Australia elevates EVs, solar in GHG reduction plan

  • Spanish Market: Electricity, Emissions, Hydrogen, Metals
  • 03/11/21

The Australian federal government has elevated the role of electric vehicles (EVs) and low-cost solar technology in attaining its ambition of achieving net-zero greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions by 2050. Low-cost solar will also be used to underpin plans to develop a domestic hydrogen industry using renewable energy.

Australia has updated its GHG emissions reduction plan, adding three more areas of focus. It will develop polices and provide state financing for lowering the cost of solar technology, support EV technology and deployment, as well as provide timelines for parity for the costs of solar and EV with prevailing technology.

Battery electric vehicles (BEVs) and fuel-cell electric vehicles (FCEVs) will become price competitive over the next 5-10 years as the world's largest vehicle manufacturers increasingly commit to their development, the government's latest report said.

"Investment is required to prepare for a rapid increase in the number of consumers choosing BEVs and FCEVs, and to ensure enough charging and refuelling stations are made available to meet demand," it said.

The report did not provide any target for EV deployment in Australia. But a separate government report last week has EVs accounting for 30pc of new car sales in Australia by 2030 from less than 1pc in 2019 under a baseline scenario and 61pc by the end of the decade under a high-technology scenario.

Road transport fuels form the bulk of Australia's near 1mn b/d demand, most of which is imported. Transport has also been one of the fastest increasing sources of its GHG emissions, up by almost two-thirds during 1990-19, according to its latest audited emissions accounts filed with the UN.

Australia has not joined other countries in setting a timeline to phase out internal combustion engine vehicles. But including EVs as part of its emissions reduction targets marks a shift for Australia's current government that has no plans to reduce its reliance on fossil fuel exports such as LNG and thermal coal. It also noted that the country could benefit economically from the energy transition as Australia is a significant producer of copper, nickel and lithium that are used in batteries.

Cutting production costs

Canberra has focused on lowering solar power costs, driven by a strategy to cut production costs for hydrogen made from renewable energy, also known as green hydrogen. Its Solar 30 30 30 plan aims to achieve 30pc efficiency at A$0.30 ($0.23) per installed watt by 2030.

"Getting solar power down to less than A$15/MWh, a third of today's cost, will be critical to reducing electricity sector emissions, but also in unlocking the potential of other low-emissions technologies like clean hydrogen," Australian energy minister Angus Taylor said in a speech at the UN Cop 26 climate conference in the UK's Glasgow.

Ultra low-cost clean electricity is also key to meeting the goals for Australian's other ambitions of lowering GHG emissions such as low-emissions steel and aluminium, along with electrical energy for storage for firming power generation.

Australia has ambitions to emerge as hydrogen producer and exporter. It aims to use green hydrogen to aid the decarbonisation of other sectors such as heavy haulage fuel cell EVs, ammonia as a chemical feedstock for making fertilizer and fuel for shipping and co-firing for electricity generation in countries like Japan.


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02/07/24

Italy’s NECP eyes 11pc of power demand from nuclear

Italy’s NECP eyes 11pc of power demand from nuclear

London, 2 July (Argus) — Italy aims to generate at least 11pc of its power demand from nuclear energy by 2050 and could double that amount if necessary as part of efforts to meet its climate goals. In its new national energy and climate plan (NECP) sent to Brussels yesterday, Rome said its "conservative" scenario envisioned installing 8GW of nuclear power capacity using mainly small modular reactors but also fusion plants. Italy could build as much as 16GW of nuclear capacity depending on developments across the energy system, according to the document. The ‘with-nuclear' option would provide savings of around €17bn ($18.3bn) compared with not using it. It would also mean less gas consumption tied to carbon capture and storage (CCS) technology. Italy banned nuclear power in a referendum in 1987 after the Chernobyl disaster, but the current right-wing government of Giorgia Meloni has voiced its support for the technology. Last year it set up the national platform for sustainable nuclear power to map out a timeline for a possible return to nuclear power. In confirmation of targets set last year , Rome said it aimed to install a total of 131GW of renewable energy capacity by 2030, compared to 58GW in 2021, with a view to meeting 63pc of power demand and 39.4pc of total energy consumption. Most of the new capacity will be solar photovoltaic (PV), with 79GW expected to be installed driven by new subsidies and easier permitting. Wind capacity is expected to contribute 28GW, with offshore wind providing just 2.1GW. The plan envisages the development of contracts for difference (CfDs) through auctions for larger plants, as well as a framework to boost power-purchasing agreements (PPAs). Italy's NECP also maps out the development of electricity grids and cross-border interconnections. "The long-term risk is that the tight renewables penetration targets and the CfD mechanism established by the EU to deliver incentives could lead to a negative impact on spot prices, currently driven in Italy by the price of natural gas and carbon allowances," Italian broker Equita said. The current final revision of Italy's NECP comes after a cross-sector and public consultation. It was submitted to the European Commission for approval on 1 July, a day after the deadline required by EU law. By Steven Jewkes and Timothy Santonastaso Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Countries draft trade deal to address climate change


