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Scotland abandons 2030 climate target to focus on 2045

  • : Emissions
  • 24/04/18

The Scottish government is abandoning its 2030 target to reduce greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions after the UK's Climate Change Committee (CCC) said last month Scotland would not be able to meet it, but reiterated "unwavering commitment" to its 2045 net zero goal.

Scotland had an ambitious interim target to reduce GHG emissions by 75pc by 2030 from a 1990 baseline and its legally binding 2045 net zero goal date is ahead of the rest of the UK.

The CCC said in March that the nation was unlikely to meet its 2030 climate goals as "continued delays" in plans and policies mean the required actions to hit targets are now "beyond what is credible". And today, Scotland's cabinet secretary for net zero Mairi McAllan said that the government "accepts the CCC's recent re-articulations" that the "2030 target is out of reach". "We must now act to chart a course to 2045 at a pace and scale that is feasible, fair and just." She said that the government will bring forward "expediting legislation" to remove the 2030 target, calling it "a minor legislative change".

McAllan said climate actions are backtracking at the UK level and blamed "severe budget restrictions" by the UK government and the "constrains of devolution".

Scotland is a member nation of the UK, and the Scottish parliament has some devolved powers. But energy, for example, remains a reserved matter in the UK, and decisions — including licensing, regulation and policy — are taken by the UK parliament.

She said that Scotland was trying to achieve societal and economic transformation with "one hand tied behind our back".

Scotland's first minister Humza Yousaf said there was no intention to "roll back" on the target to achieve net zero emissions by 2045, saying that Scotland has made faster progress than any other nation in the UK during 2019-21, but that 2030 was a "stretched" target.

McAllan said annual reporting on progress will be kept but by introducing a target approach based on "five-yearly carbon budgets" — a cap on the amount of GHG emitted over a five-year period — in a similar way to the rest of the UK.

Scotland missed its annual emissions-reduction target in 2021, for the eighth time in the last 12 years.

The CCC's interim chair Piers Forster said today that the removal of the 2030 target was "deeply disappointing". "We are reassured that the net zero target remains in place but interim targets and plans to deliver against them are what makes any net zero commitment credible," he said.

McAllan announced a series of measures that the government wants to introduce, including reducing methane emissions in farming, a Scotland-wide integrated transport ticketing system, and the quadrupling of electric car charging points. But it is unclear what will happen to Scotland's delayed climate strategy, which was due at the end of 2023.


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24/11/28

German opposition insists on carbon pricing role

German opposition insists on carbon pricing role

Berlin, 28 November (Argus) — Germany's dominant opposition party group CDU/CSU, which is almost certain to lead the next federal government following early elections on 23 February, has warned against "ideological" energy and climate policy, and pledged it will give a stronger role to carbon pricing. "Climate policy must be accepted," deputy head of the CDU/CSU parliamentary group Jens Spahn told delegates at an industry conference this week, after not having been accepted "in the last two years". The CDU/CSU will not support the outgoing government, which lost its parliamentary majority earlier this month, on the proposed power plant bill currently under consultation, Spahn said. He cited the bill's "dirigiste" slant, reflected for instance in the fixed time frames for switching to hydrogen. The CDU/CSU will also roll back the buildings energy act passed last year, with a focus on putting carbon pricing at the centre of the law and not "enforcing ideological choices", Spahn said. The current buildings energy act supports the shift to a heating sector predominantly based on heat pumps and decarbonised heat grids. But a focus on reducing CO2 as quickly as possible, rather than aiming for "the perfect solution", would make easier solutions such as combining heating oil with bio-oil or gas with hydrogen possible, Spahn said. Spahn underlined that heat pump sales had been rising for years before the buildings energy act came into force following a months-long acrimonious debate, since when they have plummeted. And he warned against keeping industries in Germany that "permanently depend on subsidies to function". It should be acceptable for Germany to meet its target to become carbon neutral in 2045 a few years later, Spahn added. By Chloe Jardine Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Cop 29 climate finance deal settled but work remains


