US refiner Valero is in a strong position to find alternative sources of crude if the US imposes a 25pc tariff on Canadian imports, but the switch could still cut throughputs by 10pc, the company said today.
Valero's refining footprint in the US Gulf coast allows it to source feedstocks from around the world, but there is a point where a limit on heavy feedstocks like those from Canada could affect production of refined products, said chief operating officer Gary Simmons during a fourth quarter earnings call.
"You might see a 10pc change in throughputs" depending on how long the tariffs go and how fast they are implemented, he said. Valero operates 1.6mn b/d of refining capacity in the US.
President Donald Trump has threatened to impose 25pc tariffs on all imports from Canada and Mexico as soon as 1 February. But commerce secretary nominee Howard Lutnick said earlier this week that the tariffs may not be imposed if the countries cooperate on border security.
Trump frequently makes the case that foreign suppliers are solely responsible for paying tariffs, while it is actually US importers that pay the tariffs. In the case of Canadian and Mexican crude, the US refiners that buy from those countries would pay a tax on the value of crude imports.
Whether the price of Canadian crude falls by a sufficient amount to offset the 25pc tariff would depend on the market power of individual US refiners and Canadian producers, as well as actions by the Alberta government, according to a recent report by the Congressional Research Service.
Valero does not have any details on how the tariffs would be applied and will just "have to deal with it when it comes up," Simmons said.
The company reported record high throughputs of heavy sour crude in the fourth quarter of 2024. Heavy sour crude runs averaged 608,000 b/d, compared with 485,00 b/d in the same period in 2023. The increase showed the refining system's flexibility and the company's ability to secure and process the most economic crude oils, Valero said.
