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Polish gas reforms still needed: Energy Traders Europe

  • : Natural gas
  • 24/07/15

Recent government plans to amend Poland's onerous gas storage legislation are positive, but more serious reforms are necessary to foster increased competition, industry association Energy Traders Europe told Argus.

The Polish government last month said it plans to amend the Act on Stocks in November, removing importers' obligation to maintain mandatory gas storage reserves and placing it on state-owned strategic reserves agency Rars instead. Energy Traders Europe welcomed the move but recommended several further steps to bolster competition and liquidity.

The Act on Stocks "needs to be revised first and fast" before addressing other issues in the market, the association's gas market manager, Pawel Lont, told Argus. While shifting the obligation to Rars is a positive first step, Poland would still have "state-enforced storage filling with hardly any capacity left for commercial use", which removes an important flexibility source for the market, he said. Ultimately, storage needs to be reformed to a point at which commercial filling becomes not only possible but desired, Lont said.

The government needs to ensure that the system provides an incentive for the storage operator to offer products that are attractive to users, Lont said, noting that currently "this incentive simply does not exist, and this set-up can only inflate the costs of gas consumption in Poland". Energy Traders Europe previously suggested that the strategic reserve should be calculated against the demand of vulnerable customers only, as opposed to all consumers, which would significantly reduce the overall burden and free up space for commercial use.

It would also be desirable to move the start date of the draft storage legislation to 1 April 2025 and ensure that licence applications declaring the intention to start commercial activity after this date are tested for compliance with these new rules. It can take a year or more for licence applications to be approved, so "the sooner we start, the better", Lont said, adding that the licensing procedure in Poland is "undoubtedly the most problematic in all of Europe". Applications involve a long list of documents that are difficult to complete in a timely manner.

There are also issues on the reporting side, with "an impressive list of 20+ positions reported to different bodies at different points in time" on top of standard EU reporting, Lont said. These obligations create exposure and considerable costs for companies, so it would be beneficial to run a critical review on their necessity, he said.

And Polish transmission tariffs are high, although this is understandable given Gaz-System's construction of interconnectors with several neighbouring countries over the past few years. Polish tariffs are decided yearly, while entry/exit splits can also be adjusted, which is problematic for trading companies that would like to book longer-term products. The multipliers and seasonal factors "definitely deserve some rethinking as they severely inflate the costs of short-term capacity products, while booking yearly products in Poland can be quite a bet", he said.

But even if these other issues are addressed, "We will [still] be looking at a largely monopolised country, with the dominant player having exclusive access to LNG terminals", Lont said. While the gas release programme is positive for the market, it would be beneficial to see whether Orlen's dominance could be challenged at import terminals. Orlen has booked all capacity at the Swinoujscie terminal, as well as at the planned Gdansk terminal, meaning it continues to be the sole beneficiary of the 100pc discount on entry to the grid from LNG terminals.

Several measures could be taken to open other companies' access to the terminals, such as secondary capacity trading, use-it-or-lose-it rules or set-aside rules and limits when allocating capacity to a single entity, Lont said. But these measures would be ineffectual without a guarantee that other firms are ready and willing to book this capacity, so the reforms discussed above need to come first so as to ensure that these participants can actively trade in Poland beforehand, Lont said.

In general, it is not unusual to have a dominant company in a given country, but "one just needs an environment in which the group cannot abuse its position and its offer can be challenged", he said.

Orlen had a 91pc share of the Polish retail market last year, according to regulator URE.

Poland has "all the cards" to develop a liquid gas market, but this takes time, so reforms must get going as soon as possible. Since the change of government, it has at least become "much easier to approach the ministries in Poland", which "helps a great deal on the transparency side", Lont said.


