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US gives Chevron more time in Venezuela: Update

  • : Crude oil
  • 20/11/17

Adds comment from Chevron, updates throughout.

The Treasury Department today granted Chevron permission to remain in Venezuela until 3 June 2021, effectively leaving further decisions on the oil major's future in the South American Opec country to US president-elect Joe Biden's incoming administration.

Chevron's current waiver from US oil sanctions imposed on Venezuela in 2019 was due to expire on 1 December. The 180-day extension granted to Chevron also applies to US services giants Halliburton, Schlumberger, Baker Hughes and Weatherford.

Conditions on the waiver remain unchanged, preventing Chevron from drilling, lifting, purchasing or processing Venezuelan-origin crude or oil products. Chevron's main Venezuelan asset is a minority stake in the PetroPiar heavy crude upgrading venture, based in the Orinoco heavy oil belt with an upgrader at the Jose terminal on the coast. The company also has a minority stake in the PetroBoscan heavy crude venture in western Venezuela.

Venezuela's crude production has entered another downswing this month following a US decision to end crude-for-diesel swaps, slipping below an October average of 350,000 b/d after Spanish firm Repsol, Italy's Eni and Indian company Reliance stopped taking the country's crude, local oil industry sources tell Argus. Venezuela's production has fallen by half since Chevron last obtained its waiver in April.

Chevron said it will continue to comply with US sanctions regulations that apply to its Venezuela activities. "We remain committed to the integrity of our joint venture assets, the safety and well-being of our employees and their families, and the company's social and humanitarian programs during these challenging times," Chevron said.

The Biden team has not detailed its approach to existing Venezuela sanctions, but it is understood to view Chevron's presence in the country through the same lens as its predecessor. Supporters of further waiver extensions have argued that forcing Chevron to leave Venezuela would allow Caracas to nationalize US assets and potentially hand them to Russian or Chinese state-controlled companies.

President Donald Trump's administration has set an ambitious goal for its sanctions — forcing out Venezuelan president Nicolas Maduro's government — and seems far from satisfying that objective. "On the other hand, I give the Trump administration credit for assembling a real international coalition of Europeans and Latin Americans in support of pressure on the Maduro regime," said Dan Fried, who in 2013-17 coordinated the State Department's sanctions programs. "Staying the course on Venezuela, whatever the odds of near-term success, may be practical," Fried said in a report prepared for Washington-based think tank Atlantic Council.

Maduro routinely blames US sanctions for prolonged hardship, manifested by severe shortages of fuel for transportation, agriculture and power generation. But the decline of Venezuela's oil sector predates US sanctions as a result of decades of mismanagement and labor flight.

Maduro's US-backed rival Juan Guaido, who heads a skeleton interim administration, is now at risk of losing his constitutional standing in 6 December legislative elections that the mainstream opposition is boycotting.


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24/07/03

US services contract in June, signal broad weakening

US services contract in June, signal broad weakening

Houston, 3 July (Argus) — Economic activity in the US services sector contracted in June by the most since 2020 while a report earlier this week showed contraction in manufacturing, signaling a broad-based slowdown in the economy as the second quarter came to an end. The Institute for Supply Management's (ISM) services purchasing managers index (PMI) registered 48.8 in June, down from 53.8 in May. Readings above 50 signal expansion, while those below 50 signal contraction for the services economy. The June services PMI "indicates the overall economy is contracting for the first time in 17 months," ISM said. "The decrease in the composite index in June is a result of notably lower business activity, a contraction in new orders for the second time since May 2020 and continued contraction in employment." The business activity/production index fell to 49.6 from 61.2. New orders fell by 6.8 points to 47.3. Employment fell by 1 point to 46.1. Monthly PMI reports can be volatile, but a services PMI above 49 over time generally indicates an expansion of the overall economy. "Survey respondents report that in general, business is flat or lower, and although inflation is easing, some commodities have significantly higher costs," ISM said. The prices index fell by 1.8 points to 56.3, showing slowing but robust price gains. ISM's manufacturing PMI fell to 48.5 in June from 48.7 in May, ISM reported on 1 July. It was the third consecutive month of contraction and marked a 19th month of contraction in the past 20 months. Wednesday's weaker than expected ISM report, together with a Wednesday report showing initial jobless claims last week rose to their highest in two years, slightly increase the odds that the Federal Reserve may lower its target rate later this year after maintaining it at 23-year highs since last year in an effort to stem inflation. By Bob Willis Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Nigerian Dangote refinery seeks more US WTI crude


