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Mexico’s industrial output up 0.1pc in November

  • : Crude oil, Metals, Petrochemicals
  • 25/01/13

Mexico's industrial production edged up 0.1pc in November, as gains in autos and other manufacturing offset weaker construction, national statistics agency Inegi said.

Mexican bank Banorte described the monthly increase as "rather small," noting it followed a 1.1pc decline in October and was largely driven by base comparison effects. The bank added that the overall industrial outlook remained "fragile."

Manufacturing, which represents 63pc of Inegi's seasonally adjusted industrial activity indicator (IMAI), increased by 0.7pc in November, though it failed to fully recover from a 1.7pc drop in October.

Transportation manufacturing, a key subsector accounting for 12pc of the sector, rose by 3.8pc after a steep 4.3pc decline the prior month.

Despite recent volatility, Mexico's auto sector achieved record annual light vehicle production in 2024, reaching 3.99mn units. Yet, automaker association AMIA warned of potential challenges in 2025 because of economic uncertainty, which could affect investment and demand.

Mining, which makes up 12pc of the IMAI, increased by 0.1pc in November following a 1.1pc decline in October. Growth was driven by a 41.4pc jump in mining-related services, while oil and gas output fell by 2.4pc, marking a fifth consecutive monthly decline for hydrocarbons.

Construction, representing 19pc of the IMAI, contracted by 1.8pc in November after modest gains of 0.2pc in October and 1.1pc in September.

As industry eyes potential policy shifts under US president-elect Donald Trump, Banorte projected a weak start to 2025 for Mexico's industrial output. But it expects momentum to build as government spending on priority infrastructure projects "moves more decisively."


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25/03/06

US gov layoffs lead Feb job cuts: Challenger

US gov layoffs lead Feb job cuts: Challenger

Houston, 6 March (Argus) — US-based employers announced 172,017 job cuts in February, the highest for the month since 2009, led by federal job cuts, according to consultancy Challenger, Grey & Christmas. The total for February is a 245pc increase from 49,795 cuts announced in January and is up by 103pc from a year prior. The government led all sectors in planned job cuts, with 62,242 cuts announced from 17 different agencies as part of the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE)'s mass layoffs and contract cancellations. Employers in the first two months of 2025 announced 221,812 job cuts, the highest for the two-month period since 2009, when 428,099 job cuts were announced. The year-to-date total is up by 33pc from a year ago. "With the impact of the Department of Government Efficiency [DOGE] actions, as well as canceled government contracts, fear of trade wars, and bankruptcies, job cuts soared in February," said Andrew Challenger, senior vice president for Challenger, Gray & Christmas. An order to fire about 200,000 probationary federal employees was blocked by a federal judge, Challenger said. "When mass layoffs occur, it often leaves remaining staff feeling uneasy and uncertain," Challenger said. "The likelihood that many more workers leave voluntarily is high." The Challenger report comes a day before the monthly employment report from the Labor Department. Analysts surveyed by Trading Economics forecast 160,000 nonfarm jobs were added last month, up from 143,000 in January. The jobs report is based on a survey that includes the pay period encompassing the 12th of the month, while most of the job cuts captured by Challenger were in the latter part of the month. By Bob Willis Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Brazil oil sector sees opportunity in US tariffs


25/03/06
25/03/06

Brazil oil sector sees opportunity in US tariffs

Rio de Janeiro, 6 March (Argus) — Planned US tariffs on goods from Mexico and Canada could represent an opportunity for the Brazilian oil and natural gas sector, oil chamber IBP said. "These trade disputes, this increase in protectionism, could conversely create opportunities for us to reach new markets," IBP president Roberto Ardenghy told Argus. The tariffs announced by US president Donald Trump earlier this week on US imports from Mexico and Canada subject Canadian crude to a 10pc duty, while the blanket levy of 25pc would apply to Mexican petroleum. The tariffs' implementation now looks set to be delayed until next month. US commerce secretary Howard Lutnick, in a televised interview Thursday, said that all US imports from Canada and Mexico that are covered by the USMCA duty-free treatment will be exempt from tariffs until 2 April. Trump then confirmed this on social media in the case of Mexican products. The risk of tariffs and trade disputes is "part of the international day-to-day … of the commodities sector" and could open new markets for Brazil as it ramps up production, Ardenghy said. The US imported 6.49mn b/d of crude in 2023, with Canada accounting for around 60pc and Mexico for 11pc, according to the US Energy Information Administration. Brazilian crude accounted for just under 3pc, but it is Brazil's main export to the US. "We can imagine that if there is a significant decline in Canadian oil exports to the US, for cost reasons, then Brazil will have an opportunity to access the US market that it did not have in the past," Ardenghy said. The Brazilian oil sector is also eyeing openings in other markets such as Mexico, he said. Brazilian oil from the high-yield offshore pre-salt fields is low-sulfur and low-carbon, with average CO2 emissions of 11 kg/bl, making it more competitive in mature markets, including US states with more stringent carbon-content rules such as California and Colorado, Ardenghy said. The country's medium sweet grade is also an advantage, as it is adaptable to many refineries, he said. Crude overtook soybeans as Brazil's main export product for the first time ever in 2024, with exports totaling $44.9bn, according to government data. China accounted for 44pc of the total, at $20bn, while the US accounted for $5.8bn, or 13pc, of last year's oil exports. By Constance Malleret Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Tosyali Toyo stops rolling line after fire


