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Genesis secures more gas to curb New Zealand shortages

  • : Coal, Electricity, Natural gas, Petrochemicals
  • 24/08/13

New Zealand upstream firm and utility Genesis Energy has secured emergency gas supplies for its dual gas- and coal-fired Huntly power station on the North Island.

Genesis has secured 3.2PJ (86mn m³) of gas to allow the 400MW No.5 unit at Huntly to reach full capacity for the first time this winter, it said on 13 August, describing the electricity grid as facing "unprecedented pressure".

An agreement has been reached with Canadian methanol manufacturer Methanex, which will shut its Motunui plants in the North Island's Taranaki province until the end of October to allow for more gas-fired power generation, Genesis said.

The commercial arrangements regarding the gas transfer are structured to provide Methanex with a base price for each unit of gas delivered, with further incremental value shared between the parties depending on electricity pricing over the period, it said on 12 August. Methanex's 1.72mn t/yr plant in Motunui has paused production in the past, also diverting feedstock natural gas to support electricity generation in the winter of 2021.

The 953MW Huntly — New Zealand's largest power station by capacity and the country's only coal-fired unit, has been under significant strain as dry, cold conditions have led to increased demand during winter as hydroelectricity inflows remain low. New Zealand has also experienced light winds cutting expected wind-powered generation this winter, with Genesis planning coal imports for the first time since 2022 in response to lower domestic gas output and rapidly falling coal stocks.

LNG imports investigated

New Zealand energy minister Simeon Brown told parliament on 7 August his administration was investigating two separate options to ease the gas shortfall in the short to medium term.

Industry body the Gas Industry Company (GIC) is studying the feasibility of importing LNG, while also considering policies to increase investment in flexible gas-fired generation, Brown said. Data from upstream firms released earlier this year show a significant drop in proven plus probable reserves, falling from 1,635PJ to 1,300PJ, he added.

Gas production into open access pipelines was 58.8PJ during January-June, GIC said in its April-June quarterly report, 20pc down on 73.7PJ a year earlier, while gas-fired power demand grew by 10pc against April-June 2023.

New Zealand's National Party-led government is aiming to overturn a 2018 ban on new oil and gas exploration with legislation to be introduced to parliament later this year.


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25/01/13

Lula approves offshore wind law with vetoes

Lula approves offshore wind law with vetoes

Sao Paulo, 13 January (Argus) — Brazilian president Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva approved legislation that will clear the way to develop the offshore wind industry, while vetoing three items supporting fossil fuel-fired power projects. The new law establishes a regulatory framework for the sector, clearing the way for Brazil to hold its first auctions for offshore wind concessions. The law positions Brazil to become a leader in offshore wind development, according to Matheus Noronha, the head of offshore wind at the Brazilian wind power association Abeeolica. Amid strong lobbying from large energy consumers, industry associations and environmentalists, Lula vetoed three articles that had been tied to the bill. These articles would have mandated the construction of new gas-fired thermoelectric plants, extended power purchase agreements (PPAs) for coal plants until 2050 and required PPAs for small hydroelectric plants. Energy research firm PSR estimated that these three amendments would have raised annual electricity prices for consumers by 9pc by adding cost of around R22bn/yr ($3.6bn/yr) . Brazil is on the radar of wind power developers and companies have submitted over 100 projects with roughly 245GW of capacity to environmental watchdog Ibama for approval. Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Mexico’s industrial output up 0.1pc in November