24/11/28
24/11/28

Cop 29 climate finance deal settled but work remains

London, 28 November (Argus) — The UN Cop 29 climate summit technically achieved its aim of settling the details of a new climate finance goal, but it represents a huge compromise for poorer developing countries and the finance may take some time to reach them. Almost 200 countries agreed — although this was later disputed by some — on a goal that will see developed countries "take the lead" on providing "at least" $300bn/yr in climate finance to developing nations by 2035, to support the latter to decarbonise and implement their energy transitions. It is the new iteration of the current climate finance goal, under which developed countries agreed to provide $100bn/yr to developing nations over 2020-25. The new goal trebles the previous target, but falls short of what developing countries were pushing in Baku — $1.3 trillion/yr, including $440bn-600bn/yr in public finance mostly in grants and concessional finance. Other key aspects of the goal — the contributor base and the structure — remain largely unchanged. It only "acknowledges the need for public and grant-based resources and highly concessional finance", stopping short of calling for grants rather than loans. Developing nations have long emphasised the need for grants and concessional loans, to avoid increasing their debt burdens. The deal does not take inflation into account, and does not define climate finance. Civil society and non-governmental organisations largely dismissed it as weak. Several developing nations and groups have decried the amount, saying it does not meet the minimum requirement to support their energy transition and adapt to the effect of climate change, and that it could further hinder their economic development. For the least developed countries and small island developing states, in particular, the pill is hard to swallow. The goal does not include the sub-targets that they had called for . Some developed parties said that these nations needed more support. But specific targets proved a step too far, with a delegate from Somalia telling Argus that "rich" developing countries did not support such carve-outs. Some ground may have shifted slightly on the contributor base — also a long-running bone of contention. UN climate body the UNFCCC works from a 1992 list of developed and developing countries, but the former group argues that economic circumstances have changed for many countries since then. The Cop 29 finance text "encourages developing country parties to make contributions… on a voluntary basis", much like the Paris Agreement. But it clarifies that any provision of finance would not change a country's status. There was a notable focus during Cop 29 on China's climate finance contributions — which is likely to have supported developed countries' argument for a wider donor base. From billions to trillions The Cop 29 finance text acknowledged the need for trillions of dollars, calling on "all actors… to enable the scaling up of financing to developing country parties for climate action from all public and private sources to at least $1.3 trillion per year by 2035". There was also reference to a "roadmap" for reaching that level, but the wording avoids calling for finance from any particular source. EU climate commissioner Wopke Hoekstra said that, with the help of the multilateral development banks (MDBs) and with the deal's structure, the bloc is confident that $1.3 trillion/yr of climate finance could be reached. But he also pointed to a challenging global context. "This is a significant leap forward in exceptionally difficult geopolitical times," Hoekstra said. The EU is the largest provider of bilateral climate finance, contributing €28.6bn ($30.1bn) in 2023. In the end a "bad" deal proved better than no deal for the least developed and most vulnerable countries. The election of Donald Trump as president of the US will add a new layer of uncertainty to the climate talks next year, and the geopolitical context shows no sign of easing. But some developing countries worry that the finance may take a long time to reach them, if at all. Developed countries have a contested track record for the $100bn/yr goal, which they only met for the first time in 2022 . The new deal has a 10-year timeframe, for the $300bn/yr from developed countries, and for the larger $1.3 trillion/yr aspiration. How much money will flow to developing nations in 2025-2035 is anyone's guess, but work on improving access to funds will be crucial in the meantime. By Georgia Gratton Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Sweden extends EU ETS 2 application


24/11/28
24/11/28

Sweden extends EU ETS 2 application

London, 28 November (Argus) — The European Commission has approved the application of the new emissions trading system for road transport and buildings (EU ETS 2) to additional sectors in Sweden. Sweden will unilaterally apply the new system to emissions from freight and passenger railway transport, non-commercial leisure boats, airport and harbour off-road machinery, and fuel combustion in agriculture, forestry and fishing. The extension means additional carbon allowances will be issued to the country in 2027, on the basis of emissions from the activities listed calculated at 1.68mn t of CO2 equivalent. Sweden must monitor and report emissions from the additional sectors from 1 January. The EU ETS 2 is due to launch fully in 2027, and will apply in its basic form to fuel combustion in buildings, road transport and small industry not covered by the existing EU ETS, in all the bloc's member states plus Norway, Iceland and Liechtenstein. The commission approved similar unilateral extensions of the system's scope in the Netherlands and Austria in September. By Victoria Hatherick Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Australia on track for 2030 GHG emissions target


24/11/27
24/11/27

Australia on track for 2030 GHG emissions target

Sydney, 27 November (Argus) — Australia is on track to reduce greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions by 42.6pc by 2030 from 2005 levels, nearly within the country's 43pc target, climate change and energy minister Chris Bowen announced today. The forecast is based on the baseline scenario from the Department of Climate Change, Energy, the Environment and Water (DCCEEW)'s emissions projections 2024 report, which will be released on 28 November, according to Bowen. It compares to a 37pc reduction estimated in the 2023 report under the baseline scenario and is slightly above the previous report's 42pc projection under a scenario "with additional measures", as those policies have now been incorporated into the baseline assumptions. The inaugural emissions projections report, published at the end of 2022 , showed forecast reductions of 32pc in the baseline scenario and 40pc in the additional measures scenario. The main policies incorporated are the expanded Capacity Investment Scheme (CIS) and the fuel efficiency standards for new passenger and light commercial vehicles, Bowen said. Under the CIS, Australia will support 32GW of new capacity consisting of 23GW of renewable capacity such as solar, wind and hydro, as well as 9GW of dispatchable capacity such as pumped hydro and grid-scale batteries. Tenders will run every six months until 2026-27 and winners will need to start operating their assets by 2030, in time to help the Labor government meet its target of sourcing 82pc of electricity from renewable sources by 2030. Bowen last month announced tender volumes would be accelerated on the back of strong interest in the initial 6GW tender in May. NEM review The government separately announced the start of a review of the National Electricity Market (NEM) wholesale market settings, which will need to be changed following the conclusion of the CIS tenders in 2027 and as Australia transitions to more renewables from its aging coal-fired plants. The tenders will give up to 15 years of support, but new settings will be needed to promote investment in firmed renewable generation and storage capacity into the 2030s and beyond, especially as the Renewable Energy Target scheme will come to an end on 31 December 2030 . An expert independent panel will carry out widespread consultation and make final recommendations to energy and climate ministers in late 2025. The panel will need to consider the importance of decarbonising Australia's electricity system to achieve the 43pc emissions reduction target by 2030 and net zero emissions by 2050, according to the government. But the panel "will not consider" options that involve implementation of carbon trading schemes or carbon markets, or that entail governments supporting new fossil fuel generation, it added. The federal government will need to co-ordinate and introduce a "clear and enduring" carbon signal in the energy sector to adapt the 25-year-old NEM to a "post-coal era" , domestic think-tank Grattan Institute said earlier this year. By Juan Weik Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Cop: Talks leave ‘mountain of work’ for Brazil in 2025


