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Kurdish gas plans may boost Iraqi oil exports

  • : Crude oil, Electricity, Natural gas
  • 25/04/25

Plans for a significant increase in natural gas production in Iraq's semi-autonomous Kurdistan region over the next 18 months could not only help address the country's chronic power shortages but also enable Baghdad to boost its oil exports.

The Pearl Petroleum consortium — which comprises Abu Dhabi-listed Dana Gas, Sharjah-based Crescent Petroleum, Austria's OMV, Hungary's Mol, and Germany's RWE — aims to increase gas production capacity in Kurdistan to 825mn ft³/d by the end of next year, representing a more than 50pc increase from current output.

The plan involves expanding the capacity of the region's sole gas-producing field, Khor Mor, to 750mn ft³/d by the first quarter of 2026, and adding up to 75mn ft³/d from the Chemchemal field by the end of 2026. According to a source at Pearl, the development of Chemchemal is a key priority for the companies, as it is believed to have reservoirs comparable to those of Khor Mor.

Under a 2019 agreement, the additional gas from the expansion project will be sold to the Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG) for a 20-year term, which should help eliminate the region's frequent power outages, particularly during peak summer months when demand for air conditioning is high.

The Kurdistan region will also be well-positioned to supply any excess gas to the rest of Iraq. The federal government in Baghdad had previously approved a plan to import approximately 100mn ft³/d of gas from Khor Mor to power a 620MW plant in Kirkuk province, but no formal agreement has been signed to date.

"The federal ministry of electricity and Crescent Petroleum have already met to finalise the agreement, which is ready for signature and awaiting implementation," the Pearl source said. "The infrastructure needed to support the sale of this quantity of gas is also in place."

The plan has faced delays partly because of Iran's long-standing influence over Iraq and the potential impact such an agreement with the Kurdistan region could have on Baghdad's reliance on Iranian gas and power. However, the revival of US president Donald Trump's ‘maximum pressure' campaign against Tehran is forcing Baghdad to get serious about seeking alternative energy sources, with the Kurdistan region emerging as a viable option.

Crude Export Boost

Formalising the deal to import Kurdish gas would allow Baghdad to allocate more oil for export, as it would reduce the need to burn crude for power generation. Argus estimates that Iraq typically burns between 50,000 b/d and 100,000 b/d of crude in its power stations, depending on the season, and has recently increased imports of gasoil for power generation.

By the time Iraqi Kurdistan has fully ramped up its additional gas capacity, Iraq's Opec+ crude output target will be 200,000 b/d higher than it is today, based on the group's latest production plans.


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25/05/14

Shale unable to absorb price decline: Continental

Shale unable to absorb price decline: Continental

New York, 14 May (Argus) — Shale output growth plans are being sidelined for the time being as this year's decline in oil prices curtails investment into the sector, according to the chief executive officer of Continental Resources. "There's nothing that we can use in the industry to absorb a $10/bl drop in price from a technology standpoint," chief executive officer Doug Lawler said at the Super DUG Conference & Expo 2025 in Fort Worth, Texas, today. "There are not capital efficiencies that can be captured that makes up $10/bl." The pullback in capital that is starting to be seen across the industry as a result of the price rout caused by uncertainty around President Donald Trump's tariffs and surging Opec+ supply will continue as the year progresses, Lawler said. Top shale company executives have warned in recent weeks that shale is in for a rough ride given the price drop, which has since stabilized following a US-China trade truce agreed last weekend. US onshore crude production has likely peaked , according to leading independent Diamondback Energy, while Occidental Petroleum chief executive Vicki Hollub warned the peak could come sooner than expected . "I would maybe caveat it just a little bit different, and not call it a peak, necessarily, but I think we're in for a period of a plateau," Lawler said today. Earlier this year, Continental announced a joint venture with Turkey's national oil company and US-based TransAtlantic Petroleum to develop oil and gas resources in southeast and northwest Turkey. "We don't see it necessarily as an international strategy," Lawler said. "We really see it more as a continuation of the history and heritage of the company, of being exploration-focused." It also should not be viewed as the company seeing a lack of domestic opportunities, given 5-10pc of its overall annual capital budget will be directed at exploration over the next few years. Continental, which was founded by shale billionaire and leading Trump donor Harold Hamm in 1967, is the largest leaseholder and producer in the Bakken basin. It also has positions in the Scoop and Stack plays of the Anadarko basin of Oklahoma, and is also active in the Powder River Basin of Wyoming and Permian basin of Texas. By Stephen Cunningham Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Bolivian president bypasses reelection