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24/08/13

California pares LCFS goals to tougher targets: Update

California pares LCFS goals to tougher targets: Update

Updates trade discussion, adds links to other coverage. Houston, 13 August (Argus) — California will pursue transportation fuel carbon reduction targets in 2025 nearly twice as tough as originally proposed under final Low Carbon Fuel Standard (LCFS) rulemaking language released late Monday. The California Air Resources Board (CARB) will consider a one-time tightening of annual targets for gasoline and diesel by 9pc in 2025, compared with the usual 1.25pc annual reduction and a 5pc stepdown first proposed in December 2023. Staff maintained a 30pc reduction target for 2030, compared to the current 20pc target. Final rulemaking language introduced a new 20pc/yr cap on a company's credit generation from soybean- and canola-oil-based biodiesel or renewable diesel to begin in 2028. The updated rule also dropped proposals to require carbon reductions from jet fuel in addition to gasoline and diesel, a controversial proposal aligned with governor Gavin Newsom's (D) ambitions for lower-carbon air travel but which participants warned would not achieve its targets. The new proposal immediately jolted a lethargic credit market that earlier this year slumped to the lowest spot price in nearly a decade under the weight of growing credit supplies. Current quarter trade raced higher by $12.50 — 26pc — in rare after-hours activity less than two hours after CARB staff published the latest documents. Trade continued up to $65/t in the first half of Tuesday's session before retreating in later hours back below $60/t. Public comment on the proposals will continue to 27 August ahead of a planned 8 November public hearing and potential board vote. The program changes could be in place by the end of the first quarter of 2025, according to staff. LCFS programs require yearly reductions to transportation fuel carbon intensity. Higher-carbon fuels that exceed these annual limits incur deficits that suppliers must offset with credits generated from the distribution to the market of approved, lower-carbon alternatives. Surging use of renewable diesel and outsized credit generation from renewable natural gas have overwhelmed deficit generation to create a glut of credits available for future compliance. LCFS credits do not expire, and 26.1mn metric tonnes of credits — higher by 16pc than all the new deficits generated in 2023 — were available for future compliance by the end of March. Credits fell in May to trade at $40/t, the lowest level for current quarter credits since June 2015. California late last year formally proposed tougher annual targets, off-ramps for certain fuels and other changes to North America's largest and oldest LCFS program. Staff had initially targeted March to put ideas including a one-time, 5pc reduction to targets in 2025 and automatic mechanisms to match targets to credit and deficit generation before the board for formal approval, but they delayed that meeting after receiving hundreds of distinct comments on the original proposal. Staff shifted the 2025 target to at least 7pc after an April workshop discussion and another record-breaking quarter of increases in credits available for future compliance. The 9pc recommendation followed the continued growth of credit supplies in recent quarters. Previous modeling estimated that such a target could draw down the credit bank by 8.2mn t in its first year. Uncertainty over how fuel suppliers and consumers would respond to that target led staff to leave in place the proposed 30pc target by 2030. An outright cap on credits generated from soybean- or canola-oil derived biomass-based diesels augments initially proposed "guard rails" on crop-based credit generation through verification. The change would send a stronger market signal preferring waste-based feedstocks for diesel fuels that California expects to replace with zero-emission alternatives, staff said. And staff dropped a proposed obligation on jet fuel used in intrastate flights, estimated to make up 10pc of California's jet fuel consumption. Participants had warned the measure would stoke more credit purchases than renewable jet fuel buying, due to the structure of the aviation fuel market . By Elliott Blackburn Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Germany's Landwärme declares insolvency


24/08/13
24/08/13

Germany's Landwärme declares insolvency

London, 13 August (Argus) — German biomethane supplier Landwärme has today declared insolvency under the country's self-administration procedure and has initiated restructuring measures "to overcome the consequences of the ongoing decline in prices of German greenhouse gas (GHG) emission reduction quota". Self-administration proceedings are a proven legal framework in German restructuring law analogous to the US' Chapter 11 bankruptcy proceedings. They allow businesses to reorganise structures and financing while operations continue. Landwärme attributed the price decline of German GHG tickets to an influx of imported, falsely-labelled biodiesel since the start of last year, as well as other alleged fraud cases regarding upstream emission reduction (UER) projects. Fake UER projects have caused the biofuel industry around €4.5bn in damages, according to the company. Argus' Other GHG credits, GHG certificates which do not fall under caps for crop-based and Annex Part B biofuels, averaged €100/t CO2e in July, down from around €400/t CO2e in January 2023. Landwärme is also looking to bring a "financially strong partner on board" to regain the necessary stability, it said, and intends to complete the restructuring as quickly as possible. "This procedure could have been avoided if politicians and authorities had been more consistent in prosecuting and combating the alleged fraud cases in biodiesel and UER projects", managing director Zoltan Elek said. By Sophie Barthel Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

