Overview

The ease of urea availability east and west of Suez has shaped the current trade flows of this key nitrogen fertilizer. Despite challenges posed by energy prices and military conflicts, key import markets such as India, Australia, and Latin America remain robust. But structural oversupply and the role of China as a swing exporter have led to price volatility as this fast-moving market seeks equilibrium, more so during seasonally high-demand periods. 
 
Our extensive nitrogen coverage includes prilled and granular urea, UAN, ammonium nitrate, and ammonium sulphate. Argus has many decades of experience covering the nitrogen market and incorporates our multi-commodity market expertise in key areas including ammonia and natural gas to provide the full market narrative.

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Latest nitrogen news

Browse the latest market moving news on the global nitrogen industry.

Latest nitrogen news
13/01/25

Nutrient affordability remains weak into 2025

Nutrient affordability remains weak into 2025

London, 13 January (Argus) — Global fertilizer affordability is still weak into 2025 as high fertilizer prices — mainly for urea — continue to weigh on farmer affordability. Nutrient affordability fell to 0.94 points in the first week of January, unable to recover from a declining trend that started in October 2024. An affordability index — comprised of a fertilizer and a crop index — above one indicates that fertilizers are more affordable, compared with the base year, which was set in 2004. An index below one indicates lower nutrient affordability. The fertilizer index — ⁠which includes global prices for urea, DAP and potash, adjusted by global usage — ⁠reached the highest value since October, driven by firmer urea prices, which weighs heavily on the fertilizer index owing to the relatively higher global usage when compared with DAP and potash fertilizers. Prices for urea climbed to levels last seen in late 2023, with activity ramping up across the globe. Prices appear well supported through the month with India entering the market over the weekend, seeking 1.5mn t of urea for loading by early March. A slight increase in the crop index owing to a rise in the first week of January for corn and soybeans was unable to offset higher fertilizer prices as the new year started. Crop prices for corn and soybeans, which represent 52pc of global consumption for key crops, also rose into early January following lower production estimates made by the US Department of Agriculture (USDA) for the upcoming crop campaign in the US. The USDA revised earlier estimates made for the 2024-25 corn and soybeans crop by 1.8pc and 2pc, respectively. By Lili Minton and Harry Minihan Global fertilizer affordability Index Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Latest nitrogen news

Yara raises CAN, AN offers to NW Europe for February


07/01/25
Latest nitrogen news
07/01/25

Yara raises CAN, AN offers to NW Europe for February

Amsterdam, 7 January (Argus) — Norwegian major producer Yara has announced its latest nitrate offers for northwest Europe for delivery next month, raising offers for CAN in German and Benelux markets, and AN in France. Yara is offering CAN 27 at €335/t cif Germany and Benelux for February delivery. This latest offer marks an increase from €317/t cif for January delivery to those markets, as announced in the first half of December . The producer has raised its AN 33.5 offer in France to €425/t cpt. Initial offers outlined in October had been €387/t cpt for December delivery. The higher offers reflect the overall strengthening of prices across the nitrogen complex since the start of December, with Egyptian urea recenty hitting the highest level since October 2023. By Harry Minihan Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Latest nitrogen news

Pupuk Indonesia issues tender to buy January amsul


02/01/25
Latest nitrogen news
02/01/25

Pupuk Indonesia issues tender to buy January amsul

Singapore, 2 January (Argus) — State-owned Pupuk Indonesia has issued a tender to buy 20,000t of bulk standard caprolactam-grade ammonium sulphate (amsul) for shipment to its subsidiary Petrokimia Gresik by the fourth week of January. Pupuk Indonesia has requested a single shipment of 20,000t to Gresik port. The deadline for submitting technical documents is 2 January, and the importer has asked for offers to be submitted at a fixed price. No results have been heard and the online e-auction for the tender is expected to begin shortly. By Dinise Chng Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Latest nitrogen news

