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Mexico’s industrial output up 0.1pc in November

  • : Crude oil, Metals, Petrochemicals
  • 25/01/13

Mexico's industrial production edged up 0.1pc in November, as gains in autos and other manufacturing offset weaker construction, national statistics agency Inegi said.

Mexican bank Banorte described the monthly increase as "rather small," noting it followed a 1.1pc decline in October and was largely driven by base comparison effects. The bank added that the overall industrial outlook remained "fragile."

Manufacturing, which represents 63pc of Inegi's seasonally adjusted industrial activity indicator (IMAI), increased by 0.7pc in November, though it failed to fully recover from a 1.7pc drop in October.

Transportation manufacturing, a key subsector accounting for 12pc of the sector, rose by 3.8pc after a steep 4.3pc decline the prior month.

Despite recent volatility, Mexico's auto sector achieved record annual light vehicle production in 2024, reaching 3.99mn units. Yet, automaker association AMIA warned of potential challenges in 2025 because of economic uncertainty, which could affect investment and demand.

Mining, which makes up 12pc of the IMAI, increased by 0.1pc in November following a 1.1pc decline in October. Growth was driven by a 41.4pc jump in mining-related services, while oil and gas output fell by 2.4pc, marking a fifth consecutive monthly decline for hydrocarbons.

Construction, representing 19pc of the IMAI, contracted by 1.8pc in November after modest gains of 0.2pc in October and 1.1pc in September.

As industry eyes potential policy shifts under US president-elect Donald Trump, Banorte projected a weak start to 2025 for Mexico's industrial output. But it expects momentum to build as government spending on priority infrastructure projects "moves more decisively."


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25/04/03

Oil futures, stock markets fall on Trump tariffs

Oil futures, stock markets fall on Trump tariffs

Singapore, 3 April (Argus) — US president Donald Trump's announcement of sweeping new tariffs on all US imports has sparked an immediate sell-off in oil futures and stock markets. Crude oil futures fell by almost 3.5pc in Asian trading and some stock markets in the region fell by a similar amount, after Trump unveiled the new import tariffs on 2 April. All foreign imports into the US will be subject to a minimum 10pc tax, with levels as high as 34pc for China and 20pc for the EU, Trump said. But energy and some mineral products have been excluded from the new tariffs. Tariffs on Japan and South Korea, both major trading partners and long-standing US allies in Asia, have been set at 24pc and 25pc respectively. Indonesia, Vietnam, Taiwan and Thailand also face tariffs of more than 30pc. Tariffs on imports from China will be subject to a 54pc rate, after taking into account the 20pc tariffs imposed by Trump over the last two months. Some imports from China that are subject to pre-existing tariffs will face an even higher effective rate. The blanket 10pc tariffs will take effect on 5 April. Any additional country-specific rates will come into force on 9 April. Oil futures fell despite the exemption for energy products. The June Brent contract on the Ice exchange fell by as much as 3.2pc to a low of $72.52/bl in Asian trading, while May Nymex WTI dropped by 3.4pc to $69.27/bl. The prospect that the US tariffs could disrupt global trade and hit export-focused economies in Asia sent stock markets in Tokyo, Hong Kong and South Korea down by 2-3pc or more. US stock futures also fell sharply. By Kevin Foster Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Mexico manufacturing extends contraction in March


