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Higher costs, demand to boost China TiO2 prices

  • : Metals
  • 21/04/07

Higher concentrate feedstock costs and firmer demand from international consumers are expected by market participants to prompt Chinese titanium dioxide prices to rise further in the short term.

Prices for 46pc grade titanium concentrate feedstock yesterday rose to 2,280-2,320 yuan/t ($349-355/t) ex-works with 13pc value-added tax unpaid, the highest level since Argus launched this assessment on 6 September 2012 at Yn1,550-1,700/t ex-works.

Concentrate prices have risen steadily since the end of the mid-February lunar new year holiday, in response to a shortage of medium-grade titanium ore feedstock supplies and renewed demand from dioxide producers. Tighter spot availability and higher demand from the titanium dioxide industry may lift titanium concentrate prices in the coming days.

Domestic offer prices from 12 key dioxide producers have moved up by Yn1,000/t, with export offer prices rising by $150/t fob in recent days after global dioxide producer Chemours on 31 March raised its offer prices for supplies to Asia-Pacific by $200/t, effective from 1 May.

These producers included Anhui Annada Titanium Industry, CNNC Huayuan Titanium Dioxide, Citic Titanium industry, Jiangsu Zhentai Chemical, Shandong Dawn Titanium, CNMC (Guangxi) Pgma, Kunming Donghao, Tianyuan Group, Panzhihua Hengtong, Guizhou Shengweihua, Ningbo Xinfu and Shunfeng Titanium Industry.

China's largest titanium dioxide producer Lomon Billions is expected to lift its domestic and export prices again on 9 April after its increase on 1 March in response to the higher feedstock costs and firmer demand from international consumers.

Most producers today have stopped signing contracts for April delivery below Yn19,500/t for 93pc rutile grade dioxide and Yn17,000/t for 98pc anatase grade dioxide because of low spot inventories and renewed buying interest from international consumers.

Argus yesterday assessed the range for 98pc anatase grade dioxide at Yn16,500-17,000/t ex-works and Yn18,800-19,500/t ex-works for 93pc rutile grade dioxide, the highest level since 16 October 2018 when Argus launched this assessment.

Export rutile prices were assessed at $3,000-3,100/t fob yesterday, the highest level since 16 October 2018, following a rise from $2,900-3,000/t fob on 23 March driven by the rise in domestic prices and firmer demand from international buyers. China's dioxide exports rose by 211,300t or 21.1pc from 2019 to 1.21mn t in 2020, accounting for 34.6pc of the country's total output. January-February dioxide exports rose by 27,000t or 15.5pc from a year earlier to 201,100t in 2021, according to customs data.

Domestic exporters today are inclined to sell dioxide to international buyers at $3,100-3,150/t fob China for the dioxide produced by the sulphuric acid process because of tighter spot availability and expectations of firmer demand in the coming months.

Titanium dioxide producer Citic Titanium is likely to offer prices for dioxide produced by the chlorination process at $3,250-3,300/t fob today after a rise in export offer prices from 1 April, in response to higher production costs and buying interest from international consumers. The firm is unwilling to sign orders with international consumers in the coming weeks because of limited spot inventories and is focusing on fulfilling existing orders signed last month.

Pangang Vanadium & Titanium Resource sold small volumes of titanium dioxide at $3,000/t fob two weeks ago and plans not to sign contracts below $3,100/t fob in the coming days.


