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UK oil, gas 2030 emissions target 'within reach': NSTA

  • : Crude oil, Emissions, Natural gas
  • 24/09/10

The UK oil and gas sector cut upstream greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions again in 2023 and its 2030 target "appears within reach", the government's North Sea Transition Authority (NSTA) said today.

But this is "just one step… and does not diminish the urgency of further abatement", the NSTA said. The UK oil and gas industry in 2021 signed the government's North Sea transition deal, which set offshore production emission reduction targets of 10pc by 2025, 25pc by 2027 and 50pc by 2030, all from a 2018 baseline.

The UK upstream oil and gas industry emitted 12.9mn t/CO2 equivalent (CO2e) in 2023, a 3.7pc drop on the year, and 29pc lower than 2018 levels, the NSTA said. Of the decrease in GHG emissions, half came from "actively producing assets" and the other half from assets that had ceased or were approaching the end of production.

Absolute emissions fell, but emissions intensity increased on the year in 2023, "as expected in a basin with declining production", the NSTA said. It projected the average emissions intensity for offshore assets at 24kg of CO2e/bl of oil equivalent (boe) in 2023 — up from 22kg of CO2e/boe in 2022.

The majority of emissions, at 79pc, were from hydrocarbon combustion for offshore power generation. Flaring and venting accounted for 17pc and 3pc of GHGs, respectively.

"Electrification or low-carbon power must play a significant role" in further reducing emissions, the NSTA said. It warned that if electrification is considered "reasonable" for existing developments but has not been implemented, "there should be no expectation that the NSTA will approve field development plans and similar decisions that give access to future hydrocarbon resources on that asset."

The organisation also promised "increased scrutiny of assets with high emissions intensity" and said it will publish later this year a list of assets that flare routinely. The amount of gas flared in 2023 was the lowest on record, at 691mn m³, although it dropped only incrementally from the previous year, the NSTA found.

The upstream industry's "total production emissions" make up just over 3pc of overall UK emissions, according to the NSTA. The North Sea industry has committed to reducing GHG emissions by 90pc by 2040, from 2018 levels, and to net zero by 2050. The UK has a legally binding goal of net zero GHG emissions by 2050.

Overall, upstream emissions make up a relatively small proportion of total GHG emissions from the fossil fuel industry. The UK government in August said it would develop new environmental guidance for oil and gas firms, in light of a recent Supreme Court decision that ruled consent for an oil development was unlawful, as the scope 3 emissions — those from burning the oil produced — were not considered.


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25/01/15

Opec sees 1.4mn b/d oil demand growth in 2026

Opec sees 1.4mn b/d oil demand growth in 2026

London, 15 January (Argus) — Opec's first global oil demand projections for 2026 see consumption growth of just over 1.4mn b/d, roughly the same as its forecast for this year. In its Monthly Oil Market Report (MOMR) today, Opec forecast oil demand growing by 1.43mn b/d to 106.63mn b/d, underpinned by continued "solid economic activity in Asia and other non-OECD countries." Opec sees consumption growing by 1.45mn b/d this year, unchanged from its previous estimate. But it trimmed its 2024 demand growth estimate by 70,000 b/d to 1.54mn b/d, a sixth consecutive monthly downward revision. This brings Opec further in line with forecasters such as the IEA and EIA, but the gap between them remains large, particularly given 2024 has ended. Opec's oil demand growth estimate for 2024 is 600,000 b/d above that of the IEA's 940,000 b/d. And there is now an 850,000 b/d gap between Opec's 2024 total oil demand estimate of 103.75mn b/d and the IEA's 102.9mn b/d. Opec's oil demand growth estimate for 2025 is 400,000 b/d above the IEA's forecast for 1.05mn b/d. China, which has long driven global oil demand growth but whose economy is now slowing, is projected to add 270,000 b/d in 2026, compared with 310,000 b/d in 2025, around 300,000 b/d in 2024 and about 1.4mn b/d in 2023. In terms of supply, the producer group sees non-Opec+ liquids supply growth at 1.1mn b/d, the same as 2025 and again driven by gains from the US, Brazil and Canada. It said non-Opec+ liquids supply increased by 1.3mn b/d in 2024. Opec+ crude production — including Mexico — fell by 14,000 b/d to 40.65mn in December, according to an average of secondary sources that includes Argus . Opec put the call on Opec+ crude at 42.5mn b/d for this year and 42.7mn b/d for next. By Aydin Calik Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Inpex wins Norwegian offshore exploration licences


