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Rosneft shifts Venezuela burden to Russian state

  • : Crude oil
  • 20/03/28

Russia's state-controlled Rosneft is selling its Venezuelan oil assets to an unnamed Russian state entity, a move that effectively insulates the company from further financial losses and potential US sanctions while preserving Moscow's longer-term interests on the ground.

Russia has been a steadfast ally of the Venezuelan government led by President Nicolas Maduro, and Rosneft is one of Venezuelan state-owned PdV's closest joint venture partners.

The sale, which Rosneft announced today, encompasses minority stakes in the PetroMonagas integrated heavy-crude upgrading project based in the Orinoco oil belt, the mature PetroPerija and Boqueron fields, undeveloped Orinoco joint ventures PetroMiranda and PetroVictoria, oil-field services companies, and commercial and trading operations, Rosneft said.

PetroMonagas, which was formally known as Cerro Negro and led by ExxonMobil before Venezuela nationalized four upgrading projects in 2007, has been off line for at least a year.

Notably, Rosneft did not mention the status of its preliminary agreements with PdV to develop the Patao and Mejillones offshore natural gas fields in eastern Venezuela.

"As a result of the concluded agreement all assets and trading operations of Rosneft in Venezuela and/or connected with Venezuela will be disposed of, terminated or liquidated," Rosneft said, adding that it will receive 9.6pc of its equity capital as a settlement payment "that will be held by a 100% subsidiary of Rosneft and accounted for as treasury stock."

Rosneft is now challenging the US to lift sanctions on its subsidiaries. "We took this decision in the interests of our shareholders, as a publicly traded international company," Rosneft spokesman Mikhail Leontyev said, replying to a question from Russian state-owned Tass news agency. "And we have a right to expect, indeed, that the US regulators fulfill their public promises."

In the months after the US imposed oil sanctions on Venezuela in January 2019, Rosneft emerged as the top lifter of Venezuelan crude, once a mainstay of many US refineries. As part of a "maximum pressure" campaign, the US Treasury Department imposed sanctions on Rosneft Trading in February and fellow Rosneft unit TNK a few weeks later. Venezuelan crude production and exports have fallen sharply since then, although PdV has been able to sustain some exports.

The value of the transaction was not disclosed, but the company's partially floating stock on the Moscow Stock Exchange gives it a market capitalization of 3.2 trillion rubles ($40.6bn) as of yesterday — potentially valuing the transaction at $3.9bn. The Russian government holds a controlling stake in Rosneft of just over 50pc, with BP holding a 19.75pc stake and Qatar's sovereign fund QIA another 18.93pc.

A Russian diplomat in Caracas tells Argus that all of the Venezuelan assets have been losing money, prompting Rosneft to explore exit options since early 2019. Current operating conditions have only worsened since then, raising the risk of broad social unrest.

"PdV has not been pulling its weight for years, and Rosneft cannot keep losing money there," the diplomatic official said.

The US is escalating sanctions in a protracted effort to push out Maduro — who is the main target of US indictments of Venezuelan government and military officials unsealed on 26 March. Under the US-led strategy, Maduro's ouster would usher in a transition government led by opposition leader Juan Guaido — who is already recognized by more than 50 Western countries as interim president — and lay the groundwork for new elections.

There was no immediate comment from PdV or Venezuela's government in Caracas regarding Rosneft's pullout.

Russia as well as China, Turkey, Cuba and other countries continue to recognize Maduro as Venezuela's president, and have decried US policy as interfering in the country's internal affairs. The UN and most other multilateral organizations have not cut ties to Maduro's administration. The UN is urging the US to ease sanctions on Venezuela, Iran and other countries to help tackle the coronavirus.