25/05/14
25/05/14

Bolivian president bypasses reelection

Montevideo, 14 May (Argus) — Bolivian president Luis Arce will not run for a second five-year term and instead backed a united front to elect another leftist candidate. Arce's decision on Tuesday came on the eve of the filing deadline for the 17 August election. He called on former president Evo Morales to also step aside from the race to improve the chances of another left-wing contender. Morales is fighting a court ruling that he is ineligible to run after already having multiple terms. Arce said the Movement to Socialism (MAS) party should rally behind senate president Andronico Rodriguez, 36. Rodriguez announced his candidacy on 3 May as a third way, but remains closely aligned with Morales. He has led the senate since 2020. Four center-right candidates are expected to compete in the race. The MAS has governed Bolivia for most of the past 20 years. Arce and Morales, allies turned enemies, blame each other for Bolivia's economic turmoil, including its dwindling oil and natural gas production. Inflation through April was 5.5pc, up from 1.3pc in the same period last year. Inflation was 9.9pc last year, the highest since 2008. The World Bank forecasts GDP growth at 1.4pc for the year. The oil and gas sector is at the heart of the crisis. Bolivia has gone from fuel independence to importing 54pc of gasoline and 86pc of diesel, both of which are heavily subsidized. The government forecast $2.9bn on fuel subsidies this year. Crude production was close to 21,000 b/d in 2024, according to the statistics agency. It was approximately 51,000 b/d in 2014. Natural gas output, the cornerstone of Bolivia's economic growth for most of this century, has fallen. Output was approximately 33mn m³/d in 2024, down from a peak of 56mn m³/d in 2006. Proven reserves were at 4.5 trillion cf in 2023, less than half of the 10.7 trillion reported in 2017, according to the state-owned YPFB. YPFB in early May announced a new tender to certify reserves by the end of this year. Bolivia stopped daily piped gas exports to Argentina in September and has a contract to export up to 20mn m³/d to Brazil. Domestic demand for gas is close to 14mn m³/d, stated YPFB. On 1 April Argentina began using Bolivia's pipeline infrastructure to ship natural gas to Brazil. Three companies — Argentina's Pluspetrol and Tecpetrol, and France's TotalEnergies — have so far sent gas to Brazil. By Lucien Chauvin Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Mauritania weaves GTA project into industrial strategy


