Bolivia starts exporting power to Argentina

: Agriculture, Electricity
23/03/15

Bolivia began exporting electricity to neighboring Argentina on 14 March as drought and record heat continued in the southern part of the hemisphere.

The 132kV power line stretches 120km from Bolivia's Tarija southern department and Argentina's northern Salta province. The power line was built by Bolivia's state-owned power company, ENDE.

Inauguration of the transmission line, which is part of Bolivia's long-term plan to export power, comes as Argentina and nearby countries struggle with power supply amid scorching weather.

Temperatures in Argentina from November-January were the hottest since 1961, the national weather service has said. The drought began in 2019 and intensified in 2022. Argentina received its lowest rainfall in four decades in the final quarter of 2022.

The drought is hurting crops, including those for biofuel. Argentina's agribusiness association, Crea, estimated in early March that the soybean harvest would be 31.2mn metric tonnes (t), down from its original estimate of 50mn t. Corn output is now forecast at 38.6mn t, down from 55.2mn t.

The collapse of agriculture production will add to Argentina's tough economic conditions, including inflation, which was 6.6pc in February and 102.5pc annualized through the month.

Neighboring Uruguay is dealing with similar drought conditions, which forced it to import electricity from Brazil as its hydroelectric supply has dropped. Hydroelectric power accounted for 43pc of average supply in 2022, dropping to 26pc so far this year.

The largest hydroelectric plant, the 1,890MW Salto Grande complex it shares with Argentina, provided an average of 98GWh in the first two months of this year, slightly more than 10pc of what it provided during the same two months of 2022.

Silvia Emaldi, president of Uruguay's state-run power company, UTE, told Argus that the country opted to import power rather than rely on thermal generation.

"We want to avoid firing up thermal generating plants to save on the cost of using fuel oil," she said.

Bolivian authorities hope that the first transmission line with Argentina will be the start of an interconnected system including Brazil, Paraguay and Uruguay.

Bolivia has installed capacity to generate 3,600MW, with national demand currently at 1,650MW, according to the energy ministry.

Bolivia also exports natural gas through pipelines to Argentina and Brazil, with an average of 17mn m³/d to Brazil and 10.8mn m³/d to Argentina last year.

