Red Sea war risk premiums soar

  • : Agriculture, Coal, Coking coal, Crude oil, LPG, Metals, Natural gas, Oil products
  • 23/12/20

War risk insurance premiums for vessels travelling via the Red Sea and Gulf of Aden have jumped this week after a spate of attacks on commercial vessels from Houthi controlled territories in Yemen.

Houthi rebels have attacked vessels suspected of being linked to Israel as they transit through the Red Sea. These attacks prompted the London market's Joint War Committee to extend the territory constituting the Red Sea war risk on 18 December to account for missile range. The revised territory allowed underwriters to adjust insurance terms, driving up premiums to around 0.5-0.7pc of hull value from around 0.1pc in early December, according to market participants.

Attacks on vessels in the Red Sea, Bab el-Mandeb Strait, and Gulf of Aden are ongoing. The US Central Command said a one-way attack drone and an anti-ship ballistic missile were launched against the Swan Atlantic from Yemen on 18 December. The UK Maritime Trade Operations (UKMTO) reported multiple suspicious incidents on 19 December.

Several vessels have rerouted from travelling via the Suez Canal which leads into the Red Sea, with some very large gas carriers choosing to voyage around the Cape of Good Hope to avoid the threat. Some firms and owners have placed a blanket ban on vessels voyaging through the area. This has pushed up freight costs either on war premiums or longer voyages.

Targeted vessels are supposedly Israeli-linked or involved in the Saudi-led alliance with the Yemeni government, but vessels targeted in recent attacks had no clear affiliation with them, according to a coalition of maritime organisations including the International Chamber of Shipping and Bimco.

The first attack took place on 19 November when Houthi rebels seized the Galaxy Leader with its last known location near the Port of Salif, Yemen, according to vessel tracking data. The UKMTO has since reported around 40 threatening or suspicious events in the region.

In response, international maritime coalition Operation Prosperity Guardian has been launched by the US, the UK, Bahrain, Canada, France, Italy, the Netherlands, Norway, the Seychelles and Spain to ensure security in the region and a return to stable trade. The UK Royal Navy recently assigned the HMS Diamond, equipped with the Sea Viper anti-air missile system, to the international naval force to assist with air defence.


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24/06/28

US Supreme Court ends 'deference' to regulators

US Supreme Court ends 'deference' to regulators

Washington, 28 June (Argus) — The US Supreme Court's conservative majority, in one of its most significant rulings in years, has thrown out a landmark, 40-year-old precedent under which courts have offered federal agencies significant leeway in deciding how to regulate the energy sector and other industries. In a 6-3 ruling that marks a major blow to President Joe Biden's administration, the court's conservatives overturned its 1984 ruling Chevron v. NRDC that for decades has served as a cornerstone for how judges should review the legality of federal regulations when a statute is not clear. But chief justice John Roberts, writing for the majority, said experience has shown the precedent is "unworkable" and became an "impediment, rather than an aid" for courts to analyze what a specific law requires. "All that remains of Chevron is a decaying husk with bold pretensions," the opinion said. For decades, under what is now known as Chevron deference, courts were first required to review if a law was clear and if not, to defer to an agency's interpretation so long as the government's reading was reasonable. But the court's majority said the landmark precedent has become a source of unpredictability, allowing any ambiguity in a law to be a "license authorizing an agency to change positions as much as it likes." Roberts wrote that the federal courts can no longer defer to an agency's interpretation "simply because" a law is ambiguous. "Chevron is overruled," Roberts writes. "Courts must exercise their independent judgment in deciding whether an agency has acted within its statutory authority." The court's ruling, named Loper Bright Enterprises v. Gina Raimando, focuses on lawsuits from herring fishers who opposed a rule that could require them to pay about $710 per day for an at-sea observer to verify compliance with regional catch limits. The US Commerce Department said it believes it interpreted the law correctly, but the fishers said the "best interpretation" of the statute was that it did not apply to herring fishers. The court's three liberal justices dissented from the ruling, which they said will likely result in "large-scale disruptions" by putting federal judges in the position of having to rule on the merits of a variety of scientific and technical judgments, without the benefit of expertise that regulators have developed over the course of decades. Overturning Chevron will put courts "at the apex" of policy decisions on every conceivable topic, including climate change, health care, finance, transportation, artificial intelligence and other issues where courts lack specific expertise, judge Elena Kagan wrote. "In every sphere of current or future federal regulations, expect courts from now on to play a commanding role," Kagan wrote. The Supreme Court for years has been chipping away at the importance of Chevron deference, such as a 2022 ruling where it created the "major questions doctrine" to invalidate a greenhouse gas emission rule limits for power plants. That doctrine attempts to prohibit agencies from resolving issues that have "vast economic and political significance" without clear direction from the US Congress. That has led regulators to be hesitant in relying on Chevron to defend their regulations in court. The Supreme Court last cited the precedent in 2016. The ruling comes a day after the Supreme Court's conservatives, in another 6-3 ruling , dramatically curtailed the ability of the US Securities and Exchange Commission — and likely many other federal agencies — to use in-house tribunals to impose civil penalties. The court ruled those enforcement cases instead need to be filed as jury trials. That change is expected to curtail enforcement of securities fraud, since court cases are more resource-intensive. By Chris Knight Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Canaries' bio-marine fuel demand hit by ETS exemptions