Pupuk Indonesia issues farmers subsidised fertilizers


31/12/24
Latest nitrogen news
31/12/24

Pupuk Indonesia issues farmers subsidised fertilizers

Singapore, 31 December (Argus) — State-owned fertilizer producer Pupuk Indonesia has distributed about 7.25mn t of subsidised fertilizers to registered domestic farmers as of 23 December, the company said. The distributed volumes have exceeded the government-mandated target by 0.5pc and include about 3.36mn t of urea, 3.49mn t of NPK fertilizers, 42,700t of specialised NPK formulas, and 46,500t of Pupuk's Petroganik organic fertilizers. Pupuk Indonesia's current fertilizer stock availability for the domestic market is around 1.47mn t as of 23 December, comprising of subsidised and non-subsidised products. Subsidised fertilizer stocks amount to 1.04mn t, consisting of 546,700t of urea, 445,500t of NPK, 16,300t of specialised NPK formulas, and 35,600t of organic fertilizers. Non-subsidised fertilizer stocks are at 428,600t, consisting of 357,400t of urea and 71,200t of NPK fertilizers. Around 400,000t of the current fertilizer stock has also been given to distributors and kiosks to ensure smooth delivery to farmers on 1 January 2025, the company said. The current allocation of subsidised fertilizers at the sub-district level has been finalised at 100pc across all regions, Jekvy Hendra, director of fertilizers and pesticides at Indonesia's ministry of agriculture, said. By Dinise Chng Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Latest nitrogen news

Viewpoint: Brazil urea deals for corn delayed to 2025


27/12/24
Latest nitrogen news
27/12/24

Viewpoint: Brazil urea deals for corn delayed to 2025

Sao Paulo, 27 December (Argus) — Brazil is set to enter 2025 with a last-minute surge in demand for nitrogen-based fertilizers, as farmers continue to postpone purchases for the 2024-25 second corn crop. Around 10-15pc of all fertilizer needs have yet to be purchased for the corn crop, whose planting is expected to start by February in central-western Mato Grosso state. Brazilian farmers have been delaying agreements for inputs as they wait for lower fertilizer prices and higher grain prices. The most delayed fertilizer acquisition is urea, with buyers expecting further price drops before committing to volumes. Granular urea prices were at $359/metric tonnes (t) cfr Brazil by 19 December, $39/t above the same period in 2023. The overall pace of input purchases is in line with farmers' buying patterns for the 2023-24 corn crop and 2024-25 soybean crop, when growers also waited until the last minute to secure final volumes. Traditional 4Q buying surged delayed Brazilian buyers used to speed up the pace of fertilizer purchases in the fourth quarter to supply the second corn crop. This would give them time to receive the inputs in time for application, without last-minute logistic concerns. But unexpected changes in fertilizer price trends, combined with changes in the timing of the soybean crop, led farmers to change this buying pattern and wait as long as possible before concluding deals. Farmers' saw this last-minute buying strategy rewarded in early 2024 when urea prices were about $393/t cfr Brazil, below levels seen earlier in October 2023. And a delay in the 2024-25 soybean planting because of unfavorable weather conditions also contributed to postponed fertilizer acquisitions for corn, since the soybean harvest would likely be delayed and force farmers to plant corn outside the ideal period. Those factors are set to again push final urea purchases to January. Some volumes traded in November-December may discharge in ports in January, intensifying deliveries in the first months of the year. Brazil imported 7.6mn t of urea in January-November, 19pc above the same period in 2023. The latest lineup data from 26 December points to around 400,000t to be delivered at ports in December and 422,000t in January, according to maritime agency Unimar. Farmers focused on acquiring ammonium sulphate (amsul) volumes in the past three months, as prices carried a discount considering the nitrogen content compared with urea while also adding sulphur. There is plenty of available compacted/granular amsul, with Chinese producers eyeing Brazil as an outlet for the product. Imports of amsul totaled 5.1mn t in the first 11 months of the year, 18pc above the same period last year. A total of 596,000t and 1.2mn t were set to discharge in ports in December and January, respectively, according to Unimar's lineup data from 26 December. The trend is the same in the domestic market, with purchases advancing slowly. Some cooperatives and retailers bought volumes to guarantee availability when farmers decide to buy. Farmers are most advanced in theirs potash (MOP) acquisitions, as its lower-than-usual price has motivated farmers to buy the fertilizer for 2025-26 corn and soybeans. Market participants estimate that around 50pc of MOP needs in Mato Grosso for the 2025-26 soybean crop were purchased by early December. Demand has been high for the first quarter of 2025, leading to expectations of intense MOP deliveries at ports. This would mean a high flow in the inland market, competing with urea volumes handling in January-February. By Gisele Augusto Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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