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Indonesia’s Merdeka posts lower nickel output in 1Q

  • : Metals
  • 24/06/05

Indonesian nickel firm Merdeka Battery Materials' (MBMA) production decreased during January-March from the previous quarter, weighed down by wet weather issues and a lack of equipment availability.

MBMA produced 2.1mn wet metric tonnes (wmt) of material at its Sulawesi Cahaya Mineral (SCM) mine during the quarter, down by 36pc from the previous quarter's 3.3mn wmt. Output was weighed down by higher-than-average rainfall and lower-than-planned contractor equipment availability. Limonite ore supplies fell by 25pc from October-December to 1.2mn wmt, while the volume of saprolite ore more than halved to 0.5mn wmt over the same period. The firm did not provide its production figures for the year-earlier period.

The production guidance for limonite and saprolite ore for 2024 has been kept largely steady at 10mn-11mn wmt and 4mn-5mn wmt, respectively. But production volumes are anticipated to increase in 2025, with PT ESG New Energy Material's (PT ESG) feed preparation plant commissioning by mid-2025. Limonite ore sales to PT ESG is expected to be about 5mn wmt/yr.

The SCM mine supplies limonite ores to the Huayue Nickel Cobalt high-pressure acid leaching (HPAL) plants and saprolite ore to MBMA's rotary kiln electric furnaces (RKEF) smelters.

The RKEF smelters produced 20,900t of nickel in nickel pig iron (NPI) during January-March, falling by 5.6pc from the previous quarter's 22,141t. Matte output was at 12,041t of nickel, a 5.1pc drop from 12,684t in the previous quarter.

The company maintained the 2024 production guidance for its nickel intermediates at 85,000-92,000t of nickel in NPI and 50,000-55,000t of nickel in matte.

Developments at MBMA's projects remained on track during the quarter. Widening works on the main haul road connecting the SCM mine to Indonesia's Morowali Industrial Park, and the construction of a more direct haul road to replace the use of a third party's road are underway.

A collaboration with Chinese cathode precursor and nickel producer Green Eco-Manufacture to develop PT ESG's HPAL plant, with a nameplate capacity of 30,000 t/yr of nickel in mixed hydroxide precipitate (MHP), is projected to be commissioned in late 2024.

MBMA has another HPAL plant partnership with Brunp, a subsidiary of China's largest power battery manufacturer Contemporary Amperex Technology, with a nameplate capacity of 60,000 t/yr of nickel in MHP.


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25/04/03

Oil futures, stock markets fall on Trump tariffs

Oil futures, stock markets fall on Trump tariffs

Singapore, 3 April (Argus) — US president Donald Trump's announcement of sweeping new tariffs on all US imports has sparked an immediate sell-off in oil futures and stock markets. Crude oil futures fell by almost 3.5pc in Asian trading and some stock markets in the region fell by a similar amount, after Trump unveiled the new import tariffs on 2 April. All foreign imports into the US will be subject to a minimum 10pc tax, with levels as high as 34pc for China and 20pc for the EU, Trump said. But energy and some mineral products have been excluded from the new tariffs. Tariffs on Japan and South Korea, both major trading partners and long-standing US allies in Asia, have been set at 24pc and 25pc respectively. Indonesia, Vietnam, Taiwan and Thailand also face tariffs of more than 30pc. Tariffs on imports from China will be subject to a 54pc rate, after taking into account the 20pc tariffs imposed by Trump over the last two months. Some imports from China that are subject to pre-existing tariffs will face an even higher effective rate. The blanket 10pc tariffs will take effect on 5 April. Any additional country-specific rates will come into force on 9 April. Oil futures fell despite the exemption for energy products. The June Brent contract on the Ice exchange fell by as much as 3.2pc to a low of $72.52/bl in Asian trading, while May Nymex WTI dropped by 3.4pc to $69.27/bl. The prospect that the US tariffs could disrupt global trade and hit export-focused economies in Asia sent stock markets in Tokyo, Hong Kong and South Korea down by 2-3pc or more. US stock futures also fell sharply. By Kevin Foster Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Mexico manufacturing extends contraction in March