24/06/28
24/06/28

Canaries' bio-marine fuel demand hit by ETS exemptions

London, 28 June (Argus) — Spanish energy firm Cepsa has delayed plans to supply marine biodiesel blends in the Canary Islands as increased demand for conventional bunker fuels and EU regulatory exemptions weigh on market fundamentals for the blended products. Cepsa's international marine fuels sales manager, Francisco Diaz Castro, told attendees at the Maritime Week Las Palmas conference last week that the firm remains committed to supplying marine biodiesel in the Canary Islands but is delaying it in response to a sharp rise in conventional bunker fuel demand in recent months, underpinned by vessels re-routing around the southern tip of Africa to avoid the risk of Houthi attacks in in the Red Sea. Vessels have been stocking up on bunker fuels before and after sailing around Africa's Cape of Good Hope to avoid stopping along the way. Latest data from the Spanish transport ministry show sales of conventional bunker fuel out of the Canary Islands last month increased by 3pc compared with April and by 41pc on the may last year (see table) . This demand growth has pushed suppliers to retain barge availability for conventional bunker fuels, reducing capacity to supply marine biodiesel blends. Market participants told Argus that another reason marine biodiesel demand in the Canary Islands has not picked up is EU regulatory exemptions for vessels sailing between the islands and mainland Spain. According to article 12 (3b) of the EU's Emissions Trading System (ETS) directive, "an obligation to surrender allowances shall not arise in respect of emissions released until 31 December 2030 from voyages between a port located in an outermost region of a member state and a port located in the same member state, including voyages between ports within an outermost region and voyages between ports in the outermost regions of the same member state, and from the activities, within a port, of such ships in relation to such voyages." Argus understands that this exemption applies to all vessels covered under the scope of the EU ETS, but would not apply if the vessel is sailing from an outermost region, such as the Canary Islands, to a different EU member nation, for example the Netherlands. A similar exemption for FuelEU Maritime regulations may be applicable as well, subject to member states asking for the exemption of the specific ports and routes for the vessels. Such an exemption could apply until 2029. Argus understands that requests from member states for this exemption will be published in the coming months. An exemption from FuelEU Maritime regulations could also be applied to routes connecting islands with a population under 200,000 people. This specific exemption would therefore not apply to Tenerife and Gran Canaria but may apply to other parts of the Canary Islands with smaller populations. By Hussein Al-Khalisy and Dafydd ab Iago Canary Islands liquid bunker sales t Month Las Palmas Tenerife Total Sales % m-o-m % y-o-y May-24 282,447 49,749 332,196 3 41 Apr-24 255,262 68,782 324,044 27 38 Mar-24 189,868 64,654 254,522 0 3 Feb-24 207,564 47,344 254,908 -6 0 Jan-24 219,962 51,894 271,856 16 27 Dec-23 187,889 47,306 235,195 4 1 Nov-23 181,218 45,940 227,158 5 -2 Spanish Transport Ministry Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Libya’s oil minister asks PM to clarify who's in charge


