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Frost spells may affect Turkey's wheat production

  • : Agriculture
  • 25/04/14

Turkey has recorded some of the lowest temperatures in 30 years in some regions over the past three days, sparking concerns of a loss of winter wheat areas and a production decline.

Severe frost last week — particularly in Central Anatolia, the country's largest wheat production area, where the temperature fell to as low as minus 13°C — could affect wheat production this marketing year.

The weather forecast for the next seven days continued to show temperatures of below zero in the east and southeastern parts of the country. This could further increase the risk of damage to the winter wheat crop. But according to market participants, it is still too early to fully assess the impact.

Turkey received some rainfall in April, which improved soil moisture in some wheat-growing areas that had previously suffered drought.

Turkey's wheat imports are already projected to double on the year to 8mn t in the coming 2025-26 marketing year (June-July), according to the US Department of Agriculture Foreign Agricultural Service (FAS) in its April report.

The FAS earlier this month forecast Turkey's wheat crop at 18.5mn t in 2025-26, slightly below the 19mn t for the outgoing marketing year, to reflect the risk of drier weather affecting yields and offsetting a slight rise in areas.


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25/04/23

Brazilian wildfires burn 70pc less area in 1Q

Brazilian wildfires burn 70pc less area in 1Q

Sao Paulo, 23 April (Argus) — Wildfires in Brazil scorched an area almost equivalent to the size of Cyprus in January-March, but still 70pc less than in the same period in 2024 as the rainy season was above average in most of the north-central part of the country this year. The wildfires spread out over 912,900 hectares (ha) in the first three months of 2025, down from 2.1mn ha in the same period of 2024, according to environmental network MapBiomas' fire monitor researching program. The reduced burnt areas are related to the rainy season in most of the country, but still-high wildfire levels in the Cerrado biome showed that specific strategies are necessary for each biome to prevent further climate-related impacts, researchers said. The Cerrado lost 91,700ha to wildfires in the first quarter, up by 12pc from a year before and more than double from the average since 2019. Burnt areas in the Atlantic forest also increased 18,800ha in the period, up by 7pc from a year earlier. Wildfire-damaged areas in the southern Pampa biome, or low grasslands, grew by 1.4pc to 6,600ha. The Amazon biome lost over 774,000ha to wildfires in the first quarter of 2025, a 72pc drop from a year earlier, while it accounted for almost 52pc of burnt areas in March. The loss represented 84pc of the total burnt land in the period. Burnt areas in the central-western Pantanal biome, or tropical wetland, fell by 86pc in the first quarter to 10,900ha. The northeastern Caatinga biome, or seasonally dry tropical forest, lost around 10,000ha in burnt areas, down by 8pc from the same period in 2024. Reductions may not persist as a drought season will begin in May and is expected to be severe, according to Mapbiomas. Last year, an extended drought season prompted burnt areas to grow by 79pc from 2023. Northern Roraima state was the state to suffer the most from wildfires in the period, with 415,700ha lost to wildfires during its distinct drought season in the beginning of the year, while other states faced a rainy season. Northern Para and northeastern Maranhao followed, with 208,600ha and 123,800ha of burnt areas, respectively. Wildfires hit over 24,730ha of soybean fields in the period, a 29pc decrease from a year earlier, while burnt areas in sugarcane fields fell by 31pc to around 7,280ha. Wildfires hit 106,600ha of the country in March, a 86pc decrease from 674,900ha a year earlier. By João Curi Burnt areas in March ha 2025 2024 Amazon 55,172 732,929 Cerrado 37,937 20,995 Atlantic Forest 9,262 4,509 Caatinga 2,296 755 Pampa 1,514 127 Pantanal 562 21,799 Total 106,641 781,114 — Mapbiomas - Monitor do fogo Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Bulk organic imports avoid US fees on Chinese ships


