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Shell still sees biofuels as a decarbonisation pathway

  • : Biofuels, E-fuels, Hydrogen
  • 23/04/18

Shell still sees biofuels, especially "more sophisticated biofuels" such as bio-methanol, as a longer term decarbonisation pathway, according to the firm's general manager for shipping and maritime for Asia-Pacific and the Middle East Nick Potter.

His comments came after the firm last month scrapped plans for a 550,000 t/yr sustainable aviation fuel, hydrotreated vegetable oil and renewable chemicals plant in Singapore.

Potter stressed the need to understand the economics, sustainability and potential to scale up biofuels globally when answering Argus' questions on utilising biodiesel for decarbonisation.

Potter participated in Shell's unveiling of its first electric ferry that will transport staff to its Bukom complex in Singapore on 17 April. Another two are to be launched by August this year. The ferry uses a lithium-ion battery system with a capacity of 1.2MWh with zero emissions. Shell expects the fleet to cut carbon dioxide emissions by around 6,250t, which is equivalent to greenhouse gas emissions from more than 18,000 one-way road trips from Singapore to Bangkok. The fleet will not emit nitrogen oxides, sulphur oxides or particulates.

The oil major also intends to begin a hydrogen fuel cell trial on a Shell-charted vessel in Singapore later this year, along with Singapore shipping firm Penguin, domestic engineering firm Sembcorp Marine and its new merger with Singapore conglomerate Keppel. The trial will allow them "to understand how hydrogen works in a marine environment", according to Potter. "Shell sees hydrogen or a derivative of hydrogen as a long-term solution for the [decarbonisation of the] shipping and maritime sectors."


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25/01/14

Australia's Jan-Nov tallow exports hit record high

Australia's Jan-Nov tallow exports hit record high

Sydney, 14 January (Argus) — Australian tallow exports during January-November 2024 reached the highest on record, surpassing the previous record for exports in the whole of 2023. Australia exported 517,364t of tallow in the first 11 months of 2024, surpassing the 504,409t of tallow in 2023, according to the latest data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) accessed through Global Trade Tracker (GTT) (see graph) . The record export number was the result of a larger cattle herd, high slaughter rates and favourable weather conditions, while growing demand from the biofuels sector has also helped boost exports. Domestic cattle slaughter rates stood at 2.24mn head in July-September, the highest since the same period in 2015, because of processors' concerted effort to increase capacity. Australia's beef production hit a record high in July-September at 690,694t, according to ABS data. Over 90pc of Australian tallow was exported to either Singapore or the US in the first 11 months of the year, with each country receiving 53.2pc and 37.6pc respectively, according to GTT data. Market participants have indicated Australian tallow trade flows may swing towards the US this year because of the newly released guidance on the 45Z tax credit in the country. Prices for lower carbon intensity feedstocks like tallow increased following the new guidance, while imported used cooking oil will not qualify for the tax credit. By Tom Woodlock Australian tallow exports (t) Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