25/05/14
25/05/14

Mauritania weaves GTA project into industrial strategy

Paris, 14 May (Argus) — Offshore gas production could help to meet Mauritania's power demand by 2030 while also supporting mining activity, particularly of iron ore, energy minister Mohammed Ould Khaled told the Invest in African Energy forum today. BP last month loaded the first LNG shipment from its 2.7mn t/yr Greater Tortue Ahmeyim (GTA) joint venture in Mauritanian and Senegalese waters. GTA is export-oriented, but Mauritania could still tap the project for power, Khaled said, although he added that infrastructure would need to be built to facilitate this. A tender to build a power plant fired by GTA gas will be launched in the next couple of weeks, he said. Mauritania wants to become a regional power hub within 20 years, Khaled said, and hopes to see construction of a power link "to the north" — in the direction of Western Sahara/Morocco. The Mauritanian power grid is already connected to Senegal and Mali, he said. Future power generation projects will be funded by the private sector and incentivised through tax breaks, Khaled said, with 550MW set to become available to the domestic market through private-sector projects over the next couple of years. Mauritania is also looking for partners to develop the 50 trillion-60 trillion ft³ Bir Allah gas field for export and domestic markets. The area lies 50km north of GTA and exclusively in Mauritanian waters, according to Khaled, with two wells already having been sunk. Bir Allah is "three times bigger than GTA", he said. BP and Kosmos Energy signed an exploration and production-sharing agreement for the site in late 2022 , with BP saying gas from the field will be used to expand GTA to 10mn t/yr. It is unclear whether BP or Kosmos Energy are still partners in the Bir Allah development project. By George Maher-Bonnett Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Opec downgrades non-Opec+ supply growth forecasts


25/05/14
25/05/14

Opec downgrades non-Opec+ supply growth forecasts

London, 14 May (Argus) — Opec has downgraded its 2025 and 2026 non-Opec+ liquids supply growth forecasts for a second month in a row, mainly driven by lower output expectations from the US. In its Monthly Oil Market Report (MOMR), published today, Opec revised down by 100,000 b/d its non-Opec supply growth forecasts for 2025 and 2026 to 810,000 b/d and 800,000 b/d, respectively. This follows identical downgrades of 100,000 b/d for each year in Opec's previous report . While Opec did not give a reason for its supply revisions, the recent decline in oil prices is likely to have played a role. Production growth in the US, particularly in the shale patch, is highly sensitive to price movements, for example. US shale producer Diamondback Energy chief executive Travis Stice earlier this month said US onshore crude production had likely peaked as drilling activity slowed in response to lower oil prices. Opec sees US supply growing by 330,000 b/d in 2025 and 280,000 b/d in 2026, compared with 450,000 b/d and 460,000 b/d in its March MOMR. Lower non-Opec+ supply expectations may have played a role in the decision by some Opec+ members to accelerate their planned supply increases for May and June. Opec kept its global oil demand growth forecasts unchanged for this year and next at 1.3mn b/d and 1.28mn b/d, respectively. These forecasts remain bullish compared to those of the IEA and US' EIA. Opec+ crude production — including Mexico — fell by 106,000 b/d to 40.92mn b/d in April, according to an average of secondary sources that includes Argus . Opec puts the call on Opec+ crude at 42.6mn b/d in 2025 and 42.9mn b/d in 2026. By Aydin Calik Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

MCSC confirms 15-minute SDAC power trading delay


25/05/14
25/05/14

MCSC confirms 15-minute SDAC power trading delay

London, 14 May (Argus) — The Market Coupling Steering Committee (MCSC) has confirmed that Europe's transition to 15-minute settlement periods in the Single Day-Ahead Coupling (SDAC) market will be delayed to 30 September, citing some parties' lack of "non-technical readiness". The joint committee of nominated electricity market operators (Nemos) and transmission system operators (TSOs) had planned to launch 15-minute settlements on 11 June, and it stressed that most parties are technically ready for this date. But as some parties are not ready, the first delivery date for 15-minute trading will now be 1 October, after market launch a day earlier. The MCSC said it had considered "alternative go-live scenarios", but concluded that these could not be accommodated. Eleven Nemos confirmed their "readiness and commitment" to Argus in April , with only French-based exchange Epex Spot saying it would vote against the 11 June start date, citing "operational concerns" and "too many failures in testing". The Nemos — including Oslo-based Nord Pool, Spain's Omie and Italy's GME — did not "share [Epex Spot's] misgivings", and said the decoupling risk cited by Epex Spot was "not due to a lack of reliability" in the system. Instead, they attributed this to certain parties' internal initial local testing problems. The MCSC confirmed that "performance tests of the joint systems and procedural tests have been successfully completed" and that they "were on a good track". By Daniel Craig Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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