25/04/22
25/04/22

Bulk organic imports avoid US fees on Chinese ships

Minneapolis, 22 April (Argus) — The fees imposed by the US on Chinese-built vessels will not significantly impact maritime organic imports to the US due to exceptions for small bulk vessels, but containerized imports will face some fees. The US announced Thursday that it will impose fees of $50/net ton (nt) on Chinese ship operators and $18/nt, or $120/container, on Chinese-built ships. Most organic imports to the US, especially for corn and organic soybeans, use bulk vessels to ship to the US. During the 2024-25 marketing year through March, no bulk vessel bringing organic corn and soy products into the country exceeded 70,000 dwt, according to bill of lading data. The fees will exclude any Chinese-built bulk vessel with a capacity of under 80,000 dwt, according to the US Trade Representative (USTR). As a result, bulk organic imports into the US will avoid these fees, even if imported on a Chinese ship. Some organic imports are brought in using containers. For a container with 21 metric tonnes (t) of organic soybeans, a fee of $120/container would be $0.16/bushel. The fee would be similar for a container of organic corn, but organic corn is rarely imported via container. The fee for a container with 21t of organic soybean meal will be $5.18/short ton. Some exporters to the US are more exposed to the fees on containers because of higher use of containerized freight. Shipments from the Black Sea used entirely bulk vessels over the past year, which will avoid the fees. Exporters in Africa and India, however, use containers for most exports and will be more exposed. Africa supplied 50pc of US maritime organic soybean meal imports during the 2023-24 marketing year, according to Argus estimates. All imports of organic soybeans from Argentina since last May used bulk vessels because of the higher cost of containerized freight to the US. If containerized freight rates between the US and Argentina fall, some organic commodities could be exported to the US by containers. Organic imports could also face some delays because of these fees, market contacts said. Some containers may wait at port longer until a non-Chinese-built vessel is available to ship the product to the US. This would lead to longer shipping times into the US and potentially to demurrage charges. The fees will take effect in October and will escalate over the next three years. The fees on a container brought in on a Chinese-built vessel will grow each year from $120/container in 2025 to reach $250/container in April 2028. By Alexander Schultz Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

USDA overhauls 'climate-smart' agriculture program


25/04/17
25/04/17

USDA overhauls 'climate-smart' agriculture program

Houston, 17 April (Argus) — The US Department of Agriculture (USDA) has begun to overhaul a program that for three years incentivized "climate-smart" practices to reduce greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions through grants to farmers, ranchers and forest landowners. USDA has cancelled the Partnerships for Climate-Smart Commodities (PCSC), a program launched during former US president Joe Biden's administration, agency administrator Brooke Rollins said on Monday. Instead, the USDA has "reformed and overhauled" the program into the Advancing Markets for Producers (AMP) initiative. According to the USDA, most of the projects under the Biden-era program "had sky-high administration fees" that resulted in considerably less federal funding being provided to farmers. The agency said it will review and potentially allow some projects to continue if they show that producers are receiving at least 65pc of federal funds. "We continue to support farmers and encourage partners to ensure their projects are farmer focused or re-apply to continue work that is aligned with the priorities of this administration," the agency said. In addition, the USDA said it will review current projects based on whether recipients of PCSC grants had at least one enrolled producer and made a payment to at least one producer before the end of last year. Any expenses incurred under the PCSC before this week's announcement will be honored, the agency said. The PCSC, which the agency launched in February 2022, had the potential to increase supply in the voluntary carbon market. It was designed to help farmers, ranchers, and forest landowners use climate-smart practices such as those that help improve and maintain soil quality of forests, promote the use of cover crops, and encourage prescribed grazing. The program funded projects that created market opportunities for products produced through climate-smart practices and used cost-effective methods for tracking and verifying resulting reductions in GHG emissions. The Biden-era program initially had funding amounting to $1bn before more than tripling to $3.5bn a few months after its launch. But the USDA under US president Donald Trump appears to be downsizing that program, and it remains unclear how many projects will be permitted to continue. The move is part of a broader effort by the new administration to review, reconsider and potentially roll back federal climate policies. The US Environmental Protection Agency is reviewing more than 30 Biden-era emissions and water regulations. In addition, the president issued an executive order last week directing the Department of Justice to review and potentially challenge state and local climate policies, calling out California's cap-and-trade program as one potential target. By Ida Balakrishna Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Canada grants tariff relief to automakers


