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South African mines to ramp up as lockdown eases

  • : Coal, Metals
  • 20/04/24

All of South Africa's open cast mines can resume full production once the country's Covid-19 lockdown period ends on 30 April, while all other mines will operate at 50pc of capacity.

Currently, only those mines supplying coal to state-owned utility Eskom are operating at full capacity because electricity provision is classified as an essential service under the country's regulations aimed at limiting the spread of the Covid-19 pandemic.

Most other mines are operating at a 50pc capacity, unless they have obtained special permission from mining and energy minister Gwede Mantashe to operate at a higher production level.

President Cyril Ramaphosa yesterday outlined a phased, risk-adjusted plan for South Africa to restart its economy, which will see a limited number of sectors resume operations next week.

This comes after Ramaphosa announced a wide-ranging R500bn stimulus package on 21 April, along with an extensive range of tax relief measures. Amongst these was a three-month deferral for the filing and first payment of carbon tax liabilities to 31 October 2020.

"Our economic strategy going forward will require a new social compact among all role players — business, labour, community and government — to restructure the economy and achieve inclusive growth," Ramaphosa said when he announced the package.

Finance minister Tito Mboweni will shortly table a revised budget bill to parliament to deal with all the measures that were announced.

"To manage the health risks of this extremely contagious disease, international experience suggests that a phased approach to the normalisation of economic activity is required, Mboweni said.

Very little is known about how comorbidity factors affect infection and mortality rates, and with existing health problems, cramped living conditions and poverty within the South African, caution is warranted, he said.

South Africa has eight million people infected with AIDS and 300,000 tuberculosis sufferers, which increases its population's vulnerability to Covid-19.

But the longer that growth remains weak, the greater the risk that there will be permanent destruction of economic capacity, which in turn will have serious implications for the income streams of households and companies, Mboweni warned.

Next week, only those sectors with a low rate of Covid-19 transmission and high economic or social value will be allowed to resume. All businesses including mines will have to maintain strict health and safety protocols, including disease surveillance, infection prevention and stringent social distancing measures where possible.

Staff will be screened daily for Covid-19 symptoms, including a temperature assessment. All employees will have to wear cloth masks. Employers have to make sanitisers available or hand washing facilities with soap. Workers older than 60 and those with comorbidities will be allowed to work from home or remain on leave with full pay.

Going forward, economic restrictions will be adapted according to infection levels and the health system's readiness, and may need to be relaxed and tightened in different periods, Ramaphosa said.

An alert system has be created with clearly defined levels of restriction, with five being the highest and one being the lowest. The government will impose these as necessary and, where risks begin to emerge, targeted lockdowns may need to be re-imposed

On 1 May, the country will transition from alert level five to alert level four. Under level four, all essential services plus a limited number of sectors will be allowed to resume.

Borders will remain closed for all goods transportation apart from essential items and no international passenger travel will be allowed except for South African nationals returning or foreign nationals being repatriated.

Only when the country's level of alert is scaled down to two, defined by a moderate spread of the virus combined with high readiness of the health system, can all mines resume operating at 100pc of their capacity.

Once the lowest alert level of one is reached, when virus spread becomes low and the health system is in high readiness, can all sectors resume 100pc of operation and interprovincial movement will be allowed again. And only at this level will a 7pm-5am curfew that will apply across the country be lifted. But international travel remains restricted.

The South African Chamber of Commerce and Industry (SACCI) commended the government's "well thought-out" plan to gradually reopen particular economic sectors, while continuing to mitigate against the pandemic.

To date South Africa has confirmed just under 4,000 Covid-19 cases and 75 deaths. The spread of the virus in the country is expected to peak in September.