25/03/06
25/03/06

Tosyali Toyo stops rolling line after fire

London, 6 March (Argus) — Turkish re-roller Tosyali Toyo, subsidiary of Tosyali Holding, has stopped production at one rolling line at its Osmaniye site after a fire broke out on Sunday, market participants told Argus . Tosyali Toyo declined to comment. A fire occurred but it was contained to the Toyo facilities, a source at the Osmaniye Organised Industrial Zone said. Production at the impacted line will be halted for about three months, one market source said. The Osmaniye site has a 1mn t rolling capacity and manufactures tins, galvanised sheet, dyed sheet, cold rolled sheet and pickled-oiled rolls, according to the company's website. Market participants added that Toyo might be seeking to offset any disruptions by using a production line owned by a different Turkish re-roller. This week cold-rolled coil offers in the Turkish market moved up by roughly $10/t to $680-700/t ex-works. By Carlo Da Cas and Elif Eyuboglu Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Rio Tinto completes Arcadium Lithium takeover


25/03/06
25/03/06

Rio Tinto completes Arcadium Lithium takeover

London, 6 March (Argus) — Global mining giant Rio Tinto has today completed its $6.7bn buyout of global chemicals producer Arcadium Lithium, soon to be renamed Rio Tinto Lithium. Rio confirmed that it would buy Arcadium in October 2024 , the seventh-largest lithium producer in the world by market capitalisation as of January 2024. Rio Tinto aims to bring its lithium assets to about 200,000 t/yr of lithium carbonate equivalent by 2028. In 2024, Arcadium sold 42,300t of lithium salts, including lithium hydroxide and lithium carbonate, along with 140,000 dry metric tonnes of spodumene concentrate. The company posted net income of $131.7mn in 2024, down from $330.1mn in 2023. The firm had to suspend some operations at its Mount Cattlin mine in Western Australia while also delaying its expansions . Arcadium will place its Mount Cattlin mine into care and maintenance by the middle of the year, after suspending it in September on low prices, potentially placing upward pressure on prices. The top three lithium mining companies accounted for around 54pc of global production in 2023, a higher portion than the 15pc for nickel and 47pc for cobalt, according to the IEA. Market participants told Argus earlier this year that lithium prices are unlikely to recover until the second half of 2026 on high inventories and a glut of supply set to come on line (see graph) . "Arcadium and the predecessor companies failed to advance a world class suite of assets on a timely basis," Global Lithium Podcast host Joe Lowry told Argus . "Hopefully that will change being part of a large company with a significant balance sheet." By Chris Welch Lithium carbonate equivalent (LCE) production t Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Algeria's Feb crude exports up nearly a third


25/03/06
25/03/06

Algeria's Feb crude exports up nearly a third

London, 6 March (Argus) — Exports of Algerian crude grade Saharan Blend jumped sharply last month, driven by a rise in demand from French refineries. Total exports of the light sweet crude rose by 31pc on the month to around 445,000 b/d in February, according to Argus tracking data. Loadings in January were just 341,000 b/d, the lowest level since November 2022. Some 348,000 b/d of February-loading Saharan Blend was shipped to northwest Europe and the Mediterranean, up by 26pc compared with January. Around a third went to France alone, while Ireland took its first cargo of Saharan Blend since June 2018. Loadings to France surged to 111,000 b/d in February after hitting a multi-year low of 20,000 b/d in January. Spring refinery maintenance in France is light this year, leading to a total of nearly 980,000 b/d of crude arriving in January-February, up from an intake of 850,000 b/d in the same two-month period last year, Vortexa data show. The increased interest for Saharan Blend from France's refineries last month coincided with a drop in deliveries of Nigerian grades. Around 112,000 b/d of Nigerian crude arrived at French ports in February, down by 35pc from January, according to Vortexa. The boost in French demand supported Saharan Blend price differentials in January, when most February-loading cargoes traded. The grade was assessed at an average premium of 97¢/bl to the North Sea Dated benchmark in January, up from a 36¢/bl premium in the previous month. Exports of Saharan Blend to Asia-Pacific jumped by 86pc on the month to 72,000 b/d in February, after a 2mn bl cargo loaded onto a VLCC for South Korea. January-loading exports to the region comprised just one Suezmax-sized shipment to India. Loadings to the Americas inched down by 3pc on the month to reach 25,000 b/d in February. Just one cargo went transatlantic in both January and February, after a hiatus in December. By Melissa Gurusinghe Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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