24/07/03
24/07/03

Nigerian Dangote refinery seeks more US WTI crude

London, 3 July (Argus) — Nigeria's 650,000 b/d Dangote refinery has issued a tender seeking US crude WTI for delivery in August and September. The company is requesting 1mn bl or 2mn bl cargoes of the light sweet grade to be delivered on 1-10, 11-20 and 21-31 August, as well as 1-10 September. The tender closes on 4 July. It is Dangote's second WTI tender. The first sought 2mn bl/month over a 12-month period starting in July. Some traders said the initial tender was not awarded, but this has not been confirmed. The Dangote refinery started up at the end of 2023 and received its first crude cargo on 6 December. It aims to reach throughput of around 350,000 b/d in its first phase of operations. Argus tracking indicate it is almost at that level, having received close to 350,000 b/d in June , of which 140,000 b/d was WTI. Vortexa data show crude deliveries to the refinery have averaged just over 200,000 b/d so far this year, with WTI accounting for 27pc of the total. Dangote had expected to run mainly on Nigerian crude. But WTI is often more competitively priced despite additional costs to ship the grade. WTI was on average 35¢/bl cheaper on a delivered-Europe basis than Nigeria's flagship Qua Iboe on a fob basis during May-June. By Lina Bulyk Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Venezuela's Maduro open to talks with the US


24/07/02
24/07/02

Venezuela's Maduro open to talks with the US

Caracas, 2 July (Argus) — Venezuelan leader Nicolas Maduro plans to talk with US envoys on Wednesday to discuss allowing the South American country to increase oil exports in exchange for free and fair elections, he said late on Monday. But Maduro's call for dialogue comes less than a month before the 28 July election in which polls show him up to 40 percentage points behind his main challenger. It is also after the US rescinded a six-month reprieve on sanctions in April, accusing Venezuela of violating a commitment to hold a fair vote. Maduro said that the US had sought dialogue with him "for two months in a row", and, "after thinking about it, I have accepted". The head of the pro-Maduro assembly elected in 2020, Jorge Rodriguez, will represent him in the talks, Maduro said. The US State Department declined to directly confirm Maduro's statement but said that the US welcomed "dialogue in good faith, and we support the Venezuelan people's desire for competitive and inclusive elections on July 28." The US ties sanctions relief to Maduro's observing the 2023 Barbados agreement with the Venezuelan opposition, which promised to hold a competitive presidential election. The US in April reimposed sanctions against Venezuela because the Maduro government did not allow the main opposition contender, Maria Corina Machado, to run for president. Former Venezuelan diplomat Edmundo Gonzalez is the sole presidential candidate representing the opposition Unitary Platform. "We are clear-eyed that democratic change will not be easy, and certainly requires a serious commitment," the US State Department said. "This is something that we will continue to focus on when we will engage in dialogue with with a broad range of Venezuelan actors." Venezuela in recent weeks has barred an additional 10 city mayors from running for office for 15 years after they expressed support for Gonzalez, according to the CNE electoral authority and the comptroller general's office. During the first six months of 2024 Maduro has arrested 39 people connected to Gonzalez's campaign, the last one as recently as 30 June, a campaign source told Argus, using figures from Venezuelan non-governmental organizations. Police over the weekend also detained Machado for several hours while leaving a rally for Gonzalez. Venezuela's oil output increased by around 4pc in May to 911,700 b/d from 878,000 b/d in April as drilling campaigns showed results after three months of flat production, according to the oil ministry. But US sanctions are expected to keep a cap on much additional growth. By Carlos Camacho Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Petroecuador expects more crude with fewer wells