By Lucien Chauvin

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25/04/29

German participants argue against power zone split

London, 29 April (Argus) — German power market participants have spoken out against dividing the German bidding zone, citing lower market liquidity and investments in renewable energies. The statements come after European transmission system operators (TSOs) association Entso-E yesterday published its bidding zone review (BZR), which concluded that splitting Germany's bidding zone into five would be the most "economically efficient". Germany's four TSOs argued that a bidding zone split would restrict liquidity in the futures market and could increase costs in the balancing market because fewer providers in smaller markets would participate. Renewables operators would probably see lower revenues, which could increase the need for subsidies, the TSOs said. And the economic gains from a split — around 1pc of system costs in 2025 — are not "meaningful". The TSOs also questioned the "suitability" of the study, citing "outdated" data and an "incoherent" analysis period. They highlighted the fact that the study compiled data from 2019, while the implementation of a split would only be possible by 2030, meaning developments in the system — including grid and renewables expansion — were not taken into account. Renewables association BEE agreed, adding that the BZR ignored several "key aspects", such as grid security, market efficiency, stability and the impact on the energy transition. The association highlighted the importance of strong German market liquidity, which enables "functioning" long-term power trading that is "crucial" for all of Europe. Traders' association Energy Traders Germany concurred, stating that a liquid market benefits consumers and businesses, as well as power plant investors. And exchange EEX told Argus that investments in power plants, which rely on "long-term framework conditions", would probably drop if the bidding zone were split. In the event of a split, subsidies and other compensation measures for industrial actors would probably need to be increased, EEX added. "All in all, it would end up being more expensive," the exchange told Argus . And chemical industry association VCI said reorganising the market would open up a "mega construction site" that would drag on for many years and create market uncertainty. A bidding zone split would make industrially strong regions into "high-price zones", energy association BDEW and automotive association VDA said, weakening competitiveness and prosperity. Instead of dividing the bidding zone, the focus should be on accelerated expansion and digitalisation of grids, they argued. The likely-incoming German government has pledged to stick to a single bidding zone , while economic ministry BMWK last year also rejected a bidding zone split , citing the complexity of the change, the risks to the competitiveness of industry centres, and lower liquidity. Germany's changing power system In the BZR, Entso-E advises assessing "the impact of the change of key influencing factors between 2025 and a potential implementation date around 2030", including grid expansion, before reconfiguring bidding zones. Germany's power mix in 2024 was much changed from 2019. In 2019, solar and wind output made up just under a third of the mix at an average of 19GW. By 2024, their share had risen to just under 46pc, with output averaging 23GW. And owing to the government-mandated phase-out, nuclear generation's share of the mix fell to zero by 2024 from just under 14pc in 2019, when Germany had 9.5GW installed nuclear capacity, according to Fraunhofer ISE data. Meanwhile, the share of coal and lignite-fired output dropped by around 2.6 and 3.9 respective percentage points from 2019 to 6.3pc and 16.3pc in 2024. Around 2.8GW and 10.3GW of coal and lignite-fired capacity, respectively, was taken off the open market in 2019-24 as part of the country's coal phase-out, according to data from grid regulator Bnetza. But gas burn in 2024 was around 1GW up from 2019, climbing to just over 12pc of the mix against 8.7pc five years earlier. And Germany's mix is likely to become even more renewables-heavy in the following years as it is set to phase out a further 6GW of dispatchable capacity by the start of 2030. The coal and lignite phase-out deadline is set for 2038, although market participants have recently called the date into question, owing largely to delays to the long-awaited power plant strategy. Owing to rapid solar buildout, solar generation in 2030 could average 16.2GW, according to Argus calculations. This would be 9.2GW up from 2024. And while onshore wind expansion lags in comparison, generation in 2030 could average 16.6GW, which would be around 4GW up from last year. German grid expansion is progressing rapidly, with 1,400km of power lines approved last year, a record. The four main projects aiming to address poor north-south interconnectivity — namely the 4GW Suedlink, 4GW Suedostlink, 2GW A-Nord and 2GW Ultranet lines — are set to come on line between the end of 2026 and 2030. German demand in 2024 was around 4GW lower than in 2019, largely owing to slowing production in energy-intensive industries, which has declined since December 2021. Recent US tariffs on imports have triggered further economic insecurity in industry, while BMWK earlier this month said it expects industrial activity in the coming months to "weaken". While economic growth is expected to increase by 1pc next year, according to BMWK, demand is unlikely to recover to pre-Covid and pre-energy crisis levels unless conditions improve for energy-intensive industries. By John Horstmann and Bea Leverett DE power mix 2019 % DE power mix 2024 % Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Trump return complicates climate talks: Cop 30 head

25/04/29

Trump return complicates climate talks: Cop 30 head

New York, 29 April (Argus) — This year's UN Cop 30 climate talks will proceed with a key goal of scaling up climate finance, but US president Donald Trump's disruptive return to the White House has made efforts to reduce emissions more challenging, according to the Brazilian official leading the summit. Continuing the fight to reduce greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions "is going to be a slightly uphill battle, but I think it's the right one," Brazil climate secretary and Cop 30 president André Corrêa Do Lago said Tuesday at the BNEF Summit in New York City. "The international context could help a little more", Corrêa Do Lago said, drawing laughter from the audience. Trump moved quickly after beginning his second term to withdraw the US from the Paris Agreement, an exit that will formally take effect in January 2026. He has started to impede US development of renewable energy projects he sees as boondoggles, but he is facing challenges to his attempts to halt government funding and tax credits for the sector. It is unclear if the US will send a delegation to the Cop 30 summit this year, which is scheduled to take place in Belem, Brazil, in November. Corrêa Do Lago said that invitations have not yet been sent to prospective participants. He also made a distinction between the US government and others in the US, including state and businesses leaders, that have pledged to continue supporting GHG emissions reductions even as the Trump administration moves to boost oil and gas. Publicly, countries have not changed their tune on climate in response to the US policy shifts. But Corrêa Do Lago said that privately there are "some that say, ‘God, how am I going to convince my people that I have to try to lower emissions if the richest country in the world is not doing the same?'" Corrêa Do Lago said that this year's summit needs to focus less on technical negotiations over documents that might never be implemented as a result, and more about making an economic appeal for decarbonization and hosting more of a "Cop of solutions, a Cop of action". He reiterated the Brazilian government's goal of increasing climate financing for developing countries from the target set at Cop 29 of $300bn/yr by 2035 to the far higher target of $1.3 trillion/yr. By Cole Martin Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

