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Ultratech buys 32.72pc of India Cements for $472mn

  • : Coal, Petroleum coke
  • 24/07/29

India's top cement maker Ultratech will spend 39.54bn rupees ($472.2mn) to own a controlling stake in fellow producer India Cements, and raise its domestic cement capacity by 14.45mn t/yr to 164mn t/yr.

Ultratech will pay Rs390/share to acquire a 32.72pc stake, and emerge as the majority shareholder in India Cements with a 55.5pc stake. The move will also trigger an open offer under which Ultratech could acquire up to a 26pc additional stake from the public at Rs390/share.

Ultratech's latest move comes a month after it bought a 22.77pc stake in India Cements from an investor for $226mn at Rs267/share as an investment. The owners of India Cements approached Ultratech subsequently with a proposal to sell their 32.72pc stake.

The deal takes Ultratech closer to its target of 200mn t/yr capacity and reinforces its position as the largest Indian cement maker, while improving its overall market presence in the southern states. A larger capacity will also bring in economies of scale and a greater bargaining power in sourcing key fuels, petroleum coke and thermal coal.

India Cements has a capacity of 14.45mn t/yr, of which nearly 13mn t is in southern India, particularly in the state of Tamil Nadu, Ultratech said on 28 July.

Ultratech's latest acquisition comes weeks after Adani Group-controlled Ambuja Cements acquired Penna Cement for $1.25bn. Penna has 10mn t/yr of operational cement manufacturing capacity and is adding another 4mn t/y over the next 12 months. Adani's latest deal raised the group's capacity to 89mn t/yr, strengthening its position as the country's second-largest cement producer. Adani is eyeing 140mn t/yr capacity by 2028 while Ultratech has set a 200mn t/yr target for 2030.

The Indian cement sector has seen increasing consolidation as smaller regional producers face an extremely challenging operating environment. Such regional participants have been exiting the sector as they are unable to compete with national firms, giving way to a wave of consolidation in the industry.

The aggressive medium-term capacity targets of larger companies are unlikely to be achieved organically. Capacities totalling more than 210mn t/yr have changed hands in the past decade, according to industry estimates.

Rapid urbanisation, a growing middle class and affordable housing, as well as the construction and other infrastructure sectors, are expected to drive growth in the cement sector. India is the world's second-largest cement market after China with an installed capacity of about 550mn t/yr.

There is significant potential for cement sector growth in India. The country's consumption is 242kg per capita compared with a global average of 525kg, Adani said after it entered the sector in September 2022 with the acquisition of ACC and Ambuja Cement, the two listed Indian subsidiaries of Holcim, for $10.5bn.


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24/08/02

China to set hard targets for curbing CO2 emissions

China to set hard targets for curbing CO2 emissions

San Francisco, 2 August (Argus) — China is planning a shift in the way it controls greenhouse gases, specifically carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions, in a move that could support progress in its national emissions trading scheme (ETS), although it is unclear what emissions levels will be targeted. The country currently measures CO2 against economic growth, or emissions per unit of GDP in what is known as carbon intensity. This allows it to tout progress despite rising emissions so long as these do not rise faster than GDP. But it plans to change this. Beijing aims to incorporate CO2 indicators and related requirements into national plans and establish and improve local carbon assessments in a goal to improve CO2 statistical accounting. This will affect sectors including the power, steel, building materials, non-ferrous metals, and petrochemicals sectors, according to a state council work plan issued on 2 August. It will evaluate CO2 emissions of fixed asset investments and conduct product carbon footprint assessments while local governments will implement provincial carbon budgets that could enter trials in 2025. The latter will involve a wide range of industries including oil, petrochemicals, coal-to-gas, steel, cement, aluminium, solar panels manufacturing and electric vehicles, among others. Beijing is hoping such measures will allow it to set hard targets for CO2 emissions from 2026-2030, although the government will still prioritise intensity control in the meantime in what it calls a ‘dual-control mechanism' — switching from controlling intensity to actual emissions of CO2. Provinces are expected to be allowed to further refine this dual control mechanism, suggesting it will may give localities some leeway to adjust. China's ETS currently includes only the power sector due in large part to challenges collating accurate CO2 emissions data from other sectors, although it is expected to include other sectors like aluminium into the scheme soon. China unveiled new regulations for its ETS earlier this year, aiming to crack down on falsification of data. It sees the ETS as a tool to help it meet a goal to peak carbon emissions before 2030 and reach carbon neutrality before 2060. Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Mexico 2Q GDP data, surveys point to slower economy