25/01/15
25/01/15

Inpex wins Norwegian offshore exploration licences

Tokyo, 15 January (Argus) — Japanese upstream firm Inpex has won eight oil and gas exploration permits offshore Norway, expanding its operations in the country, Inpex said today. Inpex was awarded exploration licences PL1263, PL318D, PL1264, PL1257, and PL636D located between the northern North Sea and the southern Norwegian Sea, along with PL 1276, PL1274 and PL1194C in the northern Norwegian Sea through its local subsidiary Inpex Idemitsu Norge (IIN). The successful bid was part of the awards in the pre-defined areas (APA) 2024 licensing round . IIN secured five licenses in the 2023 APA round . The APA rounds are held every year and focus on mature areas of the Norwegian continental shelf. The aim is to facilitate the discovery and production of remaining oil and gas resources in these areas before existing infrastructure is shut down. In the latest round, 33 of the licences are in the North Sea, 19 in the Norwegian Sea and one in the Barents Sea. The latest licences will contribute to expanding its Norwegian business portfolio, Inpex said, given the potential of jointly developing the new assets with existing assets in the surrounding area. The company has continued stable production at the Snorre and Fram oil fields in the northern North Sea. The Japanese firm aims to strengthen its upstream business as part of its long-term strategy, while it invests in renewable energy such as green ammonia. By Yusuke Maekawa Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

IEA warns of supply squeeze from Russia, Iran sanctions


25/01/15
25/01/15

IEA warns of supply squeeze from Russia, Iran sanctions

London, 15 January (Argus) — The IEA sees a slightly tighter oil market this year than it previously forecast and said new US sanctions on Russia and Iran could further squeeze balances. The outgoing administration of US President Joe Biden announced additional sanctions on Russia's energy exports earlier this month, and moved to tighten sanctions on Iran's oil exports in December. "We maintain our supply forecasts for both countries until the full impact of sanctions becomes more apparent, but the new measures could result in a tightening of crude and product balances," the IEA said today in its latest monthly Oil Market Report (OMR). But the effect of incoming US President Donald Trump on Russian and Iranian supply remains a key variable. As things stand, the IEA projects a 720,000 b/d supply surplus this year — showing a well cushioned oil market. This is around 230,000 b/d less than its previous forecast. For 2024, the IEA's balances show a small supply surplus of 20,000 b/d. The Paris-based agency sees global oil supply growing by 1.8mn b/d to 104.7mn b/d in 2025, compared to growth of 1.9mn b/d in its December report. Almost all of the 2025 growth — 1.5mn b/d — will come from non-Opec+ countries such as US, Brazil, Guyana, Canada and Argentina. The IEA continues to assume all current Opec+ cuts will remain in place this year, although the alliance plans to start increasing output from April. The IEA said global oil supply grew by 650,000 b/d in 2024. The agency sees global oil demand growing by 1.05mn b/d in 2025, down by 30,000 b/d from its December forecast. This should see oil demand reach 104.0mn b/d, with most of the gains driven by "a gradually improving economic outlook for developed economies, while lower oil prices will also incentivise consumption." China, which has long driven global oil demand growth but whose economy is now slowing, will add 220,000 b/d in 2025, compared with 180,000 b/d in 2024 and 1.35mn b/d in 2023. But the IEA revised up its oil demand growth estimates for 2024 by 90,000 b/d to 940,000 b/d. This was mostly due to better-than-expected growth in the fourth quarter, which at 1.5mn b/d was highest since the same period in 2023 and 260,000 b/d above than its previous forecast. This increase was mostly due to lower fuel prices, colder weather and abundant petrochemical feedstocks, the IEA said. The IEA said global observed oil stocks increased by 12.2mn bl in November, with higher crude stocks on land and water offsetting refined product draws. It said preliminary data show a further stock build in December. By Aydin Calik Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

New York to propose GHG market rules in 'coming months’


25/01/14
25/01/14

New York to propose GHG market rules in 'coming months’

