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China commits to ‘carbon neutrality’ by 2060

  • : Coal, Crude oil, Natural gas
  • 20/09/23

China has set a target to be carbon neutral by 2060, the first time the world's largest CO2 emitter has pledged such an ambitious — albeit long-term — clean energy goal.

China is aiming for its CO2 emissions to peak before 2030 and to achieve "carbon neutrality" by 2060, President Xi Jinping said in a virtual address to the UN General Assembly yesterday.

The 2030 goal was first announced in 2014 and is part of China's commitment under the 2015 Paris climate agreement. "China will scale up its intended nationally determined contributions by adopting more vigorous policies and measures," Xi said, while calling on all countries to take decisive steps to honour the accord.

But this is the first time China has pledged to reach carbon neutrality, with potentially significant long-term consequences for the country's huge oil, gas, coal and resources sectors. Details are unclear, including how China will define carbon neutrality, but Xi's statement conveys a clear direction and underlines the government's determination to decarbonise the economy. Beijing has already been moving to increase the share of cleaner energy sources, prompting the country's major energy firms to start planning for a lower carbon future.

China's state-controlled energy giants are focusing on boosting natural gas output and sales as a first step towards reducing their carbon intensity. Natural gas is targeted to reach 16pc in China's total primary energy consumption by 2035, according to state-owned think-tank the development research centre, up from around 8pc in 2019.

Energy firms are also setting out a blueprint to develop renewable fuels. State-controlled PetroChina, which is aiming to achieve near zero carbon emissions by 2050, is preparing a renewable energy plan for the 14th five-year planning period of 2021-25 that will explore opportunities in geothermal, solar, wind power and hydrogen.

Fellow state-controlled energy firm CNOOC announced plans in January to enter the domestic offshore wind farm market and started its first joint-venture wind power project with 300MW capacity this month.

China's largest oil refiner by capacity Sinopec is focusing on hydrogen development, in line with plans by the government to encourage alternatives to oil-fuelled vehicles. Beijing said this week it will reward innovations in the fuel cell electric vehicle sector in an effort to make breakthroughs in key technologies and to build a complete industry chain in four years. Sinopec produced 3mn t of hydrogen last year, or 14pc of the country's total output.

But China has a long way to go to clean up its energy sector. It has easily the world's largest coal-fired power sector, with 51.2pc of its total installed electricity capacity powered by coal compared with just 4.6pc for gas and 21.3pc for wind and solar. Around 71pc of power generation was based on coal during January-August this year.

The government is aiming for wind and solar to provide 18-20pc of total electricity demand, rather than capacity, in the 14th five-year plan, according to a source close to the process. The next five-year plan, which is likely to be finalised in October, will provide a key policy direction for the coming years.

US rivalry

The 2060 target date chosen by China is slightly later than similar targets set by the UK and EU to achieve net-zero emissions by 2050. Energy companies such as BP that have set longer term emissions targets have also focused largely on a 2050 date.

But China's commitments put it in particularly stark contrast with the US, which has announced its withdrawal from the Paris climate accord. US President Donald Trump accused China of being a major polluter in his own UN speech yesterday, noting that its emissions are twice those of the US and growing fast.

"Those who attack America's exceptional environmental record while ignoring China's rampant pollution are not interested in the environment. They only want to punish America, and I will not stand for it," Trump said.


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25/04/14

Keystone oil pipeline to restart today, pressure capped

Keystone oil pipeline to restart today, pressure capped

Calgary, 14 April (Argus) — The 622,000 b/d Keystone oil pipeline is repaired and has approval to restart at a reduced pressure less than a week after spilling crude in North Dakota. Pipeline operator South Bow is planning a "controlled restart" of the Keystone system today, provided weather cooperates, the company said. The repair and restart plans were approved by the Pipeline and Hazardous Materials Safety Administration (PHMSA), which issued a corrective action order (COA) to the Calgary-based midstream company on 11 April. The pipeline is a major carrier of Canadian heavy crude destined for both the US midcontinent and the Gulf coast but was shut down on 8 April after spilling 3,500 bl near Kathryn, North Dakota. About 2,845 bl had been recovered by 12 April, according to PHMSA. The COA indicates Keystone was operating at 1,251 pounds per square inch gauge (psig) at the time of failure, below the maximum allowed operating pressure of 1,440 psig for the pipeline. Flow rate at the time of failure was 17,844 bl per hour. Keystone will be capped at 80pc of the pressure at the time of the failure, or 1,000 psig. PHMSA noted five prior spills from Keystone occurring in 2016, 2017, 2019, 2020 and 2022 that saw releases of 400, 6,592, 4,515, 442 and 12,937 bl of crude, respectively, which "show a tendency or pattern in recent years of increasingly frequent incidents resulting in larger releases". Prices on either side of the pipeline break narrowed ahed of Keystone's imminent return-to-service. Heavy sour Western Canadian Select (WCS) in Hardisty, Alberta, has narrowed by about 75¢/bl to a $9.10/bl discount to the May Nymex WTI calendar month average, so far, while the same assessment in the Houston, Texas, area has widened by nearly 30¢/bl to about a $2.40/bl discount to the May basis. By Brett Holmes Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Funding cuts could delay US river lock work: Correction