25/01/13
25/01/13

Mexico’s industrial output up 0.1pc in November

Mexico City, 13 January (Argus) — Mexico's industrial production edged up 0.1pc in November, as gains in autos and other manufacturing offset weaker construction, national statistics agency Inegi said. Mexican bank Banorte described the monthly increase as "rather small," noting it followed a 1.1pc decline in October and was largely driven by base comparison effects. The bank added that the overall industrial outlook remained "fragile." Manufacturing, which represents 63pc of Inegi's seasonally adjusted industrial activity indicator (IMAI), increased by 0.7pc in November, though it failed to fully recover from a 1.7pc drop in October. Transportation manufacturing, a key subsector accounting for 12pc of the sector, rose by 3.8pc after a steep 4.3pc decline the prior month. Despite recent volatility, Mexico's auto sector achieved record annual light vehicle production in 2024, reaching 3.99mn units. Yet, automaker association AMIA warned of potential challenges in 2025 because of economic uncertainty, which could affect investment and demand. Mining, which makes up 12pc of the IMAI, increased by 0.1pc in November following a 1.1pc decline in October. Growth was driven by a 41.4pc jump in mining-related services, while oil and gas output fell by 2.4pc, marking a fifth consecutive monthly decline for hydrocarbons. Construction, representing 19pc of the IMAI, contracted by 1.8pc in November after modest gains of 0.2pc in October and 1.1pc in September. As industry eyes potential policy shifts under US president-elect Donald Trump, Banorte projected a weak start to 2025 for Mexico's industrial output. But it expects momentum to build as government spending on priority infrastructure projects "moves more decisively." By James Young Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

AI may boom on gas power, then turn to nuclear


25/01/13
25/01/13

AI may boom on gas power, then turn to nuclear

New York, 13 January (Argus) — The first tranche of new US data centers coming on line this decade to run electricity-intensive artificial intelligence (AI) software will probably rely mostly on power generated by natural gas, while the nuclear renaissance hoped for by Big Tech comes later in the 2030s. Microsoft, Amazon, Facebook-parent Meta and Google-parent Alphabet want clean, reliable power as quickly as possible so they can be early movers in the development of AI, which is rapidly advancing and finding new user bases around the world. While these companies do not relish the optics of powering AI development with fossil fuels, gas-fired power is widely expected to fulfill most of the gap between current supply and future demand through at least 2030. Unlike wind and solar, gas can be relied upon for steady, baseload power, a necessary ingredient for always-on data centers. And crucially, unlike nuclear, gas-related infrastructure can be built out quickly. The most recent additions to the US nuclear fleet, Vogtle units 3 and 4 in Georgia, took 15 years to build and cost $30bn, double the expected time and cost. A few decommissioned nuclear reactors can be restarted, as Microsoft is paying to do with a unit of Three Mile Island in Pennsylvania. But this low-hanging fruit will be quickly exhausted. Questions around the meter While there is broad agreement that gas will power the AI data center boom through at least 2030, questions remain about what this rapid gas-fired power build-out will look like. Data center operators can secure power in two ways: wade through the long, arduous interconnection process through which new customers connect to the grid, or bypass the grid altogether and secure their own personal electricity supply through so-called "behind-the-meter" agreements. Many in the gas industry are betting tech companies' need for speed will force them to opt for the latter. "The data centers are not going to wait," Alan Armstrong, chief executive of Williams, the largest US gas pipeline company, told Argus in an interview. "They are going to go to states that allow you to go behind the meter." In this scenario, construction of an AI data center in a state like Louisiana, for instance, might accompany construction of a new intrastate pipeline connecting the state's prolific Haynesville gas field with a new gas-fired power plant. Intrastate pipelines bypass the federal oversight triggered by interstate pipeline construction, and new gas power plants only take 2-3 years to build, East Daley Analytics analyst Zachary Krause told Argus . Most of the incremental power needed to run AI data centers this decade will be generated by new gas plants, Krause said. Even ExxonMobil in December said it was in talks to provide "fully islanded" gas-fired power to AI data centers. It claimed it could even capture 90pc of the CO2 emissions from power generation, appeasing tech companies' climate ambitions. ExxonMobil's non-grid gas generation fleet is "independent of utility timelines, so they can be installed at a pace that other alternatives — including US nuclear — just can't match," ExxonMobil chief financial officer Kathy Mikells said. But connecting to the grid may offer better reliability and economics than behind-the-meter gas power. If an off-grid gas generator trips off line, for instance, an always-on data center without back-up generation depending on that facility would be in trouble. Grid connection also allows generators to sell excess power into the grid. For those reasons, most new data centers this decade will rely on the grid as their primary power source, Adam Robinson, research associate at consultancy Enverus, told Argus . Small modular future But if the 2020s become the decade of gas-powered AI, the 2030s may be when nuclear-powered AI gets its due. The long-awaited nuclear renaissance may come not from conventional reactors, but from next-generation small modular reactors (SMRs), which can theoretically be built much faster and cheaper. No US SMRs yet exist, but given the number of SMR start-ups with expected start dates before 2030, and money pouring into the sector from the likes of Google and Microsoft, at least one of these next-generation reactors should be operating by 2030, Adam Stein, director of nuclear energy innovation at research center Breakthrough Institute, told Argus . SMRs' smaller price tag relative to conventional 1 GW nuclear reactors may also accelerate their adoption, Stein said. "Not every utility needs a GW-scale plant of any kind, but they might need a 300 or 600MW plant," he said. "So the total addressable market is larger for SMRs." By Julian Hast Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Brazil's power gen expands at record rate in 2024


