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US rail crude loadings tumble as prices decline

  • : Agriculture, Biofuels, Chemicals, Coal, Crude oil, Feedgrade minerals, Fertilizers, Metals, Oil products, Petrochemicals, Petroleum coke
  • 20/04/01

US railroad shipments of petroleum have dropped as crude and refined products prices fall to the lowest level in more than a decade.

US railroad loadings of petroleum and related products during the week ended on 28 March dropped by 11pc compared with the same week in 2019. A month earlier, during the week ended on 29 February, volume was up year on year by 13pc.

Despite last week's reductions, full-month loadings in March for petroleum and related products were up by 3.5pc compared with the same time in 2019. Until March, railcar shipments of petroleum and related products had consistently increased year on year.

Canadian volumes also have fallen since hitting all-time highs earlier in 2020. Railcar loadings during the week ended on 28 March were down by 3.7pc compared with a year earlier.

US benchmark crude prices fell to near $20/bl this week, the lowest since February 2002. US Gulf coast conventional gasoline prices last week dropped to the lowest level in more than 21 years. Negative profit margins for making gasoline have prompted Gulf coast refiners to cut runs by 20pc-30pc, approaching the 60pc-65pc minimum run rates.

That has affected tank car loadings of petroleum and related products, according to new data from the Association of American Railroads (AAR).

"The recent collapse in oil prices is hurting rail shipments of petroleum products, fractionation sand and steel products," AAR senior vice president John Gray said.

Automobile and parts shipments continued to drop sharply because manufacturing has been curtailed.

The number of railcars loaded in the US with automobiles and auto parts fell by 70pc last week, according to AAR data. The week before that, rail volume fell by 7.1pc. And the week before that, automotive loadings rose year on year by 6.6pc.

"Rail traffic numbers confirm that the coronavirus is taking a toll on the economy," Gray said.

Overall, US railroads loaded 449,767 carloads and intermodal units during the week ended 28 March, down by 12pc compared with the same period last year. A week prior, during the week ended on 21 March, volume was down by only 8.6pc.

"While there remain more unknowns than knowns about the next few months, there are tidbits of encouraging news," Gray said.

March was the best month for rail chemical carloads in two years. Grain railcars loaded in March were up compared to March 2019, the first time in a year that has occurred.

Coal loadings did increase last week by 0.1pc compared with the same week in 2019, but the comparison was skewed because shipments in spring 2019 were delayed by heaving flooding in the midcontinent.


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25/04/03

US battery costs face sharp rise on tariffs

US battery costs face sharp rise on tariffs

London, 3 April (Argus) — Battery cells imported into the US market face a sharp cost increase following the imposition of US president Donald Trump's new tariff regime. The US last year imported $23.8bn worth of battery cells, according to trade data, mostly from China, Japan and South Korea, all of which have been hit with "reciprocal" tariffs after Trump's executive order was signed on 2 April. China, by far the largest supplier of battery cells to the US market, is now subject to an effective 54pc tariffs, with the extra 34pc duty on top of 20pc blanket duties introduced by the administration of former US president Joe Biden. Battery cell imports to the US from China last year amounted to $16.45bn, 70pc of the total, up from just $2bn in 2020. The new tariffs would add $8bn to this cost for US carmakers and battery pack producers. Japan and South Korea, long-standing US allies and partners in battery cell production, face tariff rates of 24pc and 25pc, respectively. The US last year imported $1.7bn worth of battery cells from Japan and $1.3bn from South Korea. Despite the tariffs, there is potential that Japan and South Korea could eat into China's share of US imports, because of the gulf between their respective tariff rates and being the world's only real alternative producers at this point. A longer-term outcome could be that the US domesticates some of this battery cell production, a trend that was already under way, thanks to Biden's Inflation Reduction Act, which allocated federal funding to battery giga-factories and other battery-related projects throughout the US. But building battery cells is not simple. The US will need access to raw materials, some of which are heavily affected by the new tariffs. Cell-making technology, controlled by the three Asian countries, could be included in any retaliatory measures. "The Trump administration's 'Liberation Day' announcement on tariffs are the biggest trade shock in history, representing a historic shift away from the long-term trend towards free trade," chief economist at investment bank Macquarie Ric Deverell said. "The tariff increase far exceeds earlier expectations, highlighting the strong 're-industrialisation' ideology of the Trump administration." Battery materials impact mixed The impact on key materials for the battery supply chain is mixed, with some metals and pre-cursor materials exempted from the new measures, while some key materials are included. Lithium carbonate, lithium hydroxide, cobalt sulphate, cobalt metal, manganese dioxide, natural graphite powder and flakes all are exempt from new additional tariffs. Key materials that are not exempt include nickel sulphate, manganese sulphate, phosphoric acid, iron phosphate and synthetic graphite, all of which will be included in the tariff regimes implemented on individual countries. The US has no nickel sulphate production and imports most of its material from Belgium and Australia, which exported 1,872t and 1,060t to the US last year, respectively. Tariffs on Belgium will fall under the EU, which will be applied at 20pc, while Australia is subject to a tariff of 10pc. Indonesia, the world's largest nickel producer, is subject to a tariff of 32pc, although so far it has not supplied material to the US. Total US imports of nickel sulphate last year reached 3,738t, up from just 1,125t in 2020. With regard to synthetic graphite, another essential item for battery cell production, the US imported 115,778t in 2024, up substantially from 30,109t in 2020. Most of this came from China, at 74pc of the import market. This material now will be subject to 54pc tariffs, significantly increasing this cost for US battery cell producers. By Thomas Kavanagh and Chris Welch US lithium-ion battery imports by country $bn Feedstock materials exempt from 2 Apr tariffs t US manufacturing investments by stage of supply chain $bn Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Crude, equity markets tumble on US tariffs


