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Japan’s Mol starts operating LPG-fuelled VLGC

  • Spanish Market: Fertilizers, LPG
  • 26/04/24

Japanese shipping firm Mitsui OSK Line's (Mol) Singapore-based subsidiary Aramo Shipping started operating today a new LPG-fuelled LPG and ammonia carrier for domestic importer Gyxis.

The 87,119m³ very large gas carrier (VLGC) Aquamarine Progress 2 was built by Japanese shipbuilder Namura Shipbuilding at Namura's Imari shipyard in south Japan's Saga prefecture.

The vessel is equipped with a dual-fuel engine, which can burn LPG and conventional marine fuel. Mol expects use of LPG to reduce carbon dioxide (CO2) and nitrogen oxide emissions by 20pc and sulphur oxide and particulate matter emissions by 90pc compared with a heavy oil-dedicated vessel. The VLGC is also designed to be able to carry ammonia, eyeing potential demand growth for decarbonisation.

Japanese shipping firms and shipbuilders have boosted construction of LPG carriers that can also ship ammonia, as demand for the cleaner fuel is expected to increase in future. Japan plans to co-fire ammonia at coal-fired power plants to reduce CO2 emissions, while aiming to use ammonia as a hydrogen carrier.

Shipbuilders Kawasaki Heavy Industries and Mitsubishi Heavy Industries each delivered a VLGC, which can carry LPG and liquefied ammonia. Mol, in partnership with shipbuilders Tsuneishi Shipbuilding and Mitsui E&S Shipbuilding, completed risk assessments to design a mid-size ammonia-fuelled ammonia and LPG carrier, targeting to finish construction by 2026.


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13/01/25

Nutrient affordability remains weak into 2025

Nutrient affordability remains weak into 2025

London, 13 January (Argus) — Global fertilizer affordability is still weak into 2025 as high fertilizer prices — mainly for urea — continue to weigh on farmer affordability. Nutrient affordability fell to 0.94 points in the first week of January, unable to recover from a declining trend that started in October 2024. An affordability index — comprised of a fertilizer and a crop index — above one indicates that fertilizers are more affordable, compared with the base year, which was set in 2004. An index below one indicates lower nutrient affordability. The fertilizer index — ⁠which includes global prices for urea, DAP and potash, adjusted by global usage — ⁠reached the highest value since October, driven by firmer urea prices, which weighs heavily on the fertilizer index owing to the relatively higher global usage when compared with DAP and potash fertilizers. Prices for urea climbed to levels last seen in late 2023, with activity ramping up across the globe. Prices appear well supported through the month with India entering the market over the weekend, seeking 1.5mn t of urea for loading by early March. A slight increase in the crop index owing to a rise in the first week of January for corn and soybeans was unable to offset higher fertilizer prices as the new year started. Crop prices for corn and soybeans, which represent 52pc of global consumption for key crops, also rose into early January following lower production estimates made by the US Department of Agriculture (USDA) for the upcoming crop campaign in the US. The USDA revised earlier estimates made for the 2024-25 corn and soybeans crop by 1.8pc and 2pc, respectively. By Lili Minton and Harry Minihan Global fertilizer affordability Index Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Mexico inflation ends 2024 near 4-year low


