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ExxonMobil slams EU renewable H2 mandates

  • : Fertilizers, Hydrogen
  • 24/11/27

EU mandates for renewable hydrogen use by 2030 are jeopardising the bloc's industrial competitiveness and the Netherlands' plans for implementing the rules are "really problematic", according to ExxonMobil.

EU rules are "essentially not helpful" as they suffer from design issues and further threaten the bloc's industrial competitiveness, ExxonMobil Low-Carbon Solutions' policy manager Bert de Backker told the Argus Clean Ammonia Europe Conference in Rotterdam today.

Under the EU's revised renewable energy directive (RED III), member states must ensure that 42pc of their industrial hydrogen use is renewable by 2030 and meet a 1pc quota for use of renewable hydrogen or derivatives in transport by then.

Some industry participants might view this as helpful for driving ahead renewable hydrogen uptake and production, de Backker said. But the rules were developed based on "wrong" cost assumptions for renewable hydrogen and are set to disadvantage European producers compared with imports, he said. Industries that are subject to the mandate will struggle because the rules do not apply to imported products such as steel and chemicals, he said.

The focus on renewable hydrogen only means the mandates are a "technology bias policy," according to de Backker.

In addition, placing the same obligations on each country ignores the geographical diversity across Europe where hydrogen use varies considerably between member states and some regions have much more favourable conditions for renewable hydrogen production than others, de Backker said.

The EU Emissions Trading System (ETS) and the carbon-border adjustment mechanism (CBAM) already provide a big incentive to switch to clean hydrogen use, he said.

Member states have until 21 May 2025 to transpose the EU rules into national laws and specify how they intend to meet the mandates.

But many member states are hesitant to transpose the rules, de Backker said. Industry participants at last week's European Hydrogen Week suggested that several member states could miss the May 2025 deadline.

This creates a lot of uncertainty and diverging implementation in different countries does not help the idea of a single market, de Backker said.

If "one or two" member states fail to implement the rules, the European Commission might launch an infringement procedure against them, de Backker said. But if the majority of countries do not follow the legislation, the commission is unlikely to do this, he said.

Pioneer problems

The Netherlands recently took on something of a pioneering role by laying out its plans in a draft law that was put forward for consultation.

The government is planning to introduce obligations for individual companies from 2026. It has yet to decide the level of the mandates, but is contemplating either 8pc or 24pc by 2030, partly depending on how EU peers are planning to reach the countrywide obligations.

The mandate plans are "really problematic" and jeopardise the competitiveness of Dutch industry, de Backker said.

Studies commissioned by the government for the lawmaking process pointed to the potential threat to industry, but while the government acknowledged this, it is still planning to go ahead with the obligations, he said.

ExxonMobil plans to reduce carbon emissions from its Dutch hydrogen production by capturing and sequestering CO2. This is an example of "real-life abatement" and could cut emissions by 60pc, de Backker said. "But now the government comes and tells us we still have to use green hydrogen," he said.

The focus should be on how emissions can best be abated and industry should decide what the best tools are for this, de Backker said.

The Dutch government is planning to exempt some of the country's ammonia production from the mandates, noting that the sector is at particular risk if forced to comply with higher obligations. The EU rules potentially provide some leeway for this, although the commission has not made clear exactly under which circumstances exemptions are possible — an approach which has led to confusion in the industry.

The commission has said in workshops that it will not clarify this further for now, de Backker said. It would only let member states know retroactively by the early 2030s whether their implementation of these specific rules for ammonia is appropriate. This is "a very strange situation" and "clearly the result of a messy political compromise", de Backker said.