25/04/03
25/04/03

Crude, equity markets tumble on US tariffs

Houston, 3 April (Argus) — WTI and Brent crude futures were down by more than 7pc early Thursday as markets weigh the potential for large scale economic disruption from US President Donald Trump sweeping tariffs for a range of imports. Equity markets also fell sharply with the Nasdaq down by nearly 5pc and the S&P 500 down by about 4pc as of 10:30am ET. The US dollar was also falling, down by more than 2pc this morning. The front-month Nymex May WTI contract was trading at $66.47/bl, down by more than $5/bl as of 11:35am ET. ICE Brent was trading at $69.81/bl, also down by more than $5/bl. All foreign imports into the US will be subject to a minimum 10pc tax with levels as high as 34pc for China under Trump's sweeping tariff measure. Trump has exempted many energy and mineral products from the new tariffs, and much of the trade with Canada and Mexico appears to be remaining governed by the US Mexico Canada (USMCA) trade agreement. Oxford Economics said Thursday it is considering revising downward its 2025 global GDP growth estimate from 2.6pc to 2pc and 2026 growth may drop below 2pc. This is under the assumption that the Trump tariff's stick and are not rapidly negotiated to lower tariff levels. Latin American and Asian economies with exports to US are the most exposed to the GDP downgrades, Oxford said. Oxford also said that global recession will likely be avoided, despite the strains of the tariffs. Meanwhile, the EU is preparing countermeasures against the tariffs. European Commission president Ursula von der Leyen said the bloc is finalising a first package of countermeasures to previously-announced US tariffs on steel, preparing for further countermeasures and monitoring for any indirect effects US tariffs could have. China also promised to take unspecified countermeasures against the new US import tariffs, which will raise duties on its shipments to the country to over 50pc. By Eunice Bridges Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

UK steel service centre Malcolm Clarke to close


25/04/03
25/04/03

UK steel service centre Malcolm Clarke to close

London, 3 April (Argus) — Manchester-based steel service centre Malcolm Clarke will close by summer this year, the company said in a letter to customers and suppliers. The company said any existing and new orders will be fulfilled in full and on time, ahead of its target closure date of June 2025. The closure may be slightly later than this date after its "orderly winding down", the company said. Suppliers will be paid before the closure, it added. Malcolm Clarke in its financial results to June 2024, published on 2 April, announced that it would cease trading, so its accounts had been prepared "on a basis other than going concern". "The business environment in which we operate has become increasingly unstable, with unpredictable shifts in market and regulation making it very challenging for small- to medium-sized participants in the day-to-day spot market," the company told Argus . "Despite our best efforts to adapt and evolve, we do not envisage a short- to medium-term future where the situation is likely to improve significantly," it added, suggesting changes to the market were structural and permanent. The business, which was incorporated in September 1970, has two heavy decoiling lines and also sells reversing mill plate. By Colin Richardson Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Indian DAP subsidy increase falls short


