Energy industry bright spot for NorthAm steel
The oil and gas sector has proved to be a strong demand source for the US steel industry in 2022, while falling hot-rolled coil (HRC) prices increase the production of welded pipe.
Tubular producers Tenaris and Vallourec expect demand to remain strong through the rest of 2022, driven by pipe shortages and increased demand from drillers taking advantage of higher oil and natural gas prices. The Argus West Texas Intermediate fob Houston assessment, the US benchmark, was below $50/bl for most of 2020 as crude demand plunged along with US travel with the onset of the Covid-19 pandemic. Prices then began rising steadily from December 2020, hitting a peak of $127.81/bl in early March. The price was at $91.95/bl on 4 August.
The increased demand has coupled with falling hot-rolled coil (HRC) prices to make welded pipe more economical. Tubemaker Tenaris in particular is looking to increase its US pipe production.
"Our customers continue to increase their drilling activities and look to us to meet their tubular requirements we are hiring employees to ramp up our US welded production now that the hot-rolled coil prices have fallen and the spread between pipe and hot-rolled coil cost makes the production of welded pipes viable," chief executive Paula Rocca said in a second quarter earnings call on 4 August.
The company is even eyeing a possible electric arc furnace (EAF) at the Benteler Louisiana seamless steel pipe mill Tenaris is in the process of acquiring. The EAF would help get the rolling mill to its maximum production of 400,000 metric tonnes/yr.
Vallourec is targeting steel and rolling production of 750,000 t/yr in North America as it works to shed unprofitable rolling capacity in Europe. The company believes that tight tubular supply in North America will help keep volumes and pricing elevated.
The Argus US hot-rolled coil (HRC) Midwest ex-works assessment fell to $822/short ton on 2 August, its lowest level since December 2020. Prices have fallen by 48pc since the beginning of 2022.
Prices may remain under pressure as US flat-rolled steelmakers Cleveland-Cliffs, Nucor and Steel Dynamics work to bring a combined 16,200 st/day, or an additional 1.45mn st/quarter, on line in the back half of the year, according to capacities listed by the companies.
In the US, during the second half of the year Tenaris will take a maintenance outage at its Bay City, Texas, pipe mill, a move which could cut into domestic supply.
Integrated steelmaker US Steel, which has its own tubular operations in Fairfield, Alabama, shipped 136,000st of products in the second quarter, up by 30pc from the prior year. Utilization rates were at 75pc, up by 24 percentage points.
In addition to growing domestic supply imports have also jumped to meet US demand. Oil country tubular goods (OCTG) imports have jumped by 70pc in the last year to 1.12mn t through June, while line pipe imports are up by 40pc to 439,000t.
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Libya’s oil minister asks PM to clarify who's in charge
Libya’s oil minister asks PM to clarify who's in charge
London, 28 June (Argus) — Libya's sidelined oil minister Mohamed Oun has called on Tripoli-based prime minister Abdelhamid Dbeibeh to clarify who is in charge of the ministry. The question of who runs the oil ministry has been unclear since Oun returned to work on 28 May after a temporary suspension was lifted by a state watchdog. During his absence, Oun was replaced by oil ministry undersecretary Khalifa Rajab Abdulsadek, who represented Libya at the latest Opec+ meeting on 2 June. Dbeibeh has continued to recognise Abdulsadek as oil minister since Oun's return to work. In a lengthy statement defending his record, Oun complained that Dbeibeh has cut off all communication with him and that it is impossible to carry out his duties under such conditions. "The presence of a legitimate minister and an illegal minister" is creating confusion in the sector, Oun added. Dbiebeh was seen as a key player behind the initial removal of Oun. Argus understands that Oun's suspension was part of an attempt to clear the way for state-owned NOC to move ahead with key oil and gas projects the he opposed. But the move received pushback from powerful figures including the head of Libya's presidential council and the country's central bank governor, leading to Oun's suspension being lifted. "I don't expect this issue to be resolved any time soon. Dbiebeh is unlikely to want to get into a fight given his weakening position over the past few weeks," Jalel Harchaoui, a Libya specialist at the UK's Royal United Services Institute, told Argus . Although the position of oil minister in Libya has been largely relegated to a nominal role — and much less powerful than the chairman of NOC — Oun has successfully used his role to galvanise public opinion against deals and policies promoted by the government and NOC. Libya remains politically fragmented, with rival governments based in the east and west of the country, and control of Libya's oil sector is coveted by a wide array of factions tussling for power. The north African country produces just above 1.2mn b/d of crude and wants to boost this to around 2mn b/d, but this will only be possible if it can advance long-stalled projects. By Aydin Calik Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