25/04/02
25/04/02

Mexico manufacturing extends contraction in March

Mexico City, 2 April (Argus) — Mexico's manufacturing sector contracted for a 12th consecutive month in March, with production and employment both deepening their slides, according to a survey released today. The manufacturing purchasing managers' index (PMI) ticked up to 47.2 in March from 47.1 in February, but remained below the 50-point threshold between contraction and expansion, according to the latest PMI survey from the finance executive association IMEF. Manufacturing, which accounts for about a fifth of Mexico's economy, is led by the auto sector, contributing about 18pc of manufacturing GDP. Within the manufacturing PMI, the new orders index rose by 1.3 points to 45.3, still deep in contraction. Meanwhile, production fell by 0.6 points to 44.6. The employment index also declined 0.6 points to 46.4 in March, now in contraction for 14 consecutive months. Meanwhile, the non-manufacturing PMI — covering services and commerce — declined 0.8 points to 48.8 in March from 49.6 in February, holding in contraction for a fourth consecutive month. Within the non-manufacturing PMI, new orders fell 1.5 points to 48.2 and production declined 1 point to 47.5 with employment down a point as well in March to 47.5, as all three pushed deeper into contraction. In contrast, the inventories component rose 3.5 points to 50.6 into expansion territory in March. But this may be the result of company strategies to stockpile inventories ahead of US tariffs and the reciprocal measures Mexico is set to announce on 3 April, IMEF technical advisory board member Sergio Luna said. PMI data show that the economic stagnation that began in late 2024 persisted through March, with results from January and February pointing to a sharp slowdown in the first quarter, IMEF said. This follows annualized GDP growth of 0.5pc in the fourth quarter of 2024, slowing from 1.7pc in the third quarter, according to national statistics agency data. Luna said concerns over US tariffs continue to drive much of the uncertainty reflected in the PMI data. Internal factors — such as reduced government spending to contain the fiscal deficit and investor unease over judicial reforms passed last year — are also weighing on activity, Luna added. By James Young Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Market mulls 'limited' EU strategic project funding


25/04/02
25/04/02

Market mulls 'limited' EU strategic project funding

London, 2 April (Argus) — Market participants had mixed reactions after the European Commission granted Strategic Project status to 47 critical materials projects, securing €22.5bn investment to bolster the bloc's homegrown battery supply chain. The listed €22.5bn is not yet allocated, but the commission will work with funding bodies such as the European Investment Bank and other private institutions to advise on distribution. The commission did not offer a deadline for funding allocations, but stated that permit-granting will be cut to 27 months for extraction and 15 months for processing or recycling projects, down from current waiting times of up to 10 years. The commission also maintains that the sum of expected overall capital investment will be enough to bring all 47 projects on line (see map) . "Securing Strategic Project status is likely to bring key advantages, including better access to finance and investment," Vulcan Energy chief executive Cris Moreno told Argus . "It will enable us to scale our operations and ensure long-term sustainable lithium production for Europe's mobility transition." One carmaker told Argus the commission's decision offers projects more of a "seal of quality" than a decisive cash injection, the significance of which has divided participants. "Funding is indeed limited considering the size of individual investments," a spokesperson from Finnish-state-owned battery recycler Fortum told Argus . "In general, one could say that cost of refinery or battery materials manufacturing capacities are easily 1bn — each." Others estimate the average cost for a project closer to $2.5bn . The EU's fast-tracked timelines for these projects might also be delayed by the handling of appeals against its permitting decisions, Fortum added, perhaps over the climate and local community. EU funding dwarfed by China, US The EU's €22.5bn of earmarked funding pales in comparison with China and the US. Chinese state subsidies into the electric vehicle (EV) supply chain tipped $45bn in 2023 alone, while the US invested more than $50bn last year into all clean energy under the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) (see graphs) . "From a lithium perspective, it is nice to see some action in Europe but many of the projects are at best mediocre," Global Lithium podcast host Joe Lowry told Argus , citing high costs and an overall "mining unfriendly continent". "I welcome it, I think it's very good news", consultancy EV Outlook founder Roger Atkins said. "Almost inevitably, some will fail, some will thrive — they would've anyway, but this definitely helps." Participants speculated as to whether EU Strategic Project status will encourage enough additional investment to get projects under way. "I don't know all 47, but for [Swedish graphite producer] Talga, this will allow it to attract the investment it's been looking to close in on, but I'm certain production in Europe could benefit from more collaboration — even between competitors," Atkins added. "There is an annual forum in China going on since 2015, called China EV100, to get industry actors and politicians in the room. It's not for profit, so it's open to everyone, just an organic process of managing change. It wouldn't harm Europe to basically copy it." By Chris Welch EU's 47 strategic projects Annual Chinese state subsidy estimates $bn US manufacturing investments by stage of supply chain $bn Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Next US tariffs to take effect 'immediately'


25/04/01
25/04/01

Next US tariffs to take effect 'immediately'

