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Mexico moves to strip fuel market permits

  • : Crude oil, LPG, Oil products, Petrochemicals
  • 21/03/27

Mexico's government has proposed legislation that would allow the energy ministry and energy regulatory commission (CRE) to more easily strip fuel market participants of their operating permits.

The move is the latest manifestation of the government's rollback of a 2014 energy reform package that opened Mexico's long-cloistered oil industry.

The bill, presented to congress yesterday, is likely to pass because President Andrés Manuel López Obrador's Morena party holds the simple majority in the legislature required for approval.

Under the proposed legislation, an expanded group of holders of permits issued under the 2014 hydrocarbons law for fuel imports, exports, marketing, distribution, retail, transport and storage of fuels, crude and natural gas would be required to prove compliance with a minimum fuel storage policy. The existing law mandates that most participants have inventories for gasoline and diesel equivalent to five days of sales.

The government can currently sanction companies that do not comply with the storage policy but allows them to keep operating. Under this proposal, the permits would be revoked almost immediately. The proposal also expands this obligation to fuel transporters, while it currently only applies to fuel traders, importers, distributors and retailers.

The wording of the bill is ambiguous, as "all permits" could include crude and gas permits, while only gasoline, diesel and jet fuel have a stated minimum storage policy.

Because of the nature of the regulated activities, some existing permits would be unable to comply with the requirement, said Diego Campa, partner at Campa and Mendoza, a Mexico City-based law firm specialized in energy and natural resources.

As the bill is currently drafted, on the first day of the legislation's approval, the energy authorities could revoke all permits from firms that are out of compliance. Under current requirements, some companies have already been struggling to comply with the minimum storage mandate because of ambiguities in existing regulations, and the government has also delayed permits to build new storage infrastructure.

One safe harbor for companies to provide proof of its storage could be to show storage credits bought from other companies, known as tickets. The bill presented yesterday does not indicate if that would be allowed.

The bill also does not address the current exemptions of certain permit holders from the storage mandate, in light of Mexico's prohibition on retroactive application of laws.

The bill adds a new article to the hydrocarbons law (Article 59 Bis) to include, define and state the cause of a permit suspension. With this addition, the energy ministry and CRE can "suspend permits temporarily when foreseeing an imminent danger to the country's national security, energy security or the national economy."

If a permit is revoked, the bill would give state-owned oil company Pemex and utility CFE exclusive access to the associated infrastructure. If the permit of a privately owned fuel storage terminal is suspended, for example, only Pemex or CFE could use it. Authorities do have to justify the suspension for a valid cause in writing, and if the permit holder modifies the reason under which the permit was suspended, authorities must reinstate the permit.

The bill also proposes to include smuggling and illicit traffic of hydrocarbons, refined products and petrochemicals as immediate cause to revoke a permit, as well as any second offense to the hydrocarbons law.

If the controversial government-sponsored electricity bill serves as a guide, the fuel permitting bill could be swiftly passed through the congress without any major changes, with lawmakers following party lines and the president's instructions. But it could also be challenged in Mexican courts, which have stopped the electricity bill through a wave of injunctions.


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25/04/04

South Africa Natref to end bitumen production from Sep

South Africa Natref to end bitumen production from Sep

London, 4 April (Argus) — Bitumen production at Natref's 107,000 b/d Sasolburg refinery in South Africa will cease from September, ending all the country's output of the heavy oil product. Several South African bitumen market participants, including buyers from the refinery and suppliers of imported bitumen into the domestic and regional southern African markets, said officials from majority Natref shareholder Sasol had been informing customers of the planned move over the past week. Customers were told that final bitumen supply from stocks held at the refinery would be supplied to them into October, with all supplies ending thereafter. Market participants said the Natref plan is linked to a wider move of switching to sweeter crudes aimed at maximising output of light and middle distillates, which would also hit output of heavy products other than bitumen, notably high-sulphur fuel oil (HSFO). Officials at Sasol, which owns 63.3pc of Natref alongside UK energy firm Prax with 36.4pc, have so far not responded to Argus' requests for comment. South African market participant said the move had been under consideration for some time, even before Prax agreed to buy TotalEnergies' Natref stake in December 2023. South Africa turned from a major net exporter of bitumen, mainly to its southern African neighbours, to becoming increasingly dependent on imports after several of the country's refineries were either shut down or ended their bitumen production since 2020. South African cargo imports in bitumen tankers surged to nearly 200,000t in 2024, according to Vortexa data, mostly into Durban and some into Cape Town. Mediterranean supplies, mainly from Greece and Turkey, made up just over half of these, with Rubis and Continental supplying most. Mideast Gulf storage points, along with Bahraini state-owned Bapco's refinery and export terminal at Sitra, supplied around a third, while emerging exporter Pakistan shipped 8pc. According to a South African bitumen supplier, the Natref refinery's bitumen production fell last year to 45,000-50,000t — from an Argus estimate of 140,000t in 2023 — because of numerous plant halts and interruptions. The market effect of Natref ending its bitumen output will therefore be limited, with another leading South African participant saying truck flows from the inland refinery had become increasingly unreliable. The halt will nevertheless trigger more South African import requirements that are anyway likely to rise sharply in the coming years because of much-enhanced government infrastructure budgets. The Natref refinery was forced to stop all production for about two months following a fire in early January this year. French construction and bitumen supply firm Colas recently became the latest company to take a South African import asset position, agreeing a long-term deal with local firm FFS Refiners to operate four of five new bitumen tanks at an existing Durban facility once an FFS expansion there is completed, likely in the second half of this year. By Keyvan Hedvat and Fenella Rhodes Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