UK HRC market ponders early closure of Tata BFs
UK HRC market ponders early closure of Tata BFs
London, 28 June (Argus) — The UK hot-rolled coil (HRC) market was pondering the potential premature closure of Tata Steel's blast furnaces today. Tata Steel UK could close both its furnaces and the wider heavy end at its Port Talbot site by 5 July because of the impending and "indefinite" strike by members of the trade union Unite, due to start on 8 July, company chief executive Rajesh Nair said in a note to employees on Thursday. Tata had initially planned to maintain blast furnace 4 until September, with blast furnace 5 going down this month. The strike, involving 1,500 workers, would mean Tata could not "maintain safe and stable operations", Nair said. Tata is trying to bring Unite back to the negotiating table, alongside other unions Community and GMB. The company said it will pursue legal action to challenge the validity of Unite's strike ballot — it has questioned whether the union met the 50pc participation threshold requirements at certain sites. Sources were caught somewhat off-guard by the news, which is complicated by the failure of the UK government to approve the Trade Remedies Authority's recommendation to suspend import quotas for HRC . With HRC import quotas still in place, supply from ‘other countries' sellers will be increasingly constrained — the duty-free quota is around 23,000/t quarter, but almost 50,000t could clear into this in 1 July, partially because of Tata's increased importation of Indian HRC. Should Tata's furnaces go off line early next month, it would need to increase imports of overseas tonnage, including from its parent company in India. Sources suggest HRC supply from its parent company could be booked for end-August arrival at the earliest. If quotas have not been suspended, there could again be duties payable for other countries' sellers. In a typical market, the disruption would clearly propel prices higher. But demand remains low, with mill tied and independent service centres competing to sell sheet as low as £620/ddp, a price which leaves no margin, based on average stock cost. Europe's imposition of a 15pc cap on countries selling into its own other countries quota is another complicating factor. That move effectively caps any country selling into that quota to 141,849t/quarter and could lead to material being diverted to the UK. The UK has not amended developing nation status as part of its latest safeguard review, meaning Vietnam — a major seller into the EU other countries' quota — can sell into the UK without quota. Vietnam is bearing the brunt of increased Chinese HRC exports, taking 3.9mn t over the first five months of this year, compared to 6.1mn t over the whole of 2023, which was a record high. By Colin Richardson Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
Accident disrupts coal deliveries to Australian port
Accident disrupts coal deliveries to Australian port
Shanghai, 28 June (Argus) — An accident on the Blackwater railway system has disrupted coal exports from Australia's 102mn t/yr Gladstone port in Queensland, which may take some time to resolve. The accident occurred on the main Blackwater rail line that connects coking and thermal coal mines in the lower and middle Bowen basin into Gladstone, including the Curragh, Jellinbah East, Blackwater and Kestrel coking coal mines, as well as the Rolleston and Minerva thermal coal mines. A truck collided with a car at Raglan — 50km north of Gladstone — at approximately 3am Australian Eastern Standard Time (5pm GMT) on 28 June, bringing down overhead power lines and coming to a stop across the railway track. "The accident is affecting coal services on the Blackwater system, together with freight and passenger trains which use this rail corridor," a spokesperson at Queensland Coal Network operator Aurizon told Argus . Recovery work is under way and the repair process is "expected to take a number of days" to restore the line, according to Aurizon. It is unclear how long repair works may take, although it is likely to be less than a week, an Australia-based source suggested. "It's still a bit early to say [what the impact will be]," another source said. "I'd