09/01/25
09/01/25

Mexico inflation ends 2024 near 4-year low

Mexico City, 9 January (Argus) — Mexico's consumer price index (CPI) eased to an annual 4.21pc in December, the lowest in nearly four years, as slowing agricultural prices offset increases in energy, consumer goods and services. This marks the lowest annual inflation since February 2021 and a significant slowdown from July's annual peak of 5.57pc, which was driven by weather-impacted food prices. Inflation slowed from 4.55pc in November, marking four months of declines in the past five months. It closed 2024 below the December 2023 reading of 4.66pc, as CPI continues to cool from its peak of 8.7pc in August/September 2022at the height of the global inflation crisis. The December headline rate slightly exceeded Mexican bank Banorte's 4.15pc forecast but aligned with its consensus estimate. Following the results, Banorte revised its end-2025 inflation projection to 4pc from 4.4pc and its core inflation estimate to 3.6pc from 3.7pc. The bank suggested that the data supports the possibility of earlier cuts in 2025 in the central bank's target rate, currently at 10pc. Citi Mexico's January survey of 32 analysts estimated a target rate of 8.50pc by the end of 2025, with the next cut of 25 basis points expected at the next central bank policy meeting on 25 February. The central bank is targeting annual CPI of 2-4pc. Core inflation, excluding volatile food and energy prices, accelerated to 3.65pc in December from 3.58pc in November, marking the first uptick after 22 consecutive months of deceleration, according to Mexico's statistics agency (Inegi). Services inflation sped up to 4.94pc from 4.9pc, while consumer goods inflation ticked up to 2.47pc from 2.4pc. Agricultural inflation moved to 6.57pc from 10.74pc in November, supported by favorable weather conditions. Banorte noted that the developing La Nina phenomenon could significantly impact meat prices in the coming months. Meanwhile, energy inflation accelerated to 5.73pc in December from 5.25pc the previous month, driven by higher LPG prices. The industrial association Coparmex called for a review of Mexico's LPG pricing model, citing risks to supply and distribution. Electricity inflation decelerated sharply to 2.65pc from 22pc in November, reflecting the end of seasonal summer subsidies, while natural gas prices fell 5.67pc year over year. By James Young Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

US physical trade in ethane, propane, rose in 2024


09/01/25
09/01/25

US physical trade in ethane, propane, rose in 2024

Houston, 9 January (Argus) — Growing natural gas liquids (NGL) production in the US last year led to higher volumes of physical trading for ethane and propane in 2024, according to Argus data. Volumes of physical ethane traded at the Enterprise (EPC) storage cavern in Texas surged last year by 43pc to 90.12mn bl from 63.2mn bl in 2023, according to trades recorded by Argus . The gains in physical in-well trading activity at Mont Belvieu, the world's largest storage hub for the feedstock, came even as spot ethane prices fell in 2024 to an average of 19.03¢/USG, down from 24.59¢/USG the previous year, on the back of production gains and weaker prices for natural gas. US ethane production from gas processing averaged 2.8mn b/d in the first 10 months of 2024, up from 2.64mn b/d during the same period in 2023, according to the latest US Energy Information Administration (EIA) data. Gains in US ethane production come amid growing demand from petrochemical buyers in China and Europe, which has bolstered US ethane exports and led to additional investments by both Enterprise Products Partners and Energy Transfer in additional dock capacity for the feedstock. US ethane exports averaged 478,800 b/d in the first 10 months of 2024, down by 1.8pc from 487,600 b/d in 2023, due in part to loading delays associated with tie-in work for additional refrigeration at Gulf coast facilities. But exports in January-October 2024 were up by 17pc from the same period in 2022 on additional term contracts with international ethylene producers. Higher trading volumes in 2024 were not limited to ethane. Physical in-well trading of propane at Energy Transfer's LST storage cavern in Mont Belvieu rose by 30pc to 44.7mn bl in 2024, and in-well trading of propane at Enterprise's EPC storage cavern rose by 19pc to 68.3mn bl in 2024 versus 2023, according to trades recorded by Argus . US propane production from gas processing averaged 2.13mn b/d in January-October 2024, according to the latest available EIA data, up from 2mn b/d during the same period in 2023. LST and EPC propane prices rose in 2024 versus 2023 alongside increases in crude. Prompt-month LST propane averaged 77.12¢/USG during 2024, up from 71.13¢/USG in 2023. EPC propane averaged 77.63¢/USG in 2024, up from 70.83¢/USG in 2023. Argus publishes volume-weighted averages of physical trading at Mont Belvieu in addition to daily ranges. Ethane's traded midpoint averaged a 0.009¢/USG premium over the volume-weighted average in 2024. LST propane's traded range averaged a 0.037¢/USG discount to the volume-weighted average, and EPC propane's traded midpoint averaged a 0.143¢/USG discount to the volume-weighted average last year. By Amy Strahan Physical trading '000 bl Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Submissions in under EABC’s DAP buy-tender: Update


