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Mexico factory contraction extends into February

  • Spanish Market: Agriculture, Coking coal, Metals
  • 03/03/25

Mexico's manufacturing sector contracted again in February, according to the latest purchasing managers index (PMI) survey from the finance executive association IMEF.

The manufacturing PMI rose to 47 from 46 in January, marking the 11th consecutive month below the 50-point threshold between contraction and expansion. Manufacturing, which accounts for about a fifth of Mexico's economy, is led by the auto sector, contributing about 18pc of manufacturing GDP.

Within the manufacturing PMI, the new orders index rose 1.6 points to 44.6, still deep in contraction. Similarly, production rose 2.8 points to 45.6. The employment index fell half a point to 46.4 in February, now in contraction for 13 consecutive months.

Both manufacturing and non-manufacturing PMIs increased slightly in February but remained in contraction territory.

The non-manufacturing PMI — covering services and commerce — increased slightly to 49.5 in February from 49.2 in January, staying in contraction for a third consecutive month.

Non-manufacturing new orders rose 1.3 points to 49.4, production increased 1.6 points to 49.1 and employment fell slightly to 48.4 from 48.6, all in contraction.

Victor Herrera, director of economic studies at IMEF, described the upticks on both PMIs as fluctuations, with the statistical "trend line in both PMIs showing we are moving further into contraction."

With US president Donald Trump's tariffs on imports from Mexico set to begin Tuesday, IMEF warned they could severely impact industrial production and financial stability in Mexico.

"This is a sign of further bad news on growth in the short term," with uncertainty tied to looming US tariffs on Mexican goods weighing on investment and industrial activity, Herrera said.

By James Young


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15/04/25

South Korea's March car output rises, exports dip

South Korea's March car output rises, exports dip

Singapore, 15 April (Argus) — South Korea's automotive output and domestic sales rose in March but exports dipped. The country has agreed to offer a wide range of support measures to offset the impact of the US' sweeping tariffs on its auto industry. The country's auto output in March edged up by 1.5pc on the year to almost 371,000 units, according to South Korea's trade and industry ministry (Motie). Domestic sales rose by 2.4pc on the year to around 149,500 units. Exports in March fell by 2.4pc on the year to almost 241,000 units, with auto export revenue at $6.24bn. The country earlier this month unveiled planned emergency measures to support its automobile industry , in response to the potentially lower export volumes given the US tariffs. The country will cut the special consumption tax on new car purchases, and push its public sector, public institutions and local governments to buy "business vehicles" within the first half of 2025. Domestic eco-friendly vehicle sales rose by 14pc on the year to almost 70,000 units while exports rose by 5.8pc to almost 69,000 units. Eco-friendly vehicles in South Korea refer to hybrids, battery electric vehicles, plug-in hybrids and hydrogen-fuelled vehicles. Hybrid domestic sales rose by 23pc on the year to about 49,500 units, while domestic BEV sales dipped by 7.5pc to around 18,700 units after rising sharply on the year in February . Hybrid exports were also up by almost 25pc to almost 42,000 units, while BEV exports fell sharply by 25pc on the year to about 20,800 units. By Joseph Ho South Korea's car exports in 2025 (units) South Korea's domestic car sales in 2025 (units) Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Western Australia’s iron ore exports rise in March