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25/05/06

Trump unlikely to lift tariffs on Canada

Trump unlikely to lift tariffs on Canada

Washington, 6 May (Argus) — President Donald Trump suggested today he would not lift tariffs on imports from Canada and told Canadian prime minister Mark Carney that the US-Canada-Mexico (USMCA) free trade agreement needs to be renegotiated. Trump, who hosted Carney at the White House today, told reporters that there was nothing Canada's leader could tell him to change his mind on stiff tariffs he imposed on Canadian steel, aluminum, cars and auto parts. "It's just the way it is," Trump said. While Trump has altered his tariff levels repeatedly, his administration has imposed a 25pc tariff on Canada-sourced steel and aluminum, and a 25pc tariff on some cars and autoparts imported from Canada. Any product that qualifies for duty-free treatment under the USMCA is exempt from tariffs Trump imposed. The 10pc tariff Trump imposed on Canadian crude and other energy imports only lasted from 4-7 March, causing turmoil in North American energy markets. But even the remaining tariffs are a significant hindrance for the integrated North American auto industry, executives in Canada and the US have said. Trump today described the USMCA, which he negotiated during his first administration, as merely a "transitional deal" and suggested that it could be either terminated or renegotiated completely. The USMCA includes a provision calling for it to be reviewed by all three countries in 2026. The existing free trade agreement is "a basis for broader negotiations," Carney said, adding that "some things about it are going to have to change." Carney made his first trip to Washington just a week after winning the 28 April parliamentary election, following a campaign centered around his opposition to Trump's policies. Trump and Carney offered polite compliments to each other, but there was little visible chemistry between the two men. Trump doubled down on his suggestion that Canada could become the 51st US state, prompting Carney to tell him that "as you know from real estate, there are some places that are never for sale." "Having met with the owners of Canada over the course of the campaign in the last several months, it's not for sale," Carney said. "Never say never", Trump retorted. Trump also repeated his past claims that "we don't do much business with Canada. From our standpoint, they do a lot of business with us." "We are the largest client of the United States," said Carney. "We have a tremendous auto sector between the two of us." By Haik Gugarats Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

US EIA will not release international outlook in 2025


25/05/06
25/05/06

US EIA will not release international outlook in 2025

Washington, 6 May (Argus) — The US Energy Information Administration (EIA) no longer expects to publish one of its major energy reports this year after losing some of its staff through President Donald Trump's efforts to downsize the federal workforce. The EIA does not plan to publish its International Energy Outlook (IEA) — which models long-term global trends in energy supply and demand — this year because of a loss of staff responsible for producing the report, according to an internal email initially reported by the news outlet ProPublica . The EIA confirmed the authenticity of the email. "At this point, you can assume that we will not be releasing the IEO this year," the EIA's Office of Energy Analysis assistant administrator Angelina LaRose wrote in the 16 April email. "This was a difficult decision based on the loss of key resources." Oil and gas producers, traders, utility companies, federal regulators and foreign governments have come to rely on the data and models from the EIA, an independent agency within the US Department of Energy. The 2025 version of the IEO might still be published early next year, the EIA said. The agency for now is focusing on trying to "preserve as much institutional knowledge as possible" with an "all hands-on deck" effort under which remaining staff will document models and procedures on long-term modeling, LaRose wrote in the email. Trump and his administration have worked to cut the size of the government's workforce through voluntary buyouts and a process known as a reduction in force. The EIA has yet to say how many personnel it has lost, but about a third of the agency's 350 staffers have accepted voluntary buyouts, according to a person familiar with the situation. The White House last week proposed an 18pc budget cut for the non-nuclear portions of the Department of Energy, but has yet to say if it is seeking to cut spending at the EIA. Last month, the EIA released its premier report, the Annual Energy Outlook , but omitted its traditional in-depth analysis. A technical issue on 1 May delayed the release of a key natural gas storage report by more than three hours, the EIA said. By Chris Knight Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