Houston, 14 January (Argus) — Draft rules for New York's carbon market will be ready in the "coming months," governor Kathy Hochul (D) said today. Regulators from the Department of Environmental Conservation (DEC) and the New York State Energy Research and Development Authority (NYSERDA) "will take steps forward on" establishing a cap-and-invest program and propose new emissions reporting requirements for sources while also creating "a robust investment planning process," Hochul said during her state of the state message. But the governor did not provide a timeline for the process beyond saying the agency's work do this work "over the coming months." Hochul's remarks come after regulators in September delayed plans to begin implementing New York's cap-and-invest program (NYCI) to 2026. At the time, DEC deputy commissioner Jon Binder said that draft regulations would be released "in the next few months." DEC, NYSERDA and Hochul's office each did not respond to requests for comment. Some environmental groups applauded Hochul's remarks, while also expressing concern about the state's next steps. Evergreen Action noted that the timeline for NYCI "appears uncertain" and called on lawmakers to "commit to this program in the 2025 budget." "For New York's economy, environment and legacy, we hope the governor commits to finalizing a cap-and-invest program this year," the group said. State law from 2019 requires New York to achieve a 40pc reduction in greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions from 1990 levels by 2030 and an 85pc reduction by 2050. A state advisory group in 2022 issued a scoping plan that recommended the creation of an economy-wide carbon market to help the state reach those goals. By Ida Balakrishna Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

California GHG rulemaking hits speedbump


25/01/14
25/01/14

California GHG rulemaking hits speedbump

Houston, 14 January (Argus) — The California Air Resources Board (CARB) cap-and-trade program rulemaking is likely to weather further delays, according to one of the agency's top officials. The agency's "immediate" responsibility is to work with covered entities impacted by the ongoing Los Angeles County wildfires across its programs, according to deputy executive officer Rajinder Sahota. This means that the rulemaking is not "imminent or in the next few weeks." In addition, the agency needs to move carefully given the federal administration change , along with the negative response to proposed updates to the state's Low Carbon Fuel Standard received last year. CARB continues to evaluate program changes, with a focus on affordability, ambition and compliance costs. "We want to take time to ensure we get out foundational facts about the program especially as the legislature takes up the post-2030 role of the program," Sahota said. The cap-and-trade rulemaking has been marked by a series of delays, as regulators initially in 2023 estimated it would finish last year. In December , CARB said it would delay the publication of draft amendments until early 2025. CARB began to prepare for the rulemaking nearly two years ago, floating the idea of moving the cap-and-trade program to a more-stringent 2030 greenhouse gas (GHG) reduction target of a 48pc, compared with 1990 levels, rather than the current 40pc mandate. The agency's 2022 Scoping Plan prompted the idea as it showed a need for increased program ambition for California to remain on track for its target of net-zero by 2045. In line with this increased ambition, CARB will need to remove at least 180mn metric tonnes (t) of allowances from the 2026-2030 auction and allocation annual budgets to start with, and up to 265mn t in total from the program budgets from 2026-2045, agency staff have said. Quebec, California's partner in the Western Climate Initiative (WCI) carbon market, previously delayed publishing its draft package from the originally planned September 2024 to the first quarter of this year, with implementation expected in the spring. While the regulation was nearly complete in late September, the Quebec Environmental Ministry decided to postpone, citing the need to wait for California. If California delays its work through the first quarter of the year, this will likely require Quebec to also push back its rulemaking. This will also shorten the runway for both market partners to formally implement changes by 2026. The news has punctured the bullish sentiment for market participants on a timely end to the rulemaking. California carbon allowances for December delivery initially traded as high as $35.25/t on the Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) ahead of the announcement. The contract traded as low as $33.01/t after midday on Nodal Exchange following the news, before sliding lower in later trade. Outside of the WCI, Washington is also likely to see a slowdown in its carbon market ambitions. The state Department of Ecology is conducting its own rulemaking to align Washington's "cap-and-invest" program to facilitate linkage with the larger WCI market. But it will require California and Quebec to finalize their expected changes. California has indicated over last year that it does not intend to focus fully on linkage until its current rulemaking is complete. California's and Quebec's cap-and-trade programs cover major sources of the state's GHG emissions, including power plants and transportation fuels. By Denise Cathey Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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