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25/04/04

IMF says tariffs a significant risk to growth: Update

IMF says tariffs a significant risk to growth: Update

Updates Brent price in paragraph 4, adds PVM comment in paragraphs 5-6, Morgan Stanley in paragraph 10 London, 4 April (Argus) — US import tariffs pose a "significant risk" to the global economy, according to the IMF. "We are still assessing the macroeconomic implications of the announced tariff measures, but they clearly represent a significant risk to the global outlook at a time of sluggish growth," IMF managing director Kristalina Georgieva said. "It is important to avoid steps that could further harm the world economy." The comments came after two days of turmoil on global oil and equities markets, sparked by the US imposition of sweeping tariffs on trade. For oil markets, this was compounded by a surprise decision from the Opec+ producer group to speed up the unwinding of its output cuts. Front-month Ice Brent crude futures prices fell earlier today to a 3.5 year low of $67.48/bl, down by more than 10pc since US President Donald Trump released details of the tariffs on 2 April. Analysts at brokerage PVM described the timing of this as "frankly amazing" and said it was "the icing to this global bearish cake". "The market is now reckoning on the cork being out of the production bottle and believes, as we do, that it will not be pushed back in," PVM said. US-based bank Goldman Sachs today said it has cut its oil demand growth estimate for this year to 600,000 b/d from 900,000 b/d, based on its economists' new view of economic growth. This and the extra production from Opec+ has led the bank, which was bullish on oil prices for a long time, to cut its Brent crude price forecasts for a second time in three weeks , by $5/bl to $66/bl this year. Goldman also removed a price range from its forecasts, "because price volatility is likely to stay elevated on higher recession risk." Like Goldman, UK-based bank Barclays said there is downside risk to its $74/bl forecast for Brent this year. It said oil demand is holding up, "but the potential effect of the trade war on demand is hard to ignore." Analysts at US-based bank Morgan Stanley said a recession is a realistic outcome of the tariffs decision, although not its base case. Modelled against previous recessions, the bank said there is a risk of oil demand growth falling to zero, compared with its forecast of 900,000 b/d for this year. On supply, it noted that an Opec quota increase "is not the same as an actual production increase", and said it would wait for additional clarity before reassessing its second-half 2025 Brent price forecast of $67.5/bl. By Ben Winkley Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

US tariffs a significant risk to global economy: IMF


25/04/04
25/04/04

US tariffs a significant risk to global economy: IMF

London, 4 April (Argus) — US import tariffs pose a "significant risk" to the global economy, according to the IMF. "We are still assessing the macroeconomic implications of the announced tariff measures, but they clearly represent a significant risk to the global outlook at a time of sluggish growth," IMF managing director Kristalina Georgieva said. "It is important to avoid steps that could further harm the world economy." The comment come after two days of turmoil on global oil and equities markets, sparked by the US imposition of sweeping tariffs on trade. For oil markets, this was compounded by a surprise decision from the Opec+ producer group to speed the unwinding of its output cuts. Front-month Ice Brent crude futures prices have fallen by more than 8pc since US president Donald Trump released details of the tariffs on 2 April, to trade near a three-year low below $69/bl. US-based bank Goldman Sachs on 4 April said it has cut its oil demand growth estimate for this year to 600,000 b/d from 900,000 b/d, based on its economists' new view of economic growth. This and the extra production from Opec+ has led the bank, which was bullish on oil prices for a long time, to cut its Brent crude price forecasts for a second time in three weeks , by $5/bl to $66/bl this year. Goldman also removed a price range from its forecasts, "because price volatility is likely to stay elevated on higher recession risk." Like Goldman, UK-based bank Barclays said there is downside risk to its $74/bl forecast for Brent this year. It said oil demand is holding up, "but the potential effect of the trade war on demand is hard to ignore." By Ben Winkley Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Funding cuts could delay US river lock renovations


