UK-Australian resources firm BHP expects China's restrictions on Australian coal imports to remain in place for years, with it setting an unambitious metallurgical coal production target of 70mn-78mn t on a 100pc basis for 2021-22.
The firm expects metallurgical coal production from Australia's Queensland state to be weighted to the second half of 2021-22, with planned wash plant maintenance during July-December weighing on first-half production. It sold 72.58mn t on a 100pc basis in the 2020-21 fiscal year to 30 June, down from 72.61mn t the previous year, when it also planned to boost production in the second half of the year after it scheduled major wash plant maintenance at its Blackwater, Goonyella, Saraji and Caval Ridge mines in the first half of 2020-21.
The firm did increase sales to 21.102mn t on a 100pc basis for April-June from 17.75mn t during January-March and from 17.06mn t in October-December. It was also up on the 20.07mn t during April-June 2020.
Shipments from the BHP Mitsubishi Alliance (BMA) operated Hay Point coking coal export terminal have eased in July from a firm June, according to initial shipping data compiled by Argus.
The firm continues to struggle with geotechnical constraints and lower yields at its 6mn t/yr South Walker Creek mine, which it owns through its BHP Mitsui Coal (BMC) joint venture. It recorded record output from its Broadmeadow mine, which forms part of BMA's Goonyella complex, in April-June.
BHP expects average costs to be in a $74-78/t range, which it revised up from $69-75/t in April. It realised an average price of $118.54/t for hard coking coal and $104.40/t for weak coking coal during January-June, up from $106.30/t and $73.17/t respectively for July-December. This compares with $133.51/t and $84.43/t respectively in January-June 2020.
BHP defines hard coking coal as those with a coke strength after reaction (CSR) of 35 and above, with weak coking coal categorised as those with a CSR of below 35.
Argus last assessed the premium hard low-volatile coking coal price at $211/t fob Australia yesterday, up from $89.50/t on 31 December. Argus assessed the semi-soft coking coal price at $126.90/t fob Australia, up from $71.20/t over the same comparison.
Around three-quarters of BHP's share of metallurgical coal output comes from BMA, BHP's 50:50 joint venture with Japanese trading house Mitsubishi. The remaining quarter comes from BMC, its joint venture with Japanese trading firm Mitsui. BHP has an 80pc interest in BMC, which it has earmarked for sale along with its thermal coal assets.
BHP Queensland coal sales | (mn t) | |||||
Apr-Jun 2021 | Jan-Mar 2021 | Apr-Jun 2020 | FY 2020-21 | FY 2019-20 | FY 2021-22 target * | |
Coking coal | 8.34 | 7.11 | 8.32 | 29.44 | 30.48 | |
Weak coking coal | 3.10 | 2.44 | 2.80 | 10.51 | 10.07 | |
Thermal coal | 0.40 | 0.21 | 0.18 | 0.67 | 0.53 | |
Total | 11.83 | 9.76 | 11.30 | 40.62 | 41.09 | 39-44 |
Total (100%) | 21.10 | 17.75 | 20.07 | 72.58 | 72.61 | 70-78 |
Source: BHP | ||||||
* target is for production not sales |