California governor eyes carbon market extension


25/01/10
25/01/10

California governor eyes carbon market extension

Houston, 10 January (Argus) — California governor Gavin Newsom (D) is planning to start discussions with lawmakers to enact a formal extension of the state's cap-and-trade program. Newsom included the idea in the 2025-26 budget proposal he released on Friday. "The administration, in partnership with the legislature, will need to consider extending the cap-and-trade program beyond 2030 to achieve carbon neutrality," the governor's budget overview says. The California Air Resources Board (CARB) believes it has the authority to operate the program beyond 2030, but a legislative extension would put it on much firmer footing. The cap-and-trade program, which covers major sources of the state's greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, including power plants and transportation fuels, requires a 40pc cut from 1990 levels by 2030. CARB is eyeing tightening that target to 48pc as part of a rulemaking that could take effect next year to help keep the state on a path to carbon neutrality by 2045. Newsom's budget proposal highlighted the need to weigh the revenue received from the program carbon allowance auctions. That money goes to the Greenhouse Gas Reduction Fund (GGRF), which supports the state's clean economy transition through programs targeting GHG emissions reductions, such as subsidizing purchases for zero-emission vehicles (ZEVs). The budget plan added few new climate commitments, instead prioritizing funding agreed to last year. The governor's $322.3bn 2025-26 budget proposal would continue cost-saving measures the state enacted in its 2024-25 budget to deal with a multi-billion-dollar deficit. These included shifting portions of expenditures from the state general fund to the GGRF over multiple budget years, such as $900mn for the state's Clean Energy Reliability Investment Plan. The state's $10bn Climate Bond, passed by voters in November 2024, would cover the majority of new climate-related spending, including taking on $32mn of the reliability plan spending. The change in funding source would allow the state Department of Motor Vehicles to utilize $81mn in GGRF funds to cover expenditures from CARB's Mobile Source Emissions Research Program. The governor's budget would also advance his proposal from October for CARB to evaluate allowing fuel blends with 15pc ethanol (E15) in the state, as a measure to lower gas prices. CARB would receive $2.3mn from Newsom's proposal to finish the multi-tier study it began in 2018 and implement the necessary regulatory changes to allow E15 at the pump. Currently, California allows only fuel blends with up to E10 because of environmental concerns, such as the potential for increased emissions of NOx, which contributes to smog, by allowing more ethanol. With the administration predicting a modest surplus of $363mn from higher state revenues, it is unlikely that California will return to the belt tightening of the past two state budgets. But the state cautions that tension with the incoming president-elect Donald Trump, potential import tariffs and ongoing state revenue volatility should leave California on guard for any potential future fiscal pitfalls. The state's legislature's non-partisan adviser cautioned in November that government spending continues to outpace revenues, with future deficits likely. The administration is keeping an eye on the issue, which could result in changes through the governor's May budget revision, state director of finance Joe Stephenshaw said. By Denise Cathey Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Mercosur-EU deal to open Brazil ethanol flows


25/01/10
25/01/10

Mercosur-EU deal to open Brazil ethanol flows

Sao Paulo, 10 January (Argus) — A freshly inked EU-Mercosur trade agreement marks an important opportunity for Brazil's burgeoning ethanol market, but will likely not significantly impact the country's well established sugar trade. Announced in December, the landmark pact provides for the gradual exemption of tariffs on most exports from the four participating Mercosur countries to the 27 European countries that make up the EU. Goods considered sensitive, including sugar and ethanol, will be subject to a quota system with more limited benefits. Export quotas for specific products from each of the participating South American countries — founding members Argentina, Brazil, Paraguay and Uruguay — will be defined after the ratification of the agreement. For industrial ethanol originating in Mercosur and shipped to the EU, the agreement provides a maximum quota of 570,300 m³/yr (9,845 b/d), with tariffs gradually reduced to zero over the years. Non-industrial ethanol will have a quota of 253,400m³/yr, subject to a reduced tariff of €34-64/m³ ($34.82-65.55/m³), a third of current rates. The EU tariff on imported ethanol today ranges from €102/m³ for the denatured product — which includes chemical additives that make it unfit for consumption — to €192/m³ for the undenatured product. Quotas provided for in the agreement are more than enough to cover volumes Brazil exports to the EU. The South American country shipped 140,700 m³ of ethanol to countries in the European bloc in 2024, around 7pc of the 1.9mn m³ it exported in the year, according to trade ministry data. The terms of the agreement have caught the attention of market participants, who see an opportunity to revive trade flows to Europe, especially for industrial ethanol. EU countries soaked up around 30pc of Brazil's ethanol exports in 2022, but outflows have dropped significantly since. At the time, Brazil's ethanol gained a competitive edge during a period of rising energy prices in Europe amid the start of the Ukraine-Russia conflict and the aftershocks of the Covid-19 pandemic. The announcement of the agreement has put the EU back on the radar of Brazilian traders who stopped selling ethanol to Europe or those who are yet to enter the market. Slight impact for sugar The agreement is set to have less of an impact on Brazilian sugar exports, considering the approved quota and the volume normally exported to the EU. Mercosur will have a quota to send 180,000 metric tonnes (t)/yr of sugar to the European bloc with zero tariffs, while the excess volumes of raw sugar will face the current customs duty of €98/t. The tariff-free volume represents a small portion of the total sweetener normally shipped to the European bloc. Brazil's center-south — which includes the main producing states — alone exported 540,000t of sugar to the EU in January-November 2024, according to sugar and ethanol industry association Unica. Raw sugar accounted for around 87pc of that total. Shipments in 2024 were still below the 804,000 t/yr five-year average for Brazilian sugar exports to the EU. If volumes in the coming years remain close to historical levels, less than 25pc of the annual volume shipped from Brazil will benefit from the new import duties. The EU is expected to import 2.4mn t of sugar in the 2024-25 crop, which extends from October 2024 to September 2025. The volume makes the bloc the third largest importer in the world, only behind Indonesia and China, according to US Department of Agriculture data. The volume approved in the agreement with Mercosur would represent less than 5pc of the imports expected by the EU, which limits the potential competitiveness of Brazilian sugar in the European market. Negotiations on terms of the Mercosur-EU agreement have been concluded, but the pact will only enter into force after final signing and subsequent ratification. By Maria Lígia Barros and Maria Albuquerque Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Denmark invites applications for CO2 storage permits