25/01/13
25/01/13

Brazil's power gen expands at record rate in 2024

Sao Paulo, 13 January (Argus) — Brazil's installed power generation capacity increased by a record 10.9GW in 2024, surpassing government projections of 10.1GW. New solar capacity from 147 new solar farms contributed with the largest share of new generation capacity connected to the grid in 2024, expanding by over 5.6GW, according to electricity regulator Aneel. Wind power contributed with the second largest share of new capacity, as 121 new wind farms added 4.3GW of capacity. Hydroelectric capacity increased by 56MW from 11 new plants. The country's thermoelectric capacity also posted modest gains, with 22 new plants adding 907MW of capacity to the grid. More than 70pc of the new capacity came from three states, Minas Gerais (adding 3.17GW), Bahia (2.4GW) and Rio Grande do Norte (1.8GW). With the expansions, Brazil reached nearly 209GW of installed capacity connected to the grid, of which nearly 85pc is renewable. Aneel is projecting that new capacity connected to the grid will reach 9.37GW in 2025, including 3.6GW of solar, 2.4GW of thermoelectric and 2.34GW of wind power. Installed distributed generation (DG) capacity increased by 30pc in 2024, or 7.4GW, bringing total capacity to 34GW, according to the Brazilian distributed generation association. The association is projecting DG to expand by an additional 22pc in 2025. Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

European RES will not meet 2050 targets: Aurora


25/01/13
25/01/13

European RES will not meet 2050 targets: Aurora

London, 13 January (Argus) — European renewable energy sources (RES) will fall short of 2050 capacity targets despite an expected three-fold increase owing to market challenges, according to research body Aurora. The EU aims to be carbon neutral by 2050, meaning it expects renewable generation to account for over 60pc of its generation mix. Although Europe's installed renewable capacity has increased to almost 530GW in the past decade and is estimated to more than triple by 2050, it will not reach its target owing to persistent challenges in the energy market, Aurora said in an industry report. The research body highlighted negative prices and market saturation as two of the main obstacles to faster renewable energy additions. Central Europe has recorded the lowest negative prices, while the Nordic area has seen them most frequently. Grid congestion also represents a major bottleneck for renewables expansion according to Aurora. Europe saw nearly a 15pc rise year on year in remedial actions at around 57TWh in 2023, with Germany, Poland, the UK and Ireland curtailing the most energy. Aurora urged European countries to develop more battery energy storage capacity and have a more diversified renewable portfolio to enable a more efficient energy transition. It also suggested accessing additional revenue through capacity, ancillary, and balancing markets. Industry association WindEurope recently raised concerns over the EU not having built enough wind farms last year to reach its 425GW wind capacity target for 2030. By Ilenia Reale Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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