25/04/02
25/04/02

Mexico manufacturing extends contraction in March

Mexico City, 2 April (Argus) — Mexico's manufacturing sector contracted for a 12th consecutive month in March, with production and employment both deepening their slides, according to a survey released today. The manufacturing purchasing managers' index (PMI) ticked up to 47.2 in March from 47.1 in February, but remained below the 50-point threshold between contraction and expansion, according to the latest PMI survey from the finance executive association IMEF. Manufacturing, which accounts for about a fifth of Mexico's economy, is led by the auto sector, contributing about 18pc of manufacturing GDP. Within the manufacturing PMI, the new orders index rose by 1.3 points to 45.3, still deep in contraction. Meanwhile, production fell by 0.6 points to 44.6. The employment index also declined 0.6 points to 46.4 in March, now in contraction for 14 consecutive months. Meanwhile, the non-manufacturing PMI — covering services and commerce — declined 0.8 points to 48.8 in March from 49.6 in February, holding in contraction for a fourth consecutive month. Within the non-manufacturing PMI, new orders fell 1.5 points to 48.2 and production declined 1 point to 47.5 with employment down a point as well in March to 47.5, as all three pushed deeper into contraction. In contrast, the inventories component rose 3.5 points to 50.6 into expansion territory in March. But this may be the result of company strategies to stockpile inventories ahead of US tariffs and the reciprocal measures Mexico is set to announce on 3 April, IMEF technical advisory board member Sergio Luna said. PMI data show that the economic stagnation that began in late 2024 persisted through March, with results from January and February pointing to a sharp slowdown in the first quarter, IMEF said. This follows annualized GDP growth of 0.5pc in the fourth quarter of 2024, slowing from 1.7pc in the third quarter, according to national statistics agency data. Luna said concerns over US tariffs continue to drive much of the uncertainty reflected in the PMI data. Internal factors — such as reduced government spending to contain the fiscal deficit and investor unease over judicial reforms passed last year — are also weighing on activity, Luna added. By James Young Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Market mulls 'limited' EU strategic project funding


25/04/02
25/04/02

Market mulls 'limited' EU strategic project funding

London, 2 April (Argus) — Market participants had mixed reactions after the European Commission granted Strategic Project status to 47 critical materials projects, securing €22.5bn investment to bolster the bloc's homegrown battery supply chain. The listed €22.5bn is not yet allocated, but the commission will work with funding bodies such as the European Investment Bank and other private institutions to advise on distribution. The commission did not offer a deadline for funding allocations, but stated that permit-granting will be cut to 27 months for extraction and 15 months for processing or recycling projects, down from current waiting times of up to 10 years. The commission also maintains that the sum of expected overall capital investment will be enough to bring all 47 projects on line (see map) . "Securing Strategic Project status is likely to bring key advantages, including better access to finance and investment," Vulcan Energy chief executive Cris Moreno told Argus . "It will enable us to scale our operations and ensure long-term sustainable lithium production for Europe's mobility transition." One carmaker told Argus the commission's decision offers projects more of a "seal of quality" than a decisive cash injection, the significance of which has divided participants. "Funding is indeed limited considering the size of individual investments," a spokesperson from Finnish majority-state-owned energy firm and battery recycler Fortum told Argus . "In general, one could say that cost of refinery or battery materials manufacturing capacities are easily 1bn — each." Others estimate the average cost for a project closer to $2.5bn . The EU's fast-tracked timelines for these projects might also be delayed by the handling of appeals against its permitting decisions, Fortum added, perhaps over the climate and local community. EU funding dwarfed by China, US The EU's €22.5bn of earmarked funding pales in comparison with China and the US. Chinese state subsidies into the electric vehicle (EV) supply chain tipped $45bn in 2023 alone, while the US invested more than $50bn last year into all clean energy under the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) (see graphs) . "From a lithium perspective, it is nice to see some action in Europe but many of the projects are at best mediocre," Global Lithium podcast host Joe Lowry told Argus , citing high costs and an overall "mining unfriendly continent". "I welcome it, I think it's very good news", consultancy EV Outlook founder Roger Atkins said. "Almost inevitably, some will fail, some will thrive — they would've anyway, but this definitely helps." Participants speculated as to whether EU Strategic Project status will encourage enough additional investment to get projects under way. "I don't know all 47, but for [Swedish graphite producer] Talga, this will allow it to attract the investment it's been looking to close in on, but I'm certain production in Europe could benefit from more collaboration — even between competitors," Atkins added. "There is an annual forum in China going on since 2015, called China EV100, to get industry actors and politicians in the room. It's not for profit, so it's open to everyone, just an organic process of managing change. It wouldn't harm Europe to basically copy it." By Chris Welch EU's 47 strategic projects Annual Chinese state subsidy estimates $bn US manufacturing investments by stage of supply chain $bn Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Brazil’s Bauna oilfield restarts after maintenance


