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US factory activity in 1st expansion since Sept 2022

  • : Chemicals, Coal, Electricity, Freight, LPG, Metals, Natural gas, Oil products
  • 24/04/01

Economic activity in the US manufacturing sector expanded in March for the time since September 2022, on positive demand and stronger output.

The manufacturing purchasing managers' index (PMI) rose to 50.3 in March, up from the 47.8 recorded in February, according to the Institute for Supply Management's (ISM) monthly survey. The 12-month average was 47.5. Readings above 50 signal growth while those below that level signify contraction.

The new orders index rose by 2.2 percentage points to 51.4, while the production index surged 6.2 points to 54.6. The prices index rose by 3.3 points to 55.8 in March. Export orders were unchanged at 51.6, in expansion territory. The suppliers' delivery index edged down to 49.9, signaling slower deliveries, which is typical as the economy improves.

The stronger-than-expected PMI survey adds to other recent data, including job growth, consumer spending and stronger-than-initially estimated GDP growth, that shows the economy outperforming expectations. This adds pressure on Federal Reserve policymakers to hold back on beginning to cut borrowing costs after raising them to the highest in 23 years to rein in inflation.

"Demand remains at the early stages of recovery, with clear signs of improving conditions," ISM said. "Production execution surged compared to January and February, as panelists' companies reenter expansion. Suppliers continue to have capacity but are showing signs of struggling, due in large part to their raw material supply chains."

By Bob Willis


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24/08/30

Brazil HRC import prices rise on tariffs

Brazil HRC import prices rise on tariffs

Sao Paulo, 30 August (Argus) — Brazil prices for imported hot rolled coil (HRC) increased this week as tariffs on imported products kicked off and signs out of China's steel sector were mixed. Import prices for Chinese origin HRC into Brazil were heard around $545/metric tonne (t) cfr, sources said, up from the $470-494/t cfr range heard in the previous week. This sharp uptick followed Brazil's decision to increase tariffs on imported products after domestic producers claimed that unfair competition — chiefly from the east Asian nation — was hampering their operations. The new tariffs took effect in June but only started to be felt by consumers in August, sources said. Another reason for the increase in Brazil cited by some sources was a possible price floor reached by Chinese mills in recent weeks. These producers have expressed concerns about their financial health amid a slow economic recovery that precipitated multi-year HRC price lows in China earlier this month. Argus assessed HRC fob Tianjin at $442/t on 19 August, the lowest level since July 2020, when most of the global economy was in the midst of pandemic lockdowns. In the latest assessment, the HRC price rose to $462/t, up by nearly 4.5pc in less than two weeks. China sought outlets for its steel outside of the country, lifting exports of the broad category of steel and iron products by 23pc to 55.2mn t year to date July 2024 from the same period in 2023, according to customs data. At this rate, China's yearly exports in 2024 will be the highest since 2016. Brazil, Chile and Peru have been among the countries widely increasing their imports. It is uncertain whether the price increase will begin to weigh on demand, sources said, as buyers balance greater availability of imported steel against claims that many prefer domestically-sourced HRC. By Carolina Pulice Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

South Korea to require use of SAF for flights from 2027


24/08/30
24/08/30

South Korea to require use of SAF for flights from 2027

Singapore, 30 August (Argus) — South Korea said it plans to require all international flights departing from its airports to use a mix of 1pc sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) from 2027. This comes as more countries are adopting SAF mandates in accordance with the Carbon Offsetting and Reduction Scheme for International Aviation (CORSIA). Singapore earlier this year announced a 1pc SAF blending mandate from 2026 , with plans to increase to 3-5pc by 2030, subject to global developments and wider SAF availability and adoption. The Ministry of Trade, Industry and Energy and the Ministry of Land, Infrastructure and Transport announced the 'SAF Expansion Strategy' on 30 August, which includes a target for South Korea to capture 30pc of the global blended SAF export market. While not explicitly stated in the statement, some South Korean refineries expect co-processed SAF to be allowed to meet the country's mandate, sources said. This is important as the country already produces small quantities of SAF via co-processing at existing refining facilities, with three of South Korea's four domestic refineries planning to produce SAF through co-processing by the end of this year . Key strategies The ministries outlined three key strategies to achieve the SAF consumption target — gradual expansion of domestic SAF demand, ensuring a stable domestic supply capacity, and establishing a SAF-friendly legal and institutional environment. Airlines can already refuel with SAF at Korean airports, making South Korea the 20th country to do so as part of their plan to increase domestic SAF demand. The country had tested six flights using 2-4pc imported blended SAF between South Korea and Los Angeles since August 2023. An incentive system is being developed to encourage public and private adoption of SAF, with benefits such as preferential allocation of transport rights, reduced airport facility usage fees and the introduction of airline carbon mileage system for passengers and other benefits. A mid- to long-term roadmap for the gradual expansion of domestic SAF demand will be prepared in early 2025, the ministries said. The country's strategy to secure stable domestic supply capabilities includes considering investment support for domestic SAF production such as tax credits. South Korea's four domestic refineries already plan to invest 4 trillion won ($3bn) in renewable fuels, including SAF by 2030, the ministries said. The government estimates a Hydrotreated Esters and Fatty Acids (HEFA) SAF plant with a production capacity of up to 250,000 t/yr will require an investment of approximately W1 trillion. The supply-side strategy also aims to ease regulations on waste recycling to increase the availability of domestic feedstocks for SAF production. Another strategy is to diversify feedstock and SAF production technology options, with pre-testing expected later this year. The government plans to explore alternative feedstock like microalgae and production pathways such as e-SAF, with a view to developing supply chains. South Korea plans to establish a national standard, certification and testing method for SAF with preparation planned for December 2024. By Deborah Sun Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Japan faces further delay in nuclear fuel recycling