15/04/25
15/04/25

Western Australia’s iron ore exports rise in March

Sydney, 15 April (Argus) — Iron ore producers shipped 64.3mn t of ore out of Australia's Port Hedland and Dampier Port, up by 0.8pc on the year, after months of weather challenges. Exports from Dampier fell by 0.7pc on the year, but this was offset by a 1.2pc increase in shipments from the larger Port Hedland ( see table ). Shipments from Port Hedland to Vietnam rose by more than seven-fold on the year to 2.6mn t from 343,059t, offsetting declines in exports to China and Japan. The increase comes after Vietnamese buyers reduced purchases of Port Hedland iron ore by 73pc on the year in February . Iron ore producers shipped 41.2mn t of ore from Port Hedland to China in March, down by 4pc on the year. Chinese steelmakers cut production in March because of weak demand and maintenance work . Chinese steel mills may continue to cut production in April. Indian firms imported 381,000t of Port Hedland iron ore in March, up by 98pc on the year. JWS Steel and Tata Steel, the country's two largest steelmakers, increased their crude steel output by 6pc on the year over the April 2024-March 2025 fiscal year . Port Hedland and Dampier closed multiple times in late-January and February as cyclones plagued the region . One of Rio Tinto's railcar dumpers at Dampier was restarted in early March after it sustained flood damage during Cyclone Sean in January. Argus ' iron ore fines 62pc (ICX) cfr Qingdao price fell from $107/t on 28 February to $101/t on 3 March. The price partially recovered over the month, reaching $104/t on 2 April, before falling to just $100/t on 14 April. By Avinash Govind Pilbara's iron ore exports mn t Mar-25 Feb-25 Mar-24 m-o-m ± % y-o-y ± % Port Hedland China 41.2 31.6 42.9 30.4 -4.0 Japan 1.3 1.4 1.8 -7.1 -27.8 Vietnam 2.6 0.3 0.3 871.0 670.0 India 0.4 0.0 0.2 NA 98.4 South Korea 3.9 2.9 3.4 34.5 14.7 Total* 50.7 37.1 50.1 36.7 1.2 Dampier Total 13.6 8.2 13.7 65.9 -0.7 Total includes other countries not listed Source: Pilbara Ports Authority Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Argentina FX change, return of tax to spur exports


14/04/25
14/04/25

Argentina FX change, return of tax to spur exports

Sao Paulo, 14 April (Argus) — Argentinian farmers will likely boost exports of soybeans, corn and other products in coming months after the government loosened foreign exchange controls and President Javier Milei said export taxes will rise again at the end of June. Those two factors, combined with better weather conditions for soybean and corn harvesting should spur sales, according to Javier Preciado Patiño, director of RIA Consultores. The Argentinian peso is expected to weaken with the new exchange rules, which will move it from trading with a narrow peg to the dollar to moving within a wider, slowly expanding, range against the US currency. A weaker currency will increase the number of pesos Argentinian farmers receive in exchange for products priced in dollars, such as corn, wheat, soybeans, soybean meal and soybean oil. The new rules also get rid of a special exchange rate for exporters that left farmers with less money for their sales abroad, which will also encourage producers to sell. Milei announced the exchange rule changes on 11 April and they went into effect today. As a result, the value of the peso weakened through out the day, losing 11pc relative to the US dollar. Argentina has gone through a series of complicated exchange rate regimes over the years intended to prevent a rapid devaluation of the peso, keep dollars from flowing out of the country and allow the country's central bank to maintain enough dollar reserves to meet debt servicing needs and import necessary goods. Looming tax increase Milei's announcement today that a temporary tax reduction on ag exports will end as expected in June should also push farmers to sell more of their crops in the next few months. Until this morning, many people in the farming sector had hoped that the tax cut initiated by the government in January would be extended, or that duties would be eliminated altogether . But Milei confirmed the end of the tax cut in June during a radio interview today. The temporary cuts, which reduced the tax on soybeans to 26pc from 33pc, cut soybean product taxes to 24.5pc from 31pc, and trimmed the levy on corn, wheat, barley and sorghum to 9.5pc from 12pc, will revert to their previous levels, the president said. "Let farmers know that if they want to sell, they should sell now, because the taxes will return" as scheduled, he said. Argentinian governments have for years taxed exports of agricultural products, taking advantage of the country's status as a farming giant to raise much-needed funds, but also reducing farmers' incomes. Waterlogged fields Improved weather is also expected to boost sales, especially for soybeans, in the next few weeks. Argentina's soybean harvest got off to a slow start about two weeks ago because steady rains in many areas had left fields and rural roads too soggy for farm equipment to enter. Sunny weather in recent days has helped dry fields out, and farmers in those areas will want to pick up the pace to take advantage of improved conditions to make up for lost time, according to Patiño. The improving pace of harvest is expected to provide farmers ample supplies to sell in the coming weeks, allowing them to exploit of the advantageous currency situation. By Jeffrey T. Lewis Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