25/04/03
25/04/03

Funding cuts could delay US river lock renovations

Houston, 3 April (Argus) — The US Army Corps of Engineers (Corps) will have to choose between various lock reconstruction and waterway projects for its annual construction plan after its funding was cut earlier this year. Last year Congress allowed the Corps to use $800mn from unspent infrastructure funds for other waterways projects. But when Congress passed a continuing resolutions for this year's budget they effectively removed that $800mn from what was a $2.6bn annual budget for lock reconstruction and waterways projects. This means a construction plan that must be sent to Congress by 14 May can only include $1.8bn in spending. No specific projects were allocated funding by Congress, allowing the Corps the final say on what projects it pursues under the new budget. River industry trade group Waterways Council said its top priority is for the Corps to provide a combined $205mn for work at the Montgomery lock in Pennsylvania on the Ohio River and Chickamauga lock in Tennesee on the Tennessee River since they are the nearest to completion and could become more expensive if further delayed. There are seven active navigation construction projects expected to take precedent, including the following: the Chickamauga and Kentucky Locks on the Tennessee River; Locks 2-4 on the Monongahela River; the Three Rivers project on the Arkansas River; the LaGrange Lock and Lock 25 on the Illinois River; and the Montgomery Lock on the Ohio River. There are three other locks in Texas, Pennsylvania and Illinois that are in the active design phase (see map) . By Meghan Yoyotte Corps active construction projects 2025 Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Mexico, Canada sidestep latest Trump tariffs: Update


25/04/03
25/04/03

Mexico, Canada sidestep latest Trump tariffs: Update

Adds Canada reaction Mexico City, 3 April (Argus) — US president Donald Trump's sweeping tariff measures largely spared Mexico and Canada from additional penalties, as the US-Mexico-Canada free trade agreement (USMCA) will continue to exempt most commerce, including Mexico's energy exports. According to Trump's tariff announcement on Wednesday , all foreign imports into the US will be subject to a minimum 10pc tax starting on 5 April, with levels as high as 34pc for China and 20pc for the EU. Mexico and Canada are the US' closest trading partners and have seen tariffs imposed and then postponed several times this year, but remained mostly exempt from Trump's "reciprocal" tariffs. Energy and "certain minerals that are not available in the US" imported from all other countries also will be exempt from the tariffs. Trump also did not reimpose punitive tariffs on energy and other imports from Canada and Mexico. All products covered by the USMCA, which include energy commodities, are exempt as well. Yet steel and aluminum, cars, trucks and auto parts from Mexico and Canada remain subject to separate tariffs. Steel and aluminum imports are subject to 25pc, in effect since 12 March. The 25pc tariff on all imported cars and trucks will go into effect on Thursday, whereas a 25pc tax on auto parts will go into effect on 3 May. Mexico's president Claudia Sheinbaum this morning emphasized the "good relationship" and "mutual respect" between Mexico and the US, which she said was key to Trump's decision to prioritize the USMCA over potential further tariffs on Mexican imports. "So far, we have managed to reach a relatively more privileged position when it comes to these tariffs," Sheinbaum said. "Many of our industries are now exempt from tariffs. We aim to reach a better position regarding steel, aluminum and auto parts exports, too." The Mexican peso strengthened by 1.5pc against the US dollar in the wake of the tariff announcement, to Ps19.96/$1 by late morning on Thursday from Ps20.25/$1 on Wednesday. Mexico has not placed any tariffs on imports from the US, which may have eliminated the need for the US to reciprocate with tariffs. "In contrast to what will apply to 185 global economies, Mexico remains exempt from reciprocal tariffs," Mexico's economy minister Marcelo Ebrard said. Mexico exported 500,000 b/d of crude to the US last year, making the US by far the most important export market for the nation's commodity. Mexico also imports the majority of its motor fuels and LPG from the US. If US won't lead, Canada will: Carney To the north, Canada's prime minister says the US' latest trade actions will "rupture" the global economy. "The global economy is fundamentally different today than it was yesterday," said prime minister Mark Carney on Thursday while announcing retaliatory tariffs on auto imports from the US. Canada is matching the US with 25pc tariffs on all vehicles imported from the US that are not compliant with the USMCA, referred to as CUSMA in Canada. But unlike the US tariffs, which took effect Thursday, Canada's will not include auto parts. Automaker Stellantis has informed Unifor Local 444 that it is shutting down the Windsor Assembly Plant in Ontario for two weeks starting on 7 April, with the primary driver being Trump's tariffs. The closure will affect 3,600 workers. Trump on 2 April unveiled a chart of dozens of countries the US is targeting with new tariffs, but that lengthy list may also represent opportunity for Canada and Mexico, who have already been dealing with US trade action. "The world is waking up today to a reality that Canada has been living with for months," Canadian Chamber of Commerce president Candace Laing said, a reality which Carney views as an opportunity for his country. "Canada is ready to take a leadership role in building a coalition of like-minded countries who share our values," said Carney. "If the United States no longer wants to lead, Canada will." By Cas Biekmann and Brett Holmes Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Opec+ eight to speed up unwinding cuts from May: Update