25/01/09
25/01/09

Denmark invites applications for CO2 storage permits

London, 9 January (Argus) — The Danish Energy Agency has launched its fourth tender inviting applications for exploration and CO2 storage, in three areas off the northwest coast of Denmark. The blocks, in the Danish North Sea, are geologically "particularly suitable for storing CO2", Denmark's geological survey found. The application deadline is 6 March. The Danish government issues permits with two phases — an exploration and a storage phase. If granted an exploration permit, developers have up to six years to investigate and assess the suitability and CO2 storage capacity of the area. They are then able to apply for a storage permit, which will be valid for up to 30 years. The Danish state holds a 20pc stake in all exploration and storage permits. Denmark awarded three CO2 exploration permits in February 2023, and three more in June last year. UK company Ineos took a final investment decision for the first phase of the Greensand CO2 storage project in December. The site's developers successfully demonstrated a pilot CO2 injection in March 2023. The carbon capture and storage (CCS) industry is gradually developing, led by northern Europe. The region has a geological advantage, in its declining oil and gas fields, as well as government funding from countries including Denmark and Norway. By Georgia Gratton Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Q&A: Germany's PtX Fund to ramp up in round 2


25/01/09
25/01/09

Q&A: Germany's PtX Fund to ramp up in round 2

London, 9 January (Argus) — Germany's state-backed Power-to-X (PtX) Development Fund aims to help unlock investment decisions for a handful of mature renewable hydrogen and derivatives (power-to-X) projects in select countries, thereby advancing environmental and social development goals. Berlin picked Bavaria-based fund manager KGAL to control the €270mn ($279mn) purse, and it recently awarded its first €30mn to a €500mn Egyptian project that will produce 70,000 t/yr renewable ammonia. Argus spoke with the fund's managing director Thomas Engelmann about lessons learned from the first round and hopes for round two, which opens 8 January – 5 March 2025. Edited highlights follow: Which countries are eligible in round 2, how is that decided? It is the mostly the same as round one — South Africa, Brazil, Morocco, Kenya, India, Egypt — plus Colombia as a new addition. The German government selects the countries most suited for this instrument from more than 60 partner countries co-operating with the Federal Ministry for Economic Cooperation and Development (BMZ). Not all countries have the right ecological conditions. Participating countries ideally have a workforce that is prepared to support PtX, and some potential domestic offtakers in the country. Why was Colombia added for this round? Colombia has good conditions for renewables — its electricity mix is currently 65pc hydroelectric, 4pc solar, and 30pc fossil fuels. And it plans to add 3GW offshore wind in future via government-run auctions. So Colombia should have among the cheapest PtX production. Costs in northern Colombia may reach €3.3/kg ($3.4/kg) in 2030 and €2.7/kg ($2.8/kg) by 2040, according to German research institute Fraunhofer ISE. The strong government support from Colombia also helps our goal of social transformation. What size projects will the fund support? We haven't set a minimum size, but ideally the total capital costs should be in the range of €100mn–500mn. That means €5bn 'white elephant' projects are probably not for us. We have up to €30mn available, which is definitely not enough to change the investment decision for a €5bn project. What is the €30mn grant designed to do? We bridge the gap to financial close, so our €30mn grant agreement supports the banks, supports the sponsors, acting like an airbag for the project to mitigate any kind of risks or uncertainties in the project. For us, it's non-refundable — in return we expect to see ecological and social transformation that comes from financial close and commercial operation. What key ingredients do you look for in projects? We are bound by EU state aid law, so we check very early in the process if projects are eligible. Project feasibility and technical readiness are important. We check the source of the renewable power. We