IMF says tariffs a significant risk to growth: Update


25/04/04
25/04/04

IMF says tariffs a significant risk to growth: Update

Updates Brent price in paragraph 4, adds PVM comment in paragraphs 5-6, Morgan Stanley in paragraph 10 London, 4 April (Argus) — US import tariffs pose a "significant risk" to the global economy, according to the IMF. "We are still assessing the macroeconomic implications of the announced tariff measures, but they clearly represent a significant risk to the global outlook at a time of sluggish growth," IMF managing director Kristalina Georgieva said. "It is important to avoid steps that could further harm the world economy." The comments came after two days of turmoil on global oil and equities markets, sparked by the US imposition of sweeping tariffs on trade. For oil markets, this was compounded by a surprise decision from the Opec+ producer group to speed up the unwinding of its output cuts. Front-month Ice Brent crude futures prices fell earlier today to a 3.5 year low of $67.48/bl, down by more than 10pc since US President Donald Trump released details of the tariffs on 2 April. Analysts at brokerage PVM described the timing of this as "frankly amazing" and said it was "the icing to this global bearish cake". "The market is now reckoning on the cork being out of the production bottle and believes, as we do, that it will not be pushed back in," PVM said. US-based bank Goldman Sachs today said it has cut its oil demand growth estimate for this year to 600,000 b/d from 900,000 b/d, based on its economists' new view of economic growth. This and the extra production from Opec+ has led the bank, which was bullish on oil prices for a long time, to cut its Brent crude price forecasts for a second time in three weeks , by $5/bl to $66/bl this year. Goldman also removed a price range from its forecasts, "because price volatility is likely to stay elevated on higher recession risk." Like Goldman, UK-based bank Barclays said there is downside risk to its $74/bl forecast for Brent this year. It said oil demand is holding up, "but the potential effect of the trade war on demand is hard to ignore." Analysts at US-based bank Morgan Stanley said a recession is a realistic outcome of the tariffs decision, although not its base case. Modelled against previous recessions, the bank said there is a risk of oil demand growth falling to zero, compared with its forecast of 900,000 b/d for this year. On supply, it noted that an Opec quota increase "is not the same as an actual production increase", and said it would wait for additional clarity before reassessing its second-half 2025 Brent price forecast of $67.5/bl. By Ben Winkley Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

US tariffs a significant risk to global economy: IMF


25/04/04
25/04/04

US tariffs a significant risk to global economy: IMF

London, 4 April (Argus) — US import tariffs pose a "significant risk" to the global economy, according to the IMF. "We are still assessing the macroeconomic implications of the announced tariff measures, but they clearly represent a significant risk to the global outlook at a time of sluggish growth," IMF managing director Kristalina Georgieva said. "It is important to avoid steps that could further harm the world economy." The comment come after two days of turmoil on global oil and equities markets, sparked by the US imposition of sweeping tariffs on trade. For oil markets, this was compounded by a surprise decision from the Opec+ producer group to speed the unwinding of its output cuts. Front-month Ice Brent crude futures prices have fallen by more than 8pc since US president Donald Trump released details of the tariffs on 2 April, to trade near a three-year low below $69/bl. US-based bank Goldman Sachs on 4 April said it has cut its oil demand growth estimate for this year to 600,000 b/d from 900,000 b/d, based on its economists' new view of economic growth. This and the extra production from Opec+ has led the bank, which was bullish on oil prices for a long time, to cut its Brent crude price forecasts for a second time in three weeks , by $5/bl to $66/bl this year. Goldman also removed a price range from its forecasts, "because price volatility is likely to stay elevated on higher recession risk." Like Goldman, UK-based bank Barclays said there is downside risk to its $74/bl forecast for Brent this year. It said oil demand is holding up, "but the potential effect of the trade war on demand is hard to ignore." By Ben Winkley Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Funding cuts could delay US river lock renovations