US winter wheat recovers with much needed rain

25/04/28

US winter wheat recovers with much needed rain

St Louis, 28 April (Argus) — The outlook for US winter wheat improved sharply over the week ending 27 April following much needed rain. US winter wheat acres rated in good-to excellent condition gained four percentage points over the prior week, according to US Department of Agriculture (USDA) data, reaching 49pc of the crop. Kansas, the largest US winter wheat state by acres, had been trending towards being a point of concern as the good-to-excellent ration for the wheat crop in the state had fallen by 10 percentage points from the week of 6 April. With the recent update, Kansas winter wheat was rated 47pc in good-to-excellent condition, 14 percentage points ahead of the five-year average. Other key winter wheat states improved as well, with the good-to-excellent ratios in Nebraska and Texas increasing by three and four percentage points, respectively. In contrast, crop conditions in Wyoming continued to fall, down 37 percentage points from the five-year average with only 2pc of the crop rated in good-to-excellent condition. The week ahead could see additional improvements for Kansas and Texas, with large portions of the two states projected to receive a half an inch of rain or more over the next seven days according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). Colorado and Wyoming are projected to receive rain as well, but current estimates suggest it is likely to be too far west, and too small an amount to have a significant impact. Corn, soy planting pace divided by rain US corn planting remained largely on-pace, with 24pc of the crop planted as of 27 April, two percentage points ahead of the five-year average according to USDA data. Large gains were made across the western half of the US corn belt, with Minnesota, Nebraska, South Dakota, Iowa, Missouri and Kansas advancing 12 percentage points or more during the week. In states east of the Mississippi River, the pace of planting has been slower due to wet fields and continuous precipitation. As of 27 April, corn planting in Illinois was 10 percentage points behind the five-year average, while Wisconsin and Indianan were both three percentage points behind. Soybean planting made progress as well, increasing by 10 percentage points from the prior week to 18pc planted. The week ahead is likely to see planting advance more slowly and could result in the discrepancy in planting pace between the eastern and western half of the US increase. Heavy precipitation is projected to occur across most of the central US starting the evening of 28 April, and persist into the middle of the week according to NOAA projections. By 1 May, precipitation is expected to be mostly moved out of the western portion, with rains projected to occur east of the Mississippi into the coming weekend. By Ryan Koory Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Environmental markets wary of Trump's next moves

