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Players evaluate Brazil gas demand, biogas future

  • : Natural gas
  • 22/06/21

Energy industry members evaluated the development of natural gas demand and the future of biogas during panels at Argus' Brazil Gas Commercialization Forum in Rio de Janeiro.

Natural gas prices must be more attractive in order for the industry to expand, said Roberto Noronha Santos, chief executive of petrochemicals group Unigel. He said this would lead investors to increase production, which would promote other investments such as in infrastructure. He highlighted the need for local industries to be able to compete with international companies in the country, on the same playing field in terms of incentives.

There is a need for players to engage in the opening of the market, gas distributor Potigás' chief executive Marina Senna said. She recalled an example from Rio Grande do Norte state where market participants and the regulator were able to expand the sector without a lot of legislative interference.

The taxation system must adapt to the realities of the market, said Rodrigo Senne, natural gas director at Ambar Energia. He cited the swap mechanism, where a contracted molecule is delivered from a supplier in a different place than originally stated in the contract, which can result in a tax fraud accusation.

Producer Origem Energia's oil and gas trading director Gustavo Hooper talked about the company's success in developing the market in Alagoas state. He said that from Origem's perspective non-associated production is offering the level of stability the market needs.

Participants also discussed the challenges, risks and opportunities of the biogas market. Gabriel Kropsch, a partner at gas trading company Sinergas, highlighted the climatic urgency the world faces, and pointed out biogas is the only primary energy source with a negative carbon footprint, making it indispensable for companies that want to reach net zero emissions.

Natalia Cerqueira, who is the gas and renewable natural gas originator manager at Raízen, said the price of natural gas will be the price the client is willing to pay — if it covers the investment and is competitive for the supplier. Some consumers do not understand the dynamics of the international market and ask for more predictability, she said. She also said it is hard to say how long indexing biogas to the national inflation rate, which keeps climbing, will be sustainable.

Producer MDC's chief executive, Manuela Larangeira Kayath, said to consider factors other than price to determine the competitiveness of biomethane. She named the revenue from carbon credits, Cbio credits and others as components that can make biogas attractive.


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US shale M&A faces headwinds on oil price rout

US shale M&A faces headwinds on oil price rout

New York, 12 May (Argus) — Dealmaking in the US shale patch, which had been on a roller-coaster ride in the past few years, is at risk of grinding to a halt as a result of an oil price slump. Just as a growing number of producers are unveiling plans to cut spending and slow activity as crude prices teeter around levels needed to profitably drill wells, prospects for mergers and acquisitions (M&A) in the shale patch are also souring. That marks a departure from the start of 2025 , when dealmakers were expecting a bumper year with recent acquirers looking to offload non-core assets and private equity gearing up to make a return after raising new funds. April brought five deals with a combined value of $2.3bn, bringing the year-to-date total for M&A activity in the US upstream space to $19.2bn, consultancy Enverus says. That was down by 60pc from a year earlier, when the latest round of consolidation was in full sway. "We're just hearing over and over again, across the board, that companies are overwhelmingly sitting on their hands," law firm Sidley partner Stephen Boone says. Recent deals include natural gas giant EQT buying the upstream and midstream assets of privately held Olympus Energy for $1.8bn . Gas is increasingly likely to dominate dealmaking going forward, as not only has the commodity fared better than oil on a relative basis, but investors are likely to be drawn by the US LNG boom and rapid growth of gas-fired power generation demand to meet the energy needs of data centres required for artificial intelligence . "The trouble is, there aren't enough potential gas deals to make up for a drop in oil asset activity, which we do anticipate is going to fall off a cliff," Enverus principal analyst Andrew Dittmar says. Aside from the trade tariff-induced market volatility that has sent crude prices tumbling to four-year lows, a lack of high-quality targets on the oil side also suggests deals will be few and far between this year. Most publicly-held operators will be focused on protecting their bottom line as they remain focused on shareholder returns rather than growth, and might well be reluctant to take on debt to fund deals. And private equity may prefer to bide its time. "That group is likely looking for some sign of a bottom on crude before jumping in, rather than trying to catch a falling knife of asset values," Dittmar says. That is not to say that deals have completely dried up, with Permian Resources agreeing this week to snap up assets in the New Mexico part of the top US shale play from APA for $608mn. But Diamondback Energy, a top Permian producer which has played an active role in the most recent round of M&A, might sum up the view of many with its plan to remain on the sidelines for the time being. Too much noise "We're in the period right now where there's so much noise and volatility that not a lot gets done," Diamondback's president, Kaes Van't Hof, says. "Anything that we would look at would have to be extremely cheap, and I just don't think we're there yet today." Even if some relief comes on the tariff front and the economy avoids a recession, it will take time for deals to pick up again, and that could push a resurgence in dealmaking well into 2026. The fact that public operators have spent the years since the pandemic on repairing balance sheets and focusing on investor payouts might also count against any uptick in transactions anytime soon. "That's actually going to keep M&A down, because now that we see the downturn, we have significantly less distressed companies out there that will be forced to sell, and we have more and more companies that think they are better situated to just ride it out," Sidley's Boone says. By Stephen Cunningham Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Saudi Aramco cuts dividend after fall in 1Q profit


25/05/12
25/05/12

Saudi Aramco cuts dividend after fall in 1Q profit

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India, Pakistan reach US-mediated, fragile ceasefire


25/05/11
25/05/11

India, Pakistan reach US-mediated, fragile ceasefire

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White House ends use of carbon cost


25/05/09
25/05/09

White House ends use of carbon cost

Washington, 9 May (Argus) — The US is ending its use of a metric for estimating the economic damages from greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, the latest reversal of climate change policies supported by President Donald Trump's predecessors. The White House Office of Management and Budget (OMB) this week directed federal agencies to stop using the social cost of carbon as part of any regulatory or decision-making practices, except in cases where it is required by law, citing the need "remove any barriers put in place by previous administrations" that restrict the ability of the US to get the most benefit "from our abundant natural resources". "Under this guidance, the circumstances where agencies will need to engage in monetized greenhouse gas emission analysis will be few to none," OMB said in a 5 May memo to federal agencies. In cases where such an analysis is required by law, agencies should limit their work "to the minimum consideration required" and address only the domestic effects, unless required by law. OMB said these steps are needed to ensure sound regulatory decisions and avoid misleading the public because the uncertainties of such analyses "are too great". The budget office issued the guidance in response to an executive order Trump issued on his first day in office, which also disbanded an interagency working group on the social cost of carbon and called for faster permitting for domestic oil and gas production and the termination of various orders issued by former president Joe Biden related to combating climate change. The metric, first established by the administration of former US president Barack Obama, has been subject to a tug of war between Democrats and Republicans. Trump, in his first term, slashed the value of the social cost of carbon, a move Biden later reversed . Biden then directed agencies to fold the metric into their procurement processes and environmental reviews. The US began relying on the cost estimate in 2010, offering a way to estimate the full costs and benefits of climate-related regulations. The Biden administration estimated the global cost of emitting CO2 at $120-$340/metric tonne and included it in rules related to cars, trucks, residential appliances, ozone standards, methane emission rules, refineries and federal oil and gas leases. By Michael Ball Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Brazil's inflation accelerates to 5.53pc in April


25/05/09
25/05/09

Brazil's inflation accelerates to 5.53pc in April

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