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Higher scrap prices encourage oil tanker demolitions

  • : Crude oil, Metals, Oil products
  • 21/01/15

Surging scrap prices on the back of a global shortage of steel products are improving the economics for shipowners to remove aging oil tankers from the oversupplied market and sell them for scrap.

Higher containerised shred import prices in south Asia are supported by firm demand and tight supply. The price of shredded containerized ferrous scrap cfr Bangladesh was at $495/t on 8 January, up by 54pc from a year earlier, according to Argus assessments.

Already this year, a shipowner sold the VLCC Merlion M, built in 1999, for scrap with delivery in Malaysia at $427/light displacement (LDT), according to Affinity, a shipbroker. Oil tankers typically retire from the market at around 20 years, the age at which major chartering firms stop booking them.

A key scrapping location, Bangladesh, is the strongest market, with levels quickly approaching the $500/t mark, with a specialised LNG carrier already surpassing this level, according to a report by SSY Research.

Tanker demolition prices for the second week of 2021 in Bangladesh are at $470/t, up by 24pc from the second week of 2020, according to an Affinity Shipping report. Prices in India are up by 13pc at $440/t, and in Pakistan they are up by 22pc at $450/t in the same period.

Scrapping was curtailed last year by the closure of recycling facilities on the Indian subcontinent for some months in the first and second quarters of 2020 following the Covid-19 outbreak and subsequent lockdowns in India and Pakistan. Scrapping last year in the crude segment was minimal as 11 ships of 1.37mn dwt left the fleet, the lowest volume in number and dwt since 2016, according to SSY Research.

Domestic markets in four major recycling hubs for demolishing tankers, Bangladesh, India, Pakistan and Turkey, could see an uptick in vessels for scrapping, according to SSY and Affinity reports.

China may also receive vessels for scrapping as it may rescind its ban on acquiring foreign flagged vessels, which would add capacity to the demolition market, according to SSY.

In addition to rising scrap prices, depressed voyage earnings are also incentivizing shipowners to consider scrapping their older tankers. The demand continues to drop for VLCCs out of the Mideast Gulf and the rate for shipments to Asia-Pacific has declined to $6.44/t on January 15, down by 69pc from a year earlier, per Argus assessments.

Mideast Gulf-Asia Pacific VLCC rates $/t

Ferrous shred scrap price cfr Bangladesh $/t

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24/12/03

EU finalisiert Zölle auf chinesische Biokraftstoffe

EU finalisiert Zölle auf chinesische Biokraftstoffe

Hamburg, 3 December (Argus) — Die europäische Kommission wird ab Februar 2025 Zölle auf importierte chinesische Biokraftstoffe erheben. Dies geschieht in Reaktion auf ungewöhnlich große und teilweise falsch deklarierte Biokraftstoff-Importmengen aus China seit dem Frühjahr 2023. Die Zölle werden am 14. Februar 2025 in Kraft treten und fallen je nach betroffenem chinesischem Unternehmen unterschiedlich hoch aus. Je nachdem, wie kooperativ sich das jeweilige Unternehmen gegenüber der Europäischen Kommission bei den Ermittlungen zu etwaigen [Betrugsfällen mit fortschrittlichen Biokraftstoffen]( https://direct.argusmedia.com/newsandanalysis/article/2438906) gezeigt hat, liegt der Zollsatz zwischen 11,1 % und 36,6 %. Dies geht aus einem Dokument der Generaldirektion für Handel der Kommission hervor, das Argus vorliegt. Die [vorläufig erlassenen Zölle]( https://direct.argusmedia.com/newsandanalysis/article/2589515) wurden ursprünglich in einer Spanne von 12,8 % bis 36,4% festgelegt. Endgültig eingeführte Zölle gelten für gewöhnlich für eine Zeitspanne von fünf Jahren, allerdings kann eine Revision bereits nach dem ersten Jahr angefragt werden. Die Kommission bestätigt in dem Dokument außerdem, dass Nachhaltiger Flugzeugkraftstoff (SAF) von den Antidumping-Zöllen ausgeschlossen ist, da der Kraftstoff weder mit Biodiesel oder HVO austauschbar sei, noch mit diesen konkurriere. Verschiedene europäische Unternehmen und Verbände, darunter der finnische Produzent Neste und das European Biofuels Board (EBB) hatten zuvor gewarnt, dass durch den Ausschluss von SAF von den Zöllen der Flugzeugkraftstoff von verpflichteten Unternehmen zur Erfüllung von Dekarbonisierungsmandaten im Straßenverkehr genutzt werden könnte. Durch sogenannte Opt-Ins können Unternehmen in manchen EU-Staaten, zum Beispiel in den Niederlanden, nicht straßengebundene Kraftstoffe wie SAF auf die Erfüllung ihrer Mandate im Straßensektor anrechnen lassen. Als HVO jedoch Anfang November im Handelszentrum Amsterdam-Rotterdam-Antwerpen (ARA) teurer gehandelt wurde als SAF, gab es keine Anzeichen, dass der Flugzeugkraftstoff tatsächlich verstärkt im Straßenkraftstoffmarkt Einzug hielt. Seit Anfang 2023 erreichten große Mengen von meist als fortschrittlich deklariertem Biokraftstoff aus China den europäischen Markt. Das daraus resultierende Überangebot setzte europäische Produzenten unter Druck und senkte in Deutschland die Kosten zur Erfüllung der Treibhausgasminderungsquote . Von Simone Burgin & Max Steinhau Senden Sie Kommentare und fordern Sie weitere Informationen an feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . Alle Rechte vorbehalten.

