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US Mexico-Canada tariffs to disrupt polymers markets

  • : Petrochemicals
  • 25/01/31

Planned US tariffs on Canadian and Mexican imports will disrupt years of free flowing polyethylene (PE) and polypropylene (PP) trade between the three countries, market sources say, which could lead to higher prices and less spot market trading.

US President Donald Trump repeated on Thursday plans to impose 25pc tariffs on all Canadian and Mexican imports as soon as 1 February. The US and Canadian petrochemical markets in particular operate like one market, with buyers purchasing resin from producers on both sides of the border. Canadian producers are embedded in US buyers' supply strategies, but if Canadian resin is suddenly 25pc more expensive, buyers may need to reconsider other alternatives within the US. Canadian producers may feel obliged to swallow the costs to keep market share, while others may back away from spot trading in the US market, where margins for generic prime, offgrade and widespec material are already lower.

"It's about to get pretty crazy," said one US polymer distributor, active in both the US and Canada markets.

Canadian producer footprint significant

There is approximately 4.6mn t/yr of PE capacity in Canada operated by three major producers, Nova Chemicals, Dow and ExxonMobil, representing around 16.3pc of total US/Canada capacity. Dow is in the planning stage of a $6.5mn net zero CO2 emissions project planned in Alberta, Canada, that will include an additional 2mn t/yr of PE capacity.

Heartland Polymers, the only PP producer in Canada, has 525,000 t/yr of PP capacity, representing approximately 4.9pc of total US/Canada PP capacity.

Canadian producers are still figuring out how to respond, not wanting to lose market share to US competitors.

In a 23 January statement to customers, Nova Chemicals attempted to reassure its US customers.

"We understand the importance of remaining competitively priced to retain your business," the communication said. "As stated previously, Nova chemicals is the importer of record, and will be responsible for paying the tariff."

Buyers have taken that statement to mean that Nova will not pass the cost of the tariff on to US customers, but other market participants said that is less clear.

A Nova spokesman said only that "US customers will not need to manage the customs process associated with their order from Nova" but did not comment on whether the cost would be passed along to buyers.

A spokesman from Heartland Polymers declined to comment, saying they do not comment on "political matters."

Dow and ExxonMobil did not immediately respond to requests for comment.

Sources said the tariffs could fundamentally shift the way the markets operate.

"Tariffs will change the way they do business," said one buyer active in both the US and Canadian markets, speaking of Canadian PE and PP producers.

One trader said it believes that even if Canadian producers remain competitive for contract business, they are unlikely to participate in the spot market in the US, which typically has lower margins.

"If they don't have to sell it in the US, they won't do it," the trader said.

Canadian customers could also feel the impact if Canada responds with its own tariffs, sources said.

"Canadian customers might feel out of harms way, but if the US tariffs them, they will tariff the US," said one PP distributor. "I think both sides are going to be looking for a solution."

Mexico flow largely one-way

The situation in Mexico is slightly different, with most resin flowing one way — from the US into Mexico — where local production is not enough to meet Mexican demand. Sources there said the big impact will come when or if Mexico responds with retaliatory tariffs on US resin.

"A tariff is going to be like a gunshot in the leg for the Mexican economy," said one Mexican polymer producer.

The initial concern for most customers in the three countries is existing contracts with resin producers, but later there will be concerns about demand, with the potential for manufacturing to shift back to the US from Canada and Mexico.

"Some people are thinking some production may come back to the US with tariffs, so you could see a slight demand boost," said one US-based PE distributor.

For now, Canadian producers are believed to have shipped large quantities of resin over the border to the US in recent weeks, believing that if it is already across the border it is not subject to any new tariff. Sources said they are hopeful those volumes will buy them some time until the governments in both countries can come to an agreement.


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25/05/09

EU consults on tariffs for €95bn US imports

EU consults on tariffs for €95bn US imports

Brussels, 9 May (Argus) — The European Commission is consulting on an extensive list, worth €95bn ($107bn), of US industrial, agricultural and other imports that could be subject to tariff countermeasures. The long list includes extends from livestock, biofuels, wood pellets to metals, aircraft, tankers and polymers . The consultation runs until midday on 10 June. It is aimed at stakeholders affected by US measures and possible EU rebalancing measures. Also considered for possible countermeasures are restrictions, worth €4.4bn, on EU exports to the US of steel, iron and aluminium scrap, as well as toluidines, alcoholic solutions and enzymes (CN codes 7204, 7602, 292143, 330210 and 350790). The commission linked the possible new measures to US universal tariffs and to Washington's specific tariffs on cars and car parts. The commission said the public consultation is a necessary procedural step. It does not automatically result in countermeasures. The EU also launched a WTO dispute procedure against the US for Washington's universal tariffs, set at 20pc for EU goods and currently paused at 10pc, and at 25pc on all imports of vehicles and car parts. The commission will need approval by EU governments under a simplified legislative procedure. Officials say this will complete a legal act for the countermeasures, making them "ready to use" if talks with the US do not produce a "satisfactory" result. The list of products potentially targeted includes livestock, along with items ranging from spectacles to antiques. The 218-page list includes a range of agricultural and food products including oats, maize, and cereal pellets. Also included are biodiesel and wood pellets (CN codes 38260010, 44013100), as well as paper and cotton products. Aluminium, iron, steel are listed together with a wide range of other goods from gas turbines, ships propellers and blades, aircraft, sea-going tankers and other vessels. Polymers, copolymers, polyesters and other products are not spared (CN codes 39039090 and more). On 10 April, the EU paused its reciprocal tariffs against the US for 90 days, responding to a US pause. The EU notes that €379bn, or 70pc, of the bloc's exports to the US are currently subject to new or paused tariffs. By Dafydd ab Iago Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Chemicals, polymers part of EU tariff consultation