check it's a profitable and reasonable business model. Clearly, we are not seeking return on investment for the PtX Development Fund, but we need to check that the equity sponsors and debt partners see a project that is economically viable. We want projects that have secured land and will reach financial close in 6-12, maybe 15 months. If a project is further away, that doesn't mean it's a bad project, it's just not ready for the purposes of this instrument. Each project must do a very intensive environmental and social impact assessment based on the lending standards of the World Bank via its International Finance Corporation (IFC). That is the minimum for eligibility before we consider its level of positive impact. Regarding impact, we want greenhouse gas emission reduction or avoidance. We want replacement of fossil fuel resources, in particular coal. We want job creation in the country and a 'just transition'. It's interesting if a project is scalable, for example, if we help with a €200mn first phase that unlocks future phases for the partners even without us. Are those criteria typical for many financiers? Correct, so it's a huge plus for a project if our fund awards a grant, as it shows the overall concept of the project has been checked according to World Bank and IFC standards. Other banks coming later or in parallel to us know the project is sustainable, complies with renewable power additionality principles, does not conflict with local water uses, and its land is free from social or ecological conflicts. Does the fund have rules on who the offtaker should be? Ideally the project would have offtakers in the country to support our target of local value creation. But not all seven countries have the possibility to absorb 100pc of the product, and clearly, we need economically viable projects. In our first-round project, part of the ammonia stays in Egypt and part will go to Europe. What lessons can developers take from round one? We realised the name PtX Development Fund could be misinterpreted, as we often had to explain that we don't have development money available — our name just means we are supporting developing countries. Hopefully in round two, those projects will return with an extra year of maturity. Second, we must clarify that the environmental and social impact assessment is of utmost importance. We very often had discussions with developers that said, "my local government is not interested in doing impact assessments on ecological or social impacts," but we, as the PtX Development Fund, cannot accept that. On technology, the starting point must be electrolysis since this instrument aims to help bring it to market and lower its cost. Yes, e-fuels production needs some carbon molecules, but we don't want projects that are completely biomass with no electrolysis involved. And what did you learn about the wider PtX industry? We were positively surprised to get 98 expressions of interest totalling €150bn potential investment and 56GW electrolyser capacity across these countries. But most projects were still in feasibility studies. We followed up with around 10pc of interested parties, then after deeper due diligence, held negotiations with 2-3 projects. We see the technology for PtX is ready, but finding offtakers able to pay the premium for CO2-neutral products is hard. Mandates with penalties, like the EU's e-SAF quota, definitely stimulate the market, but it would be better if they started in 2025-26 rather than 2030. Green ammonia buying for now is mainly voluntary and it depends on fertilizer companies being able to attract a premium for it to work. A green steel market is emerging in Sweden, as carmakers can attract a premium for 'green' products. We hope the EU's Renewable Energy Directive III will set quotas for ammonia and steel, but the carbon border adjustment mechanism is of utmost necessity to ensure European industry is not disadvantaged. What are your expectations for round two? Round one gave us an overview of the countries, so we really know about the quality of the projects. Now in round two, we want to support possibly several projects. Projects may enter multiple rounds and increase their quality each time until they reach an attractive level. Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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