guess they will try and get one line back up and running at a slower throughput rate while other lines/electrics are fixed." The Moura rail system — which also delivers coal into Gladstone — continues to operate, delivering coal from the lower grade coking coal and pulverised coal injection (PCI) grade mines of Dawson and Baralaba. The Gladstone RG Tanna coal terminal has a vessel queue of 12 as of 25 June, from 13 on 21 May and 23 on 23 April, although this may climb if the derailment disrupts coal deliveries for more than a few days. Hard coking coal typically accounts for around a third of Gladstone's total exports, with lower-grade coking coal and thermal coal each accounting for a third. Tighter supplies ahead The accident is expected to further tighten supplies, especially with upcoming rail closures and maintenance on some of Aurizon's coal-hauling networks in July-August. The closure will involve one planned 96-hour maintenance closure on the Blackwater system and a 84-hour planned closure of the Gregory branch of the rail system. The rail operator will also carry out bridge renewal work, with one track and a two-track bridge closed for two weeks, based on plans announced last year. "It is acknowledged that [this] will result in some capacity constraints during that period," an Aurizon spokesperson said on 7 June. Argus last assessed the premium hard coking coal price at $237/t fob Australia on 27 June, down from $249.50/t on 3 June. The fob Australia low-volatile PCI price was assessed at $186.85/t fob Australia on 27 June, up from $169.15/t on 3 June. The price spread between fob Australia premium low-volatile coking coal and low-volatile PCI has tightened gradually in the last six months, from $143.35/t on 2 January to $50.15/t on 27 June. Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
Lynas to produce heavy rare earths in Malaysia by 2025
Lynas to produce heavy rare earths in Malaysia by 2025
Beijing, 28 June (Argus) — Australia-listed mining company Lynas Rare Earths plans to start producing two separated heavy rare earth (HRE) products at its Malaysian facility by 2025. Lynas will start production of separated dysprosium and terbium at one of Lynas Malaysia's solvent extraction circuits in 2025. The facility is designed to separate up to 1,500 t/yr of a mixed heavy rare earth compound containing mixed samarium, europium, gadolinium, holmium, dysprosium and terbium (SEGH). The HRE project has completed initial engineering and detailed engineering design is underway, with commissioning and ramp-up expected in mid-2025. Lynas' HRE product range will increase to five products — dysprosium, terbium, unseparated samarium/europium/gadolinium, holmium concentrate and unseparated SEGH — after the separation of dysprosium and terbium from the SEGH compound. Dysprosium and terbium are needed to produce high-performance rare earth magnets, which are used in consumer electronics, electric vehicle engines and other automotive applications. Lynas is also progressing pre-construction activities for its planned rare earth processing facility in the US. Its facilities in Malaysia and the US have been designed to accept third-party feedstocks once they start operations. The heavy rare earths production provides a pathway to accelerate Lynas' commitment to processing all of the elements at the firm's Australian Mount Weld ore site, said Lynas' chief executive officer and managing director, Amanda Lacaze. Supply chains More national governments have been taking action to build or diversify more resilient and sustainable rare earth supply chains, to keep up with a fast-evolving clean energy transition and reduce their heavy reliance on China-origin supplies. China is the largest supplier of medium and heavy rare earths in the world, and it has been implementing stricter export control policies for rare earth extraction and separation technology. There is limited progress on the development of rare earth projects outside China, especially in the HRE market, mostly because of exploration technique restrictions, ore resource shortages, production costs and capital pressure and environmental consideration and so on. US-based rare earth producer MP Materials aims to develop a facility to produce HREs in the next few years. It has started neodymium-praseodymium oxide production since the third quarter of last year and targets commercial production of finished magnets by late 2025. Australian mineral producer Iluka Resources plans to achieve an output capacity of up to 23,000 t/yr of rare earth oxide, including 5,500 t/yr of neodymium-praseodymium oxide and 725 t/yr of dysprosium and terbium oxide from its refinery in Australia. Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
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