25/04/17
25/04/17

Canada grants tariff relief to automakers

Pittsburgh, 17 April (Argus) — The Canadian government will allow automakers to circumvent retaliatory tariffs to continue importing US-assembled vehicles if the companies keep making cars in Canada. Canada began taxing imports of US-made vehicles and parts on 9 April at a 25pc rate in response to a similar tariff the US had implemented. Canada's tariff on vehicle imports from the US will not apply to car companies that keep their Canadian plants running, the country's finance minister said this week. The measure attempts to prevent closures of auto plants and layoffs in the Canadian automotive sector that the US tariffs threaten to cause. Automaker Stellantis paused production at its Windsor, Ontario, assembly plant in early April to evaluate the US tariff on vehicle imports. The plant will re-open on 22 April, Stellantis said. General Motors also plans to reduce production of its electric delivery fan at its Ingersoll, Ontario plant. The slowdown will result in layoffs of 500 workers, the Unifor union said. The automotive industry in the US, Canada and Mexico has struggled to adapt its supply chains to the new tariffs because the US, Canada Mexico free trade agreement (USMCA) and its predecessor helped establish an interconnected North American auto sector. In another measure, companies in Canada will get a six-month reprieve from tariffs on imports from the US used in manufacturing, food and beverage packaging. The six-month relief also applies to items Canada imports from the US used in the health care, public safety and national security sectors. "We're giving Canadian companies and entities more time to adjust their supply chains and become less dependent on US suppliers," finance minister Francois-Philippe Champagne said in a statement. By James Marshall Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Risks rising for possible recession in Mexico: Analysts


25/04/17
25/04/17

Risks rising for possible recession in Mexico: Analysts

Mexico City, 17 April (Argus) — The Mexican finance executive association (IMEF) lowered its 2025 GDP growth forecast for a second consecutive month in its April survey, citing a rising risk of recession on US-Mexico trade tensions. In its April survey, growth expectations for 2025 fell to 0.2pc, down from 0.6pc in March and 1pc in February. Nine of the 43 respondents projected negative growth — up from four in March, citing rising exposure to US tariffs that now affect "roughly half" of Mexico's exports. The group warned that the risk of recession will continue to rise until tariff negotiations are resolved, with the possibility of a US recession compounding the problem. As such, IMEF expects a contraction in the first quarter with high odds of continued negative growth in the second quarter — meeting one common definition of recession as two straight quarters of contraction. Mexico's economy decelerated in the fourth quarter of 2024 to an annualized rate of 0.5pc from 1.7pc the previous quarter, the slowest expansion since the first quarter of 2021, according to statistics agency data. Mexico's statistics agency Inegi will release its first estimate for first quarter GDP growth on April 30. "A recession is now very likely," said IMEF's director of economic studies Victor Herrera. "Some sectors, like construction, are already struggling — and it's just a matter of time before it spreads." The severity of the downturn will depend on how quickly trade tensions ease and whether the US-Mexico-Canada (USMCA) free trade agreement is successfully revised, Herrera added. But the outlook remains uncertain, with mixed signals this week — including a possible pause on auto tariffs and fresh warnings of new tariffs on key food exports like tomatoes. IMEF also trimmed its 2026 GDP forecast to 1.5pc from 1.6pc, citing persistent tariff uncertainty. Its 2025 formal job creation estimate dropped to 220,000 from 280,000 in March. The group slightly lowered its 2025 inflation forecast to 3.8pc from 3.9pc, noting current consumer price index should allow the central bank to continue the current rate cut cycle to lower its target interest rate to 8pc by year-end from 9pc. IMEF expects the peso to end the year at Ps20.90/$1, slightly stronger than the Ps21/$1 forecast in March. By James Young Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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