California narrows LCFS goals to tougher targets


24/08/13
24/08/13

California narrows LCFS goals to tougher targets

Houston, 13 August (Argus) — California will pursue transportation fuel carbon reduction targets in 2025 nearly twice as tough as originally proposed under final Low Carbon Fuel Standard (LCFS) rulemaking language released late Monday. The California Air Resources Board (CARB) will consider a one-time tightening of annual targets for gasoline and diesel by 9pc in 2025, compared with the usual 1.25pc annual reduction and a 5pc stepdown first proposed in December 2023. Final rulemaking language introduced a new 20pc/yr cap on a company's credit generation from soybean- and canola-oil-based biodiesel or renewable diesel to begin in 2028. The updated rule also dropped proposals to require carbon reductions from jet fuel in addition to gasoline and diesel, a controversial proposal aligned with governor Gavin Newsom's (D) ambitions for lower-carbon air travel but which participants warned would not achieve its targets. The new proposal immediately jolted a lethargic credit market that earlier this year slumped to the lowest spot price in nearly a decade under the weight of growing credit supplies. Current quarter trade raced higher by $12.50 — 26pc — in rare after-hours activity less than two hours after CARB staff published the latest documents. Public comment on the proposals will continue to 27 August ahead of a planned 8 November public hearing and potential board vote. The program changes could be in place by the end of the first quarter of 2025, according to staff. LCFS programs require yearly reductions to transportation fuel carbon intensity. Higher-carbon fuels that exceed these annual limits incur deficits that suppliers must offset with credits generated from the distribution to the market of approved, lower-carbon alternatives. Surging use of renewable diesel and outsized credit generation from renewable natural gas have overwhelmed deficit generation to create a glut of credits available for future compliance. LCFS credits do not expire, and 26.1mn metric tonnes of credits — higher by 16pc than all the new deficits generated in 2023 — were available for future compliance by the end of March. Credits fell in May to trade at $40/t, the lowest level for current quarter credits since June 2015. California late last year formally proposed tougher annual targets, off-ramps for certain fuels and other changes to North America's largest and oldest LCFS program. Staff had initially targeted March to put ideas including a one-time, 5pc reduction to targets in 2025 and automatic mechanisms to match targets to credit and deficit generation before the board for formal approval, but they delayed that meeting after receiving hundreds of distinct comments on the original proposal. Staff shifted the 2025 target to at least 7pc after an April workshop discussion and another record-breaking quarter of increases in credits available for future compliance. The 9pc recommendation followed the continued growth of credit supplies in recent quarters. Previous modeling estimated that such a target could draw down the credit bank by 8.2mn t in its first year. Uncertainty over how fuel suppliers and consumers would respond to that target led staff to leave in place the proposed 30pc target by 2030. An outright cap on credits generated from soybean- or canola-oil derived biomass-based diesels replaced initially proposed lighter "guard rails" on crop-based credit generation. The change would send a stronger market signal preferring waste-based feedstocks for diesel fuels that California expects to replace with zero-emission alternatives. And staff dropped a proposed obligation on jet fuel used in intrastate flights, estimated to make up 10pc of California's jet fuel consumption. Participants had warned the measure would stoke more credit purchases than renewable jet fuel buying, due to the structure of the aviation fuel market . By Elliott Blackburn Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Genesis secures more gas to curb New Zealand shortages