24/08/02
24/08/02

Mexico 2Q GDP data, surveys point to slower economy

Mexico City, 2 August (Argus) — Private-sector analysts have lowered estimates for Mexico's 2024 and 2025 gross domestic product (GDP) growth while raising inflation forecasts for both years, the central bank said Thursday. For a fourth consecutive month, the survey's median forecasts for GDP growth in 2024 declined, with analysts polled lowering growth estimates to 1.8pc for 2024 from 2pc in last month's survey. The 2025 growth forecast slipped to 1.61pc from 1.78pc. The shift in forecasts arrives on the heels of preliminary second quarter GDP data, posted by statistics agency Inegi 30 July, showing the economy grew by an annual 2.2pc in the second quarter, up from 1.6pc in the first quarter but slowing from 3.5pc in the second quarter 2023. The central bank's 2024 GDP estimate was lower than a 2.4pc estimate from Mexican bank Banorte. Median projections for end-2024 inflation in the central bank's private-sector survey for July moved to 4.58pc from 4.23pc, with end-2025 projections rising to 3.83pc from 3.76pc in the June survey. The central bank cited higher risks to inflation from a weakening peso and a potentially severe hurricane season in its latest monetary policy decision on 27 June when it held its target interest rate at 11pc. The peso weakened above 19 pesos to the US dollar Friday for the first time since January 2023, extending the losses triggered after 2 June elections that effectively erased congressional opposition to the progressive Morena party. It has weakened from 16.3 pesos to the dollar early April, its strongest level in more than eight years. Growth in the industrial sector grew by an annual 1.9pc in the second quarter from 0.9pc in the first quarter, while services grew by 2.7pc in the second quarter from 2.1pc in the prior quarter, according to the latest GDP report. Agriculture contracted by 2.7pc in the second quarter from 0.6pc growth in the first quarter. "The economy's exceptional momentum in previous years may be running out of steam," said Mexican bank Banorte in a note on the GDP report. Banorte noted uncertainty in manufacturing, "although some of the early nearshoring-related investments could begin to result into more production. In addition, the auto sector remains strong, key to driving the category forward." The downtrend is supported by comments from ratings agency Moody's out this week, predicting a "substantial slowdown" in the second half of 2024. By James Young Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

US job growth slows sharply in July, jobless rate rises


24/08/02
24/08/02

US job growth slows sharply in July, jobless rate rises

Houston, 2 August (Argus) — The US added 114,000 nonfarm jobs in July, much less than expected, as the jobless rate rose and average hourly earnings growth fell, all signs of an almost certain rate cut from the Federal Reserve next month. Job gains followed downwardly revised gains of 179,000 in June and 216,000 jobs in May, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Gains were revised down by 29,000 for the two months. Gains in July were well below the average 215,000 jobs added monthly for the prior 12 months. The unemployment rate rose to 4.3pc from 4.1pc. Fed policymakers this week kept their target rate unchanged at 5.25-5.5pc, a 23-year high, but Fed chief Jerome Powell said a possible rate cut was "on the table" for September should the data — especially easing inflation pressures and weakening labor market conditions — keep moving in the right direction. After the jobs report today, the CME's FedWatch tool showed 67.5pc odds of a 50 basis point cut, and 32.5pc probability of a 25 basis point cut at the September meeting, compared with 22pc and 72pc odds, respectively, on Thursday. A rate cut in September would come less than two months before the November national election and would be the first cut since early 2020, when Covid-19 struck the US. Job gains were led by health care, construction, transportation and warehousing. Health care added 55,000 jobs, construction added 25,000 and transportation and warehousing added 14,000 jobs. Manufacturing added 1,000 jobs compared with losses of 9,000 jobs in June. Mining, which includes oil and gas exploration and production, shed 1,000 jobs. Average hourly earnings rose by an annual 3.6pc, down from 3.8pc in June and the lowest since May 2021. By Bob Willis Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Vitol expands coal trading in Noble Resources purchase


24/08/02
24/08/02

Vitol expands coal trading in Noble Resources purchase

Singapore, 2 August (Argus) — Vitol has agreed to buy fellow commodity trading firm Noble Resources for $208.9mn, a deal that will expand its coal trading business. Vitol will pay the equivalent of $0.63 per share on a cash free and debt free basis for the Singapore-based firm and expects to close the deal before the end of 2024, it said on 2 August. The reconstituted Noble Resources trades and manage more than 35mn t/yr of thermal coal, sourced from Indonesia and Australia and marketed to key markets across Asia-Pacific. Its predecessor company Noble Group was forced to sell many of its assets because of a debt crisis after accusations of accounting fraud. The company completed a $3.45bn debt restructuring in December 2018 . Major divestments included selling its North American oil liquids business to Vitol in 2017 and its North American power and gas unit to trading firm Mercuria. The acquisition of Noble Resources is the latest in a series of strategic moves by Vitol to expand its global operations. Vitol in June this year completed a deal to buy a controlling stake in Italian refiner Saras . The deal will lift Vitol's investments in refining capacity to over 800,000 b/d and grow its footprint in the Mediterranean. Vitol in April acquired US-based renewable energy company BioMethane Partners to form Vitol BioMethane (VBM). The combined capacity at VBM is estimated to generate an equivalent 22mn cellulosic biofuel D3 renewable identification number credits. By Janet Ong Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Higher power demand lifts India's June coal imports


