US antitrust regulator the Federal Trade Commission's insistence that the former chief executive of independent Pioneer Natural Resources, Scott Sheffield, be barred from ExxonMobil's board as a condition of approving their $64.5bn merger serves as a cautionary tale for other pending deals.
The FTC alleged that Sheffield, a long-time industry leader who made Pioneer one of the biggest producers in the Permian, sought to collude with Opec. It cited hundreds of text messages in which he discussed pricing and output with officials from the oil cartel, as well as efforts to co-ordinate with other Texas producers.
The fallout for other transactions still going through the approvals process may be limited, given the specific nature of the allegations against Sheffield, but the FTC's action shows the agency will not hesitate to demand concessions in order to wave deals through. Given heightened political sensitivities to fuel prices in an election year, that should put the industry on notice. At the very least, future reviews are likely to include requests to turn over any records — electronic or otherwise — that involve discussions with competitors or other oil-producing jurisdictions, according to former FTC chairman Bill Kovacic.
"It's a reminder that conversations with your competitors about production levels and pricing levels are exceedingly unwise," Kovacic says. It was significant that the FTC did not tamper with the basic fundamentals of the Pioneer acquisition. "I suspect the former CEO is unhappy about being placed on the sidelines," he says. But it is also a "relatively inexpensive price to pay for getting this done".
Under the leadership of Lina Khan, the FTC has taken a tougher line when it comes to mergers, and second requests for information have become the norm when it comes to oil deals. Chevron's planned $53bn acquisition of US independent Hess has been held up by such a request, even as a dispute over the target company's stake in a giant offshore find in Guyana has cast a cloud over the transaction. Diamondback Energy's announced $26bn takeover of Endeavor Energy Resources was also subject to a second request.
Occidental Petroleum chief executive Vicki Hollub told analysts in February that "some of our teams felt like [the FTC] asked for everything" when going through the approval process for the company's $12bn purchase of CrownRock. But Occidental said this week that its teams are working "constructively" with the regulator, and that the deal is expected to close in the third quarter.
Consolidation over consumers?
The rapid pace of consolidation in the US oil and gas sector since late last year has led to mounting calls for increased scrutiny on antitrust grounds. "Let's not kid ourselves, these mergers aren't just about efficiency or lowering costs," US Senate Democratic majority leader Chuck Schumer wrote in a letter signed by 50 Senate and House Democrats in March. They are about "buying out the competition so the newly consolidated industry can boost profits at the expense of consumers".
Given long-serving company executives' preference to stick around after selling their firms, the FTC's action in relation to Pioneer could theoretically dissuade other ‘big-name' founders from going down the same road, consultancy Rystad senior analyst Matthew Bernstein says. On the other hand, the loss of control for family-owned operators has already served as a big enough obstacle for some companies that would otherwise be seen as takeover targets.
As for Sheffield, Pioneer has said the FTC's complaint reflects a "fundamental misunderstanding" of US and global oil markets and "misreads the nature and intent" of his actions. Pioneer more than doubled its daily production between 2019 and 2023, playing its part in adding to domestic energy supply, the firm said.