25/04/14
25/04/14

Funding cuts could delay US river lock work: Correction

Corrects lock locations in paragraph 5. Houston, 14 April (Argus) — The US Army Corps of Engineers (Corps) will have to choose between various lock reconstruction and waterway projects for its annual construction plan after its funding was cut earlier this year. Last year Congress allowed the Corps to use $800mn from unspent infrastructure funds for other waterways projects. But when Congress passed a continuing resolutions for this year's budget they effectively removed that $800mn from what was a $2.6bn annual budget for lock reconstruction and waterways projects. This means a construction plan that must be sent to Congress by 14 May can only include $1.8bn in spending. No specific projects were allocated funding by Congress, allowing the Corps the final say on what projects it pursues under the new budget. River industry trade group Waterways Council said its top priority is for the Corps to provide a combined $205mn for work at the Montgomery lock in Pennsylvania on the Ohio River and Chickamauga lock in Tennessee on the Tennessee River since they are the nearest to completion and could become more expensive if further delayed. There are seven active navigation construction projects expected to take precedent, including the following: the Chickamauga and Kentucky Locks on the Tennessee River; Locks 2-4 on the Monongahela River; the Three Rivers project on the Arkansas River; the LaGrange Lock on the Illinois River; Lock 25 on the Mississippi River; and the Montgomery Lock on the Ohio River. There are three other locks in Texas, Pennsylvania and Illinois that are in the active design phase (see map) . By Meghan Yoyotte Corps active construction projects 2025 Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

IMO GHG pricing not yet Paris deal-aligned: EU


25/04/14
25/04/14

IMO GHG pricing not yet Paris deal-aligned: EU

Brussels, 14 April (Argus) — The International Maritime Organisation's (IMO) global greenhouse gas (GHG) pricing mechanism "does not yet ensure the sector's full contribution to achieving the Paris Agreement goals", the European Commission has said. "Does it have everything for everybody? For sure, it doesn't," said Anna-Kaisa Itkonen, the commission's climate and energy spokesperson said. "This is often the case as an outcome from international negotiations, that not everybody gets the most optimal outcome." The IMO agreement reached last week will need to be confirmed by the organisation in October, the EU noted, even if it is a "strong foundation" and "meaningful step" towards net zero GHG emissions in global shipping by 2050. The commission will have 18 months following the IMO mechanism's formal approval to review the directive governing the bloc's emissions trading system (ETS), which currently includes maritime emissions for intra-EU voyages and those entering or leaving the bloc. By EU law, the commission will also have to report on possible "articulation or alignment" of the bloc's FuelEU Maritime regulation with the IMO, including the need to "avoid duplicating regulation of GHG emissions from maritime transport" at EU and international levels. That report should be presented, "without delay", following formal adoption of an IMO global GHG fuel standard or global GHG intensity limit. Finland's head representative at the IMO delegation talks, Anita Irmeli, told Argus that the EU's consideration of whether the approved Marpol amendments are ambitious enough won't be until "well after October". Commenting on the IMO agreement, the European Biodiesel Board (EBB) pointed to the "neutral" approach to feedstocks, including first generation biofuels. "The EBB welcomes this agreement, where all feedstocks and pathways have a role to play," EBB secretary general Xavier Noyon said. Faig Abbasov, shipping director at non-governmental organisation Transport and Environment, called for better incentives for green hydrogen. "The IMO deal creates a momentum for alternative marine fuels. But unfortunately it is the forest-destroying first generation biofuels that will get the biggest push for the next decade," he said. By Dafydd ab Iago Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Shale patch on edge after tariff drama