25/04/28

Environmental markets wary of Trump's next moves

Houston, 28 April (Argus) — US President Donald Trump's recent threat of legal challenges against state climate and clean energy policies has roiled environmental markets waiting to learn the scope and avenues those confrontations could take. Trump's 8 April executive order, which directed the Department of Justice (DOJ) to consider contesting state policies that threaten "American energy dominance", targeted California's cap-and-trade program by name, but it may also extend to other policies, including renewable portfolio standards (RPS). But uncertainty about the extent of the administration's ambitions has injected another variable into an already volatile economic landscape. Market anxieties may not fade soon. US attorney general Pam Bondi has until early June to report on actions she has taken and make recommendations for other steps by the White House or Congress. Conservatives in some states already have asked her to scrutinize particular programs. Administration arguments One angle from which the DOJ could attack state programs is the well-trod "dormant Commerce Clause", a legal doctrine that says state laws cannot discriminate against or impose undue burdens on another state's economic activity. But such a challenge is more difficult if a program is merely stipulating, "if you want to come to our state, our electricity market or our fuel market, here are the rules to play by", according to Matthew Dobbins, a partner at Vinson & Elkins and member of the law firm's environment and natural resources team in Houston. Courts have dismissed lawsuits that tried this approach against low-carbon fuel standards in California and Oregon , as well Colorado's RPS. In addition, an appeals court last year threw out a case against Washington's cap-and-invest program, ruling it did not overstep in its handling of in-state versus out-of-state electricity suppliers. The US Supreme Court may soon decide whether to hear an appeal of the case. More broadly, a 2023 Supreme Court decision upholding a California law restricting interstate pork sales based on animal treatment makes such dormant Commerce Clause challenges "a lot harder", according to Nico van Aelstyn, partner at Sheppard Mullin in San Francisco. The DOJ could try using the "Equal Sovereignty" doctrine, which stipulates that one state's rights cannot exceed another's, van Aelstyn said. This has been used in cases against California's vehicle emissions standards and other states' climate "superfund" laws, which penalize oil and gas companies for historical emissions. But van Aelstyn described it as "not really tested yet." That administration has also been hoping to fast-track Supreme Court rulings on the executive orders by justifying them through "declared emergencies," according to Dobbins. This use of emergency powers will likely reveal how far the court will go to "pressure test" the administration's requests for speedy judicial relief, as justices work through a growing emergency docket through the end of term in June or July. Relitigating the past Amid growing trade tensions between the US and Canada, the DOJ could also revive a 2019 lawsuit against California's cap-and-trade program. A US district court at the time ruled that federal purview over foreign affairs does not preempt the state linking its program with Quebec's. Although the first Trump administration appealed the ruling, former president Joe Biden withdrew the case, leaving the matter undecided with one claim potentially still ripe for judicial review. "What that'll probably come down to is how much Canada has expressed its anger . . . and if the administration is willing to go 'all in' on trying to provoke one of our largest trading partners," Dobbins said. But even if California severed ties with Quebec, the province is a small part of the market, and its absence is unlikely to cripple the state's program. Meanwhile, in the markets… Trump's executive order has put states and US companies alike on the back foot, adding to a "shock and awe" barrage from tariffs and potential rollbacks to federal clean electricity incentives , said Tom Harper, a partner on consultant Baringa's energy advisory team in New York City. That volatility has led clean energy developers and buyers to hold off on decisions until they have a bit more stability. "You're almost in a state of paralysis because you can't go and deploy a team on a project. You can't go and arrange finance because the cost is moving day to day," Harper said. The tariffs have also fed growing concerns about the US economy, which have spilled into environmental markets. The California Carbon Allowance (CCA) market, already a bit bearish because of ongoing delays to planned program changes, plunged the day after Trump's executive order. Argus assessed CCAs for December delivery that day at $26.74/t — at the time their lowest price since November 2022. The lack of certainty around federal legal developments continues to whittle away at bullish signals, leaving market participants to wait for a clear outcome. Adding another layer of uncertainty is the fact that disputes may spill outside of the court system. Following the same logic as of Trump's " national energy emergency ", the US Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC) could hypothetically issue an emergency order to halt carbon and clean energy programs. The recent resignation of a Democratic commissioner, giving Trump the ability to install a Republican majority, could facilitate that pathway. But using FERC to shutter these programs would be on weak legal footing, van Aelstyn said. The Trump administration has no issue using extrajudicial tools to enforce its policies, such as its January pause on federal funding that left states like California — which receives more than $100bn in backing and grants from the US government each fiscal year — grappling with potential budget holes. Two federal courts have said the administration must dole out the funds, but agencies have been slow to comply. "If they can withhold congressionally appropriated research funds for universities because they don't like their policies with regard to free speech on their campuses, what else might they do?" van Aelstyn said. "Withhold Medicaid funding to states where they don't like their renewable energy standards?" By Denise Cathey and Patrick Zemanek Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Brazil to hold auction to recover degraded land

25/04/28

Brazil to hold auction to recover degraded land

Sao Paulo, 28 April (Argus) — Brazil's finance, environment and agriculture ministries will host a second auction to recover 1mn hectares (ha) of degraded lands in all Brazilian biomes except the Amazon, the national treasury said on Monday. The auction will be a part of Eco Invest, a currency-hedging program targeting renewable and low-carbon projects to draw foreign investment, announced in February 2024. The finance ministry and central bank developed the program with the World Bank and the Inter-American Development Bank. The auction is part of New Brazil, a wider energy transition project within the finance ministry. The project aims to finance conversions of degraded lands in different biomes to sustainable and productive ecosystems through private investments. The Amazon biome, the most hit by deforestation, will receive a "customized and exclusive auction" that will be announced later, the environment ministry said. Participants must submit project proposals to the national treasury by 13 June. The government expects to raise up to R10bn ($1.76bn) in the auction. Land-use change and deforestation Emissions from land-use change and deforestation in Brazil reached 1.06bn metric tonnes of CO2 equivalent (tCO2e) in 2023, down by 24pc from a year earlier, according to greenhouse gas tracking platform SEEG. These activities have been leading Brazil's total emissions since 1990 — when historic tracking began — followed by agriculture and cattle raising and the energy sectors. There are currently 280mn ha of farmlands, of which around 29pc are degraded. The government aims to recover up to 40mn ha of grasslands in the next 10 years, the environment and climate change ministry said. The Eco Invest auction will finance the first round of the initiative, dubbed the Green Way program, according to the agriculture ministry. Brazil aims to reduce its total greenhouse gas emissions by 67pc by 2035 from its 2005 levels and sees reducing deforestation as one of its main ways to achieve that goal. The country will host the upcoming UN Cop 30 climate summit in Belem city, in the Amazon biome, as the administration looks to lead the global energy transition . By João Curi Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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