02/07/24
02/07/24

Countries draft trade deal to address climate change

London, 2 July (Argus) — Trade ministers for Costa Rica, Iceland, New Zealand and Switzerland have finished negotiations on a trade deal focused on tackling climate change, pollution and loss of biodiversity. The deal — the agreement on climate change, trade and sustainability (ACCTS) — will include an "ambitious" list of environmental goods, with a definition and criteria for updates, the ministers said. The agreement will eliminate tariffs on more than 300 goods, including solar panels, wind turbines, electric vehicles and wood products. It will also outline conservation and sustainability commitments for the production of such items. The agreement will also "contribute a meaningful definition of fossil fuel subsidies to international efforts", the ministers said. On these, there will be "clear prohibitions and a limited set of exceptions to safeguard fundamental policy goals", the ministerial statement added. Pledges to phase out fossil fuel subsidies by various countries, including the G7 and G20 groups, are long-standing. But subsidies for fossil fuels remain widespread and totalled $7 trillion in 2022, according to the IMF. The legal review of the text must be completed before it is signed, ratified and implemented, the ministers said. Their ambition is for the ACCTS to be "a pathfinder agreement that will drive momentum" at the World Trade Organisation, they added. Norway participated in all 15 rounds of negotiations and hailed the "great progress" made. But the country needs more time to assess the agreement, Norwegian foreign minister Espen Barth Eide said. By Georgia Gratton Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Reformed Australia safeguard scheme faces uncertainties


02/07/24
02/07/24

Reformed Australia safeguard scheme faces uncertainties

Canberra, 2 July (Argus) — Australia's reformed safeguard mechanism triggered more decarbonisation efforts in its first year, but key uncertainties need to be clarified to unlock bigger investments, delegates heard at a Carbon Market Institute (CMI) symposium in Canberra on 1 July. Settings are clear until 2030 but uncertainties over a few major factors beyond that year have been causing hesitation and blocking investments, market experts said. The mechanism became a 'declining baseline-and-credit' emissions trading scheme (ETS) from 1 July 2023 after a reform by the Labor government , which set a emission reduction target of 43pc by 2030 from 2005 levels after taking office in mid-2022. Figures from the first year under the reformed scheme, between 1 July 2023-30 June 2024, will only be known after facilities surrender their units ahead of the 1 April 2025 compliance deadline . The Australian government still needs to define the design of the cost containment reserve , under which safeguard facilities may access Australian Carbon Credit Units (ACCUs) held by the Clean Energy Regulator (CER) at a fixed price that started at A$75 ($50) in the 2023-24 fiscal year to 30 June and will be increased with inflation plus 2pc/yr. "On a fundamental basis, [the reserve] shouldn't be required to be triggered before 2027-28, but we do need price signals to unlock a new wave of investments and capitalise a whole new suite of projects that are not already banked," climate solutions and brokerage firm Core Markets' chief executive Chris Halliwell told delegates on 1 July. Uncertainty over baseline decline rate Under the reformed mechanism, facilities that emit more than 100,000t of CO2 equivalent (CO2e) in a fiscal year face declining baselines and need to surrender ACCUs or upcoming safeguard mechanism credits if their onsite abatement activities were not enough to keep their emissions below thresholds. The rate of decline was set at 4.9pc/yr from 2021-22 to 2029-30 and will be set in five-year blocks from 2030-31 onwards, in line with future updates to Australia's Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC) under the Paris Agreement, with later rates to be defined by 1 July 2027. The government disclosed an indicative decline rate of 3.285pc/yr in the safeguard rules from 2030-31 to 2049-50, said Australian carbon advisory company RepuTex's head of research Bret Harper. But that would mean "a less ambitious" rate than the existing one, even as Australia might set a much more ambitious emissions reduction target by 2035, Harper added. Uncertainty for trade-exposed facilities There is significant uncertainty and risk for so-called trade-exposed baseline adjusted facilities, which are typically smaller industrial participants that face a high risk of carbon leakage. Such facilities can apply for a discounted decline rate as low as 1pc/yr, but several of them do not know whether they will qualify, climate risk and energy transition consultancy Energetics' head of emissions quant David Kazmirowicz told delegates. He mentioned the example of one client, Victoria-based glass manufacturer Oceania Glass, which is the sole producer of float glass products in Australia. "All their competition comes from overseas and they are, putting it mildly, up in arms that there was a domestic policy mechanism triggered without an equivalent for overseas imports," he said. "This facility is looking at existential impacts where, I think, big players in the resource industry are potentially not." Australia has been looking at the possibility of introducing a carbon border adjustment mechanism (CBAM), with a second consultation paper to be published in the "near future", said Australian National University professor Frank Jotzo, who has been leading the carbon leakage review. The first round of consultation showed strong "support for the principle of a CBAM", he added. By Juan Weik Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