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24/12/31

California H2 fueling deployment falls behind target

California H2 fueling deployment falls behind target

Houston, 31 December (Argus) — California this year fell even further behind ambitious goals set for fuel-cell electric vehicle (FCEV) deployment, beset by, among other factors, permitting delays, the loss of planned refueling locations and unreliable hydrogen supplies. Executive Order B-48-18 established in 2018 a goal of 200 hydrogen fueling stations by 2025. The network is now projected to reach 129 stations by 2030, a longer timeline than forecast last year, the California Air Resources Board (CARB) said in its 2024 annual hydrogen evaluation. As of July, hydrogen fueling stations fell by four from 2023 to 62. Four new stations opened, including two in Oakland, one in Orange County, and one in Riverside, but those gains were offset by the permanent closure of seven stations owned by Shell. Of the 62 stations, some were listed as temporarily out-of-order or available by reservation only. "Progress has proven slow and not kept pace with prior near-term projections," the report said. California has earmarked billions of dollars to spur the development of a zero-emissions vehicle network, mandating that 100pc of all new car and light truck sales by 2035 are electric. Most of the funding for building hydrogen infrastructure is administered through the Clean Transportation Program (CTP) and the Low Carbon Fuel Standard (LCFS) program. Assembly Bill 126 directs the state's energy commission to allocate at least 15pc of CTP base funds per year for hydrogen infrastructure, resulting in $15mn set aside for the year 2024-2025. While the development of stations has always faced challenges, the last year was more difficult than most, CARB said in its report. Stations, especially in Southern California, have experienced supply interruptions as the cost of producing hydrogen has risen. As station reliability has fallen, so too has demand for FCEV, with auto manufacturers reporting historically low sales in a CARB survey and a slower pace of growth going forward than previously expected. Updated on-road vehicle projections for 2030 is 20,500 FCEVs compared with a previously reported estimate of 62,600 on-road FCEVs for 2029. By Jasmina Kelemen Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Pupuk Indonesia issues farmers subsidised fertilizers


24/12/31
24/12/31

Pupuk Indonesia issues farmers subsidised fertilizers

Singapore, 31 December (Argus) — State-owned fertilizer producer Pupuk Indonesia has distributed about 7.25mn t of subsidised fertilizers to registered domestic farmers as of 23 December, the company said. The distributed volumes have exceeded the government-mandated target by 0.5pc and include about 3.36mn t of urea, 3.49mn t of NPK fertilizers, 42,700t of specialised NPK formulas, and 46,500t of Pupuk's Petroganik organic fertilizers. Pupuk Indonesia's current fertilizer stock availability for the domestic market is around 1.47mn t as of 23 December, comprising of subsidised and non-subsidised products. Subsidised fertilizer stocks amount to 1.04mn t, consisting of 546,700t of urea, 445,500t of NPK, 16,300t of specialised NPK formulas, and 35,600t of organic fertilizers. Non-subsidised fertilizer stocks are at 428,600t, consisting of 357,400t of urea and 71,200t of NPK fertilizers. Around 400,000t of the current fertilizer stock has also been given to distributors and kiosks to ensure smooth delivery to farmers on 1 January 2025, the company said. The current allocation of subsidised fertilizers at the sub-district level has been finalised at 100pc across all regions, Jekvy Hendra, director of fertilizers and pesticides at Indonesia's ministry of agriculture, said. By Dinise Chng Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Viewpoint: US acid market in west to east split in 2025


24/12/30
24/12/30

Viewpoint: US acid market in west to east split in 2025

Houston, 30 December (Argus) — Vastly different dynamics are expected for the western and eastern US sulphuric acid markets in 2025. Lower output from producers in the western US and Canada will keep supply constrained for much of 2025, likely driving west coast US sulphuric acid imports higher during the year. But balanced dynamics will keep the southeastern US and Gulf coast markets competitive, shielding both regions from the global market dynamics. Deliveries of sulphuric acid to the US west coast from January-October of 2024 climbed by 35pc on the year to 188,700t, according to US Census data, making up for lower-than-expected output from producers, which squeezed availability throughout the region. The closure of Simplot's Lathrop, California, sulphur burner at the beginning of 2024 had already reduced baseline supply on the US west coast. Market sources expect output at Teck's Trail Operations in British Columbia, Canada, to be reduced through at least the first half of 2025 because of technical issues with the facility's electrolytic zinc plant following a fire in late September. Sources said that less volumes were available from the company's western Canadian facility during annual contract negotiations this year as a result. In its third quarter earnings release Teck reduced outlook for 2024 zinc production from its Trail Operations facility by 13.3pc as a result of the fire at the plant, but has not provided guidance for byproduct acid production or zinc production in 2025. In Utah, lower output from Rio Tinto's 1mn t/yr Kennecott smelter is expected to continue into 2025. Reduced copper ore quality has contributed to lower copper concentrate production from the facility. The company is expected to continue to purchase copper concentrate from a third-party supplier to support smelter utilization. Balance rules in the east But in the eastern US, steady output from domestic producers has matched, and sometimes outpaced, demand in the region. This trend has kept prices relatively steady and spot import demand reduced from previous levels. Despite a 6.3pc year to year increase to total US sulphuric acid imports during January-October to 2.9mn t, the bulk of the increase came from higher volumes of spot imports into Houston, Texas, according to US Census data. Deliveries to other major ports in the US Gulf and east coast sank by 28pc. Deliveries of sulphuric acid into the port of Houston from January-October jumped to 264,200t, more than doubling the 115,100t arriving during the same period in 2023. Sulphuric acid imports to other ports in the Gulf coast and east coast fell significantly from January-October, dropping by 28pc to 359,800t compared with 497,900t during the same time in 2023. Spot trade into the US Gulf coast and southeast has been quiet for much of the year, aside from consistent spot shipments into Houston. Market participants expect the balanced nature of the market to continue through much of 2025, reducing the need for imports on contract and spot basis. Prices in a tightly-supplied global merchant market remain largely uneconomic for US-based distributors. The imbalanced relationship of prices in the US and the merchant market has kept bids far from offers, slowing spot trade into the Gulf coast and southeast. By Chris Mullins Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