24/08/13
24/08/13

Genesis secures more gas to curb New Zealand shortages

Sydney, 13 August (Argus) — New Zealand upstream firm and utility Genesis Energy has secured emergency gas supplies for its dual gas- and coal-fired Huntly power station on the North Island. Genesis has secured 3.2PJ (86mn m³) of gas to allow the 400MW No.5 unit at Huntly to reach full capacity for the first time this winter, it said on 13 August, describing the electricity grid as facing "unprecedented pressure". An agreement has been reached with Canadian methanol manufacturer Methanex, which will shut its Motunui plants in the North Island's Taranaki province until the end of October to allow for more gas-fired power generation, Genesis said. The commercial arrangements regarding the gas transfer are structured to provide Methanex with a base price for each unit of gas delivered, with further incremental value shared between the parties depending on electricity pricing over the period, it said on 12 August. Methanex's 1.72mn t/yr plant in Motunui has paused production in the past, also diverting feedstock natural gas to support electricity generation in the winter of 2021 . The 953MW Huntly — New Zealand's largest power station by capacity and the country's only coal-fired unit, has been under significant strain as dry, cold conditions have led to increased demand during winter as hydroelectricity inflows remain low. New Zealand has also experienced light winds cutting expected wind-powered generation this winter, with Genesis planning coal imports for the first time since 2022 in response to lower domestic gas output and rapidly falling coal stocks. LNG imports investigated New Zealand energy minister Simeon Brown told parliament on 7 August his administration was investigating two separate options to ease the gas shortfall in the short to medium term. Industry body the Gas Industry Company (GIC) is studying the feasibility of importing LNG, while also considering policies to increase investment in flexible gas-fired generation, Brown said. Data from upstream firms released earlier this year show a significant drop in proven plus probable reserves, falling from 1,635PJ to 1,300PJ, he added. Gas production into open access pipelines was 58.8PJ during January-June, GIC said in its April-June quarterly report, 20pc down on 73.7PJ a year earlier, while gas-fired power demand grew by 10pc against April-June 2023. New Zealand's National Party-led government is aiming to overturn a 2018 ban on new oil and gas exploration with legislation to be introduced to parliament later this year. By Tom Major Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

US gas producers mull output cuts on lower prices


24/08/12
24/08/12

US gas producers mull output cuts on lower prices

New York, 12 August (Argus) — Large US natural gas producers are delaying well completions and considering curtailing output as a persistently oversupplied domestic market weighs on prices. EQT, the largest US gas producer by volume, in July said it had been holding back production for weeks in response to lower prices, and planned to continue curtailing output through autumn. "It's in response to the market," EQT chief financial officer Jeremy Knop said. "If we can make money selling gas, we wouldn't curtail anything." EQT plans to curtail about 490mn cf/d (14mn m³/d) of natural gas equivalent (cfe) in the second half of 2024, with the majority of the curtailments taking place in September and October. During those so-called autumn "shoulder months," gas prices tend to be lower than during the winter, when more gas is burned to heat homes, and the summer, when gas is burned to generate electricity to run air conditioners. Coterra Energy earlier this month said it expects to curtail about 275mn cf/d of gas production in the Marcellus shale in Pennsylvania and the surrounding states, with its chief executive Thomas Jorden citing an oversupplied market as the reason. The industry does not need $5/mmBtu gas prices, he said, but it does need prices closer to $3.50/mmBtu to incentivize bringing incremental gas to market. The September-October strip price for Nymex gas at the US benchmark Henry Hub on 9 August settled at $2.218/mmBtu, compared to the November-December price of $3.031/mmBtu. Seneca Resources and Antero Resources this month also said they were delaying completion activity and mulling further output cuts if the outlook for US gas prices did not improve. Chesapeake Energy, which reported second-quarter production that was 760mn cf/d lower than the year-earlier quarter, said it would curtail further production if prices were to decline "materially." Like EQT, Antero and other large producers, Chesapeake choked back output in the spring, only to restore much of the curtailed production when prices rebounded in late May as summer heat boosted demand. Those restorations now appear liable to be reversed. North of the US border, some Canadian producers have also vowed to rein in output on lower prices across the region. The two markets are highly connected by pipeline, through which the US buys almost half of Canada's gas production. Canadian gas producer Arc Resources earlier this month said it would curtail about 250mn cf/d of gas production to "preserve value for periods when prices were higher." Tourmaline Oil, Canada's largest gas producer, lowered its full-year production guidance slightly, in part so it could shift some production to the winter, when gas prices were expected to be higher. By Julian Hast Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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