S Korea's LGES, Renault sign 39GWh LFP battery deal


02/07/24
02/07/24

S Korea's LGES, Renault sign 39GWh LFP battery deal

Singapore, 2 July (Argus) — South Korean battery manufacturer LG Energy Solution (LGES) will supply 39GWh of lithium-iron-phosphate (LFP) batteries to French car manufacturer Renault's electric vehicle (EV) division Ampere from 2025-30. Under the agreement, LGES will provide LFP batteries in pouch form to Ampere from the end of 2025 through to 2030, said LGES on 2 July. The batteries will come from its facility in Poland where it has a 86GWh battery plant, which is the largest in Europe. This marks the firm's first "large-scale" LFP battery supply deal for EVs, said LGES. The firm will continue to expand its supply of LFP batteries for EVs, starting with the European market, said the firm. LFP batteries are typically more cost-competitive compared to nickel-manganese-cobalt (NMC) batteries given the materials used, and LGES sees demand rising for the former as demand for affordable entry-level EVs grows. Ampere earlier said it will be integrating LFP technology alongside the NMC batteries that Renault has been using, because of market volatility and changes in battery technologies. LGES and Chinese battery manufacturer CATL will provide Ampere with LFP batteries and technology, with LGES providing batteries from its Poland facility, and CATL providing the technology until 2030. The three firms will set up an "integrated value chain" in Europe, said Ampere. The decision to integrate LFP and cell-to-pack technologies — which raises the volumetric density of batteries — will help Ampere in cutting 20pc of its battery costs, said the company. This is part of the firm's roadmap to cut 40pc of costs by 2027 or 2028. Ampere targets to sell 1mn units of EVs in 2031 with a goal of reaching €25bn ($26.83bn) in revenue that same year through seven of its EV models, said the firm late last year. Sales of plug-in EVs, which include plug-in hybrid EVs and battery EVs, fell by over 10pc in Europe during May on weak German demand, with sales of hybrid EVs rising by 15pc on the year across the EU, European Free Trade Association and the UK. By Joseph Ho Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Australia’s safeguard credit selling interest unclear


02/07/24
02/07/24

Australia’s safeguard credit selling interest unclear

Canberra, 2 July (Argus) — There is buying interest in Australia's upcoming safeguard mechanism credits (SMCs), but selling interest has been scant so far, delegates heard at a Carbon Market Institute (CMI) symposium in Canberra on 1 July. The Clean Energy Regulator (CER) will start to issue SMCs from 2025 onwards to safeguard facilities that report scope 1 greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions below their annual baselines, effectively introducing emissions allowances into the Australian carbon market. Each SMC will represent 1t of CO2 equivalent (CO2e) below the baseline of a facility, which will have the option to either hold it for future use or sell it to facilities that exceeded their thresholds. Facilities that overstep their baselines are required to buy and surrender one Australian Carbon Credit Unit (ACCU) or SMC for each excess 1t of CO2e, and will be penalised if they fail to do so. This means companies in need of units will have interest in buying SMCs, but there are doubts about selling interest, market experts said. "We hear lots of our clients aiming to go out there and buy SMCs, but very few who are going to generate them are willing to sell because they see them as a mechanism for hedging future risk," said sustainability advisory firm Anthesis' climate resilience and decarbonisation lead, Thomas Hodgson. Facilities will be allowed to hold an unlimited number of SMCs until 2030. They will be able to use the credits for safeguard compliance at any point up to that year — irrespective of when the SMCs are issued — but the Australian government has pledged to review post-2030 banking arrangements in the scheduled review of the safeguard mechanism in 2026-27, according to CMI. Climate risk and energy transition consultancy Energetics has been working with 10 clients that account for a combined 15mn t/yr of CO2e in Australia. But most of them were not currently looking at the opportunity of receiving SMCs in the near future, Energetics' head of emissions quant David Kazmirowicz said, highlighting a potentially limited credit issuance. Actual SMC transactions are only expected to pick up once the CER issues the first units in early 2025, when there will be more visibility on issuance volumes as well as selling and buying appetite. These below-baseline credits will be "a certificate to watch", said the regulator's principal economist Georgina Prasad. There will be advantages in banking SMCs for future liability, but several facilities likely to receive the credits are not expected to have any liability in the next several years, according to Australian carbon advisory company RepuTex's head of research Bret Harper. "So this is probably a prime opportunity for them to test the market and see if they can monetise those credits," he pointed out. SMCs are expected to trade at a discount to ACCUs as their use will be restricted to safeguard facilities, excluding them from voluntary and non-federal compliance demand, according to market participants. Safeguard volumes accounted for 75pc of all the nearly 1.2mn ACCU cancellations in the first quarter of 2024, according to latest CER data. Generic ACCU prices have ranged between A$33.75-34.60 ($22.50-23.05) in recent weeks. By Juan Weik Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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