09/01/25
09/01/25

Submissions in under EABC’s DAP buy-tender: Update

Updates ETG's offer for lot 6 and details on Bio Green's offer for lot 6 London, 9 January (Argus) — Six trading firms submitted prices ranging from $600-639/t fob in response to Ethiopian Agricultural Businesses (EABC)'s counterbids under its 23 December tender to buy DAP. ETG, Samsung, Montage Oil, Promising International, Bio Green and Aditya Birla offered nine DAP cargoes from Saudi Arabia, Jordan, Russia and Egypt. The cargoes will likely be 50,000-60,000t. EABC has not awarded any of these latest offers yet. Argus understands that Bio Green offered Kazakh DAP, but its offer has been cancelled. EABC had initially received offers for 13 DAP cargoes from Saudi Arabia, Egypt, Jordan and China at prices ranging $639-705/t fob under the tender. It then countered , requesting revised offers at $639/t fob or below. The importer awarded lot 4 — laycan 9-15 February — to trading firm Midgulf International at $639/t fob, quoted as Jordanian product. But supplier backing for this cargo has yet to be confirmed. By Tom Hampson Submissions to EABC 23 December DAP buy tender Lot number Offering party Origin Loading port Laycan Price 1 ETG Saudi Arabia Ras Al-Khair 16-22/1/2025 $639/t fob 2 Samsung Jordan Aqaba 25-30/1/2025 $638.75/t fob 2 Montage Oil Russia Ust-Luga 25-30/1/2025 $630/t fob 5 Montage Oil Russia Ust-Luga 10-15/2/2025 $630/t fob 5 Promising International Egypt Adabiya 10-15/2/2025 $639/t fob 6 Promising International Egypt Adabiya 21-25/2/2025 $639/t fob 6 Bio Green Kazakhstan Jebel Ali 21-25/2/2025 $600/t fob 6 Aditya Birla Jordan Aqaba 21-25/2/2025 $639/t fob TBC ETG Saudi Arabia Ras Al-Khair March $639/t fob Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Q&A: Germany's PtX Fund to ramp up in round 2


