zentrale Handelsplattform im nEHS. Der erste Handelspreis für ETS 2 EUAs entpricht ungefährt dem Preis für EUAs im ETS 1, welches seit 2005 für Industrieemissionen gilt. Nach der Einführung des ETS 2 sollen die beiden Systeme zunächst parallel zueinander existieren, ohne Kompatibilität der jeweiligen EUAs zwischen einander. Langfristig soll jedoch auch eine Zusammenlegung der Systeme möglich sein; dies soll ab 2030 evaluiert werden. Wie hoch die Preise für EUAs im neuen System letztendlich ausfallen werden ist dennoch ungewiss. Verschiedene Forschungsgruppen haben bereits Prognosen erstellt, die je nach Studie von Preisen zwischen 60 und 405 €/t CO2e ausgehen. Im Extremfall könnte die CO2-Abgabe über 100 €/100l für B7-Diesel betragen. Die neue Bundesregierung bekräftigt im Koalitionsvertrag ihre Unterstützung des ETS 2, werde jedoch vom Opt-In des Agrarsektors keinen Gebrauch machen. Entsprechend wird Deutschand Emissionen aus der Landwirtschaft nicht im ETS 2 erfassen. Stark betroffene Wirtschaftsbranchen sollen unbürokratisch kompensiert werden, jedoch gibt der Koalitionsvertrag dazu keine Details. Neben der CO2-Abgabe bzw. dem ETS2 ab 2027 ist die Treibhausgasminderungsquote das andere gesetzliche Mittel der Politik die Energiewende im Verkehr voranzubringen. Zusammen führen beide zu einem verhältnismäßigen Preisanstieg von Diesel und Benzin und machen biogene Alternativen wie HVO wettbewerbsfähiger. Von Max Steinhau Höhe der CO2-Abgabe nach Kraftstoff Senden Sie Kommentare und fordern Sie weitere Informationen an feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . Alle Rechte vorbehalten.

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