US vehicle sales slip in April from 4-year high


25/05/05
25/05/05

US vehicle sales slip in April from 4-year high

Houston, 5 May (Argus) — Domestic sales of light vehicles in April slipped from a four-year high the prior month but still reflected robust purchasing ahead of planned implementation of more US tariffs on the automotive industry. Sales of light vehicles — trucks and cars — dipped to a seasonally adjusted rate of 17.3mn units in April, down from 17.8mn in March, the Bureau of Economic Analysis reported today. Last month's total still was above April 2024's annualized rate of 16mn and was the second-highest monthly reading since April 2021. US consumers maintained steady purchasing last month in a rush to beat 25pc tariffs on imports of vehicle parts that were set to be implemented on 3 May. Those higher duties are expected to raise input costs for domestic automakers, and thus, prices for buyers. US president Donald Trump early last week signed an order that allows vehicle manufacturers to partially recoup tariff-related costs, helping to ease the burden. Still, Trump maintained his goal of forcing US automakers to become wholly reliant on auto parts made in the US. Trump already instituted 25pc tariffs on imports of foreign-made vehicles on 3 April. Tariff-related pressures have dented US consumer sentiment and weighed on domestic manufacturing activity, but certain pockets of the economy have shown resilience such as the services industry and employment. Truck sales last month fell by 1.9pc sequentially to 14.4mn unit rate, while car sales dropped by 8.8pc to a 2.9mn unit rate. Domestic vehicle production fell to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 10.07mn from an upwardly revised 10.09mn in February, according to US Federal Reserve data. That compares with 11.08mn in March 2024. Auto assemblies are reported with a one-month lag to sales. By Alex Nicoll Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Ford expects $1.5bn tariff hit in 2025


25/05/05
25/05/05

Ford expects $1.5bn tariff hit in 2025

Pittsburgh, 5 May (Argus) — Ford expects tariffs to cost the US automaker about $1.5bn in profit this year, causing the firm to withdraw its full-year financial guidance today. Tariffs and the uncertain rollout of potential changes to those tariff caused the Dearborn, Michigan-based company to suspend its 2025 guidance, which was initially projected at $7bn-8.5bn in earnings before interest and taxes. US president Donald Trump has place 25pc import taxes on vehicles, steel and aluminum, placing immense pressure on US automakers, many of whom have operations in Mexico and Canada. Ford is the third major US automaker to rescind its financial guidance in the past week following similar decisions by Stellantis and General Motors . By James Marshall Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Mexico's manufacturing contraction deepens in April


25/05/05
25/05/05

Mexico's manufacturing contraction deepens in April

Mexico City, 5 May (Argus) — Activity in Mexico's manufacturing sector shrank for a 13th straight month in April, with declines accelerating in production and new orders, according to a survey of purchasing managers. The manufacturing purchasing managers' index (PMI) fell to 45.5 in April from 46.9 in March, finance executives' association IMEF said, moving further below the 50-point threshold that separates growth from contraction. US tariffs imposed since March are adding pressure to Mexico's manufacturing sector, which makes up about a fifth of the national economy. The auto industry, responsible for roughly 18pc of manufacturing GDP, may be the hardest hit by the new measures, including a 25pc tariff on auto parts that took effect 3 May. Mexico remains the top exporter of vehicles to the US, supplying 23pc of all US auto imports in 2024. But IMEF said tariffs compound broader, mostly domestic headwinds, including reduced public spending and investor uncertainty stemming from sweeping legal and regulatory reforms. New investment has stalled since late 2024. The PMI index for new orders fell by 2.5 points to 41.8, the lowest since June 2020. Production dropped by 2.5 points to 43.6, while employment fell by 0.6 point to 46.4. New orders and production have now been in contraction for 14 straight months, and employment for 15. Inventories saw the steepest drop in April, falling 4 points to 46.3 — sliding from expansion to contraction — as manufacturers accelerated shipments after tariff implementation dates were confirmed. IMEF's non-manufacturing PMI — which covers services and commerce — remained in contraction for a fifth consecutive month but edged up by 0.5 points to 49.0 in April. Within that index, new orders rose by 0.6 points to 48.1, employment increased 1.3 points to 48.6 and production held steady at 47.5. By James Young Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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