25/04/02
25/04/02

Brazil’s Bauna oilfield restarts after maintenance

Sydney, 2 April (Argus) — Brazil-focused Australian oil and gas company Karoon Energy has brought its Bauna oilfield in the offshore Santos basin back on line after the completion of intervention works at its SPS-88 well in February. Production resumed on 27 March after the project was shut down for maintenance on 7 March, Karoon said. The field's output has since reached about 26,500 b/d, above pre-shutdown levels because of the return of SPS-88 well production on 28 March. The well is pumping 2,000 b/d of oil on a restricted choke and is gradually being opened further, with rates in line with expectations. The intervention was originally planned for October-December 2024 after being taken off line in November 2023 because of a mechanical blockage in the gas lift valve. Karoon's plans to acquire the Cidade de Itajai floating production, storage and offloading (FPSO) unit at its Bauna oilfield have progressed, with the transaction on track to close as forecast in April. Selection of a new operations and maintenance contractor for the FPSO will be announced in mid-2025, with an updated cost guidance to be provided once terms are agreed. By Tom Major Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Canada oil producers get 6pc 1Q lift on weaker currency


25/04/01
25/04/01

Canada oil producers get 6pc 1Q lift on weaker currency

Calgary, 1 April (Argus) — A depreciating Canadian dollar is giving oil sands producers an extra lift and complementing relatively strong domestic crude prices to help weather tariff concerns. The Canadian dollar, on average, was worth C$1.44 to one US dollar in January-March 2025, weakening from C$1.35 to the greenback in the same quarter 2024, according to the Bank of Canada. That represents a more than 6pc advantage to Canadian producers selling crude in US dollars who then turn those earnings around to pay workers and suppliers in local currency. The outright price for heavy sour Western Canadian Select (WCS) at Hardisty, Alberta, settled at $58.67/bl in the first quarter this year, according to Argus data. This is only $1/bl higher than the same period last year, but with the now weaker Canadian dollar, that converts to over C$84/bl for producers who would have seen that under C$78/bl in the first quarter 2024. The Canadian dollar, on average, was worth C$1.37 to the US dollar in 2024, weakening from C$1.35 to the greenback in 2023 and the weakest annual average since 2003. The Bank of Canada largely attributes the sliding Canadian dollar to a rising foreign exchange rate risk premium, which relates to holding currencies other than the US dollar. This premium rises with uncertainty that has been amplified by US president Donald Trump's tariff actions in recent months, and that has also weighed on currencies from other economies, hitting developing countries' currencies harder than those of advanced economies. Also keeping the US dollar elevated is the US Federal Reserve's recent caution about resuming its cycle of cutting interest rates, thus attracting relatively more investors to US Treasury bills and boosting demand for US dollars. Canada meanwhile has brought its target rate lower to try to get ahead of an anticipated economic slowdown. The Fed's Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) on 19 March held the federal funds rate unchanged at 4.25-4.50pc for a second consecutive meeting after cutting at the last three meetings of 2024. The Bank of Canada a week earlier lowered its overnight rate for the seventh consecutive time to 2.75pc. Giving a more obvious boost to Canadian producers in the first quarter this year compared with a year earlier have been the appreciating domestic crude prices relative to the US light sweet benchmark, which has weakened across the same period. WCS trades at a discount to the Nymex WTI calendar month average (CMA) and that gap has narrowed on the back of new export pipeline capacity out of Canada, added in May 2024. WCS traded at about $12.75/bl under the WTI CMA across the first quarter this year, compared with a $19.25/bl discount a year earlier. More recent trade activity shows WCS for April-delivery narrowing further yet to within $10/bl under the basis — the tightest since April 2021 — with oil sands producers temporarily shutting in some production to embark on major maintenance . By Brett Holmes Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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