QatarEnergy Marketing raises Jan sulphur price by $3/t


24/12/30
24/12/30

QatarEnergy Marketing raises Jan sulphur price by $3/t

London, 30 December (Argus) — State-owned QatarEnergy Marketing raised its January Qatar Sulphur Price (QSP) to $166/t fob, up by $3/t from December's $163/t fob Ras Laffan/Mesaieed. The January QSP implies a delivered price to China of $185-191/t at current freight rates, which were last assessed on 19 December at $19-21/t to south China and $23-25/t to Chinese river ports for a 30,000-35,000t shipment. The announced monthly QSP fob price has risen by $92/t over a year, from $74/t fob Qatar in January 2024. By Maria Mosquera Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Viewpoint: Brazil urea deals for corn delayed to 2025


24/12/27
24/12/27

Viewpoint: Brazil urea deals for corn delayed to 2025

Sao Paulo, 27 December (Argus) — Brazil is set to enter 2025 with a last-minute surge in demand for nitrogen-based fertilizers, as farmers continue to postpone purchases for the 2024-25 second corn crop. Around 10-15pc of all fertilizer needs have yet to be purchased for the corn crop, whose planting is expected to start by February in central-western Mato Grosso state. Brazilian farmers have been delaying agreements for inputs as they wait for lower fertilizer prices and higher grain prices. The most delayed fertilizer acquisition is urea, with buyers expecting further price drops before committing to volumes. Granular urea prices were at $359/metric tonnes (t) cfr Brazil by 19 December, $39/t above the same period in 2023. The overall pace of input purchases is in line with farmers' buying patterns for the 2023-24 corn crop and 2024-25 soybean crop, when growers also waited until the last minute to secure final volumes. Traditional 4Q buying surged delayed Brazilian buyers used to speed up the pace of fertilizer purchases in the fourth quarter to supply the second corn crop. This would give them time to receive the inputs in time for application, without last-minute logistic concerns. But unexpected changes in fertilizer price trends, combined with changes in the timing of the soybean crop, led farmers to change this buying pattern and wait as long as possible before concluding deals. Farmers' saw this last-minute buying strategy rewarded in early 2024 when urea prices were about $393/t cfr Brazil, below levels seen earlier in October 2023. And a delay in the 2024-25 soybean planting because of unfavorable weather conditions also contributed to postponed fertilizer acquisitions for corn, since the soybean harvest would likely be delayed and force farmers to plant corn outside the ideal period. Those factors are set to again push final urea purchases to January. Some volumes traded in November-December may discharge in ports in January, intensifying deliveries in the first months of the year. Brazil imported 7.6mn t of urea in January-November, 19pc above the same period in 2023. The latest lineup data from 26 December points to around 400,000t to be delivered at ports in December and 422,000t in January, according to maritime agency Unimar. Farmers focused on acquiring ammonium sulphate (amsul) volumes in the past three months, as prices carried a discount considering the nitrogen content compared with urea while also adding sulphur. There is plenty of available compacted/granular amsul, with Chinese producers eyeing Brazil as an outlet for the product. Imports of amsul totaled 5.1mn t in the first 11 months of the year, 18pc above the same period last year. A total of 596,000t and 1.2mn t were set to discharge in ports in December and January, respectively, according to Unimar's lineup data from 26 December. The trend is the same in the domestic market, with purchases advancing slowly. Some cooperatives and retailers bought volumes to guarantee availability when farmers decide to buy. Farmers are most advanced in theirs potash (MOP) acquisitions, as its lower-than-usual price has motivated farmers to buy the fertilizer for 2025-26 corn and soybeans. Market participants estimate that around 50pc of MOP needs in Mato Grosso for the 2025-26 soybean crop were purchased by early December. Demand has been high for the first quarter of 2025, leading to expectations of intense MOP deliveries at ports. This would mean a high flow in the inland market, competing with urea volumes handling in January-February. By Gisele Augusto Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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