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25/05/07

US Fed holds rate, awaits 'clarity' on tariffs: Update

US Fed holds rate, awaits 'clarity' on tariffs: Update

Adds Powell comments, CME, GDP data. Houston, 7 May (Argus) — US Federal Reserve policymakers kept their target interest rate flat today for a third time this year, noting that economic "uncertainty" has increased, while signaling they would continue to monitor the impacts of the new US administration's policies before adjusting monetary policy. The Fed's Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) held the federal funds rate unchanged at 4.25-4.50pc. The Fed has held the target rate unchanged this year after three rate cuts late last year lowered the target rate by 100 basis points from a two-decade high of 5.25-5.5pc after the Fed sharply hiked rates from near zero to battle inflation that topped 9pc in 2022 during the overheated recovery from the Covid-19 slump. "If the large increases in tariffs that have been announced are sustained, they are likely to generate a rise in inflation, a slowdown in economic growth, and an increase in unemployment," Fed chair Jerome Powell told reporters after the decision. "All of these policies are still evolving however, and their effects on the economy remain highly uncertain." Powell also noted that "we are entering a new phase where the administration is entering into beginning talks with a number of our important trading partners and that has the potential to change the picture materially." US economic growth contracted by an annual 0.3pc in the first quarter of 2025 following 2.4pc growth in the fourth quarter. It was the first quarter of negative growth in three years and raised concerns that the US may be entering a recession amid a raft of poor consumer and business confidence surveys. But Powell pointed out that the driver of the first-quarter contraction was a "distortion" caused by a spike in imports, which subtracts from GDP growth, as businesses stocked up on inventory from abroad to get ahead of the tariff impacts. Overall, he said, "the economy is growing at a solid pace, the labor market appears to be solid. Inflation is running a bit above 2pc. So it's an economy that's been resilient and in good shape." The Fed earlier penciled in two likely quarter point rate cuts this year, but the administration of President Donald Trump's chaotic rolling out of tariff and federal spending policies has continued to push back the likelihood of cuts to the federal funds rate, as measured by the CME's FedWatch tool, to the back half of the year. FedWatch, after Wednesday's decision, sees a 23.3pc probability of a quarter point cut at the June Fed meeting, down from 30.5pc Tuesday. Odds of a quarter point cut in July were little changed at 57pc from the prior day. "Ultimately we think our policy rate is in a good place to stay as we await further clarity on tariffs and ultimately their implications for the economy," Powell said. By Bob Willis Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

US Fed holds rate steady, keeping eye on tariffs


25/05/07
25/05/07

US Fed holds rate steady, keeping eye on tariffs

Houston, 7 May (Argus) — US Federal Reserve policymakers kept their target interest rate flat today for a third time this year, noting that economic "uncertainty" has increased while signaling they would continue to monitor the impacts of the new US administration's tariffs and other policies before adjusting monetary policy. The Fed's Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) held the federal funds rate unchanged at 4.25-4.50pc. The Fed has held the target rate unchanged this year after three rate cuts late last year lowered the target rate by 100 basis points from a two-decade high of 5.25-5.5pc. "Uncertainty about the economic outlook has increased further," the FOMC said in its statement. Policymakers "will carefully assess incoming data, the evolving outlook, and the balance of risks" in considering additional adjustments to the target rate, the statement said, echoing language from prior statements. Fed funds futures markets early Wednesday gave a 73pc probability the Fed's first rate cut of 2025 would be at the July meeting. By Bob Willis Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

High sulphur prices pressure Indonesian buyers


25/05/07
25/05/07

High sulphur prices pressure Indonesian buyers

Singapore, 7 May (Argus) — Steep increases in sulphur prices, against expectations of lower future nickel demand, and falling nickel prices since last year are pressuring metals producers in Indonesia, and some are considering postponing new projects. Sulphur is used as a raw material in the production of nickel intermediates such as nickel matte and mixed hydroxide precipitate (MHP), through the rotary kiln-electric furnace (RKEF) and high-pressure acid leaching (HPAL) processes, respectively. Producing 1t of MHP or nickel matte requires an estimated 10t and 15t of sulphur, respectively. Global sulphur prices began to rise in mid-2024 on firmer demand from Morocco and Indonesia. Morocco's OCP started up two sulphur burners last year that will consume 967,000 t/yr of sulphur at capacity. In Indonesia, newly commissioned HPAL production lines at QMB New Energy Materials and Halmahera Persada Lygend also added an estimated 830,000 t/yr of sulphur demand. Uncertainty over Kazakh and Russian sulphur export availability because of EU sanctions also created uncertainty over available supply in the region. Tighter supply, compounded by competing Chinese and Indonesian demand after the Lunar New Year holidays, spurred a rally in sulphur prices in the first quarter of the year. Fob Middle East sulphur prices more than tripled to $285.5/t fob as of 1 May from $86/t a year earlier, Argus assessments show. Cfr Indonesia granular sulphur prices rose by $185/t to $297/t cfr over the same period. While sulphur prices have risen significantly over the past year, prices for Indonesian-origin nickel intermediates have been largely rangebound at $12,000-14,000/t of nickel contained since January 2024. The comparatively flat nickel prices and the rising raw material prices mean that producers' margins are narrowing further. Gross profit margins for MHP products were close to $10,000/t in 2023 before falling to around $7,000/t in 2024, according to Argus estimates. Current sulphur prices take up around 40pc of the total production cost of nickel matte, the largest portion out of other raw materials such as caustic soda, according to one metals producer. And the increased adoption of non-nickel containing battery chemistries such as lithium-iron-phosphate and higher demand for plug-in hybrid electric vehicles have led the industry to revise its expectation of future nickel demand from the battery section. The International Nickel Study Group has forecast a nickel market surplus of 198,000t for 2025 , rising from 179,000t in 2024. But new ternary precursor cathode active materials projects will support a rise in nickel usage in the medium term, the group said. As higher raw material prices continue to chip away at producer margins, upcoming projects including QMB New Energy Materials' phase 3 in Morowali, and developments by Guangqing and Blue Sparkling Energy in Weda Bay may have to be postponed, market participants said. The three projects are expected on line this year, adding 844,000 t/yr of sulphur demand at capacity. By Chi Hin Ling, Deon Ngee Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Trump unlikely to lift tariffs on Canada