US winter wheat declines as rain misses key regions


14/04/25
14/04/25

US winter wheat declines as rain misses key regions

St Louis, 14 April (Argus) — A lack of rain worsened the US winter wheat crop outlook over the week ending 13 April, with crop conditions falling in four of the top five states. Portions of eastern Kansas, as well as western South Dakota and North Dakota did receive rain in the week following the previous US Department of Agriculture (USDA) crop conditions update. However, those areas primarily received a quarter of an inch or less of precipitation, according to US National Weather Service data, providing minimal support to the developing US winter wheat crop. As a result, the share of US winter wheat area rated in good to excellent condition fell 1 percentage point over the week, down to 47pc. Of the top five US winter wheat producing states, crop conditions fell the most in Kansas. The state, which accounts for 22pc of total US winter wheat planted acres, saw the share of acres rated in good-to-excellent condition decline 8 percentage points from the prior week, to 43pc. Despite the decline, the Kansas remained 5 percentage points above the five-year average. However, the crop emerged early this year due to warmer than typical temperatures and has developed quickly. As of 13 April, 46pc of the crop was reported in the jointing phase, 12 percentage points ahead of the five-year average, according to USDA data. In the next two weeks portions of the crop will begin to develop its grain producing head, making additional precipitation critical. In addition to Kansas, winter wheat crop condition also declined in Texas, Colorado, and Nebraska. Of the top five wheat producing states, Montana was the exception with the state's winter wheat good-to-excellent ratio remaining flat with the prior week at 59pc, 13 percentage points ahead of the five-year average. Looking at the week ahead, rain is forecast across the entirety of the US high plains region. Portions of central and eastern Kansas are projected to receive an inch of rain or more, according to the US National Weather Service, adding a much-needed boost to the state's wheat crop outlook. Other portions of the region are expected to receive a quarter of an inch at most, but any additional precipitation at this point in the year will bring a boost to the crop's outlook. By Ryan Koory Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Funding cuts could delay US river lock work: Correction


14/04/25
14/04/25

Funding cuts could delay US river lock work: Correction

Corrects lock locations in paragraph 5. Houston, 14 April (Argus) — The US Army Corps of Engineers (Corps) will have to choose between various lock reconstruction and waterway projects for its annual construction plan after its funding was cut earlier this year. Last year Congress allowed the Corps to use $800mn from unspent infrastructure funds for other waterways projects. But when Congress passed a continuing resolutions for this year's budget they effectively removed that $800mn from what was a $2.6bn annual budget for lock reconstruction and waterways projects. This means a construction plan that must be sent to Congress by 14 May can only include $1.8bn in spending. No specific projects were allocated funding by Congress, allowing the Corps the final say on what projects it pursues under the new budget. River industry trade group Waterways Council said its top priority is for the Corps to provide a combined $205mn for work at the Montgomery lock in Pennsylvania on the Ohio River and Chickamauga lock in Tennessee on the Tennessee River since they are the nearest to completion and could become more expensive if further delayed. There are seven active navigation construction projects expected to take precedent, including the following: the Chickamauga and Kentucky Locks on the Tennessee River; Locks 2-4 on the Monongahela River; the Three Rivers project on the Arkansas River; the LaGrange Lock on the Illinois River; Lock 25 on the Mississippi River; and the Montgomery Lock on the Ohio River. There are three other locks in Texas, Pennsylvania and Illinois that are in the active design phase (see map) . By Meghan Yoyotte Corps active construction projects 2025 Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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