25/04/03
25/04/03

Funding cuts could delay US river lock renovations

Houston, 3 April (Argus) — The US Army Corps of Engineers (Corps) will have to choose between various lock reconstruction and waterway projects for its annual construction plan after its funding was cut earlier this year. Last year Congress allowed the Corps to use $800mn from unspent infrastructure funds for other waterways projects. But when Congress passed a continuing resolutions for this year's budget they effectively removed that $800mn from what was a $2.6bn annual budget for lock reconstruction and waterways projects. This means a construction plan that must be sent to Congress by 14 May can only include $1.8bn in spending. No specific projects were allocated funding by Congress, allowing the Corps the final say on what projects it pursues under the new budget. River industry trade group Waterways Council said its top priority is for the Corps to provide a combined $205mn for work at the Montgomery lock in Pennsylvania on the Ohio River and Chickamauga lock in Tennesee on the Tennessee River since they are the nearest to completion and could become more expensive if further delayed. There are seven active navigation construction projects expected to take precedent, including the following: the Chickamauga and Kentucky Locks on the Tennessee River; Locks 2-4 on the Monongahela River; the Three Rivers project on the Arkansas River; the LaGrange Lock and Lock 25 on the Illinois River; and the Montgomery Lock on the Ohio River. There are three other locks in Texas, Pennsylvania and Illinois that are in the active design phase (see map) . By Meghan Yoyotte Corps active construction projects 2025 Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Mexico, Canada sidestep latest Trump tariffs: Update


25/04/03
25/04/03

Mexico, Canada sidestep latest Trump tariffs: Update

Adds Canada reaction Mexico City, 3 April (Argus) — US president Donald Trump's sweeping tariff measures largely spared Mexico and Canada from additional penalties, as the US-Mexico-Canada free trade agreement (USMCA) will continue to exempt most commerce, including Mexico's energy exports. According to Trump's tariff announcement on Wednesday , all foreign imports into the US will be subject to a minimum 10pc tax starting on 5 April, with levels as high as 34pc for China and 20pc for the EU. Mexico and Canada are the US' closest trading partners and have seen tariffs imposed and then postponed several times this year, but remained mostly exempt from Trump's "reciprocal" tariffs. Energy and "certain minerals that are not available in the US" imported from all other countries also will be exempt from the tariffs. Trump also did not reimpose punitive tariffs on energy and other imports from Canada and Mexico. All products covered by the USMCA, which include energy commodities, are exempt as well. Yet steel and aluminum, cars, trucks and auto parts from Mexico and Canada remain subject to separate tariffs. Steel and aluminum imports are subject to 25pc, in effect since 12 March. The 25pc tariff on all imported cars and trucks will go into effect on Thursday, whereas a 25pc tax on auto parts will go into effect on 3 May. Mexico's president Claudia Sheinbaum this morning emphasized the "good relationship" and "mutual respect" between Mexico and the US, which she said was key to Trump's decision to prioritize the USMCA over potential further tariffs on Mexican imports. "So far, we have managed to reach a relatively more privileged position when it comes to these tariffs," Sheinbaum said. "Many of our industries are now exempt from tariffs. We aim to reach a better position regarding steel, aluminum and auto parts exports, too." The Mexican peso strengthened by 1.5pc against the US dollar in the wake of the tariff announcement, to Ps19.96/$1 by late morning on Thursday from Ps20.25/$1 on Wednesday. Mexico has not placed any tariffs on imports from the US, which may have eliminated the need for the US to reciprocate with tariffs. "In contrast to what will apply to 185 global economies, Mexico remains exempt from reciprocal tariffs," Mexico's economy minister Marcelo Ebrard said. Mexico exported 500,000 b/d of crude to the US last year, making the US by far the most important export market for the nation's commodity. Mexico also imports the majority of its motor fuels and LPG from the US. If US won't lead, Canada will: Carney To the north, Canada's prime minister says the US' latest trade actions will "rupture" the global economy. "The global economy is fundamentally different today than it was yesterday," said prime minister Mark Carney on Thursday while announcing retaliatory tariffs on auto imports from the US. Canada is matching the US with 25pc tariffs on all vehicles imported from the US that are not compliant with the USMCA, referred to as CUSMA in Canada. But unlike the US tariffs, which took effect Thursday, Canada's will not include auto parts. Automaker Stellantis has informed Unifor Local 444 that it is shutting down the Windsor Assembly Plant in Ontario for two weeks starting on 7 April, with the primary driver being Trump's tariffs. The closure will affect 3,600 workers. Trump on 2 April unveiled a chart of dozens of countries the US is targeting with new tariffs, but that lengthy list may also represent opportunity for Canada and Mexico, who have already been dealing with US trade action. "The world is waking up today to a reality that Canada has been living with for months," Canadian Chamber of Commerce president Candace Laing said, a reality which Carney views as an opportunity for his country. "Canada is ready to take a leadership role in building a coalition of like-minded countries who share our values," said Carney. "If the United States no longer wants to lead, Canada will." By Cas Biekmann and Brett Holmes Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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