24/07/29
24/07/29

Higher power demand lifts India's June coal imports

Singapore, 29 July (Argus) — India's thermal coal imports rose in June, from a year earlier, in line with an increase in coal-fired generation to cater for the rise in power demand during the peak summer period. The south Asian country imported 14.09mn t of thermal coal in June, up by 4.2pc from a year earlier, according to data from shipbroker Interocean. But imports fell from 16.70mn t in May . Imports during January-June were up at 89.64mn t, from 81.13mn t in the same period a year earlier. The rise in imports underscored India's position as the world's second largest thermal coal importer after China, and as a key buyer of Indonesian coal, especially as international prices remained largely weak. Argus assessed Indonesian GAR 4,200 kcal/kg coal for Supramax cargoes at $51.97/t fob Kalimantan on 26 July, the lowest level since September 2023. The trend in imports followed an increase in demand from Indian utilities to fuel coal-fired generation — which meets most of the country's power requirement. The year-on-year increase in receipts of seaborne coal was in line with the rise in coal-fired generation at 113.41TWh in June, up from 103.32TWh a year earlier, according to data from the Central Electricity Authority (CEA). Imports dipped on the month as coal-power generation slipped last month from 119.64TWh in May. The year-on-year rise in imports also comes as hydropower generation eased on the year after rising in May. India's hydropower generation edged lower to 14.17TWh, from 14.33TWh a year earlier, although rising from 12.6TWh in May, according to CEA data. The year-on-year easing in hydropower output, supported the increase in coal-fired generation, lifting utility coal demand and exacerbating inventory drawdown at Indian power plants. Combined coal inventories at Indian power plants were at 46.88mn t as of 30 June, down from 47.86mn t as of 31 May, CEA data show. Stocks by the end of June were sufficient for over 16 days' worth of consumption. A steady increase in domestic coal supplies to power plants prevented a sharper drop in coal stocks at power plants, following efforts by Indian authorities to ensure stable power supply to meet the peak power demand during the summer. The government measures include imported-domestic coal blending by utilities that run on local coal. Domestic coal supplies to the power sector rose by 8.4pc from a year earlier to 70.75mn t in June, although it fell from 74.22mn t in May. Delhi has also asked power plants that run on imported coal to keep generation levels high, supporting the prospect of higher imports from these utilities. These coal-fired plants have a combined capacity of 17.5GW. Import mix India's coal imports from Indonesia rose to 8.04mn t in June, up from 5.89mn t a year earlier, making Indonesia the country's primary source of imported coal, according to Interocean data. Indonesian coal accounted for 57pc of India's overall thermal coal imports in June. Utility demand for Indonesian coal increased because most Indian power plants' boilers are designed to process it easily, and it is also preferred for blending. The receipts from Indonesia, however, slipped on the month from 9.48mn t in May. Imports from South Africa, a source favoured by coal-consuming industries such as sponge iron, fell by 3.2pc on the year to 2.63mn t, though up from 2.49mn t in May. South Africa is India's second-largest coal supplier after Indonesia, accounting for about 18.5% of overall imports. Imports from Russia increased by 4pc year-on-year and by 2.1pc month-on-month to 958,200t in June. Indian sponge iron industries prefer South African coal, given the coal's high fixed carbon content. Some cement producers also prefer coal of this origin. The drop in imports from a year earlier comes as local coal supplies to sponge iron industry rose by 7.5pc on the year to 760,000t, according to data from the Indian coal ministry. Indian sponge iron output rose to 4.30mn t in June, up from 4.14mn t a year earlier, data from the World Steel Association show. Local coal supplies in June to the cement sector fell by 29.44pc on the year to 620,000t. Thermal coal imports from Mozambique rose by 1pc from a year earlier to about 713,000t in June, while receipts from the US fell by 14pc from a year earlier to 604,150t. By Saurabh Chaturvedi India's coal-fired generation TWh India's thermal coal imports (mn t) Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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