25/05/06
25/05/06

Trump unlikely to lift tariffs on Canada

Washington, 6 May (Argus) — President Donald Trump suggested today he would not lift tariffs on imports from Canada and told Canadian prime minister Mark Carney that the US-Canada-Mexico (USMCA) free trade agreement needs to be renegotiated. Trump, who hosted Carney at the White House today, told reporters that there was nothing Canada's leader could tell him to change his mind on stiff tariffs he imposed on Canadian steel, aluminum, cars and auto parts. "It's just the way it is," Trump said. While Trump has altered his tariff levels repeatedly, his administration has imposed a 25pc tariff on Canada-sourced steel and aluminum, and a 25pc tariff on some cars and autoparts imported from Canada. Any product that qualifies for duty-free treatment under the USMCA is exempt from tariffs Trump imposed. The 10pc tariff Trump imposed on Canadian crude and other energy imports only lasted from 4-7 March, causing turmoil in North American energy markets. But even the remaining tariffs are a significant hindrance for the integrated North American auto industry, executives in Canada and the US have said. Trump today described the USMCA, which he negotiated during his first administration, as merely a "transitional deal" and suggested that it could be either terminated or renegotiated completely. The USMCA includes a provision calling for it to be reviewed by all three countries in 2026. The existing free trade agreement is "a basis for broader negotiations," Carney said, adding that "some things about it are going to have to change." Carney made his first trip to Washington just a week after winning the 28 April parliamentary election, following a campaign centered around his opposition to Trump's policies. Trump and Carney offered polite compliments to each other, but there was little visible chemistry between the two men. Trump doubled down on his suggestion that Canada could become the 51st US state, prompting Carney to tell him that "as you know from real estate, there are some places that are never for sale." "Having met with the owners of Canada over the course of the campaign in the last several months, it's not for sale," Carney said. "Never say never", Trump retorted. Trump also repeated his past claims that "we don't do much business with Canada. From our standpoint, they do a lot of business with us." "We are the largest client of the United States," said Carney. "We have a tremendous auto sector between the two of us." By Haik Gugarats Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

US vehicle sales slip in April from 4-year high


25/05/05
25/05/05

US vehicle sales slip in April from 4-year high

Houston, 5 May (Argus) — Domestic sales of light vehicles in April slipped from a four-year high the prior month but still reflected robust purchasing ahead of planned implementation of more US tariffs on the automotive industry. Sales of light vehicles — trucks and cars — dipped to a seasonally adjusted rate of 17.3mn units in April, down from 17.8mn in March, the Bureau of Economic Analysis reported today. Last month's total still was above April 2024's annualized rate of 16mn and was the second-highest monthly reading since April 2021. US consumers maintained steady purchasing last month in a rush to beat 25pc tariffs on imports of vehicle parts that were set to be implemented on 3 May. Those higher duties are expected to raise input costs for domestic automakers, and thus, prices for buyers. US president Donald Trump early last week signed an order that allows vehicle manufacturers to partially recoup tariff-related costs, helping to ease the burden. Still, Trump maintained his goal of forcing US automakers to become wholly reliant on auto parts made in the US. Trump already instituted 25pc tariffs on imports of foreign-made vehicles on 3 April. Tariff-related pressures have dented US consumer sentiment and weighed on domestic manufacturing activity, but certain pockets of the economy have shown resilience such as the services industry and employment. Truck sales last month fell by 1.9pc sequentially to 14.4mn unit rate, while car sales dropped by 8.8pc to a 2.9mn unit rate. Domestic vehicle production fell to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 10.07mn from an upwardly revised 10.09mn in February, according to US Federal Reserve data. That compares with 11.08mn in March 2024. Auto assemblies are reported with a one-month lag to sales. By Alex Nicoll Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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