24/08/30
24/08/30

Japan faces further delay in nuclear fuel recycling

Osaka, 30 August (Argus) — Japan Nuclear Fuel (JNFL) has again extended the start-up of the country's first commercial nuclear fuel reprocessing plant, as it needs extra time to enhance safety features. JNFL, a joint venture of Japanese power utilities, now aims to finish construction of the recycling plant at Rokkasho in north Japan's Aomori prefecture in the April 2026-March 2027 fiscal year, instead of the previous target of "as early as possible" in April-September 2024. The company has also pushed back the completion of building the mixed oxide fuel fabrication plant to 2027-28 from April-September 2024. This is the 27th postponement, far behind its original target of 1997. The repeated delays stemmed from technical issues and safety measures required following the 2011 Fukushima nuclear disaster. Recycling spent nuclear fuel is becoming a critical issue for Japan, as the natural resource-poor country sees the quasi-domestic fuel as an important power source to ensure its energy security and spur its decarbonisation. But the country faces growing constraints on its ability to store radioactive waste, with repeated delays in setting up the reprocessing plant, which may threaten Tokyo's efforts to restart more reactors. Spent fuel has accumulated to 2,968t uranium fuel (tU) at the Rokkasho reprocessing plant, nearing its capacity of 3,000tU. The waste has piled up since 2000 in anticipation of its operation and since shipments to the UK and France by utilities ended in 2001. Japan's overall nuclear waste storage, which has combined capacity of about 24,440tU including Rokkasho's facility, was 81pc full at the end of March 2024, up from 75pc in 2019, according to the trade and industry ministry. By Motoko Hasegawa Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Australia's Qantas records higher fuel costs in 2023-24


24/08/30
24/08/30

Australia's Qantas records higher fuel costs in 2023-24

Singapore, 30 August (Argus) — Australian airline Qantas Airways recorded a higher fuel bill in the 2023-24 fiscal year to 30 June, as more flights, sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) expenses and carbon offset programmes weighed on costs. Qantas saw its fuel costs rise by 17pc from a year earlier to A$5.32bn ($3.62bn) in 2023-24, according to the company's full-year financial results released on 29 August. The airline group's passenger carrying capacity was up by 21pc on the previous year, with growth in domestic and international capaicty. This saw the group's overall fuel consumption grow to 29mn bl (79,000 b/d), or 18pc up on the previous year. Qantas expects fuel costs in the first half of 2024-25 to remain stable from a year earlier at about A$2.7bn, including hedging and gross carbon costs, with the group forecasting to consume 15.6mn bl of fuel, including SAF. Qantas forecasts domestic group capacity to rise to 104pc of pre-Covid 19 pandemic capacity in the first half of 2024-25. Its international capacity guidance, excluding Jetstar Asia, is expected to rise by about 16pc from the previous year to achieve 102pc of pre-Covid levels in the first half. The group's passenger carrying capacity, measured by available seat kilometres (ASKs), was up on a year earlier by 21pc to 141mn ASK by 2023-24, although this was still about 93pc of pre-Covid levels. Qantas has agreements to offtake SAF, renewing its agreement to buy SAF for flights out of London Heathrow and doubling the size of its corporate customer SAF programme in 2023-24. But the group saw its 2023-24 profit fall, with underlying profit before tax down by 16pc on the previous year to A$2.08bn. By Cara Wong Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

India lifts curbs on use of sugarcane juice for ethanol


24/08/30
24/08/30

India lifts curbs on use of sugarcane juice for ethanol

Mumbai, 30 August (Argus) — The Indian government is allowing sugar mills and distilleries to use sugarcane juice and sugar syrup to produce ethanol during the November 2024-October 2025 supply year. The government in December last year halted the use of sugarcane juice and sugar syrup for ethanol production in the 2023-24 supply year, as insufficient rainfall in key growing regions led to a surge in domestic sugar prices and a shortage of the sweetener. Sugar mills and distilleries can also produce ethanol from B-heavy and C-heavy molasses. The food ministry's order added that it will, in co-ordination with the oil ministry, periodically review the diversion of sugar to ethanol production in relation to the production of sugar in the country to ensure the availability of sugar for domestic consumption throughout the year. The government also allowed the Food Corporation of India to sell rice to distilleries for ethanol production during August-October but capped the limit at 2.3mn t of rice. India had suspended supplies of excess rice to distilleries for ethanol production in July 2023 because of food availability and concerns about rising prices. Distilleries will be allowed to load rice during August-October subject to allocation of ethanol to the distilleries by oil marketing companies, the government order said. Of the total ethanol used for blending in gasoline in India, around 61pc comes from B-heavy molasses, 20pc from sugar syrup, 11pc from surplus rice, 6pc from damaged food grains and maize and 2pc from C-heavy molasses. India has a set a goal to increase ethanol blending in gasoline to 20pc by 2025, as part of efforts to reduce its dependence on crude imports. Ethanol blending in gasoline was 13.3pc during November 2023-July 2024 and 15.8pc during July 2024, oil ministry data show. Oil marketing companies buy ethanol from ethanol producers like sugar mills and distilleries to blend with gasoline. By Roshni Devi Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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