КМГ планирует производить SAF в Казахстане


24/12/03
24/12/03

КМГ планирует производить SAF в Казахстане

Riga, 3 December (Argus) — Госнефтехолдинг Казмунайгаз (КМГ) рассматривает возможность производства экологически чистого авиационного топлива SAF в Казахстане. Казмунайгаз — Аэро, дочерняя компания КМГ, заключила рамочное соглашение с казахстанской BioOperations о совместной реализации проекта по SAF, сообщил холдинг в ноябре. SAF в Казахстане планируется производить по технологии ATJ (Alcohol-to-Jet), учитывая наличие биоэтанола, производимого BioOperations на заводе в Северо-Казахстанской области. BioOperations экспортирует биоэтанол в европейские страны, доставляя около 3,5 тыс. т/месяц продукта по железной дороге из Казахстана в латвийский порт Лиепая. Начало выпуска SAF в Казахстане прогнозируется примерно в 2027 — 2030 гг., после того как крупные НПЗ перейдут на производство авиатоплива Jet A-1. Ежегодный объем выпуска SAF, как ожидается, превысит 50 тыс. т/год. Использование SAF возможно только при смешивании с авиатопливом Jet A-1. На сегодня все три крупных НПЗ готовы к производству авиакеросина Jet A-1. Для перехода на использование этого вида авиатоплива необходимо провести подготовку по международным стандартам всей авиационной инфраструктуры, от НПЗ до крыла самолета, включая хранение, транспортировку и процесс заправки. КМГ может в течение месяца перейти на выпуск Jet A-1 с нынешних РТ и ТС-1, — сообщил отраслевой источник. Потенциальное сотрудничество в производстве SAF в Казахстане обсуждается между лицензиарами технологий, производителями SAF и его потребителями, частным бизнесом и госкомпаниями. Ранее КМГ заключил меморандумы о сотрудничестве с LanzaJet — разработчиком технологии получения SAF из этанола и французской Axens. ________________ Больше ценовой информации и аналитических материалов о рынках нефти и нефтепродуктов стран Каспийского региона и Центральной Азии — в еженедельном отчете Argus Рынок Каспия . Вы можете присылать комментарии по адресу или запросить дополнительную информацию feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Группа Argus Media . Все права защищены.

Australia’s BHP and APA partner to cut GHG emissions


24/12/03
24/12/03

Australia’s BHP and APA partner to cut GHG emissions

Sydney, 3 December (Argus) — Australian energy firm APA Group has opened a solar farm and battery storage facility at Western Australia's Port Hedland in a move designed to support mineral giant BHP's emissions-reduction goals. APA's plant will power most of BHP's Port Hedland operations from January 2025, under the terms of a power purchase agreement signed between the two firms. Work on the project began last year, supported by a A$1.5mn ($970,000) grant from Western Australia's Clean Energy Future Fund. BHP is planning to reduce its operational greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions by 30pc from 2020 levels within the next six years, without using carbon credit schemes. In the 2023-24 financial year, the company's operational GHG emissions were 32pc lower than 2020 levels at 9.2mn t of CO2 equivalent, despite increasing 2pc on the year. BHP exports Western Australian iron ore through Port Hedland. Shipping data indicates that the company loaded an average of 5.94mn dwt/week of ore over the last three months . Argus ' iron ore fines 65pc Fe cfr Qingdao price was relatively stable over that period, growing from $113/t to $117/t. The Port Hedland opening comes just weeks after Prime Minister Anthony Albanese's government updated Australia's national emissions projection to forecast a 65.7pc baseline drop in electricity emissions, relative to 2020 levels, by the end of the decade. The government was forecasting a more modest 53pc decline in electricity emissions last year. By Avinash Govind Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Mexico central bank flags 2025 growth uncertainty