25/05/08
25/05/08

Chemicals, polymers part of EU tariff consultation

London, 8 May (Argus) — Polymer and chemical products are included in a European Commission public consultation on a list of US imports which could become subject to EU countermeasures, if ongoing EU-US negotiations do not result in a mutually beneficial outcome and the removal of the US tariffs. The consultation will remain open until 10 June, after which a final proposal will be made for the adoption of countermeasures and a legal act prepared for imposing them "in case negotiations with the US do not produce a satisfactory result". The list of additional products that could face import tariffs includes many polymers and some chemicals, although appears to target value more than volume. These additions include polypropylene homopolymer and copolymers (HS codes 39021000, 39023000), although these account for a relatively small volume of trade, at 114,000t in 2024, according to GTT data. Other polymer codes on the consultation list include some polystyrene, polyvinyl chloride, acrylonitrile butadiene styrene and polyethylene terephthalate products. Isocyanates and some polyurethanes are part of the consultation. Imports of acetic acid, a methanol derivative were included. EU 27 imports from the US in 2024 were 540,000t. Liquid caustic soda has been included. The EU 27 countries imported 540,000t in 2024. Benzene and xylenes have been included, but only under distinct "non-chemically defined" HS codes (27071000 and 27073000) and for which volumes are small. The European Union on 9 April announced a 90-day delay to a series of planned countermeasures specific to US tariffs on metals to allow space for negotiations. These are separate from the new consultation and remain poised to go ahead if negotiations fail. They included a 25pc tariff on imports from the US of polyethylene under codes representing nearly 1mnt of imports in 2024. By Alex Sands Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Shell to buy Freepoint pyrolysis oil in US: Update


25/05/08
25/05/08

Shell to buy Freepoint pyrolysis oil in US: Update

Adds Freepoint comment in second paragraph Houston, 8 May (Argus) — Freepoint Eco-Systems has agreed to provide Shell's polymer plant in Pennsylvania with "a steady supply" of pyrolysis oil produced in Hebron, Ohio, from chemically recycled plastic waste. Under the "landmark agreement", oil will be shipped to Shell's polymer plant in Monaca, Pennsylvania, where it will be used to make plastic, the company said. Shell under the deal is entitled to the Hebron plant's production capacity of 130mn lb/yr, Freepoint said Thursday. Freepoint's Hebron plant is still in its commissioning phase, but the company expects to produce up to its full capacity of pyrolysis oil upon completion later this year. Pyrolysis uses high heat to break down waste plastic into feedstocks that can be used to make virgin-like plastic material. Shell said the agreement reflected its commitment to increasing the circularity of plastics in its portfolio. On 22 April, Freepoint sent its first railcar of pyrolysis oil to Shell's plant in Norco, Louisiana. By Zach Kluver Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Shell to buy Freepoint pyrolysis oil for Penn. plant


25/05/08
25/05/08

Shell to buy Freepoint pyrolysis oil for Penn. plant

Houston, 8 May (Argus) — Freepoint Eco-Systems has agreed to provide Shell's polymer plant in Pennsylvania with "a steady supply" of pyrolysis oil produced in Hebron, Ohio, from chemically recycled plastic waste. Under the "landmark agreement", oil will be shipped to Shell's polymer plant in Monaca, Pennsylvania, where it will be used to make plastic, the company said Monday. Shell did not disclose how much supply it agreed to take or for how long. Freepoint's Hebron plant is still in its commissioning phase, but the company expects to produce up to 130mn lb/yr of pyrolysis oil upon completion later this year. Pyrolysis uses high heat to break down waste plastic into feedstocks that can be used to make virgin-like plastic material. Shell said the agreement reflected its commitment to increasing the circularity of plastics in its portfolio. On 22 April, Freepoint sent its first railcar of pyrolysis oil to Shell's plant in Norco, Louisiana. By Zach Kluver Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

India, Saudi Arabia plan two Indian refineries


25/05/07
25/05/07

India, Saudi Arabia plan two Indian refineries

Mumbai, 7 May (Argus) — India and Saudi Arabia are to collaborate on the development of two integrated refinery and petrochemical plants in India. The plan was announced after Indian prime minister Narendra Modi met Saudi counterpart Mohammed bin Salman in Jeddah on 22 April, as part of the India–Saudi Arabia Strategic Partnership Council. Saudi Arabia in 2019 pledged to invest $100bn in India in several sectors including energy and petrochemicals. No further details have been provided but the projects could be Indian state-run BPCL's planned facility in Andhra Pradesh and oil firm ONGC's refinery project in Gujarat, according to industry participants. Plans for a 1.2mn b/d refinery in Ratnagiri alongside the UAE's Adnoc have been abandoned because of logistical and land acquisition challenges, industry participants say. Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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