24/06/28
24/06/28

Libya’s oil minister asks PM to clarify who's in charge

London, 28 June (Argus) — Libya's sidelined oil minister Mohamed Oun has called on Tripoli-based prime minister Abdelhamid Dbeibeh to clarify who is in charge of the ministry. The question of who runs the oil ministry has been unclear since Oun returned to work on 28 May after a temporary suspension was lifted by a state watchdog. During his absence, Oun was replaced by oil ministry undersecretary Khalifa Rajab Abdulsadek, who represented Libya at the latest Opec+ meeting on 2 June. Dbeibeh has continued to recognise Abdulsadek as oil minister since Oun's return to work. In a lengthy statement defending his record, Oun complained that Dbeibeh has cut off all communication with him and that it is impossible to carry out his duties under such conditions. "The presence of a legitimate minister and an illegal minister" is creating confusion in the sector, Oun added. Dbiebeh was seen as a key player behind the initial removal of Oun. Argus understands that Oun's suspension was part of an attempt to clear the way for state-owned NOC to move ahead with key oil and gas projects the he opposed. But the move received pushback from powerful figures including the head of Libya's presidential council and the country's central bank governor, leading to Oun's suspension being lifted. "I don't expect this issue to be resolved any time soon. Dbiebeh is unlikely to want to get into a fight given his weakening position over the past few weeks," Jalel Harchaoui, a Libya specialist at the UK's Royal United Services Institute, told Argus . Although the position of oil minister in Libya has been largely relegated to a nominal role — and much less powerful than the chairman of NOC — Oun has successfully used his role to galvanise public opinion against deals and policies promoted by the government and NOC. Libya remains politically fragmented, with rival governments based in the east and west of the country, and control of Libya's oil sector is coveted by a wide array of factions tussling for power. The north African country produces just above 1.2mn b/d of crude and wants to boost this to around 2mn b/d, but this will only be possible if it can advance long-stalled projects. By Aydin Calik Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Strikes disrupt bitumen at France Port Jerome refinery


24/06/28
24/06/28

Strikes disrupt bitumen at France Port Jerome refinery

London, 28 June (Argus) — Bitumen truck flows from ExxonMobil's 236,000 b/d Port Jerome refinery in northern France have been disrupted since 19 June by strike action at the neighbouring Gravenchon petrochemicals plant, according to market participants. Protesters outside the refinery entrance have blocked trucks, with the strike action linked to the petrochemical plant that is threatened with closure. Bitumen traders said they had been informed by ExxonMobil that a meeting will be held on 2 July between the company and its workers, and that the strike action is unlikely to stop before then. There has been less of an effect on cargo flows from Port Jerome. Four bitumen cargoes have loaded for export since the refinery's restart in May after an early March fire. The latest shipments have been to Bristol, southwest England, on the 6,165dwt An Hai Wan that arrived there on 25 June and to Galway, Ireland, on the 6,384dwt Bithav due in on 30 June. Port Jerome accounts for around 20pc of France's refining capacity and produces in excess of 600,000 t/yr of bitumen. ExxonMobil has yet to comment on the latest developments at Port Jerome/Gravenchon. By Fenella Rhodes Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

UK HRC market ponders early closure of Tata BFs


24/06/28
24/06/28

UK HRC market ponders early closure of Tata BFs

London, 28 June (Argus) — The UK hot-rolled coil (HRC) market was pondering the potential premature closure of Tata Steel's blast furnaces today. Tata Steel UK could close both its furnaces and the wider heavy end at its Port Talbot site by 5 July because of the impending and "indefinite" strike by members of the trade union Unite, due to start on 8 July, company chief executive Rajesh Nair said in a note to employees on Thursday. Tata had initially planned to maintain blast furnace 4 until September, with blast furnace 5 going down this month. The strike, involving 1,500 workers, would mean Tata could not "maintain safe and stable operations", Nair said. Tata is trying to bring Unite back to the negotiating table, alongside other unions Community and GMB. The company said it will pursue legal action to challenge the validity of Unite's strike ballot — it has questioned whether the union met the 50pc participation threshold requirements at certain sites. Sources were caught somewhat off-guard by the news, which is complicated by the failure of the UK government to approve the Trade Remedies Authority's recommendation to suspend import quotas for HRC . With HRC import quotas still in place, supply from ‘other countries' sellers will be increasingly constrained — the duty-free quota is around 23,000/t quarter, but almost 50,000t could clear into this in 1 July, partially because of Tata's increased importation of Indian HRC. Should Tata's furnaces go off line early next month, it would need to increase imports of overseas tonnage, including from its parent company in India. Sources suggest HRC supply from its parent company could be booked for end-August arrival at the earliest. If quotas have not been suspended, there could again be duties payable for other countries' sellers. In a typical market, the disruption would clearly propel prices higher. But demand remains low, with mill tied and independent service centres competing to sell sheet as low as £620/ddp, a price which leaves no margin, based on average stock cost. Europe's imposition of a 15pc cap on countries selling into its own other countries quota is another complicating factor. That move effectively caps any country selling into that quota to 141,849t/quarter and could lead to material being diverted to the UK. The UK has not amended developing nation status as part of its latest safeguard review, meaning Vietnam — a major seller into the EU other countries' quota — can sell into the UK without quota. Vietnam is bearing the brunt of increased Chinese HRC exports, taking 3.9mn t over the first five months of this year, compared to 6.1mn t over the whole of 2023, which was a record high. By Colin Richardson Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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