24/11/24
24/11/24

Cop: Talks leave ‘mountain of work’ for Brazil in 2025

Baku, 24 November (Argus) — The UN Cop 30 climate talks in Brazil next year may take on a new level of importance after countries at the now-completed Cop 29 in Baku, Azerbaijan, left some significant issues on the table, most notably now to keep the world on track to meet the goals of the Paris Agreement. Negotiators in Baku completed their work just after 05:30 local time (01:30 GMT) on Sunday — nearly a day and a half after the scheduled end of the Cop — with a deal on climate finance that has left developing countries furious. The Indian negotiator called the finance agreement, which the country opposed after it was gavelled, "nothing more than an optical illusion". She complained that the text was adopted even though they had informed the secretariat they wanted to make a statement before its adoption. Nigeria and Bolivia came out in support to India to say were rejecting the deal, with the latter calling the agreement "an insult". Known as the new collective quantified goal (NCQG), the deal sets a target of "at least" $300bn/yr for developing countries by 2035, with developed countries "taking the lead". The goal is meant to build on the $100bn/yr that developed countries agreed to deliver to developing countries over 2020-25. The finance will come from "a wide variety of sources, public and private, bilateral and multilateral, including alternative sources". This is more than the $250bn/yr first proposed by developed countries. But this is well below the $1.3 trillion, including $440bn-600bn/yr in public finance mostly in grants and concessional finance, sought by developing economies. The delegations salvaged what for a time appeared to be talks headed for collapse, with two groups temporarily walking out of the negotiations. But developing countries indicated that the Baku deals falls far short of what they need to deal with climate change and support their energy transition. "They were never going to be enough," special envoy for climate change and environment for Vanuatu Ralph Regenvanu said. "And even then, based on our experience with such pledges in the past, we know they will not be fulfilled," he said. India's negotiator pointed to the "unwillingness from developed countries to fulfill their responsibilities". This will severely impact growth in developing nations, she added. EU climate commissioner Wopke Hoekstra, the only developed party to take the floor just after the finance deal was agreed, said that increasing the goal three-fold, from $100bn/yr, "is ambitious, needed, realistic and achievable". He said that with the help of the multilateral development banks (MDBs), the bloc is confident $1.3 trillion/yr of climate finance for developing economies could be reached. Baku to Belem The finance deal agreed in Baku calls on all actors "to enable the scaling up of financing" from all public and private sources to at least $1.3 trillion per year by 2035. A "Baku to Belem Roadmap to $1.3 trillion", was launched to that effect. The only other major decision to come out of Baku was the adoption of the rules that will operationalise the international carbon market under Article 6 of the Paris Agreement. Progress on the implementation of the first global stocktake — the main outcome document from Cop 28, which included the historic call to transition away from fossil fuels — was left for next year. The talks failed to overcome a broad north-south divide and were hampered by the finance talks and efforts by some delegations to undo past decisions. Developed countries called for stronger global action on emissions reductions, but developing nations responded that they cannot implement an energy transition without adequate finance. Many Latin American and African nations, as well as island states, also complained during the talks about the lack of mitigation ambition. But countries including Saudi Arabia opposed including language on fossil fuels, or any mention that countries should undertake deep emissions cuts. India even pushed back on the 1.5°C temperature limit of the Paris Agreement, which was reinforced in Dubai last year. The rejected draft text for the stocktake reaffirms "the need for deep, rapid and sustained reductions in greenhouse gas emissions in line with 1.5 °C pathways". It refers to the energy package without going into details, and keeps the door open to "transitional fuels". Parties will revisit mitigation next year in Belem, leaving Baku "with a mountain of work to do," according to UN climate body UNFCCC executive secretary Simon Stiell. Mitigation was always going to be the focus of Cop 30, particularly with countries due to submit their new emissions-reduction pledges, or nationally determined contributions (NDCs), to the UNFCCC by February. But the struggle in Baku could bring new pressure to the Brazilian government. The country's environment minister Maria Silva on Saturday warned that failure in Baku would likely damage the UN process, especially with the US, one of the world's leading emitters, expected to exit the Paris Agreement again after former president Donald Trump takes office in January. By Michael Ball and Caroline Varin Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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