25/04/14
25/04/14

Shale patch on edge after tariff drama

New York, 14 April (Argus) — US president Donald Trump's back and forth over tariffs that sent oil prices tumbling to a four-year low last week has sparked jitters across the shale patch, although most producers are likely to take their time to respond. The oil and gas industry, one of Trump's biggest cheerleaders and donors during his election campaign, has been taken aback by the speed and scale of the president's escalating trade wars and executives are signalling growing impatience. Meanwhile, Trump's "Drill, baby, drill" mantra is even less likely to become a reality now, after oil slid below the $65/bl level that executives surveyed by the Dallas Federal Reserve Bank last month warned was needed to profitably sink a new well. Trump's imposition of punitive tariffs on nearly every major US trading partner led to a sell-off in stock, bonds and commodity markets until he announced a 90-day pause for most nations — except China — on 9 April. While it may be too early for talk about dropping rigs and curtailing production, companies will face tough questions from analysts about their contingency plans when first-quarter results start coming through later this month. One key difference from previous downturns in 2014 and 2020 is that exploration and production (E&P) firms are in a better position this time, with less debt on their balance sheets and more modest growth plans, which may help limit the initial fallout. But higher costs owing to tariffs on steel imports could offset the efficiency savings that have kept production going in an era of restrained spending. "E&Ps are likely to mostly take a wait-and-see approach — with a high level of uncertainty about future policy — and not prematurely lay down rigs," consultancy Enverus principal analyst Andrew Dittmar says. "If prices are weak headed into 2026, that is where you are likely to see a more material reduction in drilling budgets. Feeling dominated The shale industry has welcomed Trump's "energy dominance" agenda and his promise of a permitting overhaul. But cracks are appearing in that relationship because of his stop-start policy on tariffs. "This administration better have a plan," Diamondback Energy president Kaes Van't Hof said in a social media post, in a direct appeal to energy secretary Chris Wright. Shale is the "only industry that actually built itself in the US, manufactures in the US, grew jobs in the US and improved the trade deficit — and by proxy GDP — in the US over the past decade", Van't Hof, who is due to become Diamondback chief executive later this year, said. His company became the largest pure-play producer in the prolific Permian basin of west Texas and southeast New Mexico following its $26bn takeover of Endeavor Energy Resources last year. While few public producers were planning any kind of meaningful growth this year as higher dividends and buy-backs continue to be the priority, even that could eventually find itself on the chopping block. "The corporate reality for public players means that already modest growth could be at risk if prices remain near $60/bl," Rystad Energy vice-president for North American oil and gas Matthew Bernstein says. Little in the way of growth was forecast outside the core Permian this year even before Trump rolled out his tariffs. A prolonged period of lower prices could spur a downturn in the top-performing US basin. A combination of short-term activity levels, investor distributions and production could be sacrificed in order to defend margins, according to Rystad. And producers in the Delaware sub-basin could be especially vulnerable, given the region's steep initial decline rates, high well costs and large capital return requirements, the consultancy says. By Stephen Cunningham WTI breakeven price Nymex WTI futures month 1 Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Opec cuts oil demand forecasts on tariffs impact


25/04/14
25/04/14

Opec cuts oil demand forecasts on tariffs impact

London, 14 April (Argus) — Opec has cut its oil demand growth forecasts by 150,000 b/d for this year and 2026, citing US trade tariffs. In its latest Monthly Oil Market Report (MOMR), published today, Opec revised down its 2025 oil consumption growth projection to 1.3mn b/d, from 1.45mn b/d in its previous report. It said this was because of received data in the first three months of the year and "announced US tariffs." For 2026, the producer group now sees oil use growing by 1.28mn b/d, compared with 1.43mn b/d previously. It now sees demand at 105.05mn b/d in 2025, and at 106.33mn b/d in 2026. The outlook for oil demand and prices have sharply deteriorated since US President Donald Trump's 'Liberation Day' tariff announcements and the Opec+ alliance's decision to speed up planned output hikes, both decisions taken in early April. But Opec's oil demand revisions are relatively modest compared with those by some investment banks in recent weeks. Goldman Sachs slashed its oil demand forecast for this year to just 300,000 b/d. Morgan Stanley sees demand growth at 500,000 b/d in the second half of this year, half of its prior estimate. In terms of supply, Opec cut its non-Opec+ liquids growth forecast by 100,000 b/d for 2025 and for 2026, to 910,000 b/d and 900,000 b/d respectively. The US was the main driver for downward revision in both years: Opec now sees the country adding 400,000 b/d in 2025 and 380,000 b/d in 2026, compared with 450,000 b/d and 460,000 b/d previously. Opec+ crude production — including Mexico — fell by 37,000 b/d to 41.02mn b/d in March, according to an average of secondary sources that includes Argus . Opec puts the call on Opec+ crude at 42.6mn b/d in 2025 and 42.8mn b/d in 2026. By Aydin Calik Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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