25/04/03
25/04/03

Opec+ eight to speed up unwinding cuts from May: Update

Adds details throughout Dubai, 3 April (Argus) — A core group of eight Opec+ crude producers, in a surprise move, today agreed to speed up plans to gradually unwind 2.2mn b/d of production cuts by increasing their collective output target for May by 411,000 b/d — three times the rise originally planned. "In view of the continuing healthy market fundamentals and the positive market outlook… the eight participating countries will implement a production adjustment of 411,000 b/d, equivalent to three monthly increments, in May 2025," the group said. Front month Ice Brent futures fell by around $1/bl to $70.50/bl in response to the news, and slipped further to below $70/bl later before recovering slightly. The eight countries ꟷ Saudi Arabia, Russia, the UAE, Kuwait, Iraq, Algeria, Oman and Kazakhstan ꟷ last month decided to proceed with a plan to begin gradually unwinding the 2.2mn b/d of production cuts from April over 18 months. The original plan was to see their combined output target rise by 137,000 b/d on a monthly basis until September 2026. Although it is unclear whether the group will revert back to 137,000 b/d increments after May, this change should, theoretically, mean that the eight will return the last of the 2.2mn b/d in July 2026, rather than September. But the volume of oil that actually returns to the market each month will probably be less than the monthly target increases as all of the eight countries, bar Algeria, have past overproduction which they have committed to compensating for over the months ahead. The group said today that the decision to raise output targets by 411,000 b/d for May, versus 137,000 b/d, would also "provide an opportunity for the participating countries to accelerate their compensation". The seven countries with overproduction to compensate for submitted their updated plans to the Opec secretariat two weeks ago, outlining how they plan to deliver that compensation. It is unclear whether today's decision has rendered those plans moot, but it should allow for at least some of the countries to clear more of that they owe next month. Full implementation of the compensation cuts has become increasingly important for the group as it looks to balance market expectations with internal group dynamics. Frustration has built up among some members of the group towards the likes of Iraq and Kazakhstan which have regularly flouted their quotas. What is most surprising about the move is timing, coming the day after US President Donald Trump announced sweeping new global tariffs on a range of imports. That triggered an immediate sell-off in oil futures and stock markets over fears of deteriorating demand in an escalating trade war. But the tariff announcements did not appear to be at the forefront of Opec+ eight minds, with one delegate expressing scepticism that the Trump administration's tariffs were here to stay. The impact is unlikely to be as severe as many fear, they said. Instead, the decision primarily factored in the pick up in oil demand that typically comes with the start of the summer in the northern hemisphere. "A big part of this 411,000 b/d will go to meet that additional demand," one delegate said. Additionally, the move should also enhance internal group dynamics, given the frustration that had been building among some in the group prior to last month's decision to start the unwinding in April, while at the same time getting the thumbs up from the US president who had already called on Opec and its allies to "bring down the cost of oil," something it could only achieve by raising output. Trump has said that he will be visiting Saudi Arabia sometime in May, when the group of eight countries begins to accelerate the return of those barrels. By Bachar Halabi and Nader Itayim Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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