24/07/01
24/07/01

Petroecuador expects more crude with fewer wells

Quito, 1 July (Argus) — State-owned oil company Petroecuador will drill fewer wells this year than first planned but still expects to produce 5,000 b/d more crude than initially forecast for 2024, according to the work plan of interim chief executive Diego Guerrero. Petroecuador plans to drill 90 wells this year, including 27 drilled through May and 63 planned for the rest of the year — well below the 156 wells initially forecast under former chief executive Marcela Reinoso , who resigned in May. But the company expects crude output to average 390,000 b/d by December, according to Guerrero's plans, higher than the 370,000 b/d estimate made before he took office, and up from 369,000 b/d reported for June. Ecuador is expected to lose about 50,000 b/d come 1 September when it shuts down the Ishpingo, Tambococha and Tiputini (ITT) fields in block 43 after Ecuadorians voted to end oil activities in the environmentally sensitive region. Guerrero's plan did not break out how much output it expects from ITT this year. Petroecuador did not respond to a request for comment. Reinoso told the national assembly in February that without ITT, Petroecuador's production would fall to 358,500 b/d in September before rising again to 373,300 b/d in December, leading to a 2024 average of about 385,000 b/d. But petroleum engineers' association vice-president Fernando Reyes said that both the new and old goals for December production are too optimistic without ITT. After a 50,000 b/d drop with the end of ITT production, Reyes believes under a best-case scenario new drilling could add 20,000–30,000 b/d of production, bringing December output to 360,000-370,000 b/d. But Guerrero's higher projections are feasible if Petroecuador keeps pumping crude from ITT, Reyes said. Ecuadorian president Daniel Noboa in January proposed a one-year delay on plans to end drilling in the ITT, but the plan has not advanced. Guerrero's work plan also includes new projects to recover associated gas from the Sacha Norte 2, Sacha Central, Drago and Shushufindi fields, and also workovers in four wells in the offshore Amistad natural gas field. Petroecuador produced 81pc of Ecuador's crude output of 484,499 b/d in May. By Alberto Araujo Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Shale to emerge leaner from M&A boom


24/07/01
24/07/01

Shale to emerge leaner from M&A boom

New York, 1 July (Argus) — The recent flurry of deals in the US shale patch is poised to deliver significant productivity gains, potentially offsetting a drilling slowdown and suggesting that it might well be a mistake to bet against the sector any time soon. Ownership of top shale basins, such as the Permian in west Texas and New Mexico, is increasingly falling into the hands of fewer but larger operators, with the necessary resources to chase technology breakthroughs and drive economies of scale that could support further output growth. The flood of deal-making comes as shale growth is likely to slow after defying all expectations last year. Even as acquirers look to fine-tune their combined portfolios and slow activity in favour of shareholder returns, they will still be targeting ever longer lateral wells that reduce the need for more rigs and hydraulic fracturing (fracking) crews. Fracking multiple wells at the same time and shifting to electric fleets will also help them become more efficient. All in all, shale could continue to be a thorn in Opec's side for years to come. Underestimate US shale at your peril was the title of a recent report from analysts at bank HSBC. "We expect the mergers and acquisitions to result in substantial capital efficiencies," they wrote. Concentrated operations have reduced inefficiencies in the supply chain, and the elimination of downtime has also helped producers become leaner, according to consultancy Wood Mackenzie. But costs remain 15-30pc higher than 2020-21 levels, suggesting scope for further improvements. And while efficiency gains will inevitably become exhausted at some point, opportunities to tackle unproductive processes might still crop up. "The will and the technology are there for some operators, who should be able to keep cutting capex while modestly growing and maintaining shareholder distributions for a while to come," Wood Mackenzie research director for the Lower 48 Maria Peacock says. ExxonMobil flagged $2bn in annual savings from its $64.5bn takeover of shale giant Pioneer, with two-thirds to come from improved resource recovery and the rest from efficiencies. Leading US independent ConocoPhillips says improved technology will help it extend its inventory of top-quality drilling locations in both the Eagle Ford and Bakken basins after its $22.5bn tie-up with Marathon Oil. Return to spender Productivity gains are hardly the preserve of firms that have been active participants in the $200bn of shale deals seen over the past year. For example, US independent EOG, which has sat out the mergers and acquisitions (M&A) boom so far, plans to deliver the same level of growth for this year as seen in 2023 with four fewer rigs and two fewer fracking fleets. "Technology has evolved so much that you can go and drill horizontal wells in these and exploit that technology and you can get just absolutely outstanding returns," chief operating officer Jeff Leitzell says. Still, almost half of oil and gas executives recently polled by the Dallas Federal Reserve think that US oil output will be "slightly lower" if consolidation continues over the next five years. But the answer differed by company size. All executives from E&P firms that produce 100,000 b/d or more envisaged "no impact". Service company executives are more concerned: "Consolidation by E&P firms has curtailed investment in exploration," one said. "Our hope is that it's a temporary situation that will work itself out as the integration is completed." And even though the prolific Permian basin is due to peak before the end of the decade, analysts forecast robust growth in the intervening years. Relatively high oil prices that remain above breakeven costs and efficiency gains — which will shift the mix of wells to newer and more productive ones — will be the main drivers, according to bank Goldman Sachs. By Stephen Cunningham US tight oil production Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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