24/12/02
24/12/02

Mexico central bank flags 2025 growth uncertainty

Mexico City, 2 December (Argus) — Mexico's central bank (Banxico) maintained its base-case 2025 GDP growth estimate at 1.2pc, with a range of 0.4pc to 2pc, citing heightened global uncertainty fueled by geopolitical conflicts and potential shifts in international economic policies. Central bank governor Victoria Rodriguez last week addressed US president-elect Donald Trump's proposed 25pc tariffs on Mexican goods, urging caution until the trade situation clarifies. Mexican president Claudia Shienbaum initially responded with a firm stance, saying Mexico could apply counter-tariffs. Later, Sheinbaum and Trump had a "friendly" phone call to discuss issues surrounding the proposed 25pc tariff on Mexican and Canadian imports, Sheinbaum said. Banxico raised its 2024 GDP growth forecast to 1.8pc from 1.5pc in its previous quarterly report in August, driven by stronger-than-expected third-quarter performance. Still, Banxico noted that the additional growth is driven by increased spending on imported goods rather than domestic production, particularly in investment and private consumption. Inflation dynamics remain mixed. While headline inflation rose to an annualized 4.76pc in October, core inflation eased to 3.58pc, its lowest level since mid-2020. Rodriguez emphasized progress on inflation despite external uncertainties, signaling room for further monetary easing. Banxico cut its target interest rate by 25 basis points to 10.25pc on 14 November and is widely expected to lower it again to 10pc at its 19 December meeting. Projections from Mexican finance executives institution (IMEF) suggest the rate could drop to 8.25pc by the end of 2025. Banxico also revised its 2024 inflation forecast to 4.7pc from 4.4pc in the August report but expects inflation to return to its 2–4pc target range by early 2025, with a 3pc rate projected by the fourth quarter. Other adjustments include a downgraded forecast for formal job creation in 2024 and 2025, with the range estimate for full-year job creation in 2024 dropping to 250,000–350,000 from 410,000-550,000 in August. The 2025 estimate came down to 340,000–540,000 from 430,000–630,000.The 2025 trade deficit outlook was also tightened to $14.9bn–$22.1bn, compared to a previous range of $13.7bn–$23.7bn. By James Young Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Lower prices support German fuel demand


24/12/02
24/12/02

Lower prices support German fuel demand

Hamburg, 2 December (Argus) — German demand for heating oil, diesel and E5 gasoline increased in the week to 29 November, supported by a fall in domestic prices. The switch to winter grades and low stocks further boosted fuel demand. Middle distillates traded at lower prices nationwide last week, with heating oil and diesel prices falling by around €0.60/100 litres compared with the previous week. The drop was in line with a decline in the value of Ice gasoil futures, which came under pressure from the prospect of US tariffs against Canada, China and Mexico indicated by president-elect Donald Trump. Oversupply from refineries in the south and west of Germany put further downward pressure on domestic prices last week. Suppliers offered heating oil, diesel and gasoline from Bayernoil's 215,000 b/d Neustadt-Vohburg complex, Miro's 310,000 b/d Karlsruhe refinery and Shell's 334,000 b/d Rhineland complex at lower prices than surrounding loading locations in order to fulfil their contractual offtake volumes by the end of the month. The switch to winter grades supported German fuel demand last week. Consumers ordered smaller quantities of diesel in recent weeks as they waited for the switch to winter specification grades before replenishing their stocks. Since the switch, traded diesel spot volumes reported to Argus have steadily risen. An anticipated €10/t rise in Germany's CO2 tax next year will likely lead to increased stockpiling of product from mid-December, according to traders. End-consumer tank levels for diesel were at just 52pc at the end of last week. The extent to which the increase in the CO2 tax will put pressure on diesel imports depends on whether German refineries can maintain current high throughput levels. For the time being, imports into Germany via the country's northern ports or along the Rhine are not feasible because of the comparatively low domestic prices. By Johannes Guhlke Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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