Washington, 1 April (Argus) — President Donald Trump plans to announce a sweeping batch of tariffs on Wednesday afternoon that will take effect "immediately", the White House said today. Trump will unveil his much anticipated tariff decision Wednesday at 4pm ET during a ceremony at the White House Rose Garden. While the administration has announced the effective date, there is little clarity on what goods will face tariffs at what rates and against which countries, leaving the government agencies that will be tasked with enforcing new tariffs largely in the dark. "The president has a brilliant team of advisers who have been studying these issues for decades, and we are focused on restoring the golden age of America and making America a manufacturing superpower," the White House said today, brushing off criticism from economists, industry groups and investors. Economic activity in the US manufacturing sector contracted in March as businesses braced for Trump's tariff threats. Trump has previewed or announced multiple tariff actions since taking office. The barriers in place now include a 20pc tariff on all imports from China, in effect since 4 March, and a 25pc tax on all imported steel and aluminum, in effect since 12 March. A 25pc tariff on all imported cars, trucks and auto parts, is scheduled to go into effect on 3 April, the White House confirmed today. Trump and his advisers have previewed two possible courses of action for 2 April. Trump has suggested that all major US trading partners are likely to see a broad increase in tariffs in an effort to reduce the US trade deficit and to raise more revenue for the US federal budget. But Trump separately has talked about the need for "reciprocal tariffs", contending that most foreign countries typically charge higher rates of tariffs on US exports than the US applies to imports from those countries. In that scenario, high tariffs become a negotiating tool to bring down alleged foreign barriers to US exports. Treasury secretary Scott Bessent told Fox News on Monday night that the second course is the one Trump is more likely to take. Trump will announce "reciprocal tariffs" and "everyone will have the opportunity to lower their tariffs, lower their non-tariff barriers, stop the currency manipulation" and "make the global trading system fair for American workers again", Bessent said. But the White House insisted today that the new tariffs will not be a negotiating tool. Trump is "always up for a good negotiation, but he is very much focused on fixing the wrongs of the past and showing that American workers have a fair shake", the White House said. Trump's words and actions already have drawn retaliatory tariffs from Canada and China, and the EU is preparing to implement its first batch of counter-tariffs in April. Trump, for now, has deferred his tariff plans for imported Canadian and Mexican oil and other energy commodities. But the US oil and gas sector, which depends on pipelines and foreign-flagged vessels to transport its crude, natural gas, refined products and LNG, will feel the effects of tariffs on imported steel and proposed fees on Chinese-made and owned vessels calling at US ports. By Haik Gugarats Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Mexico GDP outlook falls again in March survey


25/04/01
25/04/01

Mexico GDP outlook falls again in March survey

Mexico City, 1 April (Argus) — Private-sector analysts lowered Mexico's 2025 GDP growth forecast to 0.5pc in the central bank's March survey, down by more than a third from the prior forecast, driven by increased concerns over US trade policy and weakening domestic investment. The latest outlook is down from 0.8pc estimated in February and marks the largest of four consecutive reductions in the median forecast for 2025 GDP growth in the central bank's monthly surveys since December. Mexico's economy decelerated in the fourth quarter of 2024 to an annualized rate of 0.5pc from 1.7pc the previous quarter, the slowest expansion since the first quarter of 2021, according to statistics agency data. Uncertainty over US trade policy has weighed on investment and contributed to the slowdown. Concerns have intensified in recent weeks with US president Donald Trump set to announce sweeping new tariffs on 2 April. Mexico is preparing its response, possibly including reciprocal tariffs, on 3 April. A key concern in Mexico is an expiring carveout to the tariffs for treaties aligned with US-Mexico-Canada (USMCA) free trade agreement rules of origin. Mexico's economy minister said last week ongoing negotiations aim to secure a "preferential tariff," including a continuance of that exclusion and lower tariffs for goods progressing toward USMCA compliance. The median 2026 GDP growth estimate fell to 1.6pc from 1.7pc in February. Analysts again cited security, governance and trade policy as top constraints to growth. Year-end 2025 inflation expectations edged lower to 3.70pc in March from 3.71pc in February. The central bank's board of governors cut Mexico's target interest rate by 50 basis points to 9pc from 9.5pc on 27 March, citing expectations that inflation will continue to slow toward the central bank's 3pc long-term goal and reach 3.3pc by year-end. The board said it would consider additional cuts of that size at future meetings. Mexico's consumer price index accelerated to an annual 3.77pc in February, as slower growth in agricultural prices was offset by faster inflation in services. The target interest rate is projected to fall to 8pc by year-end, compared with 8.25pc in February's survey. The median exchange rate forecast for end-2025 reflected expectations of the peso ending the year slightly stronger at Ps20.80 to the US dollar from Ps20.85/$1 estimated in the prior forecast. The end-2026 estimate firmed slightly to Ps21.30/$1 from Ps21.36/$1. By James Young Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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