09/01/25
09/01/25

Q&A: Germany's PtX Fund to ramp up in round 2

London, 9 January (Argus) — Germany's state-backed Power-to-X (PtX) Development Fund aims to help unlock investment decisions for a handful of mature renewable hydrogen and derivatives (power-to-X) projects in select countries, thereby advancing environmental and social development goals. Berlin picked Bavaria-based fund manager KGAL to control the €270mn ($279mn) purse, and it recently awarded its first €30mn to a €500mn Egyptian project that will produce 70,000 t/yr renewable ammonia. Argus spoke with the fund's managing director Thomas Engelmann about lessons learned from the first round and hopes for round two, which opens 8 January – 5 March 2025. Edited highlights follow: Which countries are eligible in round 2, how is that decided? It is the mostly the same as round one — South Africa, Brazil, Morocco, Kenya, India, Egypt — plus Colombia as a new addition. The German government selects the countries most suited for this instrument from more than 60 partner countries co-operating with the Federal Ministry for Economic Cooperation and Development (BMZ). Not all countries have the right ecological conditions. Participating countries ideally have a workforce that is prepared to support PtX, and some potential domestic offtakers in the country. Why was Colombia added for this round? Colombia has good conditions for renewables — its electricity mix is currently 65pc hydroelectric, 4pc solar, and 30pc fossil fuels. And it plans to add 3GW offshore wind in future via government-run auctions. So Colombia should have among the cheapest PtX production. Costs in northern Colombia may reach €3.3/kg ($3.4/kg) in 2030 and €2.7/kg ($2.8/kg) by 2040, according to German research institute Fraunhofer ISE. The strong government support from Colombia also helps our goal of social transformation. What size projects will the fund support? We haven't set a minimum size, but ideally the total capital costs should be in the range of €100mn–500mn. That means €5bn 'white elephant' projects are probably not for us. We have up to €30mn available, which is definitely not enough to change the investment decision for a €5bn project. What is the €30mn grant designed to do? We bridge the gap to financial close, so our €30mn grant agreement supports the banks, supports the sponsors, acting like an airbag for the project to mitigate any kind of risks or uncertainties in the project. For us, it's non-refundable — in return we expect to see ecological and social transformation that comes from financial close and commercial operation. What key ingredients do you look for in projects? We are bound by EU state aid law, so we check very early in the process if projects are eligible. Project feasibility and technical readiness are important. We check the source of the renewable power. We check it's a profitable and reasonable business model. Clearly, we are not seeking return on investment for the PtX Development Fund, but we need to check that the equity sponsors and debt partners see a project that is economically viable. We want projects that have secured land and will reach financial close in 6-12, maybe 15 months. If a project is further away, that doesn't mean it's a bad project, it's just not ready for the purposes of this instrument. Each project must do a very intensive environmental and social impact assessment based on the lending standards of the World Bank via its International Finance Corporation (IFC). That is the minimum for eligibility before we consider its level of positive impact. Regarding impact, we want greenhouse gas emission reduction or avoidance. We want replacement of fossil fuel resources, in particular coal. We want job creation in the country and a 'just transition'. It's interesting if a project is scalable, for example, if we help with a €200mn first phase that unlocks future phases for the partners even without us. Are those criteria typical for many financiers? Correct, so it's a huge plus for a project if our fund awards a grant, as it shows the overall concept of the project has been checked according to World Bank and IFC standards. Other banks coming later or in parallel to us know the project is sustainable, complies with renewable power additionality principles, does not conflict with local water uses, and its land is free from social or ecological conflicts. Does the fund have rules on who the offtaker should be? Ideally the project would have offtakers in the country to support our target of local value creation. But not all seven countries have the possibility to absorb 100pc of the product, and clearly, we need economically viable projects. In our first-round project, part of the ammonia stays in Egypt and part will go to Europe. What lessons can developers take from round one? We realised the name PtX Development Fund could be misinterpreted, as we often had to explain that we don't have development money available — our name just means we are supporting developing countries. Hopefully in round two, those projects will return with an extra year of maturity. Second, we must clarify that the environmental and social impact assessment is of utmost importance. We very often had discussions with developers that said, "my local government is not interested in doing impact assessments on ecological or social impacts," but we, as the PtX Development Fund, cannot accept that. On technology, the starting point must be electrolysis since this instrument aims to help bring it to market and lower its cost. Yes, e-fuels production needs some carbon molecules, but we don't want projects that are completely biomass with no electrolysis involved. And what did you learn about the wider PtX industry? We were positively surprised to get 98 expressions of interest totalling €150bn potential investment and 56GW electrolyser capacity across these countries. But most projects were still in feasibility studies. We followed up with around 10pc of interested parties, then after deeper due diligence, held negotiations with 2-3 projects. We see the technology for PtX is ready, but finding offtakers able to pay the premium for CO2-neutral products is hard. Mandates with penalties, like the EU's e-SAF quota, definitely stimulate the market, but it would be better if they started in 2025-26 rather than 2030. Green ammonia buying for now is mainly voluntary and it depends on fertilizer companies being able to attract a premium for it to work. A green steel market is emerging in Sweden, as carmakers can attract a premium for 'green' products. We hope the EU's Renewable Energy Directive III will set quotas for ammonia and steel, but the carbon border adjustment mechanism is of utmost necessity to ensure European industry is not disadvantaged. What are your expectations for round two? Round one gave us an overview of the countries, so we really know about the quality of the projects. Now in round two, we want to support possibly several projects. Projects may enter multiple rounds and increase their quality each time until they reach an attractive level. Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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