25/04/03
25/04/03

Indian DAP subsidy increase falls short

London, 3 April (Argus) — Rebuilding India's DAP inventories remains an uphill struggle as the latest subsidies and current market prices keep importers' and many producers' margins in the red, despite a rise in the subsidy. India will have to keep relying on NPKs/NPs to cover much of its phosphate needs. The Indian government has set the nutrient-based subsidy (NBS) for DAP for the April-September kharif season at 27,799 rupees/t. This is an increase of Rs5,888/t from the base subsidy for the October-March rabi season. The government will probably extend the Rs3,500/t special additional subsidy for DAP into kharif, bringing the total subsidy for DAP up to Rs31,299/t. The maximum retail price (MRP) for DAP will remain at Rs27,000/t. DAP importers face losses The new subsidy rate, including the special additional subsidy, brings the breakeven import price for DAP to the low $600s/t cfr at the current exchange rate and MRP. This is well below the latest concluded level in the high $640s/t cfr, and almost $60/t below latest offers. Without the Rs3,500/t special additional subsidy, the breakeven import price would be around $563/t cfr. The government will probably commit to compensating importers for losses on DAP over kharif, but there has not yet been official confirmation. The department of fertilizers said in September last year that it would compensate importers for losses on DAP over rabi. But some importers said that they have not yet received this compensation. NPKs more attractive for many producers Indian DAP producers using phosphoric acid and ammonia imported at $1,153/t P2O5 cfr and $350/t cfr, respectively, now face losses of $25/t, given the current NBS, MRP and exchange rate. The second-quarter contract price for merchant-grade phosphoric acid to India is up by $98/t P2O5 from the first-quarter price of $1,055/t P2O5 cfr. The rise in the acid price was driven by soaring sulphur costs, firmer sentiment for DAP and falling ammonia prices — which are down from a midpoint of $440/t cfr at the start of the calendar year. Those producers using phosphoric acid will be drawn to the profits to be gained from making NPKs. The new subsidies for 10-26-26 and 12-32-16 are Rs16,257/t and Rs19,495/t, respectively. Both grades have an MRP of Rs35,000/t. At current phosphoric acid, ammonia and potash — with MOP at $283/t cfr with 180 days credit — import costs and exchange rates, Indian producers would see profits of around $48/t for 10-26-26 and $54/t for 12-32-16. DAP producers using imported phosphate rock, sulphur and ammonia will make a profit. Producers importing 30-31pc P2O5 phosphate rock at $153/t cfr, dry bulk sulphur at $280/t and ammonia at $350/t cfr now see margins of around $66/t. Phosphate rock prices have held broadly steady over recent quarters. The fall in ammonia costs has helped to counter the bull run in the global sulphur market, which has pushed up dry bulk sulphur cfr prices in India by $91/t at the midpoint since the beginning of 2025. Without the Rs3,500/t special additional subsidy on DAP, the loss for producers using imported phosphoric acid and ammonia would rise to around $66/t. And the margin for producers using imported phosphate rock, sulphur and ammonia would fall to around $25/t. Producers generally cannot switch between using phosphoric acid and using phosphate rock and sulphur. The Indian government did not cover the losses incurred by DAP producers over rabi — forcing many producers to turn to making NPKs/NPs instead. Although speculation has emerged that the government will compensate producers over kharif, there has been no official indication either way. DAP stocks to remain low Provisional data indicate that India ended March with around 1.3mn t of DAP in stock, still well below the perceived comfortable minimum of 2mn t. Indian distributors will want to build DAP stocks ahead of the peak offtake season — beginning around June. But while importers and producers continue to face losses, stocks will remain low and many farmers will again have to settle for NPKs/NPs as an alternative source of phosphate. By Tom Hampson Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Prio supplies B100 for bunkering in Portugal


25/04/03
25/04/03

Prio supplies B100 for bunkering in Portugal

Sao Paulo, 3 April (Argus) — Portuguese biodiesel supplier Prio has supplied B100 marine biodiesel and fixed contracts for the supply pure hydrotreated vegetable oil (HVO) into marine for the first time in Portugal. The bunker fuel delivery comprising 30t of 100pc used cooking oil methyl ester (Ucome) biodiesel took place in the Portuguese port of Viana do Castelo to the ferry Lobo Marinho and the containership Funchalense V , both owned by Grupo Sousa. Prio said the B100 supply achieved an emission intensity value of about 11.4 gCO2e/MJ, reflecting greenhouse gas (GHG) savings of about 88pc against a default fossil bunker value. The company also fixed summer-season March-July contracts with a cruise liner for the supply of 175t of Class II HVO at the port of Lisbon. This fuel is produced from used cooking oil (UCO). The B100 and HVO supplies are done on an ex-truck delivery basis. Marine biodiesel is seen as an alternative to conventional bunker fuels since the introduction of FuelEU Maritime regulations starting this year, which require ships traveling in, out, and within EU territorial waters to reduce GHG emissions by 2pc on a lifecycle basis and increasing up to 80pc by 2050. Argus assessed the price of Class II HVO fob ARA at an average of $1,795.13/t in the first quarter of this year, compared with $1,431.46/t for Ucome fob ARA in the same time in 2024. Both biofuels were marked well above conventional bunker fuel prices. Very-low sulphur fuel oil (VLSFO) dob ARA averaged $515.56/t and marine gasoil (MGO) dob ARA was $655.37/t during January-March this year. By Hussein Al-Khalisy and Natália Coelho Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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